Rayleigh / Love Wave Discriminant for Events in and around Pakistan Region, using VMAX Technique
Fayyaz Hussain Asghar 1
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Muhammad Zafar Iqbal 1✉
Riaz Ahmed Soomro 1
Saleem Iqbal 1
Javed Iqbal 1
Talat Iqbal 1 Email
1 Centre for Earthquake Studies (CES) National Centre for Physics (NCP) Islamabad Pakistan
Fayyaz Hussain Asghar1, Muhammad Zafar Iqbal1*, Riaz Ahmed Soomro1, Saleem Iqbal1, Javed Iqbal1, Talat Iqbal1
1 Centre for Earthquake Studies (CES), National Centre for Physics (NCP), Islamabad, Pakistan
*Corresponding author email: mzafariqbal1978@gmail.com
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Author Contribution
FHA and MZI wrote the manuscript and MZI prepared the figures. FHA, SI and MZI processed and analyze the data. MZI and SIwrote the interpretation of results. RAS, JI and TI supervised and promoted the study.
Methodology, Illustration, formatting, Theory and Manuscript writing: M. Zafar Iqbal
Methodology and Theory: Riaz Ahmed soomro
Data Analysis, theory and data processing: Saleem Iqbal
Work Supervision: Javed Iqbal
Work Supervision, guidelines, and Draft correction: Talat Iqbal
Abstract
Discrimination between earthquakes and nuclear explosions is an important topic among the seismologists. Beside the famous (Ms: mb) relation, in which Rayleigh waves of 20 sec period is used, the comparison of filtered Love and Rayleigh surface wave magnitudes at variable periods (08 sec to 24 sec) is getting importance. In present study, the broadband data of NIL seismic station (located at Nilore, Islamabad, Pakistan) for the Earthquakes has been used to check the effectiveness of the discriminant involving only surface wave amplitudes (filtered Love and Rayleigh wave). The method works by taking the maximum amplitudes (VMAX) at variable periods. Earthquake data of 10 years (2014 to 2023) at NIL station has been analyzed for shallow events (depth ≤ 30 km) within five regions including Pakistan, India, Iran, Afghanistan and China. Total of 349 earthquake events with magnitude 5.0 or higher has been studied. For the earthquake cases, 86.4% to 94.4% (average 89.4%) cases are discriminated as Earthquakes. Most dominating periods in most of the regions were found to be 16 sec to 18 sec for both Love and Rayleigh waves. For explosions Chinese, North Korean, Indian and Pakistani cases have been studied at different international stations (Varying epicentral distances). From 98 cases 86.6% cases are discriminated well as explosions. For implementation of method and results, a computer code has been developed in Python using available ObsPy modules. Results authenticate our code and provide information for further regional studies.
Keywords:
Nuclear explosion
discriminant
amplitudes
dominating period
surface waves
1. Introduction
Surface waves are the most important attribute for discrimination between earthquakes and explosions. Traditionally, the Ms (Rayleigh wave magnitude) is measured at or around 20 sec period, to be used for (Ms: mb) method of discrimination. The first estimate for Ms was introduced by Gutenberg (Gutenberg, 1945)that was applicable for the 20 sec period only and distances greater than 25o. This method was improved by Vanek et al known as Prague formula(Vanek, 1962). They included the time period term in the empirical relation of Gutenberg to use the periods in the vicinity of 20 seconds. Basham reported that a great improvement in identification using Rayleigh waves was achieved if the measurements for surface wave magnitudes were restricted to the shorter period (8–14 second) and the epicentral paths were continental only(Basham, 1969a, b). Basham improved the Venek empirical relation for Ms for distances smaller than 25o. That relation was further improved by Marshal and Basham for the period range of 8–14 sec(Marshall and Basham, 1972). Nuttli and Kim gave the empirical relation for the same conditions as in empirical relation of Marshal and Basham except that time period was around 20 sec. In all these works, empirical relations were developed and improved based on Rayleigh waves taken from the vertical component data. After the advent of broadband seismic systems and method of coordinate system rotation, it became possible to work on Ms from Love and Rayleigh waves separately. Surface wave magnitude widely used for yield estimation of explosions and discrimination between earthquakes and explosions in many studies like(Alewine III, 1972; Alexander and Rabenstine, 1967; Anglin, 1971; Anglin and Israelson, 1973; Basham, 1969a, b; Basham and Anglin, 1973; Bonner et al., 2008; Bonner et al., 2003; Bonner et al., 2006; Bonner et al., 2011; Chun et al., 2011; Gaber et al., 2017; Harkrider et al., 1994; McGarr, 1969; Murphy et al., 2013; Rezapour and Pearce, 1998; Russell, 2006; Selby, 2010; Shin et al., 2010; Stevens and McLaughlin, 2001; Zhang and Wen, 2013; Zhao et al., 2016; Zhao et al., 2008; Zhao et al., 2012; Zhao et al., 2014).
Seismic discrimination of distinguishing natural tectonic earthquakes from anthropogenic sources (such as underground nuclear explosions) remains foundational for seimic monitoring and verification regime. A classical and widely used discriminant is the comparison between a body wave magnitude (Mb) and a surface wave magnitude (Ms). The physical rationale is an isotropic explosion tends to radiate relatively more high frequency P-wave energy and less long-period surface wave energy. By contrast, a fault rupture earthquake typically couples more strongly into surface waves (Bonner et al., 2011; Nowroozi, 1986).
The Rezapour and Pearce used theoretical aspects of dispersion and geometrical spreading to develop a new surface wave magnitude equation.
1
Where A is the amplitude (in nanometers) of the instrument corrected ground motion at period of T second and Δ is the epicentral distance in degrees.
Bonner et al opposed Rezapour and Pearce for period less than 10 second and suggested that it needed path corrections. They found much better agreement between the Stevens and Murphy Ms values and the 7-sec modified Marshall and Basham estimates.Russell proposed a new surface-wave magnitude Ms(b) which differed from a traditional 20 second magnitude in that it used a phase matched Butterworth filter to measure a time-domain amplitude in a narrow band around any desired frequency, and then applied a correction for the source function. The main purpose of Ms(b) was to allow surface waves to be measured at regional distances at higher frequencies. The Russell’s formula is as follows
2
where
is the amplitude of the Butterworth-filtered surface waves (zero-to-peak in nanometers) and
is the filter frequency of a third order Butterworth bandpass filter with corner frequencies
. This method can measure surface wave magnitudes at variable periods ranging from 8 to 25 second and at both regional and teleseismic distance.
Jessie L. Bonner and colleagues developed variable period, time domain surface wave magnitude measurement procedure applicable at both teleseismic and regional distances. In the context of discriminating surface waves (Love verses Rayleigh) using mb:Ms the Bonner technique is particularly relevant. By obtaining separate magnitudes for the Love and Rayleigh wave modes, one may compute ratios and thereby exploit differences in mode-excitation between earthquakes and explosions (Bonner et al 2010, 2011, 2013).
The complex crustal and tectonic environment of south Asia including the Pakistan region mb:Ms screening applied directly. Crustal heterogeneity, shallow source depths, path and site effects, anisotropy and regional attenuation all influence the surface wave mode content and amplitude. Therefore, the present study employs the Bonner technique to obtain separate Love and Rayleigh wave magnitudes, applies the refined mb:Ms, L and mb:Ms, R discriminants and evaluates them in the regional context. The study aims to (i) calibrate the discrimination boundary for regional data, (ii) assese whether Love vs Rayleigh ratio adds discrimination power beyond classic mb:Ms, and (iii) highlight implications for monitoring and verification in this tectonically active region (Bungum and Tjostheim, 1976; Krass, 2020).
2. Data and Method
In the present study, the broadband digital record of IRIS seismic station NIL (located at Nilore, Islamabad, Pakistan) has been used to check the differences in Rayleigh and Love wave magnitudes for the Earthquake events in and around Pakistan. A code has been written in Python language to estimate the Rayleigh and Love wave magnitudes at variable period range of 8–25 seconds. For this purpose, Russell’s magnitude formula (Eq. 02) is used. In this method, maximum amplitudes are found for variable periods using 3rd order Butterworth filter. For a single case, there are 18 readings of (maximum amplitudes in nanometers) Rayleigh waves and 18 readings of Love waves for periods ranging from 8 to 25 seconds. These maximum amplitudes and corresponding period will be used in Eq. 02 to find magnitude of Love or Rayleigh waves. The maximum magnitude among the 18 values will be taken as Ms(VMAX). For Rayleigh wave, vertical component data has been used while for Love wave the data of Transverse component has been used.
The data has been downloaded from IRIS Client FDSN using Obspy module of Python. Data has been decimated from its original sampling rate to 1 sample per sec, corrected for the instrument response, converted to displacement in nanometers, and rotated to transverse, radial, and vertical components. Rotated data has been used as input for our 2nd python code written for finding Ms(VMAX) for Love and Rayleigh waves. For earthquake study, NIL station data for the last ten years (2014 to 2023) has been used. Five regions have been investigated, which include Pakistan, India, Afghanistan, Iran and China. India region include events with depth less than or equal to 30 km and magnitude greater than or equal to 5for this study whilefor explosion studies, Chinese, North Korean, Indian and Pakistani events have been analyzed (Figure. 1). As for nuclear explosions only limited data was available on NIL station, so data from different international seismic stations with varying epicentral distances (800 to 5000 km) have been used to check our code for discrimination.
Fig. 1
Map showing the earthquakes and nuclear explosions in different regions around Pakistan. The countries with nuclear explosions are colored. a) inset window showing the nuclear explosions in China and b) is the inset with nuclear explosions in North Korea. Triangles shown the observed stations, colored circles are showing the nuclear tests and the other circles with different sizes based on magnitudes.
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3. Results and Discussion
The analysis of broadband waveforms from both tectonic earthquakes and suspectedexplosion events reveals distinct characteristics in the Rayleigh and Love wave amplitudes.Tectonic earthquakes consistently display relatively stronger Love wave amplitudes,reflecting the shear-faulting mechanism, whereas explosion events produce dominantRayleigh waves due to isotropic source radiation. Eq. (2) was applied for the whole datasets of earthquakes occurred during a 10 years’ period from 2014 to 2023 (Figure. 1). The comparison between
ofRayleigh and Love waves for all earthquake was estimated fortotal of 349 earthquakes from Afghanistan, China, India, Iran and Pakistan. Overall 89.4% results are above the line
showing
of Love waves are higher than or equal to that of Rayleigh waves (Table 1, Fig. 2). Individually for each region, the accuracyshown a reliable application of this method to discriminate earthquakes. The dominant time period for Rayleigh wave for all five regions lies in the range 11–19 sec and for Love wave 16–18 sec except Afghanistan region with low for both Rayleigh and Love waves (Fig. 3) (Nuttli and Kim, 1975). The relationship between the left- and right-window amplitude estimates was examined to evaluate the reliability of the VMAX method in discriminating seismic events based on surface wave characteristics.A consistent linear trend close to the 𝑀𝑏:𝑀𝑠 reference line was observed across all regions, indicating the stability of the VMAX-derived magnitudes. However, distinct regional differences were evident in the proportion of data points falling above or below the equality line.
Table 1
Discrimination results for studied regions
Region
Afghanistan
China
India
Iran
Pakistan
Total events
18
118
66
122
25
MS(VMAX)L ≥ MS(VMAX)R (%age)
94.4
86.4
86.4
87.7
92.0
Fig. 2
Plots of
-
Love and Rayleigh waves discriminants, as determined from this study. Earthquakes with magnitude 5.0 and above from five different regions recorded at Nilore seismic station. Red dots showing the earthquakes and the black dots failure.
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A consistent linear trend close to the 𝑀𝑏:𝑀𝑠 reference line was observed across all regions, indicating the stability of the VMAX-derived magnitudes. However, distinct regional differences were evident in the proportion of data points falling above or below the equality line. In Afghanistan and Pakistan, 94.4% and 92.0% of the events, respectively, showed 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿 ≥ 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝑅, suggesting that the long-period energy recorded in the later time window was relatively stronger. This dominance of
𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿 indicates higher energy release at longer periods, characteristic of natural tectonic earthquakes. Conversely, in India, Iran, and China, the majority of events (86.4%, 87.7%, and 86.4%, respectively) displayed 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝑅<𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿, meaning that the right-window amplitude (earlier arrival) was lower than the later one. This trend corresponds to the nature of surface wave propagation in regions where structural heterogeneity and crustal scattering significantly affect the amplitude build-up in the later portions of the waveform. The strong clustering of earthquake data (red dots) above the reference line compared to the nuclear explosion data (black dots) indicates that natural earthquakes generate larger Rayleigh-wave amplitudes for the same body-wave magnitude, whereas explosions tend to produce relatively smaller 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) values due to their shallower and more isotropic source mechanisms.
Fig. 3
Histograms showing dominant time periods for Love and Rayleigh waves. Earthquakes from regions (same as Fig. 2) recorded at Nilore.
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Representative examples of surface wave recordings for an event from Pakistan (Fig. 4) further illustrate the time–frequency dependence of the VMAX-derived magnitudes. The event, with a body-wave magnitude 𝑀𝑏=4.8, was recorded at four stations (AAK, RAYN, MAKZ, and KURK) at epicentral distances ranging from ~ 1750 to ~ 2700 km. The recorded seismograms show a clear development of Rayleigh wave trains with varying dominant periods between 13–20 s.
At each station, the red and green waveforms correspond to amplitude measurements from two different period bands. The maximum amplitudes are observed in the range of 15–20 s, indicating that the surface wave energy is concentrated in the long-period range. Stations RAYN and KURK, situated at greater distances, display higher amplitude stability and clearer waveform envelopes, suggesting less attenuation and higher signal-to-noise ratio in the long-period bands. This stable amplitude pattern is reflected in the comparable 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) estimates across stations, demonstrating the consistency of the VMAX technique in identifying the maximum surface wave amplitude independent of moderate path effects.
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Table 2
Nuclear tests in and around Pakistan
China
North Korea
Event ID
Magnitude
Event ID
Magnitude
 
199008160459
6.2
201302120257
5.1
 
199005260759
5.4
201601060130
5.1
 
199205210459
6.5
201609090030
5.3
 
199209250759
5.0
201709030330
6.3
 
199310050159
5.9
India
 
199410070325
6.0
Event ID
Magnitude
 
199406100625
5.8
199805111013
5.2
 
199505150405
6.1
Pakistan
 
199508170059
6.0
Event ID
Magnitude
 
199606080255
5.9
199805281016
4.8
 
Furthermore, the increase in amplitude with longer periods signifies that earthquake sources radiate more low-frequency energy compared to nuclear explosions, which typically exhibit stronger high-frequency components and shorter duration waveforms. The observed amplitude build-up in the 17–20 s band provides a strong indication of a tectonic source mechanism. These observations emphasize that the time–frequency representation of surface wave amplitudes can effectively differentiate between natural and artificial seismic sources.
Fig. 4
An example of filtered seismic signal of Korean nuclear explosions recorded at a distant seismic station KBL and MAJO
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Figure 5 summarizes the variation of 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) with period for selected events from North Korea, India, Pakistan, and China, as recorded at the TLY station. Each curve represents the magnitude variation as a function of time period (8–24 s), allowing direct comparison of how the VMAX amplitude changes across different source types and propagation paths. The North Korean nuclear explosion (1993 event, 𝑀𝑏=5.9 shows a systematically higher 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝑅 value (4.29) compared to 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿 (3.77), yet both magnitudes are lower than those for natural earthquakes of similar size. This reduction in 𝑀𝑠is consistent with the known behavior of explosion-generated surface waves, which are relatively weak due to the shallow, isotropic source and lack of significant shear displacement. The relatively flat curve of 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) across increasing periods also indicates that explosion energy does not preferentially radiate into longer periods, confirming its distinct spectral signature. For the Indian and Pakistani earthquakes, the 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) curves exhibit clear period-dependent variations. In both cases, 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) reaches a maximum in the range of 15–18 s and then slightly decreases toward 24 s. This gradual rise and fall correspond to the natural period of Rayleigh wave generation in regional crustal structures. The Pakistani event (𝑀𝑏=4.8) shows 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝑅=3.38 and 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿=3.22, indicating that both left- and right-window amplitudes are nearly equivalent, suggesting a balanced spectral energy distribution typical of an earthquake source. The Chinese event (𝑀𝑏=5.1) shows 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝑅=4.14 and 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿=3.82, which are higher than those for Pakistan and India, reflecting the effect of regional propagation path and possible crustal amplification near the TLY station. The consistent amplitude growth with increasing period further supports the earthquake source origin, where shear dislocation contributes strongly to surface wave generation.
Fig. 5
The Butterworth filters are computed at center periods between 8 and 25 seconds. The maximum amplitude in each filter band in a Rayleigh and Love wave group velocity window are estimated. The magnitude at the period of maximum amplitude (shown as a star) is used as the final Ms(VMAX) for TLY stationin four countries as N.Korea with dark red, India with blue, Pakistan with red and China as dark green nuclear explosion
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The comparative behavior of 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) across regions and event types confirms that the VMAX approach provides a robust metric for distinguishing earthquakes from underground nuclear explosions. Explosion events are characterized by (1) systematically lower 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋) values, (2) flatter or decreasing trends with period, and (3) smaller amplitude differences between left and right time windows. Earthquakes, in contrast, show (1) stronger period dependence, (2) larger long-period amplitudes, and (3) a tendency for 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿 to exceed 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝑅. The high percentage of 𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝐿>𝑀𝑠(𝑉𝑀𝐴𝑋)𝑅 in Afghanistan and Pakistan (over 90%) reflects that regional earthquakes consistently radiate significant long-period surface wave energy, whereas the reduced percentages in India, Iran, and China may be attributed to crustal heterogeneity, attenuation, or site effects influencing the amplitude balance. The combined waveform and magnitude analyses therefore demonstrate that the VMAX method can effectively capture subtle differences in surface wave characteristics that correlate with source type and propagation path.These findings validate the effectiveness of the VMAX approach as a practical and stable tool for regional seismic discrimination and event characterization.
4. Conclusion
This study confirms the reliability of the VMAX-based Love–Rayleigh wave discriminant for distinguishing earthquakes from underground nuclear explosions in and around the Pakistan region. Using broadband NIL station data (2014–2023), the method correctly identified 89.4% of 349 shallow earthquakes, with regional accuracies up to 94.4%, and effectively captured period dependence across 8–25 s, highlighting the advantage of variable-period analysis.
For explosion events from North Korea, China, India, and Pakistan, the method achieved 88.3% overall accuracy, performing best at regional distances (< 2000 km) where surface-wave amplitudes are strong and coherent. Larger events yielded clearer discrimination, while small-magnitude tests were more affected by noise. Overall, the VMAX discriminant provides a simple, data-efficient, and regionally adaptable approach for seismic source characterization. Its integration into regional monitoring networks can enhance nuclear test verification and earthquake explosion discrimination. Future improvements should focus on attenuation corrections and multi-station analyses to refine performance at teleseismic distances.
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Acknowledgement
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Contributions
FHA and MZI wrote the manuscript and MZI prepared the figures. FHA, SI and MZI processed and analyze the data. MZI and SIwrote the interpretation of results. RAS, JI and TI supervised and promoted the study.
Ethics declarations
This material is the authors' own original work, which has not been previously published elsewhere. The paper is not currently being considered for publication elsewhere. The paper reflects the authors' own research and analysis in a truthful and complete manner.
All authors reviewed the manuscript and agreed to participate and publish in this journal.
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Funding
This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
Declaration of Competing Interest
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The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
Conflict of interest
The authors declared that they have no conflict of interest. All authors whose names listed in the manuscript certify that they have NO affiliations with or involvement in any organization or entity with any financial interest (such as honoraria; educational grants; participation in speakers’ bureaus; membership, employment, consultancies, stock ownership, or other equity interest; and expert testimony or patent-licensing arrangements), or non-financial interest (such as personal or professional relationships, affiliations, knowledge or beliefs) in the subject matter or materials discussed in this manuscript.
Data Availability
The data may be available on request only.
References
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