IFPRI is seeking a firm/organization for assessment of infrastructure development in the eastern Nile in a changing climate. This consultancy is applicable to firms/organizations only. 
 
Background: 
 
With climate change expected to affect the inter- and intra-annual variabilities of the Nile streamflow, the economic costs and benefits of infrastructure development in the Nile are uncertain. Several dams and irrigation projects are planned for construction in the Eastern Nile Basin. The economy-wide and transboundary effects of these projects under various climate change scenarios should be evaluated to maximize benefits and minimize costs.  
 
The International Food Policy Research Institute under the CGIAR Initiative on NEXUS Gains is aiming to conduct an integrated assessment of the impacts of infrastructure development in the Eastern Nile Basin on riparian countries using hydrological, river system, and economy-wide modeling. Specifically, the research aims to assess the economy-wide impact of potential infrastructure development in the Eastern Nile on Sudan and Egypt due to changes to hydropower production and irrigation and municipal/industrial water supplies under climate change. 
 
Methodology: 
 
The firm/organization will use a combination of rainfall-runoff, river system, and economy-wide modeling to assess the impacts of infrastructure development in the Eastern Nile Basin under CMIP6 climate change scenarios. The river system model will be able to quantify how existing and new infrastructure affects flow regimes, water availability, and hydropower generation. 
 
Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models will be developed for Sudan and Egypt to assess the economic impacts of Eastern Nile infrastructure development on key economic sectors. The CGE models will be driven by economic growth projections under various shared socioeconomic pathways, such that the assumptions that drive the CGE models are aligned with the rainfall-runoff model. The CGE model will be configured to be recursive dynamic and shall include irrigation and rainfed sectors disaggregated by crops and hydropower sectors. The rainfall-runoff, river system, and CGE models will be integrated based on a cascade structure, whereby the rainfall-runoff model is run first for various scenarios, then the river system model is run, followed by the CGE model. Given upstream/downstream dynamics, the CGE models will need to be run consecutively. 
 
Deliverables: 
 
The project aims to produce two research papers on the following topics: 
· Spatiotemporal assessment of the hydrological impacts of climate change on Nile streamflow and evapotranspiration.· Assessing the river system and economy-wide impacts of infrastructure development on Sudan and Egypt under climate change. 
 Specific activities:     
1.    Acquiring and pre-processing CMIP6 climate change projections     
2.    Developing, calibrating, and validating a rainfall-runoff model of the Nile Basin     
3.      📚 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗼 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝗮 𝗝𝗼𝗯 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗨𝗡 𝗶𝗻 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟯! 🌍🤝 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗿𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗚𝘂𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗨𝗡 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟯 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘀𝗮𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗨𝗡𝗛𝗖𝗥, 𝗪𝗙𝗣, 𝗨𝗡𝗜𝗖𝗘𝗙, 𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗦𝗦, 𝗨𝗡𝗙𝗣𝗔, 𝗜𝗢𝗠 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝘀! 🌐  
  ⚠️ 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞 𝐘𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐋𝐢𝐟𝐞 𝐍𝐨𝐰: 𝐏𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐮𝐥 𝐓𝐞𝐜𝐡𝐧𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐬 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐠𝐞𝐭 𝐚 𝐣𝐨𝐛 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐍𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐖! 
  Assessing the spatiotemporal dynamics of the impacts of climate change on the naturalized streamflow, temperature, and evapotranspiration of the Nile Basin     
4.    Drafting paper #1     
5.    Reviewing and editing paper #1     
6.    Developing, calibrating, and validating a daily river system model for the Nile Basin, including Ethiopia, Sudan, and Egypt     
7.    Assisting IFPRI in developing and modifying CGE models for Sudan and Egypt that would use the outputs of the river system model for integrated assessment     
8.    Running the CGE model considering shocks on different sectors representing the impacts of infrastructure development     
9.    Drafting paper #2     
10.    Reviewing and editing paper #2     
 
Duration Period: Receipt of signed contract to December 31, 2024. 
Qualifications: 
 Supervisor: PhD in relevant field (water resources, hydrological modeling, agricultural economics); demonstrated research expertise in hydro-economic modeling   In-depth expertise on the Eastern Nile River system  Support staff: Experience with data collection and analysis, development of papers and reports  Demonstrated experience with preparing research papers   Application criteria:  · Please submit a financial proposal with your online application · Please upload 1-2 research papers that demonstrated experience in developing and publishing scientific research papers focused on the Eastern Nile Basin · Only firms/organizations are eligible *** *We are unable to respond to every applicant individually, only the selected firm/organization will be contacted*  






    📚 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗼 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝗮 𝗝𝗼𝗯 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗨𝗡 𝗶𝗻 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰! 🌍🤝 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗿𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗚𝘂𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗨𝗡 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘀𝗮𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗨𝗡𝗛𝗖𝗥, 𝗪𝗙𝗣, 𝗜𝗢𝗠, 𝗨𝗡𝗜𝗖𝗘𝗙, 𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗦𝗦, 𝗨𝗡𝗙𝗣𝗔 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝘀!  🌐   





Apply for this job











Recommended for you




    📚 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗼 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝗮 𝗝𝗼𝗯 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗨𝗡 𝗶𝗻 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰! 🌍🤝 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗿𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗚𝘂𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗨𝗡 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘀𝗮𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗨𝗡𝗛𝗖𝗥, 𝗪𝗙𝗣, 𝗨𝗡𝗜𝗖𝗘𝗙, 𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗦𝗦, 𝗨𝗡𝗙𝗣𝗔 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝘀! 🌐