{"text_format":"1","workbook":"xlsx","n_sheets":98,"sheets":["Instructions","Control","AU","AT","BE","BR","CA","CN","DK","FI","FR","DE","HK","IN","IE","IT","JP","KR","LU","NL","NZ","NO","PT","RU","ZA","ES","SE","CH","TW","TH","UK","US","30 Countries","Instructions Growth Functions","FAU","FAT","FBE","FBR","FCA","FCN","FDK","FFI","FFR","FDE","FHK","FIN","FIE","FIT","FJP","FKR","FLU","FNL","FNZ","FNO","FPT","FRU","FZA","FES","FSE","FCH","FTW","FTH","FUK","FUS","F30 Countries","EAU","EAT","EBE","EBR","ECA","ECN","EDK","EFI","EFR","EDE","EHK","EIN","EIE","EIT","EJP","EKR","ELU","ENL","ENZ","ENO","EPT","ERU","EZA","EES","ESE","ECH","ETW","ETH","EUK","EUS","E30 Countries","P1","P2"],"not_rendered":{"charts":254,"images":15,"macros":1,"external_links":0,"defined_names":3091,"comments":63,"pivot_tables":0},"unopened":[],"bounds":{"document_bytes":16777216,"sheet_cells":100000,"rows_first":2000,"rows_last":500,"rows_between":2000,"halvings":0,"cell_chars":16384,"cell_head_chars":4096},"cells_cut":0,"cells_raw":0,"read":"whole","date_system":"1900"}

{"sheet":"Instructions","index":0,"n_rows":200,"n_cols":26,"rows_kept":200,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[127,1,128,23],[39,20,40,23],[51,1,51,2],[83,4,84,18],[85,4,85,18],[39,4,41,18],[42,4,44,8]]}
["This file contains macros. These may have been disabled by the EXCEL installation on your computer. You will receve this message:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"v1.2 20241020"]
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["To unlock macros in a file, like one from the internet or an email attachment, remove the Mark of the Web on your local device."]
["To remove, right-click on the file, choose Properties, and then select the Unblock checkbox on the General tab."]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Remark: All calculations will work without the makros. In case the makros are disabled, the steps in the makros have to be done manually."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Meaning od the makros:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"In the individual countries"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Makro Name: Scenario 1/2, 3, 4, 5 switch to the respective scenarios by clicking on the respective button.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Alt_EV_YES or _NO change cell AA1 to change the sales limit condition. "]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Can also be chosen by inserting the respective number in cell D3. ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Can also be chosen by inserting YES or NO in cell AA1."]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"In the aggregated file \"30 Countries\""]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Makro Name: All_Scenario 1/2, 3, 4, 5 switch to the respective scenarios by clicking on the respective button in all 30 countries.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ALL_Alt_EV_YES or _NO change cells AA1 to change the sales limit condition in all 30 countries. "]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Can not be chosen by inserting the respective number in cell D3.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Can not be chosen by inserting YES or NO in filed AA1."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"In case, makros are deactivated, this must be done manually.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"In case, makros are deactivated, this must be done manually."]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The Makro Protect protects all filed in all folders except in the folder \"Control\"."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The Makro Protect_Off unprotects aall filed in all folders except in the folder \"Control\"."]
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[null,null,null,null,"Except for cells D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection) in the country folders AU, AT, … , US, and 30 Countries, all other cells are protected to prevent accidental overwriting. In the forecasting files FAU ... FUS and EAU ... EUS all cells are locked. However, to be able to overwrite fields, the sheets can be unlocked without a password. Cells in Folder \"Control\" are unlocked.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"All sheets (except \"Control\") can be protected or unprotected with these buttons:"]
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[null,null,null,null,"\"Unprotect Sheet\" under \"Review\" unlocks the cells."]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Caution: Cells in unprotected folders may be altered unintentially."]
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[null,"Country Codes used:"]
[null,"ISO 3166-1 alpha-2 codes"]
[null,"AU","Australia",null,"Folders AU, AT, … , US calculate results of the forecast functions to yearly CO₂ emissions in the respective country. In \"30 Countries\", the totals for all countries are aggregated."]
[null,"AT","Austria",null,"Folders FAU, FAT, …, FUS calculate the FORECASTS for Total Sales, Total Stock, EV Stock, EV Stock to achieve 100% EVs in 2050, and PHEV percentage."]
[null,"BE","Belgium",null,"Folders EAU, EAT, …, EUS calculate the EFFICIENCIES for Annual Mileage per Vehicle, CO₂ emissions in gram per km (ICE), CO₂ emissions in grams per kWh of electricity (EVs), EV efficiency in kWh/km (EVs)."]
[null,"BR","Brazil",null,"Folder \"Control \"enables sensitivity analyses (see annotations in \"Control\"). "]
[null,"CA","Canada"]
[null,"CN","China"]
[null,"DK","Denmark"]
[null,"FI","Finland"]
[null,"FR","France"]
[null,"DE","Germany"]
[null,"HK","Hong Kong"]
[null,"IN","India"]
[null,"IE","Ireland"]
[null,"IT","Italy"]
[null,"JP","Japan"]
[null,"KR","Korea"]
[null,"LU","Luxembourg"]
[null,"NL","Netherlands"]
[null,"NZ","New Zealand"]
[null,"NO","Norway"]
[null,"PT","Portugal"]
[null,"RU","Russia"]
[null,"ZA","South Africa"]
[null,"ES","Spain"]
[null,"SE","Sweden"]
[null,"CH","Switzerland"]
[null,"TW","Taiwan"]
[null,"TH","Thailand"]
[null,"UK","UK"]
[null,"US","USA"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Except for cells D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection) in the country folders, all other cells are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password."]
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[null,null,null,null,"Chosing scenario 1-5 and sales limit with YES/NO in Folder \"30 Countries\" will automatically be applied to all 30 country folders AU … US by a macro."]
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[null,"Note: All information, calculations and conclusions in this file were made to the best of our knowledge and belief. However, with almost 100 folders with 5,000 cells each, errors can occur. The authors are grateful for any advice and suggestions for improvement."]
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["© 2024 theo.lieven@unisg.ch"]

{"sheet":"Control","index":1,"n_rows":32,"n_cols":19,"rows_kept":32,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[0,10,0,18]]}
["Calculations only refer to the years 2024 to 2050.","Total Sales Forecast","Total Stock","Yearly Distance per vehicle","ICE CO₂/km","EV Stock Forecast","Thereof PHEVs","EV kWh/km","Electricity CO₂/kWh",null,"To remove a country completely from the analyses, choose -3000% for Total Sales Forecast, Total Stock, Yearly Distance per Vehicle, and -100% for EV Stock Forecast. Example: To analyse only the Asian Countries, remove the others (Copy-Paste to left side):"]
["Australia",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Australia",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Austria",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Austria",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Belgium",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Belgium",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Brazil",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Brazil",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Canada",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Canada",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["China",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"China",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Denmark",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Denmark",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Finland",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Finland",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["France",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"France",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Germany",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Germany",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Hong Kong",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Hong Kong",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["India",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"India",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Ireland",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Ireland",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Italy",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Italy",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Japan",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Japan",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Korea",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Korea",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Luxembourg",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Luxembourg",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Netherlands",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Netherlands",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["New Zealand",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"New Zealand",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Norway",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Norway",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Portugal",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Portugal",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Russia",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Russia",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["South Africa",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"South Africa",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Spain",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Spain",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Sweden",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Sweden",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Switzerland",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Switzerland",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["Taiwan",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Taiwan",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Thailand",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Thailand",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["UK",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"UK",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
["USA",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"USA",-30,-30,-30,0,-1,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(B2:I31)","v":0}]

{"sheet":"AU","index":2,"n_rows":214,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":214,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[163,2,163,3],[10,30,10,31],[7,28,7,29],[2,21,2,23],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[4,28,4,29],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,0,2,2],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[144,20,146,26],[17,26,17,29],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[144,27,145,29],[149,17,149,19],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[37,10,37,15],[11,28,11,29],[11,30,11,31],[18,26,18,29],[16,28,16,29],[16,30,16,31],[17,30,17,31],[15,30,15,31],[15,28,15,29],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[10,33,17,33],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[153,8,153,9],[153,23,153,24],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14]]}
[null,"Australia",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C30","v":26439.111000000001},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":695.49957023056572}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":6.5545477587374368},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":145.03584068413377},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":16267.546204085977},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.88466395944755127},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":33.947650241698987},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-10052.442076093634}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":12729.791170122287},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10499.999999908288},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10499.999999908288}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":187.7281465961988},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":16267.546204085977},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":16267.546204085977}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":15011.782368558932},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":2120.844133692246},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":77},{"$f":"$K91","v":2120.844133692246}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":161.92045250496696},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":85.35157876092525},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":85.35157876092525}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19141191912817862},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14592148198656393},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14592148198656393}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":548.69226000000003},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":186.69932587038338},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":186.69932587038338}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":105.02623849737756},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":27.243442316898779},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":27.243442316898779}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":161.29910926888829},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":33.947650241698987},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":33.947650241698987}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":31.20921538800058},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":6.5545477587374368},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":6.5545477587374368}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.23904650916242076},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":145.03584068413377},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":145.03584068413377}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-10052.442076093634},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2229.7911702140009}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":131},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2090},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2036},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2090}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":31.20921538800058},{"$f":"AA64","v":31.20921538800058}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 15.2m to\n18.4m total Stock"},6.5477396217109316,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":37.756955009711511}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 12,730 to\n10,500 yearly km"},-6.5928251115362215,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":31.16412989817529}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 162 to 85\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-14.650317616719516,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":16.513812281455774}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 549 to 187\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-7.9780059489949258,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":7.7032100679739388}]
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[]
[]
[]
[-0.45800000000000002]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$2","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C$2","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D$2","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E$2","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!$F$2","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!$G$2","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!$H$2","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!$I$2","v":0}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Australia"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Elec-tricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","RelAUive CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"CO₂ savings compared against pure ICE operation"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J37","v":805.97699999999998}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J38","v":803.13030000000003}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J39","v":794.66643999999997}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J40","v":792.16650000000004}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J41","v":792.82809999999995}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FAU!$B46","v":789.096},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H46","v":11011},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B42","v":15252.272311563889},{"$f":"EAU!$F$42","v":244},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":11011},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":167942.77042262998},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":40.978035983121714},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J42","v":791.80023000000006},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":40.978035983121714},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":244},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":40.978035983121721},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":40.978035983121714},{"$f":"AF46","v":40.978035983121714}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FAU!$B47","v":769.24099999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H47","v":11273},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B43","v":14662.318553756229},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))","v":242.33437739303878},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":11273},null,{"$f":"IF(J47<>\"\",(J47+Q47*T47*2/3)*H47/1000,0)","v":165288.31705649398},40.05504140422866,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J43","v":790.49540000000002},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":40.05504140422866},242.33437739303878,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-0.92299457889305359},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-2.2524129249952884},40.05504140422866,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":40.05504140422866},40.05504140422866]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FAU!$B48","v":835.19500000000005},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H48","v":11519},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B44","v":14530.251537625834},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))","v":236.65500191448442},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":11519},null,167373.96746191199,39.609886590133634,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J44","v":791.15089999999998},null,null,39.609886590133634,236.65500191448442,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-1.3681493929880801},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-3.3387383269212854},39.609886590133627,39.609886590133634,39.609886590133634]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FAU!$B49","v":791.22500000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H49","v":11804},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B45","v":14270.866394698574},{"$f":"EAU!$F$45","v":231},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":11804},null,168453.30692302197,38.912713899218076,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J45","v":791.50699999999995},null,null,38.912713899218076,231,-2.0653220839036379,-5.0400709413069862,38.912713899218076,38.912713899218076,38.912713899218076]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FAU!$B50","v":728.71500000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H50","v":12023},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B46","v":13970.557256818096},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))","v":225.69243898306823},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":12023},null,167968.00989872395,37.90910982517515,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAU!$J46","v":785.11410000000001},null,null,37.90910982517515,225.6924389830682,-3.0689261579465636,-7.4891977722178096,37.909109825175157,37.90910982517515,37.90910982517515]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FAU!$B51","v":827.40700000000004},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H51","v":12269.305},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B47","v":13779.268825852318},{"$f":"EAU!$F47","v":225},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":12269.193000000001},null,169060.50862326549,38.038614440234738,{"$f":"FAU!$L51*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.112},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":1.3536264498608303E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0.112},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":9.1284714170851572E-6},{"$f":"FAU!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":1.5432781084954594},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.19141191912817862},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0.29540182449562136},{"$f":"EAU!$J47","v":775.67039999999997},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":148.47255987492196},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":2.2913445136724841E-4},38.038843574686105,224.99930142145021,-2.9391924084356091,-7.172604391401828,38.038961677809141,38.038843574686105,38.038843574686105,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":1.1810312303595083E-4}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FAU!$B52","v":803.45},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H52","v":12474},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B48","v":13698.354891801348},{"$f":"EAU!$F48","v":220},12473.830000001943,null,170870.97759673448,{"$f":"I52*L52/1000000","v":37.591615071281581},{"$f":"FAU!$L52*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":5.8000000000000003E-2},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":7.2188686290372765E-5},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0.16999999805743496},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":1.3628346805951176E-5},{"$f":"FAU!$W52","v":1.7647058823529412E-2},{"$f":"Q52*(1-2/3*T52)*H52/1000","v":2.301323595525739},0.19141191912817862,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":0.44050076595454202},{"$f":"EAU!$J48","v":749.41470000000004},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":143.44690594986824},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":3.3011774936759331E-4},37.591945189030952,219.99896898191008,-3.3860907940907623,-8.2631846862681417,37.592121362472604,37.591945189030952,37.591945189030952,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":1.7617344165188342E-4}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FAU!$B53","v":882.68},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H53","v":12714.235000000001},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B49","v":13571.962484166288},{"$f":"EAU!$F49","v":214},12713.807000174886,null,172552.06261892154,36.926141400449211,{"$f":"FAU!$L53*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.25800000000000001},null,2.9229165722572168E-4,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":0.42799982511581164},null,3.3663041867309484E-5,{"$f":"FAU!$W53","v":0.19392523364485981},5.0578159524348205,0.19141191912817862,0.96812625805266561,{"$f":"EAU!$J49","v":746.98800000000006},142.98240664571989,7.2317869725024473E-4,36.926864579146461,213.99791840571015,-4.0511714039752533,-9.8862019781618482,36.927223773063027,36.926864579146461,36.926864579146461,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":3.5919391656591415E-4}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FAU!$B54","v":899.96500000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H54","v":13000.021000000001},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B50","v":13540.0997679133},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*(-$R$150*($B54-2000))-$R$150*($B54-2000)))","v":205.26724493251879},12999.289002371481,null,176013.33091757193,36.129771508845721,{"$f":"FAU!$L54*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.30399999999999999},null,3.3779091409110351E-4,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":0.7319976285197175},null,5.6307418927993845E-5,{"$f":"FAU!$W54","v":0.25136612021857918},8.2504073960929709,0.19141191912817862,1.5792263132754745,{"$f":"EAU!$J50","v":726.15809999999999},138.99531551147183,1.1467679791181233E-3,36.130918276824836,205.26413866331853,-4.8471177062968778,-11.82857496707099,36.131465047241491,36.130918276824836,36.130918276824836,5.4677041665485149E-4]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FAU!$B55","v":883.94899999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H55","v":13297.26},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B51","v":13443.847785648019},{"$f":"EAU!$F51","v":195},13295.300015044535,null,178750.18002518447,34.856285104910967,{"$f":"FAU!$L55*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":1.228},null,1.389220418825068E-3,1.959984955465236,null,1.4739765601825007E-4,{"$f":"FAU!$W55","v":0.58010204081632655},16.159381001494165,0.19141191912817862,3.0930981294194271,{"$f":"EAU!$J51","v":734.18133999999998},140.5310592774978,2.2708949294086484E-3,34.858555999840377,194.99507634172738,-6.1194799832813374,-14.933560958855779,34.859436184206267,34.858555999840377,34.858555999840377,8.8018436589010207E-4]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FAU!$B56","v":924.154},null,null,{"$f":"FAU!$H56","v":13549.449000000001},null,{"$f":"EAU!$B52","v":13348.644890734227},{"$f":"EAU!$F52","v":193},13545.749064646045,null,180835.04954211693,34.901164561628562,{"$f":"FAU!$L56*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":1.74},null,1.8828030826031159E-3,3.6999353539550124,null,2.7306906383831638E-4,{"$f":"FAU!$W56","v":0.53621621621621618},31.733623997051104,0.19141191912817862,6.0741938701675746,{"$f":"EAU!$J52","v":729.71375},139.67590930171994,4.4324227872269938E-3,34.905596984415787,192.99064412704982,-6.0724389987059268,-14.818765353242114,34.907289151060006,34.905596984415787,34.905596984415787,1.6921666442186734E-3]
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[94,2094,null,{"$f":"IF(FAU!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64))>=0,FAU!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64)),0)","v":860.33156764671673},0,null,19757.418801545984,7671.8418845199803,30.062298444678504,null,275.13238592804919,2110.7721755731459,6.3454663090803248E-2,null,{"$f":"FAU!$U135-FAU!$U134*(1-FAU!$F134)","v":841.37142026206493},0.97796181368014434,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O135>D135,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R134*(1-FAU!$F134)+D135,R134*(1-FAU!$F134)+O135)","v":19482.286415617935},0.98607447720313945,1.3470465284167598E-10,149465.0209161299,9.3770837317962166E-2,14015.46016105223,20.666504747208034,1.9379154545813373,0.289650573952691,0.35310523704349428,2.3295621935480577,-40.624930746078221,-99.138306098445199,4.5567167289116144,0.35310523704349428,0.35310523704349428,4.20361149186812]
[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FAU!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FAU!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":859.27552126273531},0,null,19767.764788036871,7617.3190313255118,29.357723799732398,null,283.47115109975857,2159.2902040014842,6.3391845412543404E-2,null,{"$f":"FAU!$U136-FAU!$U135*(1-FAU!$F135)","v":840.16306542354505},0.97775747665765711,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FAU!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FAU!$F135)+O136)","v":19484.293636937113},0.98565992897328936,1.0003036400732269E-10,148418.0807226781,9.2833128944782531E-2,13778.114825465518,19.630057430101079,1.82231965260206,0.2704651853024152,0.33385703071495859,2.217179305631011,-40.644178952406754,-99.185278106416646,4.4206088661553142,0.33385703071495859,0.33385703071495859,4.0867518354403556]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FAU!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FAU!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":858.21917353581807},0,null,19777.672009409627,7563.1836612487368,28.669662292372589,null,291.59857124022528,2205.413556945799,6.3228461892656282E-2,null,{"$f":"FAU!$U137-FAU!$U136*(1-FAU!$F136)","v":838.97379396522592},0.97757521602401143,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FAU!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FAU!$F136)+O137)","v":19486.073438169402},0.98525617316833392,7.4281574632328182E-11,147376.75224215758,9.19047976553347E-2,13544.630593915886,18.645133809452943,1.7135772500144126,0.25254144982317178,0.31576991171582808,2.1110131012538185,-40.662266071405888,-99.229416676177735,4.2884701784219788,0.31576991171582808,0.31576991171582808,3.9727002667061506]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FAU!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FAU!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":857.16263642706224},0,null,19787.158864854067,7509.4330205835349,27.997726907631222,null,299.50729383640646,2249.1299676222561,6.2970526613257388E-2,null,{"$f":"FAU!$U138-FAU!$U137*(1-FAU!$F137)","v":837.80160958297711},0.97741265657029996,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FAU!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FAU!$F137)+O138)","v":19487.651571017661},0.98486355237343393,5.5160774276808471E-11,146341.21419564509,9.0985749678781355E-2,13314.965082493889,17.70921749330963,1.6112864298533658,0.23579761256170767,0.29876813917496503,2.0106834051523972,-40.679267843946747,-99.270906640576854,4.1601918769940935,0.29876813917496503,0.29876813917496503,3.8614237378191287]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FAU!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FAU!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":856.1060144815732},0,null,19796.242999526476,7456.0643751925654,27.341539700746953,null,307.19212468511978,2290.4442611725899,6.2624272699198388E-2,null,{"$f":"FAU!$U139-FAU!$U138*(1-FAU!$F138)","v":836.64473903569888},0.9772676805013929,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FAU!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FAU!$F138)+O139)","v":19489.050874841356},0.98448230178360274,4.096185405153355E-11,145311.61793025196,9.0075892181993536E-2,13089.073629476414,16.819910529647171,1.5150684473792764,0.22015704736375744,0.28278132006295581,1.9158358349778193,-40.695254663058755,-99.309919781954818,4.0356676433189556,0.28278132006295581,0.28278132006295581,3.7528863232559999]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FAU!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FAU!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":855.04940531021532},0,null,19804.941333970022,7403.0750103682103,26.70073158460114,null,314.64972873928491,2329.3755467748938,6.2196031234169953E-2,null,{"$f":"FAU!$U140-FAU!$U139*(1-FAU!$F139)","v":835.50160737791521},0.97713839947621728,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FAU!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FAU!$F139)+O140)","v":19490.291605230737},0.98411256446392048,3.0417874102261726E-11,144288.09072454702,8.9175133260173609E-2,12866.909718217499,15.97492827959567,1.4245663581546597,0.20554795992855707,0.26774399116272701,1.8261398042935437,-40.710291991958989,-99.346615852275093,3.9147936125248775,0.26774399116272701,0.26774399116272701,3.6470496213621506]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FAU!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FAU!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":853.9929000394111},0,null,19813.270092514493,7350.4622306945139,26.074942122135131,null,321.87836683319256,2365.9547804424833,6.1692133963626689E-2,null,{"$f":"FAU!$U141-FAU!$U140*(1-FAU!$F140)","v":834.37081590450543},0.97702312966067972,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FAU!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FAU!$F140)+O141)","v":19491.3917256813},0.98375440473328024,2.2588017225377932E-11,143270.73870113448,8.8283381927571861E-2,12648.425343797606,15.172094466262649,1.3394438104062649,0.19190310416556791,0.2535952381291946,1.7412867050656733,-40.724440744992521,-99.381143502744635,3.7974683533912543,0.2535952381291946,0.2535952381291946,3.5438731152620599]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.bitre.gov.au/publications/2023/road-vehicles-australia-january-2023 (Last retrieved 01/03/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 20 million vehicles » 756 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .998). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 01/26/2024). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .980).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FAU!$I$32","v":20000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FAU!$I$33","v":0.75243913480820779},"c:",null,{"$f":"FAU!$I$34","v":4.384702644610218E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EAU!$C$32","v":97572232196.50415},"b:",{"$f":"EAU!$C$33","v":2.1553345716990614E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"EAU!$C$34","v":7.1323316645576793E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .965). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FAU!$N$32","v":19500},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FAU!$S$32","v":19500}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(AD1=\"NO\",EAU!$G$32,EAU!$G$32)","v":234428062.03854233},null,{"$f":"IF(AD1=\"NO\",EAU!$G$33,EAU!$G$33)","v":5.0252143652452217E-5},null,null,{"$f":"IF(AD1=\"NO\",EAU!$G$34,EAU!$G$34)","v":2.3716296545493856E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FAU!$N$33","v":74.460506752687195},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FAU!$S$33","v":210.7801589833974}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FAU!$N$34","v":0.12036429942441246},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FAU!$S$34","v":0.16371710885127427}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .952).",null,null,null,null,null," "]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(AD1=\"NO\",FAU!$X$32,FAU!$X$32)","v":5.2953218817491017},null,"b:",{"$f":"IF(AD1=\"NO\",FAU!$X$33,FAU!$X$33)","v":120.61790251626344},null,{"$f":"IF(AD1=\"NO\",FAU!$X$34,FAU!$X$34)","v":0.29761084512421293},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!G41","v":0.19141191912817862},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"IF($AD1=\"NO\",EAU!$K$32,EAU!$K$32)","v":42143.776612692163},"b:",{"$f":"IF($AD1=\"NO\",EAU!$K$33,EAU!$K$33)","v":1.2571405656217745},"c:",{"$f":"IF($AD1=\"NO\",EAU!$K$34,EAU!$K$34)","v":5.1934769376348465E-2},"c:"]
[null,"¹² Percentage in green fields reduce values in the respective column. Can be increased or decreases by changing numbers in EXCEL file CONTROL.xlsx."]
[]
[]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6.5,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":15.630604016858193},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FAU!$F$47:$F$64)","v":4.7522084104889811E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":21},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":4.7566896263701003E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":15}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.7344330899298509E-8},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.7344330899298509E-8}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.5698284126686873E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.5524840817693887E-6}]
[null,3,2.1899840631405677E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":2.0330012218736988E-5}]
[null,4,1.4207466639778202E-4,null,null,1.2017482576637634E-4]
[null,5,6.0580241587699344E-4,null,null,4.6372774947921143E-4]
[null,6,1.9802058096501877E-3,null,null,1.3744033937731943E-3]
[null,7,5.3842226891157429E-3,null,null,3.4040168794655552E-3]
[null,8,1.2777707409573732E-2,null,null,7.3934847204579889E-3]
[null,9,2.7273636365370706E-2,null,null,1.4495928955796974E-2]
[null,10,5.3370587828257918E-2,null,null,2.6096951462887211E-2]
[null,11,9.6887732280323713E-2,null,null,4.3517144452065795E-2]
[null,12,0.16423303849324444,null,null,6.734530621292073E-2]
[null,13,0.26055008252703354,null,null,9.6317044033789101E-2]
[null,14,0.386540399138664,null,null,0.12599031661163046]
[null,15,0.53473927024526446,null,null,0.14819887110660046]
[null,16,0.6877522555639537,null,null,0.15301298531868923]
[null,17,0.82202961492362248,null,null,0.13427735935966878]
[null,18,0.91814578737511776,null,null,9.6116172451495285E-2]
[null,19,0.97146921101293049,null,null,5.3323423637812728E-2]
[null,20,0.99301672459247114,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":2.1547513579540656E-2}]
[null,21,0.99890482153772109,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":5.8880969452499432E-3}]
[null,22,0.99990132668128839,null,null,9.9650514356730557E-4]
[null,23,0.99999551017900834,null,null,9.4183497719946274E-5]
[null,24,0.99999991129313226,null,null,4.4011141239197471E-6]
[null,25,0.99999999936174233,null,null,8.8068610071267983E-8]
[null,26,0.99999999999863554,null,null,6.368932048417264E-10]
[null,27,0.99999999999999933,null,null,1.3637979634495423E-12]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Austria",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C31","v":8958.9599999999991},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":674.60416713506061}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":1.1391858463662545},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":71.915830963559671},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":4980.7409486131655},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.82411408596911473},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":16.427562108918071},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-11735.713704262538}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":13606.790206649277},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11474},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11474}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":232.35058113487597},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":4980.7409486131655},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":4980.7409486131655}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":4931.5802317263078},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":1063.0108005831571},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":76},{"$f":"$K91","v":1063.0108005831571}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":122.60438914992967},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000000014},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000000014}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19821754122081647},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1511096984054861},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1511096984054861}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":110.81243000000001},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":14.304699359017082},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":14.304699359017082}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":21.964967411303842},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.1615788059222218},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.1615788059222218}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":118.87214750031481},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":16.427562108918071},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":16.427562108918071}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":8.3524947673263519},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":1.1391858463662545},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":1.1391858463662545}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.79351362845287987},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":71.915830963559671},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":71.915830963559671}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-11735.713704262538},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2132.7902066492788}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":104},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2063},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2035},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2063}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":8.3524947673263519},{"$f":"AA64","v":8.3524947673263519}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 5.2m to\n6.0m total Stock"},1.4230825379420047,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":9.7755773052683566}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 13,607 to\n11,474 yearly km"},-1.4945912411870417,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":8.2809860640813149}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 123 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-2.8608280457268345,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":5.4201580183544804}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.2m to\n5.0m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-2.6060921477397669},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.8140658706147135}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1982 to\n.1511 kWh/km EV"},-0.24588315101256475,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.5681827196021487}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 111 to 14\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.68691265317720407,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":1.8812700664249447}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 26.37%\nto 1.35% PHEV"},-0.74208422005869012,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":1.1391858463662545}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":1.1391858463662545}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.21]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.72,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$3","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C$3","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D$3","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E$3","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!$F$3","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!$G$3","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!$H$3","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!$I$3","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Austria"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Elec-tricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J37","v":203.387}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J38","v":229.0915}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J39","v":226.12568999999999}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J40","v":282.38745}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J41","v":259.33713}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FAT!$B46","v":307.91500000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H46","v":4156.7430000000004},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B42","v":13884},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":162.6067973338599},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":4156.7430000000004},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":57712.219812000003},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":9.3843992306570581},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J42","v":254.00029000000001},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":9.3843992306570581},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":162.6067973338599},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":9.3843992306570581},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":9.3843992306570581},{"$f":"AF46","v":9.3843992306570581}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FAT!$B47","v":308.59399999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H47","v":4204.9690000000001},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B43","v":13931},160.08533033548707,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":4204.9690000000001},null,58579.423138999999,9.3777063040690898,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J43","v":253.01398},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":9.3777063040690898},160.08533033548707,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-6.6929265879682731E-3},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-7.131971289226216E-2},9.3777063040690898,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":9.3777063040690898},9.3777063040690898]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FAT!$B48","v":298.18200000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H48","v":4245.5829999999996},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B44","v":14018},157.60176639775872,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":4245.5829999999996},null,59514.582493999995,9.3796033274795274,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J44","v":232.69138000000001},null,null,9.3796033274795274,157.60176639775869,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-4.7959031775306471E-3},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-5.1105063410594669E-2},9.3796033274795292,9.3796033274795274,9.3796033274795274]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FAT!$B49","v":293.697},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H49","v":4284.9189999999999},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B45","v":13528},155.1555737092468,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":4284.9189999999999},null,57966.384232000004,8.9938076013665977,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J45","v":220.41005999999999},null,null,8.9938076013665977,155.1555737092468,-0.39059162929046032,-4.1621378171388033,8.9938076013665977,8.9938076013665977,8.9938076013665977]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FAT!$B50","v":319.40300000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H50","v":4359.9440000000004},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B46","v":13229},152.74622669481789,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":4359.9440000000004},null,57677.699176000009,8.8100509135728089,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$J46","v":195.89186000000001},null,null,8.8100509135728089,152.74622669481792,-0.57434831708424916,-6.1202459845054529,8.8100509135728071,8.8100509135728089,8.8100509135728089]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FAT!$B51","v":328.56299999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H51","v":4441.027},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B47","v":13169},150.37320598410463,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":4440.8540000000003},null,58481.606326000008,8.7940666343409166,{"$f":"FAT!$L51*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.17299999999999999},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":5.2653524590413404E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0.17299999999999999},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":3.8954953437571983E-5},{"$f":"FAT!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":2.2782369999999998},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.19821754122081647},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0.45158653645828922},{"$f":"EAT!$J47","v":226.77676},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":44.951131773223203},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":1.024093315976327E-4},8.7941690436725146,150.36909927211246,-0.59023018698454344,-6.2894829224269682,8.7944092201425956,8.7941690436725146,8.7941690436725146,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":2.4017647008101051E-4}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FAT!$B52","v":356.14499999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H52","v":4513.4210000000003},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B48","v":13166},148.03599837848432,4512.5640000368012,null,59412.435179150438,8.7951791578425187,{"$f":"FAT!$L52*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.68400000000000005},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":1.9205660615760438E-3},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0.85699996319942262},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":1.8987813527686039E-4},{"$f":"FAT!$W52","v":2.3337222870478415E-3},11.26570684957075,0.19821754122081647,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":2.2330607118364245},{"$f":"EAT!$J48","v":238.58519999999999},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":47.291771715676738},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":5.3277523654563571E-4},8.7957119330790636,148.01689901396398,-0.58868729757799443,-6.2730419189207591,8.796846888003433,8.7957119330790636,8.7957119330790636,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":1.1349549243693247E-3}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FAT!$B53","v":336.01},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H53","v":4584.2020000000002},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B49","v":12949},145.7340968166443,4582.0500024639214,null,59334.640217321175,8.6470802020118409,{"$f":"FAT!$L53*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":1.2949999999999999},null,3.8540519627392042E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":2.151997536078853},null,4.6943776388537261E-4,{"$f":"FAT!$W53","v":9.0148698884758363E-2},26.191480678833486,0.19821754122081647,5.1916109010908951,{"$f":"EAT!$J49","v":185.87035},36.842763762852584,9.6496653524958005E-4,8.6480451685470907,145.68605124241313,-0.73635406210996734,-7.8465764724121909,8.6508971937928596,8.6480451685470907,8.6480451685470907,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":2.8520252457688855E-3}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FAT!$B54","v":319.03500000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H54","v":4641.308},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B50","v":12944},143.46700033881123,4638.3220339122672,null,60040.804817440599,8.6138741650862496,{"$f":"FAT!$L54*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.83399999999999996},null,2.6141332455686677E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":2.9859660877326464},null,6.4334581711290146E-4,{"$f":"FAT!$W54","v":9.1761553918285332E-2},36.285934559402953,0.19821754122081647,7.1925087292643042,{"$f":"EAT!$J50","v":173.35397},34.361797694267182,1.2468499424776224E-3,8.615121015028727,143.40110193737908,-0.7692782156283311,-8.1974156972696193,8.6190799992719764,8.615121015028727,8.615121015028727,3.9589842432494748E-3]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FAT!$B55","v":303.31799999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H55","v":4694.9210000000003},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B51","v":13128},{"$f":"EAT!$F51","v":143},4690.2852381257635,null,61578.29160498624,8.8056956995130324,{"$f":"FAT!$L55*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":1.65},null,5.4398354202520125E-3,4.6357618742365725,null,9.8739933520427116E-4,{"$f":"FAT!$W55","v":0.10418464193270059},56.631283013760552,0.19821754122081647,11.225313675167806,{"$f":"EAT!$J51","v":150.4468},29.82119478053993,1.6888125214252359E-3,8.8073845120344583,142.89600926472824,-0.57701471862259979,-6.1486591143480105,8.8137939729840014,8.8073845120344583,8.8073845120344583,6.4094609495430888E-3]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FAT!$B56","v":308.55500000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H56","v":4748.0479999999998},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B52","v":13319},{"$f":"EAT!$F52","v":138},4740.6181077355341,null,63153.316617152821,8.7151576931670878,{"$f":"FAT!$L56*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":2.7949999999999999},null,9.0583526437750146E-3,7.429892264465531,null,1.5648309082944257E-3,{"$f":"FAT!$W56","v":0.19741622930964878},85.934694847180339,0.19821754122081647,17.033763918169253,{"$f":"EAT!$J52","v":172.06215},34.105736310167309,2.9308660423526256E-3,8.7180885592094413,137.85881993127163,-0.6663106714476168,-7.1001952823032708,8.7270166810559999,8.7180885592094413,8.7180885592094413,8.9281218465586676E-3]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FAT!$B57","v":329.60399999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H57","v":4821.5569999999998},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B53","v":13496},{"$f":"EAT!$F53","v":135},4808.9348760965631,null,64925.211706942137,8.7649035804371884,{"$f":"FAT!$L57*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":5.1950000000000003},null,1.5761337847841655E-2,12.622123903436355,null,2.6178522629591136E-3,{"$f":"FAT!$W57","v":0.20980516394741008},146.52156505785194,0.19821754122081647,29.04314436159331,{"$f":"EAT!$J53","v":154.61690999999999},30.647783731360271,4.4905612378734793E-3,8.7693941416750611,134.76503084709566,-0.61500508898199691,-6.5534838604573808,8.7846839917199997,8.7693941416750611,8.7693941416750611,1.5289850044938547E-2]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FAT!$B58","v":353.32},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H58","v":4898.5780000000004},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B54","v":13537},{"$f":"EAT!$F54","v":136},4878.451090821708,null,66079.90143972302,8.986866595802331,{"$f":"FAT!$L58*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":7.5119999999999996},null,2.1261179667157251E-2,20.126909178292024,null,4.1087248540886811E-3,{"$f":"FAT!$W58","v":0.2219187605521899},232.14894627698297,0.19821754122081647,46.01599332802698,{"$f":"EAT!$J54","v":162.91550000000001},32.292709836759926,7.4967185610321794E-3,8.9943633143633637,135.63693570033661,-0.39003591629369438,-4.1562161488134564,9.0184388524960006,8.9943633143633637,8.9943633143633637,2.4075538132636964E-2]
[18,2018,{"$f":"FAT!$B59","v":341.06799999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H59","v":4978.852578},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B55","v":13733},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B59-2000))-$R$150*($B59-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B59-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B59-2000))-$R$150*($B59-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B59-$B$64)),0)","v":132.63648296187199},4949.3700164126785,null,68030.058305193583,9.0232676692919682,{"$f":"FAT!$L59*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":9.3719999999999999},null,2.7478391405819369E-2,29.482561587321154,null,5.9215574523325751E-3,{"$f":"FAT!$W59","v":0.22361911216536767},344.52414848039791,0.19821754122081647,68.290729602979965,{"$f":"EAT!$J55","v":157.87845999999999},31.294280152929023,1.0781635221994887E-2,9.0340493045139638,132.12584238645738,-0.35034992614309424,-3.733322906793727,9.0689641406418442,9.0340493045139638,9.0340493045139638,3.4914836127880378E-2]
[19,2019,{"$f":"FAT!$B60","v":320.38099999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H60","v":5039.5479999999998},null,{"$f":"EAT!$B56","v":13699},130.56803370876565,4997.5948651548542,null,68547.455578584195,8.9501064906346972,{"$f":"FAT!$L60*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":12.504},null,3.9028531654498863E-2,41.953134845145868,null,8.3247812790246019E-3,{"$f":"FAT!$W60","v":0.22290188984624171},489.31247341580519,0.19821754122081647,96.990315369157031,{"$f":"EAT!$J56","v":152.77974},30.283624411155625,1.4818155164617815E-2,8.9649246457993144,129.85724706936944,-0.41947458485774369,-4.4699141047558966,9.0139950581577715,8.9649246457993144,8.9649246457993144,4.9070412358457105E-2]
[20,2020,{"$f":"FAT!$B61","v":257.721},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H61","v":5091.8270000000002},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B61-2000))-AH$147*(B61-2000))","v":13683.286786581564},128.53105041223617,5025.5058500602063,null,68921.382347114966,8.8585376689380375,{"$f":"FAT!$L61*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":24.431000000000001},null,9.4796310739132625E-2,66.321149939794324,null,1.3025020280499381E-2,{"$f":"FAT!$W61","v":0.25776205884566178},751.54676154428273,0.19821754122081647,148.96975118577498,{"$f":"EAT!$J57","v":133.40092000000001},26.442402358994844,1.9872701860353476E-2,8.8784103707983917,127.42984232731139,-0.50598885985866637,-5.3918087607110365,8.9551347636332395,8.8784103707983917,8.8784103707983917,7.6724392834847777E-2]
[21,2021,{"$f":"FAT!$B62","v":239.803},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H62","v":5133.8360000000002},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B62-2000))-AH$147*(B62-2000))","v":13662.600169093406},126.52507950014098,5017.4173337879247,null,68839.750397188429,8.7099548917741281,{"$f":"FAT!$L62*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":50.207999999999998},null,0.20937185940125852,116.41866621207541,null,2.267674039686414E-2,{"$f":"FAT!$W62","v":0.27233761669224105},1301.7982045093993,0.19821754122081647,258.03923926352672,{"$f":"EAT!$J58","v":136.02279999999999},26.962104965970873,3.5099219834494842E-2,8.7450541116086224,124.67723176840356,-0.63934511904843561,-6.8128508105219563,8.8746650130928195,8.7450541116086224,8.7450541116086224,0.12961090148419707]
[22,2022,{"$f":"FAT!$B63","v":215.05},null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$H63","v":5150.8900000000003},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B63-2000))-AH$147*(B63-2000))","v":13637.060368209672},124.54967313127497,4985.5538018150801,null,68396.755497734339,8.5187935404825463,{"$f":"FAT!$L63*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":49.098999999999997},null,0.22831434550104623,165.33619818491982,null,3.2098569021066226E-2,{"$f":"FAT!$W63","v":0.271737294270959},1846.2423822731744,0.19821754122081647,365.95762551185135,{"$f":"EAT!$J59","v":141.78989000000001},{"$f":"V63*X63","v":28.105243365770036},5.1889091465986602E-2,8.5706826319485323,122.01476147970487,-0.81371659870852575,-8.6709503582314298,8.7487424257157791,8.5706826319485323,8.5706826319485323,0.17805979376724679]
[23,2023,{"$f":"FAT!$B64","v":239.15},null,null,{"$f":"a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*(B64-2000)))","v":5163.9308128611838},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B64-2000))-AH$147*(B64-2000))","v":13606.790206649277},122.60438914992967,{"$f":"IF(AND(F64<>\"\",Q64<>\"\",F64-Q64>0),F64-Q64,)","v":4931.5802317263078},null,{"$f":"IF(J64<>\"\",(J64+Q64*T64*2/3)*H64/1000,0)","v":67658.743335018735},{"$f":"IF(L64<>\"\",I64*L64/1000000,0)","v":8.2952588972418475},{"$f":"FAT!$L64*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":67.296000000000006},null,{"$f":"N64/C64","v":0.28139661300439056},{"$f":"N64+N63*(1-F$165)+N62*(1-F$166)+N61*(1-F$167)+N60*(1-F$168)+N59*(1-F$169)+N58*(1-F$170)+N57*(1-F$171)+N56*(1-F$172)+N55*(1-F$173)+N54*(1-F$174)+N53*(1-F$175)+N52*(1-F$176)+N51*(1-F$177)","v":232.35058113487597},null,{"$f":"Q64/F64","v":4.4994905926351338E-2},{"$f":"FAT!$W64","v":0.26368387628299744},{"$f":"Q64*(1-2/3*T64)*H64/1000","v":2605.779877235263},0.19821754122081647,{"$f":"V64*U64","v":516.5112802282548},{"$f":"EAT!$J60","v":110.81243000000001},21.964967411303842,5.723587008450387E-2,8.3524947673263519,{"$f":"IF(L64<>0,(M64+Z64)/(L64+U64)*1000000,(M64+Z64)/(0.00000000001+U64)*1000000)","v":118.87214750031481},-1.0319044633307062,-10.995956565441817,{"$f":"F64*H64*I64/1000000000","v":8.6147389473494567},8.3524947673263519,8.3524947673263519,0.26224418002310479]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.statistik.at/statistiken/tourismus-und-verkehr/fahrzeuge/kfz-bestand (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 6.8 million vehicles » 759 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .954). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .308).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FAT!$I$32","v":6800},"b:",null,{"$f":"FAT!$I$33","v":0.56666148254727999},"c:",null,{"$f":"FAT!$I$34","v":3.1398905619247554E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EAT!$C$32","v":1884038.2069478412},"b:",{"$f":"EAT!$C$33","v":1.3855870267484147},"c:",null,{"$f":"EAT!$C$34","v":1.9789042443067291E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .764). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FAT!$N$32","v":6700},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FAT!$S$32","v":6500}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$G$32","v":349754.00692922389},null,{"$f":"EAT!$G$33","v":3.2236683882056326E-2},null,null,{"$f":"EAT!$G$34","v":1.6103130175819092E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FAT!$N$33","v":27.35491000920404},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FAT!$S$33","v":98.230673661843099}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FAT!$N$34","v":9.0490135799517549E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FAT!$S$34","v":0.1441647074875258}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .848)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FAT!$X$32","v":5.272506584555801},null,"b:",{"$f":"FAT!$X$33","v":19.397505753792746},"c:",{"$f":"FAT!$X$34","v":0.13886526571135044},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!G42","v":0.19821754122081647},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EAT!$K$32","v":7974.6476499826385},"b:",{"$f":"EAT!$K$33","v":1.3788968379584017},"c:",{"$f":"EAT!$K$34","v":8.2567271231583958E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":12.942909184739662},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FAT!$F$47:$F$64)","v":5.5985892449204787E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":18},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.5515508533735068E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":12}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.1272010090638598E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.1272010090638598E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.3613995234729625E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.3401275133823238E-5}]
[null,3,1.5506094686280314E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.414469516280735E-4}]
[null,4,8.7092215294235257E-4,null,null,7.158612060795494E-4]
[null,5,3.3182343814106281E-3,null,null,2.4473122284682756E-3]
[null,6,9.8755830703647022E-3,null,null,6.5573486889540736E-3]
[null,7,2.4715747855841821E-2,null,null,1.4840164785477119E-2]
[null,8,5.4237032348867002E-2,null,null,2.9521284493025182E-2]
[null,9,0.10689238439425273,null,null,5.2655352045385732E-2]
[null,10,0.19161764724295072,null,null,8.4725262848697983E-2]
[null,11,0.31397874979667501,null,null,0.12236110255372429]
[null,12,0.47015930089531716,null,null,0.15618055109864215]
[null,13,0.64183424851044668,null,null,0.17167494761512953]
[null,14,0.79844315497054774,null,null,0.15660890646010106]
[null,15,0.91134609139179856,null,null,0.11290293642125082]
[null,16,0.9718117896184747,null,null,6.0465698226676134E-2]
[null,17,0.99411027905043903,null,null,2.229848943196433E-2]
[null,18,0.99927915360723119,null,null,5.1688745567921579E-3]
[null,19,0.99995494405499219,null,null,6.7579044776100439E-4]
[null,20,0.99999877685837424,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":4.3832803382048979E-5}]
[null,21,0.99999998806964507,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":1.2112112708351219E-6}]
[null,22,0.99999999996645683,null,null,1.1896811757949877E-8]
[null,23,0.99999999999997891,null,null,3.3522074005531977E-11]
[null,24,1,null,null,2.1094237467877974E-14]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Belgium",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C32","v":11686.14},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":623.49133543691414}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.66090521088616072},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":133.64882464630668},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":7286.2070634896263},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":1.0000000039508741},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":7.6869783810987702},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-14161.601475203106}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":15145.31455292632},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11799.999999902955},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11799.999999902955}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":478.41277344251239},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":7286.2070634896263},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":7286.2070634896263}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":5552.0672265574867},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":71},{"$f":"$K91","v":0}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":119.50258990529734},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":81.35876303567747},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":81.35876303567747}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.20760626605426069},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15826712437927201},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15826712437927201}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":138.10679999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":47.044027303163197},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":47.044027303163197}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":28.671837064702569},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":7.445522920491598},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":7.445522920491598}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":115.11030691080857},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":7.6869783810987702},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":7.6869783810987702}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":10.513429116149041},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.66090521088616072},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.66090521088616072}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":1.0323358212374085},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":133.64882464630668},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":133.64882464630668}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-14161.601475203106},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-3345.3145530233633}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":108},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2067},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2030},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2067}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":10.513429116149041},{"$f":"AA64","v":10.513429116149041}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($G$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 0.0m to\n7.3m total Stock"},2.1892116661657592,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":12.7026407823148}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 15,145 to\n11,800 yearly km"},-2.740690951926009,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":9.9619498303887912}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 120 to 81\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-3.1482461642102271,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":6.8137036661785642}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.5m to\n7.3m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-2.5798699077442899},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":4.2338337584342742}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2076 to\n.1583 kWh/km EV"},-0.357105619131588,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":3.8767281393026862}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 138 to 47\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.75530370065341357,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":3.1214244386492727}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 58.57%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-2.4605192553994844,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.66090518324978842}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":0.66090518324978831}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.98]
[]
[]
[]
[0,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$4","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C4","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D4","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E4","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F4","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G4","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H4","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I4","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Belgium"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,269.59778]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,252.82971000000001]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,249.81467000000001]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,249.13245000000001]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,247.61788999999999]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FBE!$B46","v":480.08800000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H46","v":4861},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B42","v":18282.657889323182},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":154.26251686896993},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":4861},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":88871.999999999985},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":13.709618399179094},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,241.05238,null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":13.709618399179094},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":154.26251686896995},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":13.709618399179092},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":13.709618399179094},{"$f":"AF46","v":13.709618399179094}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FBE!$B47","v":526.14099999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H47","v":4929},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B43","v":18176.709271657535},152.09374891443878,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":4929},null,89592.999999999985,13.626535246491311,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,231.58148,null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":13.626535246491311},152.09374891443878,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-8.3083152687782658E-2},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-0.60602089911384782},13.62653524649131,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":13.626535246491311},13.626535246491311]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FBE!$B48","v":524.79499999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H48","v":5006},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B44","v":18291.450259688376},149.95498447750899,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":5006},null,91567.000000000015,13.730928063652069,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,224.28290000000001,null,null,13.730928063652069,149.95498447750902,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":2.1309664472974887E-2},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":0.15543586883680779},13.730928063652067,13.730928063652069,13.730928063652069]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FBE!$B49","v":535.947},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H49","v":5087},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B45","v":17974.051503833303},147.84582229941776,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":5087},null,91434.000000000015,13.518134916124966,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,218.27592000000001,null,null,13.518134916124966,147.84582229941776,-0.1914834830541281,-1.3967090656994054,13.518134916124966,13.518134916124966,13.518134916124966]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FBE!$B50","v":476.19400000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H50","v":5160},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B46","v":17779.457364341084},145.76586609213831,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":5160},null,91742,13.372852087024953,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,216.91174000000001,null,null,13.372852087024953,145.76586609213831,-0.33676631215414154,-2.4564236753249564,13.372852087024953,13.372852087024953,13.372852087024953]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FBE!$B51","v":547.34},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H51","v":5279},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B47","v":16810.210267096038},143.7147244883916,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":5278.9650000000001},null,{"$f":"IF(J51<>\"\",(J51+Q51*T51*2/3)*H51/1000,0)","v":88740.511642640631},12.753318181681005,{"$f":"FBE!$L51*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":3.5000000000000003E-2},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":6.3945627946066427E-5},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":3.5000000000000003E-2},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":6.6300435688577391E-6},{"$f":"FBE!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0.58835735934836131},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.20760626605426069},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0.12214667447985816},212.88031000000001,{"$f":"V51*X51","v":44.195286275573494},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":2.6002621928741294E-5},12.753344184302934,143.71406467018031,-0.95627421487616004,-6.975206654427522,12.753402737296804,12.753344184302934,12.753344184302934,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":5.8552993870364389E-5}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FBE!$B52","v":572.21100000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H52","v":5359},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B48","v":16672.513528643402},141.69201099179924,{"$f":"IF(AND(F52<>\"\",Q52<>\"\"),F52-Q52,\"\")","v":5358.660000077316},null,89342.509186793177,12.659119793730023,{"$f":"FBE!$L52*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":0.30499999999999999},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":5.3302016214298571E-4},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0.3399999226843472},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":6.3444658086274898E-5},{"$f":"FBE!$W52","v":4.7058823529411771E-2},5.4908132068276272,0.20760626605426069,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":1.1399272274709047},192.98442,{"$f":"V52*X52","v":40.064774842847186},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":2.1998819483568061E-4},12.659339781924858,141.68576556749855,-1.0502786172542358,-7.6608887765769209,12.659897798095276,12.659339781924858,12.659339781924858,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":5.5801617041773E-4}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FBE!$B53","v":486.73700000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H53","v":5393},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B49","v":16620.100129797887},139.69734392719153,5391.2360055442923,null,89605.973564425716,12.517716506960411,{"$f":"FBE!$L53*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":1.4239999999999999},null,2.9256045872822485E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":1.7639944557074845},null,3.2708964504125432E-4,{"$f":"FBE!$W53","v":0.15816326530612249},26.226435574272607,0.20760626605426069,5.4447723614873658,202.67453,42.076502397602241,1.1035166793214419E-3,12.518820023639734,139.66878001030585,-1.1907983755393605,-8.6858608377506936,12.521380270350816,12.518820023639734,12.518820023639734,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":2.56024671108257E-3}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FBE!$B54","v":486.065},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H54","v":5439.2950000000001},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B50","v":15640.078355742795},137.73034639108252,5436.8580969588929,null,85036.421162569663,11.7120957425787,{"$f":"FBE!$L54*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":0.67300000000000004},null,1.3845884809644802E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":2.4369030411073176},null,4.4801817903006134E-4,{"$f":"FBE!$W54","v":0.1391054575297497},34.578837430355719,0.20760626605426069,7.1787833234134579,184.2587,38.253260695012209,1.3227532827538434E-3,11.713418495861454,137.68991190724751,-1.9961999033176401,-14.560579625156953,11.716858297835781,11.713418495861454,11.713418495861454,3.4398019743271391E-3]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FBE!$B55","v":482.93900000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H55","v":5511.08},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B51","v":15747.548574870987},{"$f":"EBE!$F51","v":137},5506.5399062396782,null,86724.906457115198,11.881312184624782,{"$f":"FBE!$L55*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":2.1040000000000001},null,4.3566578801877672E-3,4.5400937603217457,null,8.2381198609378663E-4,{"$f":"FBE!$W55","v":0.21823386919180798},61.093542884797834,0.20760626605426069,12.683402318338725,189.88765000000001,39.421865986318338,2.4084214602338927E-3,11.883720606085017,136.93130926745116,-1.825897793094077,-13.318370649932957,11.889682000000001,11.883720606085017,11.883720606085017,5.9613939149834039E-3]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FBE!$B56","v":501.06599999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H56","v":5587.415},null,{"$f":"EBE!$B52","v":15314.416416178145},{"$f":"EBE!$F52","v":134},5579.0003169843312,null,85471.386241289496,11.453165756332792,{"$f":"FBE!$L56*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":3.879},null,7.7414951323777712E-3,8.4146830156684285,null,1.5060064476450073E-3,{"$f":"FBE!$W56","v":0.37541567695961997},96.613758710511576,0.20760626605426069,20.057621695356612,215.40259,44.718927408316837,4.3204636624200061E-3,11.457486219995213,133.89919385746086,-2.2521321791838815,-16.427387791615956,11.466112000000001,11.457486219995213,11.457486219995213,8.6257800047881972E-3]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FBE!$B57","v":539.51900000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H57","v":5670},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B57-2000))-AH$147*(B57-2000))","v":16157.747687321988},{"$f":"EBE!$F53","v":132},5652.0036649000185,null,91434.304223060521,12.069328157443989,{"$f":"FBE!$L57*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":9.5980000000000008},null,1.7789920280842753E-2,17.996335099981476,null,3.1739568077568739E-3,{"$f":"FBE!$W57","v":0.57081807081807079},180.1251640551566,0.20760626605426069,37.395112731902195,158.7998,32.967833528163389,5.9383364228035229E-3,12.075266493866792,131.80529065834048,-1.6343519053123021,-11.921206394848772,12.093104679099268,12.075266493866792,12.075266493866792,1.7838185232475823E-2]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FBE!$B58","v":546.55799999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H58","v":5735.28},null,16009.072882733413,{"$f":"EBE!$F54","v":133},5702.4462175673061,null,91524.508381454274,12.172759614733419,{"$f":"FBE!$L58*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":14.884},null,2.7232242506742194E-2,32.833782432694001,null,5.7248787212993962E-3,{"$f":"FBE!$W58","v":0.66670719105221565},292.00714142900893,0.20760626605426069,60.622512293254957,159.83126999999999,33.181973163410376,9.6893731304215514E-3,12.182448987863841,132.68254538397971,-1.5271694113152527,-11.139401308257396,12.211596564543477,12.182448987863841,12.182448987863841,2.9147576679635634E-2]
[18,2018,{"$f":"FBE!$B59","v":549.63199999999995},null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$H59","v":5782.6840000000002},null,15861.766027952037,{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B59-2000))-$R$150*($B59-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B59-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B59-2000))-$R$150*($B59-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B59-$B$64)),0)","v":128.29753783281657},5736.1058496942178,null,91315.292705197804,11.715527220559835,{"$f":"FBE!$L59*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":13.853999999999999},null,2.5205955985095483E-2,46.578150305782707,null,8.0547632043844533E-3,{"$f":"FBE!$W59","v":0.67105825990247236},408.28791638399713,0.20760626605426069,84.763129795555855,187.33082999999999,38.891054133145481,1.587874745799921E-2,11.731405968017834,127.89956397818089,-1.9782124311612606,-14.429376322244769,11.767909554958791,11.731405968017834,11.731405968017834,3.6503586940957788E-2]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://statbel.fgov.be/en/themes/mobility/traffic/vehicle-stock#figures (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 8.7 million vehicles » 744 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .993). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2016 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .935).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FBE!$I$32","v":8700},"b:",null,{"$f":"FBE!$I$33","v":0.65867866577456169},"c:",null,{"$f":"FBE!$I$34","v":2.6243350173000498E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EBE!$C$32","v":31357357867.555698},"b:",{"$f":"EBE!$C$33","v":6.4627439738613839E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"EBE!$C$34","v":9.2445638309908741E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .706). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FBE!$N$32","v":8350},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FBE!$S$32","v":8350}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBE!$G$32","v":684306.03221726662},null,{"$f":"EBE!$G$33","v":1.7108824960133544E-2},null,null,{"$f":"EBE!$G$34","v":1.4386113565264161E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FBE!$N$33","v":75.328717267406091},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FBE!$S$33","v":75.330856618750673}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FBE!$N$34","v":0.14224845438096051},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FBE!$S$34","v":0.14224963768588667}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .924)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FBE!$X$32","v":9.6194126526462647},null,"b:",{"$f":"FBE!$X$33","v":46.102881587220104},"c:",{"$f":"FBE!$X$34","v":0.19557462137960938},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!G43","v":0.20760626605426069},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EBE!$K$32","v":16846.295783364443},"b:",{"$f":"EBE!$K$33","v":0.64673646797687856},"c:",{"$f":"EBE!$K$34","v":4.6041181418065104E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":8.7626074455483582},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FBE!$F$47:$F$64)","v":8.2694600448498495E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":12},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":8.3219526533419116E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":8}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.2090186516773684E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.2090186516773684E-6}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.4136735655343149E-4},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.3915833790175411E-4}]
[null,3,1.6090804154680132E-3,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.4677130589145818E-3}]
[null,4,9.0073390600659536E-3,null,null,7.3982586445979406E-3]
[null,5,3.3927073700745547E-2,null,null,2.4919734640679592E-2]
[null,6,9.7930840222611185E-2,null,null,6.4003766521865638E-2]
[null,7,0.22886291710832321,null,null,0.13093207688571201]
[null,8,0.43958720060213474,null,null,0.21072428349381153]
[null,9,0.69086103489486528,null,null,0.25127383429273054]
[null,10,0.89019191201595349,null,null,0.19933087712108821]
[null,11,0.98002783278664718,null,null,8.9835920770693689E-2]
[null,12,0.99863431840102934,null,null,1.8606485614382162E-2]
[null,13,0.99997659411065709,null,null,1.3422757096277493E-3]
[null,14,0.99999994023847838,null,null,2.3346127821288754E-5]
[null,15,0.99999999998819067,null,null,5.9749712288947876E-8]
[null,16,0.99999999999999989,null,null,1.1809220268332865E-11]
[null,17,1,null,null,0]
[null,18,1,null,null,0]
[null,19,1,null,null,0]
[null,20,1,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":0}]
[null,21,1,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":0}]
[null,22,1,null,null,0]
[null,23,1,null,null,0]
[null,24,1,null,null,0]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Brazil",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C33","v":216422.446},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":246.53215190199023}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":6.2387853127175861},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":974.26124338412023},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":49844.854533434365},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.93420989991418657},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":7.4271889166609553},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-17177.559997698936}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":18144.997467520032},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":15743.442514766379},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":15743.442514766379}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":73.337387052778283},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":49844.854533434365},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":49844.854533434365}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":39774.062257088161},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":3510.2367988379119},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":73},{"$f":"$K91","v":3510.2367988379119}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":162.11147733160823},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000314429},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000314429}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.21237134718536108},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.16189974926283926},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.16189974926283926}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":98.348240000000004},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":14.301070721160704},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":14.301070721160704}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":20.886348222109216},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.3153397639460498},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.3153397639460498}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":161.95168122267785},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":7.4271889166609553},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":7.4271889166609553}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":117.09608045986643},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":6.2387853127175861},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":6.2387853127175861}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.18225236134108513},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":974.26124338412023},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":974.26124338412023}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-17177.559997698936},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2401.5549527536514}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":95},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2054},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2032},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2054}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":117.09608045986643},{"$f":"AA64","v":117.09608045986643}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 39.8m to\n53.4m total Stock"},39.693876309769806,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":156.78995676963623}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 18,145 to\n15,743 yearly km"},-20.717726595417787,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":136.07223017421845}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 162 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-68.914765713861655,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":67.157464460356792}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.1m to\n49.8m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-28.477190699917408},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":38.680273760439384}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2124 to\n.1619 kWh/km EV"},-2.3947625355850732,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":36.285511224854311}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 98 to 14\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-6.5647482388519549,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":29.720762986002356}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 57.78%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-23.481977673284767,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":6.238785312717587}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":6.2387853127175887}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.5625]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.36499999999999999,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$5","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C5","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D5","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E5","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F5","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G5","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H5","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I5","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Brazil"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J37","v":89.444879999999998}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J38","v":105.73734}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J39","v":97.304180000000002}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J40","v":90.672079999999994}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J41","v":101.783264}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FBR!$B46","v":1439.8219999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H46","v":18925.913525},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B42","v":20000},{"$f":"EBR!$F42","v":197},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":18925.913525},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":378518.27049999998},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":74.568099288499994},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J42","v":98.891013999999998},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":74.568099288499994},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":197},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":74.568099288499994},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":74.568099288499994},{"$f":"AF46","v":74.568099288499994}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FBR!$B47","v":1632.9469999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H47","v":19892.111395},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B43","v":19900},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":200.38369468284895},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":19892.111395},null,395853.01676050003,79.322490049820715,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J43","v":95.95899},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":79.322490049820715},200.38369468284893,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":4.754390761320721},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":6.3759044506770071},79.322490049820729,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":79.322490049820715},79.322490049820715]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FBR!$B48","v":2085.7179999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H48","v":21296.756029999997},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B44","v":19700},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":199.51641890130512},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":21296.756029999997},null,419546.09379099996,83.706334197211405,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J44","v":90.913179999999997},null,null,83.706334197211405,199.51641890130514,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":9.1382349087114108},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":12.254885126354191},83.70633419721139,83.706334197211405,83.706334197211405]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FBR!$B49","v":2341.3000000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H49","v":22917.139660000001},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B45","v":19601.5},{"$f":"EBR!$F45","v":198},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":22917.139660000001},null,449210.31304549001,88.943641983007026,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J45","v":113.62752999999999},null,null,88.943641983007026,198.00000000000003,14.375542694507033,19.278408369896656,88.943641983007012,88.943641983007026,88.943641983007026]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FBR!$B50","v":2643.8620000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H50","v":24780},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B46","v":19503.4925},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64)),0)","v":197.08357374264119},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":24780},null,483296.54415000003,95.249810098550171,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$J46","v":87.371560000000002},null,null,95.249810098550171,197.08357374264116,20.681710810050177,27.735333215392473,95.249810098550171,95.249810098550171,95.249810098550171]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FBR!$B51","v":2856.54},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H51","v":26507.928},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B47","v":19405.9750375},{"$f":"EBR!$F47","v":203},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":26507.928},null,514412.1890638473,104.42567437996099,{"$f":"FBR!$L51*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":0},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.21237134718536108},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0},{"$f":"EBR!$J47","v":114.15278000000001},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":24.242779673554143},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":0},104.42567437996099,202.99999999999997,29.857575091461001,40.040681439315811,104.42567437996099,104.42567437996099,104.42567437996099,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":0}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FBR!$B52","v":2901.6469999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H52","v":28629.420999999998},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B48","v":19308.945162312499},{"$f":"EBR!$F48","v":199},28629.395999999997,null,552803.43739412876,110.00788404143162,{"$f":"FBR!$L52*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":2.5000000000000001E-2},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":8.6157964769663588E-6},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":2.5000000000000001E-2},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":8.7322757941908792E-7},null,0.48272362905781252,0.21237134718536108,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":0.10251666742121415},{"$f":"EBR!$J48","v":99.763040000000004},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":21.186811204107066},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":1.0227374392609285E-5},110.00789426880601,198.99984472861954,35.439794980306019,47.526751142189298,110.00798010343381,110.00789426880601,110.00789426880601,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":8.5834627796543828E-5}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FBR!$B53","v":3115.223},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H53","v":30898.766},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B49","v":19212.400436500935},{"$f":"EBR!$F49","v":189},30898.716000359578,null,593638.50477262679,112.19767740202646,{"$f":"FBR!$L53*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":2.5000000000000001E-2},null,8.0251076728696474E-6,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":4.9999640420197403E-2},null,1.618175962761665E-6,null,0.96061311343389033,0.21237134718536108,0.20400670102387936,{"$f":"EBR!$J49","v":128.34389999999999},27.256566946023263,2.6183015635538667E-5,112.19770358504209,188.99973827066447,37.629604296542098,50.463408153874447,112.19785895790491,112.19770358504209,112.19770358504209,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":1.5537286282096829E-4}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FBR!$B54","v":3040.7829999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H54","v":32992.248},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B50","v":19116.33843431843},{"$f":"EBR!$F50","v":191},32992.198005367456,null,630690.02276264981,120.46179434766611,{"$f":"FBR!$L54*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":0},null,0,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":4.9994632540567421E-2},null,1.5153448331428468E-6,null,0.95571431554487585,0.21237134718536108,0.20296633671660055,{"$f":"EBR!$J50","v":167.8433},35.645107737036717,3.4066539743425405E-5,120.46182841420585,190.99976458376671,45.89372912570586,61.546062677748395,120.46197688910037,120.46182841420585,120.46182841420585,1.4847489451597085E-4]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FBR!$B55","v":2794.6869999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H55","v":34712.947999999997},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B51","v":19020.756742146837},{"$f":"EBR!$F51","v":186},34712.834025722645,null,660264.37183378811,122.80917316108459,{"$f":"FBR!$L55*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":6.4000000000000001E-2},null,2.2900596739455976E-5,0.11397427735339632,null,3.2833361589858727E-6,null,2.1678770044009266,0.21237134718536108,0.4603949599567897,{"$f":"EBR!$J51","v":192.93879999999999},40.974672880326942,8.8828051100111051E-5,122.80926198913569,185.99952383309952,48.241162700635698,64.694102653727597,122.80957638620741,122.80926198913569,122.80926198913569,3.143970717189859E-4]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FBR!$B56","v":2123.009},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H56","v":35621.014000000003},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B52","v":18925.652958436101},{"$f":"EBR!$F52","v":184},35620.900075561636,null,674148.79289720987,124.04337789308661,{"$f":"FBR!$L56*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":0},null,0,0.11392443836573599,null,3.1982368150927984E-6,null,2.1560943839946627,0.21237134718536108,0.45789266898773773,{"$f":"EBR!$J52","v":188.6377},40.061242478947989,8.6375819924708165E-5,124.04346426890653,183.99953964976658,49.475364980406539,66.349237076553337,124.04377461445326,124.04346426890653,124.04346426890653,3.1034554672260128E-4]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FBR!$B57","v":1676.722},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H57","v":35996.610999999997},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B53","v":18831.024693643922},{"$f":"EBR!$F53","v":179},35996.449177336945,null,677850.27414740901,121.33519907238622,{"$f":"FBR!$L57*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":4.8000000000000001E-2},null,2.8627285858955748E-5,0.16182266305146997,null,4.4954971747609792E-6,{"$f":"FBR!$W57","v":0.12345679012345678},2.7964810854020561,0.21237134718536108,0.59389245548521541,{"$f":"EBR!$J53","v":149.64843999999999},31.781040806987676,8.887507949113193E-5,121.3352879474657,178.99939264856553,46.767188658965708,62.717420861199578,121.33569964250049,121.3352879474657,121.3352879474657,4.1169503478499792E-4]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FBR!$B58","v":1856.45},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H58","v":36430.822999999997},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B54","v":18736.869570175702},{"$f":"EBR!$F54","v":179},36430.585360264493,null,682595.37570719165,122.1845722515873,{"$f":"FBR!$L58*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":7.5999999999999998E-2},null,4.0938350076759404E-5,0.23763973550474254,null,6.5230405446712683E-6,{"$f":"FBR!$W58","v":8.4033613445378158E-2},4.203177965322773,0.21237134718536108,0.8926345669554222,{"$f":"EBR!$J54","v":155.87456},33.103290299125398,1.3913902036496697E-4,122.18471139060766,178.99910162582219,47.616612102107666,63.856545300801535,122.1853246204431,122.18471139060766,122.18471139060766,6.1322983543732335E-4]
[18,2018,{"$f":"FBR!$B59","v":2101.884},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H59","v":37098.281999999999},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B55","v":18643.185222324824},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B59-2000))-$R$150*($B59-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B59-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B59-2000))-$R$150*($B59-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B59-$B$64)),0)","v":177.18086861209414},37097.73565884502,null,691623.1103269835,122.54238343993315,{"$f":"FBR!$L59*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":0.309},null,1.4701096730361903E-4,0.54634115497628977,null,1.4726858644728879E-5,{"$f":"FBR!$W59","v":0.46435100548446073},7.0324290554091942,0.21237134718536108,1.4934864324827268,{"$f":"EBR!$J55","v":136.9494},29.084128574226888,2.0453207083664994E-4,122.54258797200399,177.17936277862438,47.974488683503992,64.336477852135204,122.54362945182167,122.54258797200399,122.54258797200399,1.0414798176867635E-3]
[19,2019,{"$f":"FBR!$B60","v":2262.0729999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H60","v":37970.400999999998},null,{"$f":"EBR!$B56","v":18549.969296213199},174.31893469482867,37968.385124152133,null,704332.48759923177,122.77848890925671,{"$f":"FBR!$L60*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":1.47},null,6.4984640195077706E-4,2.0158758478631746,null,5.3090717895319954E-5,{"$f":"FBR!$W60","v":0.80664352999504219},17.285115671244832,0.21237134718536108,3.6708633013570617,{"$f":"EBR!$J56","v":141.93233000000001},30.142360131257242,5.2101418147309998E-4,122.77900992343818,174.31539652549159,48.210910634938188,64.653532938278005,122.78150203220657,122.77900992343818,122.77900992343818,2.4921087683935639E-3]
[20,2020,{"$f":"FBR!$B61","v":1615.942},null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$H61","v":38149.197},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B61-2000))-AH$147*(B61-2000))","v":18433.494101020897},171.37047857740367,38144.718874398357,null,703182.16632601328,120.50466437038436,{"$f":"FBR!$L61*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":2.4630000000000001},null,1.5241883681468766E-3,4.4781256016459157,null,1.1738453109893547E-4,{"$f":"FBR!$W61","v":0.75803571428571415},40.831532170812636,0.21237134718536108,8.6714474947578903,{"$f":"EBR!$J57","v":133.35773},28.321360777681644,1.1564045537150991E-3,120.50582077493807,171.3621726564181,45.937721486438079,61.605058898856313,120.51166168959352,120.50582077493807,120.50582077493807,5.8409146554510016E-3]
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[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FBR!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FBR!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":1922.264507046169},0,null,57627.452622284116,12360.968350611873,16.526522728013241,null,0,1.5923481082495954E-7,2.6315977201895826E-12,null,{"$f":"FBR!$U137-FBR!$U136*(1-FBR!$F136)","v":1922.2645070461731},1.0000000000000022,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FBR!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FBR!$F136)+O137)","v":57627.452073085304},0.99999999046984056,3.3531066168717468E-13,712331.11120165081,0.1019682879716142,72635.183878149866,0.29432868663272943,3.0012192276873149E-2,2.1378618274182651E-2,2.1378618276814247E-2,3.0012192280560783E-2,-74.546720670223181,-99.97133007481645,11.772356411340075,2.1378618276814247E-2,2.1378618276814247E-2,11.75097779306326]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FBR!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FBR!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":1921.8218521468641},1,null,57647.568537895604,12296.141151557971,15.938268378209377,null,0,1.073673219384456E-7,1.7112491921045535E-12,null,{"$f":"FBR!$U138-FBR!$U137*(1-FBR!$F137)","v":1921.8218521468661},1.0000000000000011,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FBR!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FBR!$F137)+O138)","v":57647.568006820351},0.99999999078755153,2.2720273210418923E-13,708842.63325579313,0.10094860509189806,71556.675056840191,0.2702894149454611,2.7285339409849521E-2,1.9341011836555805E-2,1.9341011838267055E-2,2.7285339412259538E-2,-74.548758276661729,-99.974062619239575,11.297724230828885,1.9341011838267055E-2,1.9341011838267055E-2,11.278383218990619]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FBR!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FBR!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":1921.4026512482542},0,null,57666.601427393303,12231.653917772437,15.370308260848605,null,0,7.2393240147048508E-8,1.1127064170617764E-12,null,{"$f":"FBR!$U139-FBR!$U138*(1-FBR!$F138)","v":1921.4026512482524},0.999999999999999,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FBR!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FBR!$F138)+O139)","v":57666.600913843533},0.99999999109450255,1.539500152362191E-13,705357.90499236155,9.9939119040979074E-2,70492.847633527228,0.24821224486900229,2.4806113087391866E-2,1.7497187958326329E-2,1.7497187959439036E-2,2.4806113088966828E-2,-74.550602100540559,-99.976535290390416,10.841568530509631,1.7497187959439036E-2,1.7497187959439036E-2,10.824071342550193]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FBR!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FBR!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":1921.0056886422387},0,null,57684.609268931563,12167.504866642412,14.82198876928315,null,0,4.8810824540689568E-8,7.2347349316155111E-13,null,{"$f":"FBR!$U140-FBR!$U139*(1-FBR!$F139)","v":1921.005688642239},1.0000000000000002,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FBR!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FBR!$F139)+O140)","v":57684.608772328931},0.99999999139107232,1.0431479838175218E-13,701877.75796762703,9.8939727850569287E-2,69443.594357684764,0.22793723280544698,2.2552047780782777E-2,1.5828780733954616E-2,1.582878073467809E-2,2.2552047781811982E-2,-74.552270507765314,-99.978772717977648,10.403224335567133,1.582878073467809E-2,1.582878073467809E-2,10.387395554832455]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FBR!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FBR!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":1920.629808754632},0,null,57701.646971811453,12103.692224899838,14.292673926507893,null,0,3.2909927706986209E-8,4.7037086566090152E-13,null,{"$f":"FBR!$U141-FBR!$U140*(1-FBR!$F140)","v":1920.6298087546311},0.99999999999999956,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FBR!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FBR!$F140)+O141)","v":57701.646491596708},0.99999999167762499,7.0682533838849998E-14,698402.97000422527,9.7950330572063579E-2,68408.801784424868,0.20931744112220968,2.0502712552418895E-2,1.4319155339752265E-2,1.4319155340222635E-2,2.0502712553091419E-2,-74.553780133159776,-99.980797210232197,9.9820460026498647,1.4319155340222635E-2,1.4319155340222635E-2,9.9677268473096419]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.sindipecas.org.br/sindinews/Economia/2023/RelatorioFrotaCirculante_2023.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit resulted to 58 million vehicles » 268 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .986). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2016 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .996).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FBR!$I$32","v":58000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FBR!$I$33","v":1.3510657022637844},"c:",null,{"$f":"FBR!$I$34","v":5.568236997310777E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EBR!$C$32","v":36781559022.974373},"b:",{"$f":"EBR!$C$33","v":1.0588175997783446E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"EBR!$C$34","v":5.2586440431010885E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .818). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FBR!$N$32","v":58000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FBR!$S$32","v":58000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$G$32","v":14646.924986285743},null,{"$f":"EBR!$G$33","v":1.1270817026397322},null,null,{"$f":"EBR!$G$34","v":3.7386014587325406E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FBR!$N$33","v":168.22116735314822},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FBR!$S$33","v":291.69645648752629}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FBR!$N$34","v":0.14024533010091303},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FBR!$S$34","v":0.16317836145875675}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .413)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FBR!$X$32","v":5.467561750101094},null,"b:",{"$f":"FBR!$X$33","v":2658.95175912893},"c:",{"$f":"FBR!$X$34","v":0.38921473854207178},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!G44","v":0.21237134718536108},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EBR!$K$32","v":4392.9084590934626},"b:",{"$f":"EBR!$K$33","v":2.8226452319371518},"c:",{"$f":"EBR!$K$34","v":8.5268106848794822E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",3.9,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":17.441135981987145},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FBR!$F$47:$F$64)","v":3.493096881265742E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":29},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.4458624339153386E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":16}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.4383192103968113E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.4383192103968113E-5}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.1469837730329306E-4},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":2.0031518519932493E-4}]
[null,3,1.0432890562510561E-3,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":8.2859067894776306E-4}]
[null,4,3.2003427760782244E-3,null,null,2.1570537198271683E-3]
[null,5,7.6239601233424447E-3,null,null,4.4236173472642203E-3]
[null,6,1.5462114719430334E-2,null,null,7.8381545960878891E-3]
[null,7,2.8027373489416016E-2,null,null,1.2565258769985682E-2]
[null,8,4.67261112624517E-2,null,null,1.8698737773035684E-2]
[null,9,7.2955545695947255E-2,null,null,2.6229434433495555E-2]
[null,10,0.10796559594936733,null,null,3.5010050253420077E-2]
[null,11,0.15268906494853543,null,null,4.4723468999168098E-2]
[null,12,0.20755308151538218,null,null,5.4864016566846752E-2]
[null,13,0.27229619182119386,null,null,6.4743110305811674E-2]
[null,14,0.34582656414862717,null,null,7.3530372327433313E-2]
[null,15,0.42616351501089367,null,null,8.0336950862266499E-2]
[null,16,0.5105021191479987,null,null,8.4338604137105033E-2]
[null,17,0.59542491637908967,null,null,8.4922797231090974E-2]
[null,18,0.67725479634161756,null,null,8.1829879962527885E-2]
[null,19,0.75250382601303367,null,null,7.5249029671416112E-2]
[null,20,0.81833536035825538,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":6.5831534345221709E-2}]
[null,21,0.87293652660980448,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":5.4601166251549094E-2}]
[null,22,0.91570824367375381,null,null,4.2771717063949333E-2]
[null,23,0.94722356055176749,null,null,3.1515316878013677E-2]
[null,24,0.96897058905761735,null,null,2.1747028505849864E-2]
[null,25,0.98295939564753887,null,null,1.3988806589921521E-2]
[null,26,0.99130667109906268,null,null,8.3472754515238057E-3]
[null,27,0.99590361319174558,null,null,4.5969420926829097E-3]
[null,28,0.99822758102152453,null,null,2.3239678297789501E-3]
[null,29,0.99930010583544826,null,null,1.0725248139237253E-3]
[null,30,0.99974935312794344,null,null,4.4924729249518069E-4]
[null,31,0.99991912146852779,null,null,1.6976834058435308E-4]
[null,32,0.99997664195926739,null,null,5.75204907395932E-5]
[null,33,0.99999400378510339,null,null,1.7361825836004208E-5]
[null,34,0.99999864145008488,null,null,4.6376649814883208E-6]
[null,35,0.99999973030897793,null,null,1.0888588930502152E-6]
[null,36,0.9999999534414129,null,null,2.2313243497329438E-7]
[null,37,0.99999999306349374,null,null,3.962208083851948E-8]
[null,38,0.9999999991151487,null,null,6.051654954930541E-9]
[null,39,0.99999999990412947,null,null,7.8898076960598473E-10]
[null,40,0.99999999999125022,null,null,8.7120755054570509E-11]
[null,41,0.99999999999933298,null,null,8.0827566861785272E-12]
[null,42,0.99999999999995792,null,null,6.2494454056150062E-13]
[null,43,0.99999999999999778,null,null,3.985700658404312E-14]
[null,44,0.99999999999999989,null,null,2.1094237467877974E-15]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Canada",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C34","v":38781.290999999997},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":759.55801545363317}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":14.866406648006329},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":397.91839039579486},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":21634.682614508678},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.73445859064895846},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":45.001140101510728},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-10503.928349703412}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":13871.604790712932},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11215.000000021904},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11215.000000021904}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":580.16881835377023},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":21634.682614508678},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":21634.682614508678}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":23826.525239301365},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":7821.9578141811689},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":87},{"$f":"$K91","v":7821.9578141811689}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":184.64411522636257},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":128.94210898649914},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":128.94210898649914}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.18933030432541231},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14433457810759795},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14433457810759795}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":170.04250999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":87.612347234190665},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":87.612347234190665}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":32.194200166556968},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":12.645491175063286},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":12.645491175063286}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":181.73140188206034},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":45.001140101510728},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":45.001140101510728}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":61.526986004617413},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":14.866406648006329},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":14.866406648006329}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":3.0119750961569807},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":397.91839039579486},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":397.91839039579486}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-10503.928349703412},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2656.6047906910298}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":137},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2096},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2046},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2096}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":61.526986004617413},{"$f":"AA64","v":61.526986004617413}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 24.4m to\n29.5m total Stock"},12.730441040509035,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":74.257427045126448}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 13,872 to\n11,215 yearly km"},-14.056365673444056,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":60.201061371682393}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 185 to 129\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-18.110198226700966,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":42.090863144981427}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.6m to\n21.6m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-18.361629240340012},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":23.729233904641415}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1893 to\n.1443 kWh/km EV"},-1.4921198615039373,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":22.237114043137478}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 170 to 88\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-2.3202323795544935,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":19.916881663582984}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 29.44%\nto 2.59% PHEV"},-5.0504750155766533,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":14.866406648006331}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":14.866406648006331}]
[]
[]
[]
[-2.8500000000000001E-2]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.30819999999999997,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$6","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C6","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D6","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E6","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F6","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G6","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H6","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I6","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Canada"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J37","v":245.6858}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J38","v":255.64856}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J39","v":245.11913000000001}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J40","v":251.63614000000001}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J41","v":235.33838}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FCA!$B46","v":1583.395},null,null,{"$f":"FCA!$H46","v":18275.275000000001},null,{"$f":"ECA!$B$42","v":16974.266166409179},{"$f":"ECA!$F42","v":235},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":18275.275000000001},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":310209.38211432355},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":72.89920479686603},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J42","v":225.01206999999999},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":72.89920479686603},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":235},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":72.899204796866044},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":72.89920479686603},{"$f":"AF46","v":72.89920479686603}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FCA!$B47","v":1614.7629999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FCA!$H47","v":18738.940999999999},null,{"$f":"ECA!$B$43","v":16332.877955066973},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":231.12766576567242},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":18738.940999999999},null,306060.83636020066,70.739126690222619,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J43","v":216.50806},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":70.739126690222619},231.12766576567245,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-2.1600781066434109},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-2.9631024270600461},70.739126690222605,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":70.739126690222619},70.739126690222619]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FCA!$B48","v":1653.364},null,null,{"$f":"FCA!$H48","v":19198.96},null,{"$f":"ECA!$B$44","v":15734.288244179384},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":228.10401576707125},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":19198.96},null,302081.97062847024,68.906110591184529,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J44","v":227.7551},null,null,68.906110591184529,228.10401576707125,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-3.9930942056815013},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-5.4775552309634605},68.906110591184529,68.906110591184529,68.906110591184529]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FCA!$B49","v":1637.44},null,null,{"$f":"FCA!$H49","v":19612.935000000001},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B49-2000))-AH$147*(B49-2000))","v":15610.600914775228},{"$f":"ECA!$F45","v":228},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":19612.935000000001},null,306169.70105242712,69.806691839953373,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$J45","v":213.47485},null,null,69.806691839953373,227.99999999999997,-3.0925129569126568,-4.2421765306356338,69.806691839953388,69.806691839953373,69.806691839953373]
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[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FCA!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FCA!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":2161.045384561336},1,null,32272.115644695648,7869.0047911075417,70.555867510604159,null,0,45.597919606356378,3.2172007745052602E-3,null,{"$f":"FCA!$U136-FCA!$U135*(1-FCA!$F135)","v":2161.1130974721127},1.00003133340524,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FCA!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FCA!$F135)+O136)","v":32272.115644355617},0.99999999998946365,2.6933267266101391E-4,253903.83470500464,9.1823563729205915E-2,23314.354947124757,33.236861596103779,3.0519270789286321,0.77489598858002295,0.77811318935452822,3.0640477567230402,-72.121091607511502,-98.932617726732758,17.917622522843939,0.77811318935452822,0.77811318935452822,17.139509333489411]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FCA!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FCA!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":2161.8110936101034},1,null,32297.698149654901,7807.2890950229412,69.613610547714359,null,0,40.893408250586077,2.8467377959249885E-3,null,{"$f":"FCA!$U137-FCA!$U136*(1-FCA!$F136)","v":2161.8788600728512},1.0000313470788211,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FCA!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FCA!$F136)+O137)","v":32297.698149337379},0.99999999999016886,2.4326113842176528E-4,252116.57314741376,9.0905328091913859E-2,22918.739799374645,32.52732510846559,2.956907160937412,0.74548530053058848,0.74833203832651352,2.967717151303618,-72.150872758539521,-98.973470231380801,17.553591673676898,0.74833203832651352,0.74833203832651352,16.805259635350385]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FCA!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FCA!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":2162.5470273000028},1,null,32322.390991575274,7746.0574246681381,68.68382814487795,null,0,36.673187338264334,2.5188548966662617E-3,null,{"$f":"FCA!$U138-FCA!$U137*(1-FCA!$F137)","v":2162.6148453775204},1.0000313602787183,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FCA!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FCA!$F137)+O138)","v":32322.390991278768},0.99999999999082656,2.1971298495645331E-4,250334.42353368318,8.9996274810994717E-2,22529.165574989296,31.832897480646647,2.8648421896984968,0.71716861807314791,0.71968747296981417,2.8744830469458433,-72.179517323896221,-99.012763616591954,17.196445379789001,0.71968747296981417,0.71968747296981417,16.476757906819188]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FCA!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FCA!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":2163.254248902133},1,null,32346.224450542308,7685.3059839638163,67.766358070244138,null,0,32.887554242504464,2.2286697768521342E-3,null,{"$f":"FCA!$U139-FCA!$U138*(1-FCA!$F138)","v":2163.3221167231095},1.0000313730209989,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FCA!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FCA!$F138)+O139)","v":32346.224450265425},0.99999999999144007,1.9844404795998921E-4,248557.7447720191,8.9096312062884764E-2,22145.578393854677,31.153258604267407,2.7756404503815588,0.68990693064483166,0.69213560042168376,2.7842384644377653,-72.207069196444351,-99.05055809271127,16.846081803274053,0.69213560042168376,0.69213560042168376,16.153946202852371]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FCA!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FCA!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":2163.9337836636441},1,null,32369.227822102908,7625.0310066014363,66.861040123296533,null,0,29.491886238442408,1.9718581891001946E-3,null,{"$f":"FCA!$U140-FCA!$U139*(1-FCA!$F139)","v":2164.0016994205216},1.0000313853212099,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FCA!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FCA!$F139)+O140)","v":32369.227821844353},0.99999999999201228,1.7923377655303352E-4,246786.87391507064,8.8205348942255929E-2,21767.922328047323,30.488095084343058,2.6892130654991573,0.66366248572610109,0.66563434391520127,2.6968809047737419,-72.233570452950829,-99.086911378841521,16.502398937059375,0.66563434391520127,0.66563434391520127,15.836764593144174]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FCA!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FCA!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":2164.5866201677723},1,null,32391.42944601861,7565.2287558097742,65.967716111554239,null,0,26.446124278306026,1.7445904186421742E-3,null,{"$f":"FCA!$U141-FCA!$U140*(1-FCA!$F140)","v":2164.6545821146683},1.0000313971943939,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FCA!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FCA!$F140)+O141)","v":32391.429445777168},0.99999999999254607,1.6188295182991964E-4,245022.12736069862,8.7323295452833349E-2,21396.139620000049,29.837100101410371,2.6054739076112217,0.63839875962569392,0.64014335004433609,2.6123120854795796,-72.25906144682169,-99.12187883005295,16.165294729318788,0.64014335004433609,0.64014335004433609,15.525151379274451]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/topics-start/automotive (Last retrieved 01/03/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 33 million vehicles » 851 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .996). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2016 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .999).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FCA!$I$32","v":33000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FCA!$I$33","v":0.69316042735335714},"c:",null,{"$f":"FCA!$I$34","v":3.6173637654107499E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ECA!$C$32","v":142169763894.52322},"b:",{"$f":"ECA!$C$33","v":1.4852087551559582E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"ECA!$C$34","v":7.8738568587971378E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .883). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FCA!$N$32","v":33000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FCA!$S$32","v":33000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$G$32","v":599770.2221086676},null,{"$f":"ECA!$G$33","v":3.17373647844372E-2},null,null,{"$f":"ECA!$G$34","v":1.3562611769473579E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FCA!$N$33","v":27.447630903352827},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FCA!$S$33","v":92.232081678212012}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FCA!$N$34","v":8.3490653082227931E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FCA!$S$34","v":0.13399182289149711}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .959)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FCA!$X$32","v":15.283257675164364},null,"b:",{"$f":"FCA!$X$33","v":2.7511807225255391},"c:",{"$f":"FCA!$X$34","v":0.10182856489741053},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!G45","v":0.18933030432541231},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ECA!$K$32","v":587367.38750449091},"b:",{"$f":"ECA!$K$33","v":2.0479151807654125E-2},"c:",{"$f":"ECA!$K$34","v":2.16351658006711E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":10.918612417223061},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FCA!$F$47:$F$64)","v":6.6365605253433171E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":15},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":6.6586446581248446E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":10}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":5.9019451942932754E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":5.9019451942932754E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.7771747019627615E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":3.718155250019829E-5}]
[null,3,4.3015938654086615E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":3.9238763952123855E-4}]
[null,4,2.4145178161766017E-3,null,null,1.9843584296357357E-3]
[null,5,9.1794017677376775E-3,null,null,6.7648839515610758E-3]
[null,6,2.7160460571346516E-2,null,null,1.798105880360884E-2]
[null,7,6.7079989538858034E-2,null,null,3.9919528967511518E-2]
[null,8,0.14334156414418905,null,null,7.626157460533102E-2]
[null,9,0.2692279187161149,null,null,0.12588635457192585]
[null,10,0.44578062873153945,null,null,0.17655271001542455]
[null,11,0.64850714727454917,null,null,0.20272651854300971]
[null,12,0.82835242932443653,null,null,0.17984528204988737]
[null,13,0.9420837373346882,null,null,0.11373130801025166]
[null,14,0.98824988430933458,null,null,4.6166146974646383E-2]
[null,15,0.99879669871872678,null,null,1.0546814409392202E-2]
[null,16,0.9999499167459619,null,null,1.1532180272351145E-3]
[null,17,0.99999934972152327,null,null,4.943297556136983E-5]
[null,18,0.9999999980855474,null,null,6.4836402413614991E-7]
[null,19,0.99999999999912648,null,null,1.9135790729762903E-9]
[null,20,1,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":8.7352347577507317E-13}]
[null,21,1,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":0}]
[null,22,1,null,null,0]
[null,23,1,null,null,0]
[null,24,1,null,null,0]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"China",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C35","v":1425671.352},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":387.63661601190802}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":194.50682685100699},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":4726.108413091365},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":525191.10773490928},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.95032717398483424},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":35.19578308918657},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-7477.089563775472}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":11619.479136305159},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10000.000000000009},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10000.000000000009}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":22992.54212521614},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":525191.10773490928},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":525191.10773490928}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":276527.27529140795},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":27451.31069949246},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":69},{"$f":"$K91","v":27451.31069949246}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":162.49219034404021},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000000114},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000000114}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.1740542219912076},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1326889680363505},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1326889680363505}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":582.31695999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":215.49835454343648},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":215.49835454343648}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":101.35472542508515},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":28.59425427790017},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":28.59425427790017}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":158.42068802920383},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":35.19578308918657},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":35.19578308918657}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":551.34586007901328},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":194.50682685100699},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":194.50682685100699}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":38.24467248760493},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":4726.108413091365},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":4726.108413091365}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-7477.089563775472},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1619.47913630515}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":137},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2096},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2028},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2096}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":551.34586007901328},{"$f":"AA64","v":551.34586007901328}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 299.5m to\n552.6m total Stock"},465.9394472368482,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":1017.2853073158615}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 11,619 to\n10,000 yearly km"},-131.47949313103686,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":885.80581418482461}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 162 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-439.43229910154253,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":446.37351508328209}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 23.0m to\n525.2m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":93.036912711436457},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":539.41042779471854}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1741 to\n.1327 kWh/km EV"},-109.74843329067932,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":429.66199450403923}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 582 to 215\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-221.76314244547208,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":207.89885205856714}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 19.87%\nto 12.43% PHEV"},-13.392025207560152,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":194.50682685100699}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":194.50682685100699}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.62139999999999995]
[]
[]
[]
[-8.2949999999999996E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$7","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C7","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D7","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E7","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F7","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G7","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H7","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I7","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"China"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electri-city CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J37","v":783.31366000000003}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J38","v":762.73473999999999}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J39","v":773.16330000000005}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J40","v":790.78610000000003}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J41","v":778.35613999999998}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FCN!$B46","v":3971.1010000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FCN!$H46","v":21325},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B46-2000))-AH$147*(B46-2000))","v":12842.329373601202},{"$f":"ECN!$F42","v":201},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":21325},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":273862.67389204563},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":55.046397452301171},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J42","v":781.9307},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":55.046397452301171},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":201},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":55.046397452301171},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":55.046397452301171},{"$f":"AF46","v":55.046397452301171}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FCN!$B47","v":5175.9610000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FCN!$H47","v":26196},null,12771.136091731987,{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":205.74955511301542},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":26196},null,334552.68105901114,68.834065289758087,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J43","v":786.51085999999998},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":68.834065289758087},205.74955511301542,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":13.787667837456915},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":25.047357276021941},68.834065289758087,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":68.834065289758087},68.834065289758087]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FCN!$B48","v":6297.5379999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FCN!$H48","v":31960},null,12700.337429200115,{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":204.39469615517638},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":31960},null,405902.78423723567,82.964376252709897,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J44","v":785.12523999999996},null,null,82.964376252709897,204.39469615517635,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":27.917978800408726},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":50.717176949863472},82.964376252709897,82.964376252709897,82.964376252709897]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FCN!$B49","v":6755.6090000000004},null,null,{"$f":"FCN!$H49","v":38389},null,12629.931199219751,{"$f":"ECN!$F45","v":204},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":38389},null,484850.42880684702,98.909487476596794,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J45","v":746.94770000000005},null,null,98.909487476596794,204,43.863090024295623,79.683852267178594,98.909487476596809,98.909487476596794,98.909487476596794]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FCN!$B50","v":10331.315000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FCN!$H50","v":48451},null,12559.915227116937,{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64)),0)","v":201.06580352623644},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":48451},null,608540.45266904274,122.35667509412073,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$J46","v":753.02855999999997},null,null,122.35667509412073,201.06580352623644,67.310277641819567,122.27916949541576,122.35667509412073,122.35667509412073,122.35667509412073]
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[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FCN!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FCN!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":9515.6329101595074},0,null,582931.45244595036,7615.4547876749775,15.245378335703164,null,0,154396.20536644768,2.3538285644084183,null,{"$f":"FCN!$U140-FCN!$U139*(1-FCN!$F139)","v":9498.7391145484289},0.99822462722442329,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FCN!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FCN!$F139)+O140)","v":582840.82147898769},0.99984452551568048,5.2177356903032136E-2,4284201.7190181259,8.108851586283905E-2,347399.55905220361,25.166004075071701,2.0406739206457236,8.7426587187858669,11.096487283194286,2.4999983040213878,-43.949910169106886,-79.841574023423391,67.678626936932076,11.096487283194286,11.096487283194286,56.582139653737791]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FCN!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FCN!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":9513.2777448522902},0,null,582960.59966394724,7573.2352073554976,14.711158146881758,null,0,150827.22073129602,2.2188430970327389,null,{"$f":"FCN!$U141-FCN!$U140*(1-FCN!$F140)","v":9497.0287740972126},0.99829196926749353,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FCN!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FCN!$F140)+O141)","v":582855.16178144352},0.99981913377582554,5.1254133449745776E-2,4263272.0112608159,8.0277630704210651E-2,342245.37611159316,24.049969021662594,1.9306745315687361,8.2309906932910781,10.449833790323817,2.3673762734164314,-44.596563661977356,-81.016316645646413,64.94825882420551,10.449833790323817,10.449833790323817,54.498425033881695]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.statista.com/statistics/278423/amount-of-passenger-cars-in-china/ (Last retrieved 07/16/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2016 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .764).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FCN!$I$32","v":583259.3168267858},"b:",null,{"$f":"FCN!$I$33","v":5.675466130385896},"c:",null,{"$f":"FCN!$I$34","v":9.3127865487912798E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ECN!$C$32","v":17768018449.356045},"b:",{"$f":"ECN!$C$33","v":1.3368297370663739E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"ECN!$C$34","v":5.5597862964225095E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .829). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FCN!$N$32*R38","v":0},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FCN!$S$32","v":582961}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$G$32","v":15490.335903859448},null,{"$f":"ECN!$G$33","v":1.0403551438873593},null,null,{"$f":"ECN!$G$34","v":3.66635346827539E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FCN!$N$33","v":59.980440506671812},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FCN!$S$33","v":111.31047144156851}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FCN!$N$34","v":0.12707891512534986},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FCN!$S$34","v":0.15284165794731133}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .977)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FCN!$X$32","v":236.53010994895729},null,"b:",{"$f":"FCN!$X$33","v":7.3959928647968479E-2},"c:",{"$f":"FCN!$X$34","v":1.8073689175399837E-2},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!G46","v":0.1740542219912076},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ECN!$K$32","v":46342.283158865357},"b:",{"$f":"ECN!$K$33","v":1.1262067349977807},"c:",{"$f":"ECN!$K$34","v":4.5897496965148006E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",4,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":37.901685666499326},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FCN!$F$47:$F$64)","v":1.6274484409991199E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":61},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":1.6373453011883032E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":35}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":4.8458034265878912E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":4.8458034265878912E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":7.7532573044313321E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":7.2686769617725433E-6}]
[null,3,3.9250246954398776E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":3.1496989649967442E-5}]
[null,4,1.2404490357203538E-4,null,null,8.4794656617636607E-5]
[null,5,3.0281692923809513E-4,null,null,1.7877202566605975E-4]
[null,6,6.2781911530194611E-4,null,null,3.2500218606385098E-4]
[null,7,1.1628011068814828E-3,null,null,5.3498199157953671E-4]
[null,8,1.9828730690193141E-3,null,null,8.2007196213783134E-4]
[null,9,3.1742836731978833E-3,null,null,1.1914106041785691E-3]
[null,10,4.8340826313326129E-3,null,null,1.6597989581347296E-3]
[null,11,7.0696342441681544E-3,null,null,2.2355516128355415E-3]
[null,12,9.9979453186693091E-3,null,null,2.9283110745011547E-3]
[null,13,1.3744768618224547E-2,null,null,3.7468232995552381E-3]
[null,14,1.8443442071628392E-2,null,null,4.6986734534038444E-3]
[null,15,2.4233424666654568E-2,null,null,5.7899825950261767E-3]
[null,16,3.1258492719313309E-2,null,null,7.0250680526587408E-3]
[null,17,3.9664565493074712E-2,null,null,8.4060727737614027E-3]
[null,18,4.959713739310273E-2,null,null,9.9325719000280185E-3]
[null,19,6.1198305587676943E-2,null,null,1.1601168194574213E-2]
[null,20,7.4603397231206306E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":1.3405091643529363E-2}]
[null,21,8.9937219649240854E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":1.5333822418034548E-2}]
[null,22,0.10730997984533722,null,null,1.7372760196096362E-2]
[null,23,0.12681294615890268,null,null,1.9502966313565462E-2]
[null,24,0.14851395413149507,null,null,2.170100797259239E-2]
[null,25,0.17245288948378609,null,null,2.3938935352291024E-2]
[null,26,0.19863731194664541,null,null,2.6184422462859319E-2]
[null,27,0.22703841241806294,null,null,2.8401100471417529E-2]
[null,28,0.25758751996798185,null,null,3.0549107549918908E-2]
[null,29,0.29017339165990269,null,null,3.2585871691920842E-2]
[null,30,0.32464052388130032,null,null,3.4467132221397634E-2]
[null,31,0.36078871580382965,null,null,3.6148191922529327E-2]
[null,32,0.39837409102652666,null,null,3.7585375222697004E-2]
[null,33,0.43711174043597489,null,null,3.8737649409448238E-2]
[null,34,0.47668008705208242,null,null,3.956834661610753E-2]
[null,35,0.5167269928842495,null,null,4.0046905832167079E-2]
[null,36,0.55687753126529249,null,null,4.0150538381042988E-2]
[null,37,0.59674324052347705,null,null,3.9865709258184556E-2]
[null,38,0.63593256305916346,null,null,3.9189322535686411E-2]
[null,39,0.67406206661132662,null,null,3.8129503552163158E-2]
[null,40,0.71076795170523344,null,null,3.670588509390682E-2]
[null,41,0.74571728135286763,null,null,3.4949329647634197E-2]
[null,42,0.77861833571352479,null,null,3.2901054360657156E-2]
[null,43,0.80922950331550758,null,null,3.0611167601982792E-2]
[null,44,0.83736617603858687,null,null,2.8136672723079292E-2]
[null,45,0.86290521746770721,null,null,2.5539041429120335E-2]
[null,46,0.88578671852756763,null,null,2.2881501059860421E-2]
[null,47,0.90601293043230002,null,null,2.0226211904732394E-2]
[null,48,0.92364445833072362,null,null,1.7631527898423593E-2]
[null,49,0.93879399178163014,null,null,1.5149533450906527E-2]
[null,50,0.95161802129610662,null,null,1.2824029514476476E-2]
[null,51,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B215,C$163,F$163,1)","v":0.96230712570108112},null,null,{"$f":"C215-C214","v":1.0689104404974503E-2}]
[null,52,0.97107549864006193,null,null,8.7683729389808063E-3]
[null,53,0.97815040543820342,null,null,7.0749067981414893E-3]
[null,54,0.98376222219799025,null,null,5.6118167597868363E-3]
[null,55,0.98813561320667709,null,null,4.3733910086868333E-3]
[null,56,0.99148226310617804,null,null,3.346649899500953E-3]
[null,57,0.99399541431633542,null,null,2.5131512101573827E-3]
[null,58,0.99584628779787665,null,null,1.8508734815412264E-3]
[null,59,0.99718230574397326,null,null,1.3360179460966126E-3]
[null,60,0.9981269043002905,null,null,9.4459855631723322E-4]
[null,61,0.99878063372486503,null,null,6.5372942457453398E-4]
[null,62,0.9992231969363029,null,null,4.4256321143787414E-4]

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[null,"Denmark",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C36","v":5910.9129999999996},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":628.26092497079514}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":5.0224238023181288E-2},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":57.673483394642069},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":3713.5558625730614},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.9999892809469888},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":1.4761605692167854},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-14546.410730910413}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":14714.136723927981},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9161.8914000839268},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9161.8914000839268}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":266.53009247058418},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":3713.5558625730614},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":3713.5558625730614}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":2547.3139510262245},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":3.9806228835914226E-2},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":3.9806228835914226E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":115.22321356300297},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":85.905027735866639},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":85.905027735866639}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.20279766410718431},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15460132171872304},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15460132171872304}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":151.65029999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":9.5184469902184556},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":9.5184469902184556}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":30.754326601153728},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.4715644853973744},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.4715644853973744}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":109.43256372537823},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":1.4761605692167854},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":1.4761605692167854}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":4.5308677309892431},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":5.0224238023181288E-2},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":5.0224238023181288E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.58455532796229726},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":57.673483394642069},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":57.673483394642069}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-14546.410730910413},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-5552.2453238440539}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":90},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2049},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2049}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":4.5308677309892431},{"$f":"AA64","v":4.5308677309892431}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 2.8m to\n3.7m total Stock"},1.448785199884008,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":5.9796529308732511}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 14,714 to\n9,162 yearly km"},-2.2086327114273132,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":3.7710202194459379}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 115 to 86\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-0.94569438491459579,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.8253258345313421}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.3m to\n3.7m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-1.2605643283429946},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.5647615061883475}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2028 to\n.1546 kWh/km EV"},-0.17997689751100654,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.384784608677341}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 152 to 10\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.54108317142551898,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.84370143725182201}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 41.44%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-0.79347719922864068,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":5.0224238023181281E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":5.0224238023181322E-2}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$8","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C8","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D8","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E8","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F8","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G8","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H8","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I8","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Denmark"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,627.89400000000001]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,630.79380000000003]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,618.67010000000005]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,651.51184000000001]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,581.26239999999996]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FDK!$B46","v":148.81899999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$H46","v":1971},null,{"$f":"EDK!$B42","v":19944.292237442922},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":139.13193312125071},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":1971},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":39310.199999999997},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":5.4693041173829888},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,552.66076999999996,null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":5.4693041173829888},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":139.13193312125071},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":5.4693041173829897},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":5.4693041173829888},{"$f":"AF46","v":5.4693041173829888}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FDK!$B47","v":156.93600000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$H47","v":2026},null,{"$f":"EDK!$B43","v":19602.467917077985},137.70687087192263,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":2026},null,39714.6,5.4689732939300582,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,635.3433,null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":5.4689732939300582},137.7068708719226,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-3.3082345293067306E-4},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-6.0487302558148662E-3},5.4689732939300582,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":5.4689732939300582},5.4689732939300582]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FDK!$B48","v":162.68600000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$H48","v":2075},null,{"$f":"EDK!$B44","v":19609.156626506025},136.29333351417378,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":2075},null,40689,5.5456394473582167,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,597.0874,null,null,5.5456394473582167,136.29333351417378,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":7.633532997522785E-2},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":1.3957046150096624},5.5456394473582176,5.5456394473582167,5.5456394473582167]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FDK!$B49","v":150.19900000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$H49","v":2105},null,{"$f":"EDK!$B45","v":19322.850356294537},134.89130286472795,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":2105},null,40674.6,5.4866497875016629,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,577.30259999999998,null,null,5.4866497875016629,134.89130286472795,1.734567011867405E-2,0.31714583329796248,5.4866497875016629,5.4866497875016629,5.4866497875016629]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FDK!$B50","v":112.45399999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$H50","v":2126},null,{"$f":"EDK!$B46","v":18975.352775164625},133.50075857886199,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":2126},null,40341.599999999991,5.3856342022850177,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,582.89655000000005,null,null,5.3856342022850177,133.50075857886199,-8.366991509797117E-2,-1.5298091549168862,5.3856342022850177,5.3856342022850177,5.3856342022850177]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FDK!$B51","v":153.858},null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$H51","v":2169},null,{"$f":"EDK!$B47","v":18426.556016597508},132.12167821651602,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":2168.98},null,39966.83146887966,5.2804848466650443,{"$f":"FDK!$L51*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":0.02},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":1.2998999077071065E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0.02},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":9.2208390963577683E-6},{"$f":"FDK!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0.36853112033195012},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.20279766410718431},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":7.4737250354123139E-2},540.38710000000003,{"$f":"V51*X51","v":109.58924159365542},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":4.038704598083858E-5},5.2805252337110247,132.12147044854345,-0.18877888367196416,-3.4516069982645816,5.2805335376151383,5.2805252337110247,5.2805252337110247,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":8.3039041136601099E-6}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FDK!$B52","v":170.036},null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$H52","v":2203},null,{"$f":"EDK!$B48","v":18142.169768497504},130.75403730718432,2202.5620000046501,null,39959.253729725766,5.2248337529438071,{"$f":"FDK!$L52*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":0.41799999999999998},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":2.4583029476110941E-3},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0.43799999534964734},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":1.9881978908290845E-4},{"$f":"FDK!$W52","v":0},7.9462702742344193,0.20279766410718431,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":1.6114850499790951},486.47109999999998,{"$f":"V52*X52","v":98.655202735652466},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":7.839409048968854E-4},5.2256176938487044,130.74765542366504,-0.24368642353428438,-4.455528862616732,5.2258727598636971,5.2256176938487044,5.2256176938487044,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":2.5506601499269976E-4}]
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[93,2093,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C134*(1+D$38/27*($B134-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C134*(1+D$38/27*($B134-$B$64)),0)","v":248.84982271144645},0,null,4296.5489694479338,4308.2653733855796,52.810636770176842,null,0,2.7884531402172765E-7,1.4725998593867358E-11,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U134-FDK!$U133*(1-FDK!$F133)","v":246.41849751981817},0.99022974915096673,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O134>D134,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R133*(1-FDK!$F133)+D134,R133*(1-FDK!$F133)+O134)","v":4294.0941200463276},0.99942864624165528,2.2608960961883577E-11,18500.097007175369,0.10035212427685203,1856.5240339978809,8.0308426419480425E-2,8.059121188526126E-3,1.4909452378031578E-4,1.4909453850631439E-4,8.0591219844004039E-3,-5.4691550228444825,-99.997273976079839,0.97756043610287657,1.4909453850631439E-4,1.4909453850631439E-4,0.97741134156437026]
[94,2094,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64)),0)","v":248.99914167774426},0,null,4303.0267079384203,4233.3273163393424,52.205731664149141,null,0,1.9387158922152447E-7,1.0121208164201055E-11,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U135-FDK!$U134*(1-FDK!$F134)","v":243.01035168692579},0.9759485516678239,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O135>D135,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R134*(1-FDK!$F134)+D135,R134*(1-FDK!$F134)+O135)","v":4294.7013482430739},0.99806523169377792,1.599523451489565E-11,18180.876532842933,9.9348603034083507E-2,1806.244685473097,7.1858818349025175E-2,7.139073218655618E-3,1.2979460874730338E-4,1.2979461886851153E-4,7.1390737752747698E-3,-5.4691743227641201,-99.997626853141043,0.95098589907994957,1.2979461886851153E-4,1.2979461886851153E-4,0.95085610446108104]
[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":249.14281644891264},0,null,4309.302807504916,4159.6927104726692,51.60735640251788,null,0,1.3479030907727261E-7,6.9561715201563481E-12,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U136-FDK!$U135*(1-FDK!$F135)","v":242.9619350416142},0.97519141231765816,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FDK!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FDK!$F135)+O136)","v":4295.2461702359451},0.99673807158677952,1.1316200139293622E-11,17866.904183881317,9.8355117003742665E-2,1757.3014515003063,6.4298198383301433E-2,6.3240568251194699E-3,1.1299131734783024E-4,1.1299132430400176E-4,6.3240572144045411E-3,-5.4691911260586847,-99.99793408225473,0.92508124081811927,1.1299132430400176E-4,1.1299132430400176E-4,0.92496824949381529]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":249.2810351691478},0,null,4315.383251325693,4087.3388847186484,51.015450103344591,null,0,9.3712494254409553E-8,4.7807850746957965E-12,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U137-FDK!$U136*(1-FDK!$F136)","v":242.91639936771026},0.97446803044155017,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FDK!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FDK!$F136)+O137)","v":4295.7349933019595},0.99544692629149512,8.0059086019132301E-12,17558.124676475989,9.7371565833705237E-2,1709.6620928518862,5.7533042130358099E-2,5.6020823994095007E-3,9.8362061216723779E-5,9.8362065997508854E-5,5.6020826716629557E-3,-5.4692057553169917,-99.998201561590179,0.89983263767047705,9.8362065997508854E-5,9.8362065997508854E-5,0.89973427560447949]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":249.41397966379392},0,null,4321.2738639003892,4016.2435623034025,50.429952212643165,null,0,6.5152522946838629E-8,3.2856386187422092E-12,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U138-FDK!$U137*(1-FDK!$F137)","v":242.87345060834969},0.97377641355845102,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FDK!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FDK!$F137)+O138)","v":4296.173568174152},0.99419145915839235,5.6639659738418638E-12,17254.479435652323,9.6397850175368185E-2,1663.2947234919841,5.1479662956374288E-2,4.9625288367470205E-3,8.5625851762483103E-5,8.5625855048121724E-5,4.9625290271506379E-3,-5.4692184915279407,-99.998434428709572,0.87522636146347876,8.5625855048121724E-5,8.5625855048121724E-5,0.87514073560843064]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":249.54182565187955},0,null,4326.9803140109116,3946.3848538895263,49.850802509328851,null,0,4.5296058650884789E-8,2.2580448742562345E-12,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U139-FDK!$U138*(1-FDK!$F138)","v":242.83282455482004},0.97311472303477164,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FDK!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FDK!$F138)+O139)","v":4296.5670560606577},0.99297125113979035,4.0071042711074599E-12,16955.907153713197,9.5433871673614501E-2,1618.1678674171874,4.6063177420123155E-2,4.3959873627909705E-3,7.4537953572380232E-5,7.4537955830425112E-5,4.3959874959508035E-3,-5.4692295794271581,-99.998637158325238,0.85124879287117894,7.4537955830425112E-5,7.4537955830425112E-5,0.85117425491534848]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":249.66474295172134},0,null,4332.5081177171123,3877.7412508387097,49.277941109923994,null,0,3.1490930697260738E-8,1.5518082283963123E-12,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U140-FDK!$U139*(1-FDK!$F139)","v":242.79428385279789},0.97248126019839332,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FDK!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FDK!$F139)+O140)","v":4296.9200888728283},0.99178581369559304,2.8349189796828322E-12,16662.344280148209,9.4479532956878359E-2,1574.2505055551162,4.1216579453211472E-2,3.8941231768194885E-3,6.4885221041470771E-5,6.4885222593279E-5,3.8941232699447759E-3,-5.4692392321603958,-99.99881364756466,0.82788643359642622,6.4885222593279E-5,6.4885222593279E-5,0.82782154837383293]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FDK!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FDK!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":249.78289567981687},0,null,4337.8626413786506,3810.2916185915133,48.711308473026541,null,0,2.1893082035606045E-8,1.0664406724616818E-12,null,{"$f":"FDK!$U141-FDK!$U140*(1-FDK!$F140)","v":242.75761530179034},0.97187445377752424,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FDK!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FDK!$F140)+O141)","v":4297.2368233406605},0.99063460017141569,2.0056292718189875E-12,16373.725451055847,9.3534737627309558E-2,1531.5121140461094,3.6879911865917402E-2,3.4495528800968845E-3,5.6482031787605357E-5,5.6482032854046028E-5,3.4495529452234896E-3,-5.4692476353501345,-99.998967290323563,0.80512591742917339,5.6482032854046028E-5,5.6482032854046028E-5,0.80506943539631937]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Total inventories from 2019 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 4.5 million vehicles » 761 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .967). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2019 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .986).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FDK!$I$32","v":4500},"b:",null,{"$f":"FDK!$I$33","v":1.0053916663748188},"c:",null,{"$f":"FDK!$I$34","v":3.3104742724588236E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EDK!$C$32","v":13473222984.328175},"b:",{"$f":"EDK!$C$33","v":9.3186858993042927E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"EDK!$C$34","v":1.7547391056207947E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .577). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FDK!$N$32","v":4300},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FDK!$S$32","v":4300}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDK!$G$32","v":86541.918113625448},null,{"$f":"EDK!$G$33","v":0.16393603593782835},null,null,{"$f":"EDK!$G$34","v":1.2159826955978996E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FDK!$N$33","v":33.417171988138264},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FDK!$S$33","v":33.417172895923095}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FDK!$N$34","v":0.10859523207247258},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FDK!$S$34","v":0.10859524545019376}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .962)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FDK!$X$32","v":4.0052496334500951},null,"b:",{"$f":"FDK!$X$33","v":1546.9437684878894},"c:",{"$f":"FDK!$X$34","v":0.34605549537800928},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!I41","v":0.20279766410718431},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EDK!$K$32","v":15638.308063615557},"b:",{"$f":"EDK!$K$33","v":1.4286096134112169},"c:",{"$f":"EDK!$K$34","v":0.11117607483736018}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":12.752363281481827},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FDK!$F$47:$F$64)","v":5.6822434054157406E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":18},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.5535131853868797E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":12}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.3251763268476029E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.3251763268476029E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.4881019498418183E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.4648501865733424E-5}]
[null,3,1.6949100870946104E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.5460998921104286E-4}]
[null,4,9.5193895256548552E-4,null,null,7.824479438560245E-4]
[null,5,3.6264967524324821E-3,null,null,2.6745577998669966E-3]
[null,6,1.0789712856943651E-2,null,null,7.1632161045111688E-3]
[null,7,2.698469785108501E-2,null,null,1.6194984994141359E-2]
[null,8,5.9132643412969407E-2,null,null,3.2147945561884397E-2]
[null,9,0.11623970940158172,null,null,5.7107065988612316E-2]
[null,10,0.20746424673391137,null,null,9.1224537332329644E-2]
[null,11,0.33762221775200646,null,null,0.13015797101809509]
[null,12,0.50057308685649593,null,null,0.16295086910448947]
[null,13,0.67447575431006856,null,null,0.17390266745357263]
[null,14,0.82635635368217208,null,null,0.15188059937210352]
[null,15,0.92924424957811524,null,null,0.10288789589594316]
[null,16,0.97977830014429379,null,null,5.0534050566178546E-2]
[null,17,0.996347747049659,null,null,1.6569446905365215E-2]
[null,18,0.99963237336963828,null,null,3.284626319979278E-3]
[null,19,0.99998224774751343,null,null,3.4987437787514786E-4]
[null,20,0.99999965548569447,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":1.7407738181041132E-5}]
[null,21,0.99999999781606541,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":3.423303709393366E-7}]
[null,22,0.99999999999644562,null,null,2.180380209715338E-9]
[null,23,0.99999999999999889,null,null,3.5532687903128135E-12]
[null,24,1,null,null,0]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"FI","index":9,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[4,30,4,31],[5,30,6,31],[7,30,7,31],[8,30,8,31],[9,30,9,31],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[2,0,2,2],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[17,26,17,29],[18,26,18,29],[37,10,37,15],[12,30,12,31],[13,30,13,31],[14,30,14,31],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[14,28,14,29],[10,30,10,31],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[144,27,145,29],[4,28,4,29],[5,28,6,29],[7,28,7,29],[8,28,8,29],[9,28,9,29],[10,28,10,29],[11,28,11,29],[12,28,12,29],[13,28,13,29],[15,28,15,29],[16,28,16,29],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[10,33,17,33],[17,30,17,31],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[15,30,15,31],[16,30,16,31],[11,30,11,31]]}
[null,"Finland",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C37","v":5545.4750000000004},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":814.27573802024085}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.86841754384397074},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":42.719919194334537},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":3557.6273503446801},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.78786209876974067},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":19.167846136345659},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-10993.624247347538}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":12924.283738138834},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10033.328400608441},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10033.328400608441}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":148.10949856257085},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":3557.6273503446801},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":3557.6273503446801}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":3630.2786397586633},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":957.91839795311535},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":70},{"$f":"$K91","v":957.91839795311535}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":123.27250243024913},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.376646046922133},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.376646046922133}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.21306503519595715},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1624285772637471},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1624285772637471}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":115.89379003379872},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":9.4685414711202363},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":9.4685414711202363}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":24.692914452544194},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.5379617199168469},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.5379617199168469}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":120.85285603155619},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":19.167846136345659},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":19.167846136345659}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":5.9016027294902305},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.86841754384397074},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.86841754384397074}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.28708321591993169},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":42.719919194334537},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":42.719919194334537}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-10993.624247347538},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2890.9553375303931}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":108},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2067},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2029},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2067}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":5.9016027294902305},{"$f":"AA64","v":5.9016027294902305}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 3.8m to\n4.5m total Stock"},{"$f":"AD22-AD21","v":1.1513934524035125},{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":7.052996181893743}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 12,924 to\n10,033 yearly km"},-1.5597462640707214,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":5.4932499178230216}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 123 to 79\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-1.9478985177312929,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":3.5453514000917288}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.1m to\n3.6m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-1.1713446595042569},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.3740067405874719}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2131 to\n.1624 kWh/km EV"},-0.13116486899203705,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.2428418715954348}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 116 to 9\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.38636800798892312,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":1.8564738636065117}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 56.08%\nto 2.73% PHEV"},-0.98805631976254082,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.86841754384397085}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":0.86841754384397085}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$9","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C9","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D9","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E9","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!G9","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H9","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I9","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Finland"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J37","v":246.67714000000001}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J38","v":284.75490000000002}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J39","v":316.07047}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J40","v":371.26245}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J41","v":325.25630000000001}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FFI!$B46","v":148.161},null,null,{"$f":"FFI!$H46","v":2423.6963519999999},null,{"$f":"EFI!$B42","v":18200},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":164.9859103784039},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":2423.6963519999999},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":44111.273606399998},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":7.2777386339027643},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J42","v":230.72563},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":7.2777386339027643},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":164.9859103784039},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":7.2777386339027634},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":7.2777386339027643},{"$f":"AF46","v":7.2777386339027643}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FFI!$B47","v":145.69999999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FFI!$H47","v":2501.4773},null,{"$f":"EFI!$B43","v":17800},162.34451384415487,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":2501.4773},null,44526.295939999996,7.2285998676602663,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J43","v":335.64227},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":7.2285998676602663},162.34451384415487,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-4.9138766242498022E-2},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-0.67519278603368638},7.2285998676602672,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":7.2285998676602663},7.2285998676602663]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FFI!$B48","v":142.35900000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FFI!$H48","v":2565.0291999999999},null,{"$f":"EFI!$B44","v":17700},159.74432011652809,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":2565.0291999999999},null,45401.016839999997,7.2525545677048413,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J44","v":308.98117000000002},null,null,7.2525545677048413,159.74432011652809,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-2.5184066197923016E-2},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-0.3460424654521812},7.2525545677048413,7.2525545677048413,7.2525545677048413]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FFI!$B49","v":155.52199999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FFI!$H49","v":2693.8932930000001},null,{"$f":"EFI!$B45","v":16800},157.18472186001807,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":2693.8932930000001},null,45257.407322400002,7.1137729820769895,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J45","v":246.15387999999999},null,null,7.1137729820769895,157.18472186001807,-0.16396565182577483,-2.2529752725929719,7.1137729820769904,7.1137729820769895,7.1137729820769895]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FFI!$B50","v":97.284000000000006},null,null,{"$f":"FFI!$H50","v":2770.874049},null,{"$f":"EFI!$B46","v":16700},154.66511952128255,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":2770.874049},null,46273.596618299998,7.1569113516489855,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$J46","v":276.02},null,null,7.1569113516489855,154.66511952128255,-0.12082728225377881,-1.6602311285392219,7.1569113516489846,7.1569113516489855,7.1569113516489855]
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[16,2016,{"$f":"FFI!$B57","v":132.51400000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FFI!$H57","v":3346},null,{"$f":"EFI!$B53","v":14242},{"$f":"EFI!$F53","v":137},3343.0923784235115,null,47632.342489716793,6.5256309210912011,{"$f":"FFI!$L57*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":1.429},null,1.0783766243566717E-2,2.9076215764883675,null,8.6898433248307455E-4,{"$f":"FFI!$W57","v":0.72521137487345877},21.389510283212985,0.21306503519595715,4.5573567613170622,{"$f":"EFI!$J53","v":199.41818000000001},42.489041540413723,9.0881979095254299E-4,6.5265397408821535,136.95757849316297,-0.75119889302061083,-10.321872367347884,6.5285612840000002,6.5265397408821535,6.5265397408821535,2.0215431178467469E-3]
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[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FFI!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FFI!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":73.757092001842381},1,null,4688.8701006416823,7643.7570888456248,37.924349284430015,null,7.7663244928817221,61.047039465718797,2.3151692474783036E-3,null,{"$f":"FFI!$U136-FFI!$U135*(1-FFI!$F135)","v":74.752986867041727},1.0135023607651785,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FFI!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FFI!$F135)+O136)","v":4681.1037761488005},0.99834366823431109,7.0559705378753061E-5,35779.537030990447,0.10333470337719992,3697.267846070938,0.11461348416284066,1.1843550388994541E-2,4.2375674972143143E-4,2.7389259971997352E-3,7.6419680879516297E-2,-7.2749997079055646,-99.962365699910677,1.3592308288459578,2.7389259971997352E-3,2.7389259971997352E-3,1.3564919028487581]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FFI!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FFI!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":73.720364803925094},1,null,4689.5469329909911,7604.7732666723714,37.305224508934764,null,6.7580077843540494,52.860071883311669,1.9719568491653717E-3,null,{"$f":"FFI!$U137-FFI!$U136*(1-FFI!$F136)","v":74.611874425992028},1.0120931254808367,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FFI!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FFI!$F136)+O137)","v":4682.788925206637},0.99855892096167942,6.1789855958196575E-5,35610.081076931994,0.10230135634342792,3642.9595936695796,0.10387993879686856,1.0627058635791935E-2,3.784304196298611E-4,2.3503872687952328E-3,6.5905592558602274E-2,-7.2753882466339688,-99.967704428710221,1.3304140262054824,2.3503872687952328E-3,2.3503872687952328E-3,1.3280636389366871]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FFI!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FFI!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":73.685607529847985},1,null,4690.1826488581755,7566.1934291992075,36.696150894665408,null,5.8595369832555662,45.612918690767927,1.6738185470225239E-3,null,{"$f":"FFI!$U138-FFI!$U137*(1-FFI!$F137)","v":74.482986164698559},1.0108213620214446,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FFI!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FFI!$F137)+O138)","v":4684.32311187492},0.99875068042719362,5.4109980644124505E-5,35441.2162208441,0.10127834277999365,3589.42764495452,9.4151476752254465E-2,9.5355055357574312E-3,3.3794991346783494E-4,2.0117684604903591E-3,5.6690566874263354E-2,-7.275726865442274,-99.972357231254236,1.3022300368775805,2.0117684604903591E-3,2.0117684604903591E-3,1.3002182684170902]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FFI!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FFI!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":73.652701518684381},1,null,4690.7797409166042,7528.0092893402762,36.096967097111296,null,5.0599094534936739,39.205346520854548,1.4151941033941334E-3,null,{"$f":"FFI!$U139-FFI!$U138*(1-FFI!$F138)","v":74.365238876924195},1.0096742868020809,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FFI!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FFI!$F138)+O139)","v":4685.7198314631105},0.9989213073874782,4.7384616974376291E-5,35273.028117348513,0.10026555935219371,3536.6698942316048,8.5334002664615299E-2,8.556061508929241E-3,3.0179819817822447E-4,1.7169923015723579E-3,4.8623157844975833E-2,-7.2760216416011918,-99.976407612474929,1.2746645294708052,1.7169923015723579E-3,1.7169923015723579E-3,1.2729475371692329]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FFI!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FFI!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":73.621535188095052},1,null,4691.3405513228026,7490.2128124170849,35.507514301915094,null,4.3491712761824601,33.547386157010791,1.1911842937619291E-3,null,{"$f":"FFI!$U140-FFI!$U139*(1-FFI!$F139)","v":74.257643939707123},1.00864025383316,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FFI!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FFI!$F139)+O140)","v":4686.9913800466202},0.9990729363539903,4.1495136275173941E-5,35105.59171877287,9.9262903758671778E-2,3484.6829721717763,7.7342226740282349E-2,7.6772140094020173E-3,2.6951314055171055E-4,1.4606974343136397E-3,4.1568959044551816E-2,-7.2762779364684507,-99.979929240279262,1.2477034843252819,1.4606974343136397E-3,1.4606974343136397E-3,1.2462427868909682]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FFI!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FFI!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":73.592003620364849},1,null,4691.86728073421,7452.7962060110294,34.927636187163571,null,3.7183209728336806,28.558309091993912,9.9747423008572905E-4,null,{"$f":"FFI!$U141-FFI!$U140*(1-FFI!$F140)","v":74.159299297904909},1.0077086592242621,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FFI!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FFI!$F140)+O141)","v":4688.1489597613763},0.99920749655726582,3.6337652103090792E-5,34938.972359871208,9.8270274721085044E-2,3433.4624122769405,7.0098841359780603E-2,6.8886323980553981E-3,2.4068173695297089E-4,1.2381559670386999E-3,3.5408733283464978E-2,-7.2765004779357252,-99.982987078413728,1.2213331895690316,1.2381559670386999E-3,1.2381559670386999E-3,1.2200950336019929]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 4.7 million vehicles » 848 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .998).  ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2019 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .982).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Logarithmic Function"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FFI!$I$32","v":4700},"b:",null,{"$f":"FFI!$I$33","v":0.92554446227361176},"c:",null,{"$f":"FFI!$I$34","v":6.2811835329235829E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EFI!$C$32","v":-3722.9209999999998},"b:",null,{"$f":"EFI!$C$33","v":24597.481}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .981). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FFI!$N$32","v":4700},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FFI!$S$32","v":4700}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$G$32","v":405411.99088614807},null,{"$f":"EFI!$G$33","v":2.7388022236514001E-2},null,null,{"$f":"EFI!$G$34","v":1.6553287023559047E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FFI!$N$33","v":31.107772836509898},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FFI!$S$33","v":186.98731474914081}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FFI!$N$34","v":9.432513885738017E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FFI!$S$34","v":0.16903042486279568}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .836)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FFI!$X$32","v":15.624176070367692},null,"b:",{"$f":"FFI!$X$33","v":10.180246977526208},"c:",{"$f":"FFI!$X$34","v":0.13272425763749576},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!I42","v":0.21306503519595715},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EFI!$K$32","v":8557.0696503764557},"b:",{"$f":"EFI!$K$33","v":1.5546696738513948},"c:",{"$f":"EFI!$K$34","v":9.8342420805850803E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",2.4,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":28.558488237044855},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FFI!$F$47:$F$64)","v":1.5650962812458539E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":64},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":1.56098000400509E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":27}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.2074938116970198E-4},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":3.2074938116970198E-4}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.6917642945250366E-3},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.3710149133553348E-3}]
[null,3,4.4704776980637687E-3,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":2.7787134035387323E-3}]
[null,4,8.8969330142345052E-3,null,null,4.4264553161707364E-3]
[null,5,1.5151389155739515E-2,null,null,6.2544561415050094E-3]
[null,6,2.3370793648886761E-2,null,null,8.2194044931472466E-3]
[null,7,3.3655647268287375E-2,null,null,1.0284853619400614E-2]
[null,8,4.6073289348592152E-2,null,null,1.2417642080304776E-2]
[null,9,6.0659644142353392E-2,null,null,1.458635479376124E-2]
[null,10,7.742031350690412E-2,null,null,1.6760669364550729E-2]
[null,11,9.6331463878372534E-2,null,null,1.8911150371468413E-2]
[null,12,0.11734075790601844,null,null,2.1009294027645911E-2]
[null,13,0.14036847838912284,null,null,2.3027720483104391E-2]
[null,14,0.165308931626516,null,null,2.4940453237393162E-2]
[null,15,0.19203217730619124,null,null,2.6723245679675239E-2]
[null,16,0.22038610294687946,null,null,2.8353925640688227E-2]
[null,17,0.25019883809962457,null,null,2.9812735152745101E-2]
[null,18,0.28128148485047577,null,null,3.1082646750851206E-2]
[null,19,0.31343112563229553,null,null,3.2149640781819755E-2]
[null,20,0.34643405654638276,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":3.3002930914087236E-2}]
[null,21,0.38006918420410662,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":3.3635127657723862E-2}]
[null,22,0.41411151655158951,null,null,3.4042332347482884E-2]
[null,23,0.4483356733031954,null,null,3.4224156751605894E-2]
[null,24,0.48251933952987819,null,null,3.4183666226682785E-2]
[null,25,0.51644658661900178,null,null,3.3927247089123591E-2]
[null,26,0.54991098815927086,null,null,3.3464401540269084E-2]
[null,27,0.58271846413743811,null,null,3.2807475978167244E-2]
[null,28,0.61468979490394049,null,null,3.1971330766502382E-2]
[null,29,0.64566275633186587,null,null,3.0972961427925383E-2]
[null,30,0.67549383904683991,null,null,2.9831082714974033E-2]
[null,31,0.70405952708049524,null,null,2.8565688033655334E-2]
[null,32,0.73125712430008871,null,null,2.7197597219593472E-2]
[null,33,0.75700512998413361,null,null,2.5748005684044895E-2]
[null,34,0.78124317745381966,null,null,2.4238047469686053E-2]
[null,35,0.80393156127281984,null,null,2.268838381900018E-2]
[null,36,0.82505038878955683,null,null,2.1118827516736993E-2]
[null,37,0.8445984003843271,null,null,1.9548011594770265E-2]
[null,38,0.86259150945243412,null,null,1.7993109068107027E-2]
[null,39,0.87906111775070017,null,null,1.6469608298266047E-2]
[null,40,0.89405226420180817,null,null,1.4991146451107995E-2]
[null,41,0.90762166562646762,null,null,1.3569401424659455E-2]
[null,42,0.9198357062821676,null,null,1.2214040655699976E-2]
[null,43,0.93076842973005802,null,null,1.0932723447890424E-2]
[null,44,0.94049958169061942,null,null,9.7311519605614016E-3]
[null,45,0.94911274649127675,null,null,8.6131648006573247E-3]
[null,46,0.9566936127888146,null,null,7.5808662975378471E-3]
[null,47,0.96332839680884008,null,null,6.634784020025486E-3]
[null,48,0.96910244371770027,null,null,5.7740469088601865E-3]
[null,49,0.97409902023960693,null,null,4.9965765219066594E-3]
[null,50,0.97839830452735843,null,null,4.2992842877515036E-3]
[null,51,0.98207657281725502,null,null,3.6782682898965913E-3]
[null,52,0.98520557672378706,null,null,3.1290039065320352E-3]
[null,53,0.98785210027884207,null,null,2.6465235550550137E-3]
[null,54,0.9900776820604722,null,null,2.225581781630126E-3]
[null,55,0.99193848500346671,null,null,1.8608029429945105E-3]
[null,56,0.9934852947082411,null,null,1.5468097047743878E-3]
[null,57,0.9947636261977062,null,null,1.278331489465101E-3]
[null,58,0.99581391901575267,null,null,1.0502928180464721E-3]
[null,59,0.99667180119664434,null,null,8.5788218089166701E-4]
[null,60,0.99736840383053726,null,null,6.9660263389292876E-4]
[null,61,0.99793070957100605,null,null,5.6230574046878257E-4]
[null,62,0.99838192034337192,null,null,4.5121077236587315E-4]
[null,63,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B227,C$163,F$163,1)","v":0.99874183159427454},null,null,{"$f":"C227-C226","v":3.5991125090262255E-4}]
[null,64,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B228,C$163,F$163,1)","v":0.99902720256325761},null,null,{"$f":"C228-C227","v":2.8537096898306746E-4}]

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[null,"France",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C38","v":64756.584000000003},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":683.5243405012842}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":9.1519247770947967},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":426.267567217448},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":35595.730941720431},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.80419246540759481},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":20.23651592798797},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-9674.5515629915899}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":11762.576629287578},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10217.362057234797},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10217.362057234797}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":1632.7568730138062},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":35595.730941720431},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":35595.730941720431}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":37223.73312698619},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":8666.9704299955847},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":8666.9704299955847}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":117.37376762134858},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999203411},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999203411}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19751882900278175},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15057704023664201},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15057704023664201}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":56.038589999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":25.770193739971702},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":25.770193739971702}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":11.068676675766996},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":3.880399499689779},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":3.880399499689779}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":113.92246249273519},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":20.23651592798797},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":20.23651592798797}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":52.068539586419064},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":9.1519247770947967},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":9.1519247770947967}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":5.0481146625432913},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":426.267567217448},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":426.267567217448}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-9674.5515629915899},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1545.2145720527787}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":112},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2071},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2071}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":52.068539586419064},{"$f":"AA64","v":52.068539586419064}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($G$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 0.0m to\n44.3m total Stock"},7.2444405251412221,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":59.312980111560286}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 11,763 to\n10,217 yearly km"},-7.6011286083960243,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":51.711851503164262}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 117 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-16.420489094704102,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":35.291362408460159}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 1.6m to\n35.6m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-18.481297270304889},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":16.81006513815527}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1975 to\n.1506 kWh/km EV"},-0.73918794008382349,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":16.070877198071447}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 56 to 26\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-1.2807259397220321,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":14.790151258349415}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 34.11%\nto 3.56% PHEV"},-5.6382264812546197,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":9.1519247770947949}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":9.1519247770947949}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.253]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.55200000000000005,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$10","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C10","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D10","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E10","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F10","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G10","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H10","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I10","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"France"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J37","v":79.765659999999997}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J38","v":68.632514999999998}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J39","v":75.212239999999994}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J40","v":80.857759999999999}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J41","v":77.185239999999993}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FFR!$B46","v":2118.0419999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FFR!$H46","v":30100},null,{"$f":"EFR!$B42","v":12992},{"$f":"EFR!$F42","v":158},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":30100},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":391059.20000000001},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":61.787353600000003},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J42","v":85.532555000000002},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":61.787353600000003},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":158},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":61.787353600000003},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":61.787353600000003},{"$f":"AF46","v":61.787353600000003}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FFR!$B47","v":2045.7449999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FFR!$H47","v":31605},null,{"$f":"EFR!$B43","v":12829},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":149.41403378478674},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":31605},null,405460.54499999998,60.581495569028043,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J43","v":76.573239999999998},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":60.581495569028043},149.41403378478674,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-1.2058580309719602},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-1.9516259569530423},60.581495569028043,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":60.581495569028043},60.581495569028043]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FFR!$B48","v":2109.672},null,null,{"$f":"FFR!$H48","v":32869.200000000004},null,{"$f":"EFR!$B44","v":12780},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":147.30772273324567},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":32869.200000000004},null,420068.37600000005,61.879315860812795,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$J44","v":80.111770000000007},null,null,61.879315860812795,147.30772273324567,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":9.1962260812792351E-2},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":0.14883670436532881},61.879315860812795,61.879315860812795,61.879315860812795]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.statista.com/statistics/455887/passenger-cars-registered-in-france/#:~:text=The%20French%20fleet%20has%20grown,car%20sales%20in%20the%20country. (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 46 million vehicles » 710 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .958). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2019 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .613).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FFR!$I$32","v":46000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FFR!$I$33","v":0.4873227238130719},"c:",null,{"$f":"FFR!$I$34","v":5.0765870915086185E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EFR!$C$32","v":18539440967.038425},"b:",{"$f":"EFR!$C$33","v":1.3714252393255184E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"EFR!$C$34","v":5.2166875771431434E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .966). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FFR!$N$32","v":46000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FFR!$S$32","v":46000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$G$32","v":245149598.75514287},null,{"$f":"EFR!$G$33","v":4.6746247768579643E-5},null,null,{"$f":"EFR!$G$34","v":1.4198057092913561E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FFR!$N$33","v":30.266889216815169},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FFR!$S$33","v":174.22761300909082}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FFR!$N$34","v":9.5420197217970973E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FFR!$S$34","v":0.16834969563419983}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .409)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FFR!$X$32","v":7.4470713189972191},null,"b:",{"$f":"FFR!$X$33","v":25.853040274175903},"c:",{"$f":"FFR!$X$34","v":0.13043583088915628},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!I43","v":0.19751882900278175},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EFR!$K$32","v":5106.798634697082},"b:",{"$f":"EFR!$K$33","v":1.1116590232643075},"c:",{"$f":"EFR!$K$34","v":4.1411308008718457E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",3,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":13.028684851617234},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FFR!$F$47:$F$64)","v":4.0301428459655259E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":25},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.9965823607273784E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":12}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":4.5206416249753627E-4},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":4.5206416249753627E-4}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.6107963344068862E-3},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":3.1587321719093501E-3}]
[null,3,1.213427081690098E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":8.5234744824940929E-3}]
[null,4,2.8523935319066974E-2,null,null,1.6389664502165995E-2]
[null,5,5.4953169648088648E-2,null,null,2.6429234329021674E-2]
[null,6,9.3049981563542161E-2,null,null,3.8096811915453513E-2]
[null,7,0.14366452227406706,null,null,5.0614540710524902E-2]
[null,8,0.20666459024100275,null,null,6.3000067966935691E-2]
[null,9,0.28080970269385536,null,null,7.4145112452852602E-2]
[null,10,0.36375169445174316,null,null,8.2941991757887801E-2]
[null,11,0.45219365756154051,null,null,8.844196310979735E-2]
[null,12,0.54220944126668535,null,null,9.0015783705144847E-2]
[null,13,0.62968805144399731,null,null,8.7478610177311955E-2]
[null,14,0.71083115742334191,null,null,8.1143105979344599E-2]
[null,15,0.78260982821206193,null,null,7.1778670788720023E-2]
[null,16,0.84308852233200915,null,null,6.0478694119947218E-2]
[null,17,0.89155296663716399,null,null,4.8464444305154841E-2]
[null,18,0.92842677983031596,null,null,3.6873813193151972E-2]
[null,19,0.95501423449519296,null,null,2.6587454664876997E-2]
[null,20,0.97314574491585404,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":1.8131510420661079E-2}]
[null,21,0.98481599628503691,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":1.1670251369182871E-2}]
[null,22,0.99189008225736441,null,null,7.074085972327504E-3]
[null,23,0.99591938789541823,null,null,4.029305638053815E-3]
[null,24,0.99807098922332815,null,null,2.1516013279099244E-3]
[null,25,0.99914559018184457,null,null,1.074600958516414E-3]
[null,26,0.99964637594292804,null,null,5.0078576108347761E-4]
[null,27,0.99986360981129718,null,null,2.1723386836913772E-4]
[null,28,0.99995111090775179,null,null,8.7501096454611904E-5]
[null,29,0.99998375760409408,null,null,3.2646696342286674E-5]
[null,30,0.99999501208268105,null,null,1.1254478586963934E-5]
[null,31,0.99999858797887364,null,null,3.5758961925980159E-6]
[null,32,0.99999963251662349,null,null,1.0445377498502495E-6]
[null,33,0.99999991231394814,null,null,2.7979732464267215E-7]
[null,34,0.99999998086883535,null,null,6.8554887211469406E-8]
[null,35,0.99999999619379532,null,null,1.532495996769967E-8]
[null,36,0.99999999931134065,null,null,3.1175453329979064E-9]
[null,37,0.9999999998869944,null,null,5.7565374689261262E-10]
[null,38,0.99999999998322742,null,null,9.6233021551483944E-11]
[null,39,0.99999999999775446,null,null,1.4527046232615248E-11]
[null,40,0.99999999999972955,null,null,1.9750867608081535E-12]
[null,41,0.9999999999999708,null,null,2.4125146325104652E-13]
[null,42,0.99999999999999722,null,null,2.6423307986078726E-14]
[null,43,0.99999999999999978,null,null,2.55351295663786E-15]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Germany",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C39","v":83294.633000000002},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":676.64190765538467}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":18.369872897605404},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":541.5414856168926},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":48344.329658324481},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.85776758741960191},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":27.302264242765098},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-10398.847037142747}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":13408.627608414508},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11938.000000027932},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11938.000000027932}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":2966.6612662642783},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":48344.329658324481},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":48344.329658324481}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":46234.213119745364},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":8016.3097122506733},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":8016.3097122506733}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":128.54507587301086},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000007233},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000007233}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.193077215136986},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14719100826610956},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14719100826610956}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":380.95047},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":121.72520096927352},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":121.72520096927352}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":73.552855852725926},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":17.916855062062186},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":17.916855062062186}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":126.11049181703756},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":27.302264242765098},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":27.302264242765098}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":83.197134775908239},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":18.369872897605404},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":18.369872897605404}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":4.3593692282679086},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":541.5414856168926},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":541.5414856168926}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-10398.847037142747},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1470.627608386576}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":123},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2082},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2082}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":83.197134775908239},{"$f":"AA64","v":83.197134775908239}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 49.2m to\n56.4m total Stock"},12.106937931861339,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":95.304072707769578}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 13,409 to\n11,938 yearly km"},-10.244640847697156,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":85.059431860072422}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 129 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-31.40041364664981,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":53.659018213422613}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 3.0m to\n48.3m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-2.5643040178955019},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":51.094714195527111}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1931 to\n.1472 kWh/km EV"},-7.4072358069160842,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":43.687478388611027}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 381 to 122\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-16.168290816096004,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":27.519187572515023}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 39.87%\nto 1.56% PHEV"},-9.1493146749096184,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":18.369872897605404}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":18.369872897605404}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.76300000000000001]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.152,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$11","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C11","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D11","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E11","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F11","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G11","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H11","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I11","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Germany"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J37","v":573.1259}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J38","v":565.44719999999995}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J39","v":569.56619999999998}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J40","v":569.95496000000003}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J41","v":554.65880000000004}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FDE!$B46","v":3319.259},null,null,{"$f":"IF(a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*(B46-2000)))*(1+F$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*(B46-2000)))*(1+F$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":39096.365777144987},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B42","v":14142},{"$f":"EDE!$F42","v":178},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":39096.365777144987},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":552900.80482038436},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":98.416343258028419},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J42","v":546.27124000000003},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":98.416343258028419},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":178.00000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":98.416343258028434},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":98.416343258028419},{"$f":"AF46","v":98.416343258028419}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FDE!$B47","v":3467.9609999999998},null,null,{"$f":"IF(a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*(B47-2000)))*(1+F$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*(B47-2000)))*(1+F$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":39803.386152072948},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B43","v":14213},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":173.2750204430844},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":39803.386152072948},null,565725.52737941279,98.026102321842458,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J43","v":536.16314999999997},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":98.026102321842458},173.2750204430844,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-0.39024093618596112},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-0.39652045917091799},98.026102321842458,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":98.026102321842458},98.026102321842458]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FDE!$B48","v":3148.163},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H48","v":41180},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B44","v":14270},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":170.25808037036563},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":41180},null,587638.6,100.05021998752915,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J44","v":551.78264999999999},null,null,100.05021998752915,170.25808037036563,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":1.6338767295007273},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":1.6601680934405598},100.05021998752915,100.05021998752915,100.05021998752915]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FDE!$B49","v":3090.04},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H49","v":41320},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B45","v":14147},{"$f":"EDE!$F45","v":174},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":41320},null,584554.04,101.71240296000001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J45","v":525.40764999999999},null,null,101.71240296000001,174,3.2960597019715863,3.3490979169282502,101.71240296000001,101.71240296000001,101.71240296000001]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FDE!$B50","v":3807.1750000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H50","v":41740},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B46","v":14255},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64)),0)","v":164.38086597191617},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":41740},null,595003.69999999995,97.807223462494207,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$J46","v":521.54909999999995},null,null,97.807223462494207,164.38086597191617,-0.60911979553421247,-0.61892138578774403,97.807223462494221,97.807223462494207,97.807223462494207]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FDE!$B51","v":2916.259},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H51","v":42300},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B47","v":14200},{"$f":"EDE!$F47","v":169},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":42299.856},null,600657.95520000008,101.51119442880001,{"$f":"FDE!$L51*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":0.14399999999999999},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":4.9378330251188247E-5},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0.14399999999999999},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":3.4042553191489359E-6},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":2.0448},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.193077215136986},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0.39480428951210894},{"$f":"EDE!$J47","v":516.63699999999994},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":99.750833196727029},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":2.039705037206674E-4},101.51139839930373,168.99976425815555,3.09505514127531,3.1448589114520136,101.51154,101.51139839930373,101.51139839930373,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":1.4160069626711902E-4}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FDE!$B52","v":3173.634},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H52","v":42930},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B48","v":14200},{"$f":"EDE!$F48","v":162},42927.99400004698,null,609580.071240152,98.75197154090462,{"$f":"FDE!$L52*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":1.8620000000000001},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":5.867091164261538E-4},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":2.0059999530235184},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":4.6727229280771454E-5},{"$f":"FDE!$W52","v":0.13461935731749169},25.928759848093822,0.193077215136986,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":5.0062527434256552},{"$f":"EDE!$J48","v":529.66949999999997},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":102.2671120029998},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":2.651659387483895E-3},98.754623200292102,161.99745934307091,0.33827994226368219,0.3437233401131134,98.756172000000007,98.754623200292102,98.754623200292102,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":1.548799707904891E-3}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FDE!$B53","v":3082.5039999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H53","v":43430},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B49","v":14047},{"$f":"EDE!$F49","v":156},43421.70600356692,null,609955.68911799404,95.153087502407075,{"$f":"FDE!$L53*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":6.2880000000000003},null,2.0399000293268073E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":8.2939964330805402},null,1.9097389898872991E-4,{"$f":"FDE!$W53","v":0.14142929686553721},105.52088200599064,0.193077215136986,20.37367803651517,{"$f":"EDE!$J49","v":534.16363999999999},103.13482803863553,1.0882878020172996E-2,95.163970380427244,155.99085603299909,-3.2523728776011751,-3.3047081103939098,95.169548759999998,95.163970380427244,95.163970380427244,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":5.5783795727535335E-3}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FDE!$B54","v":2952.431},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H54","v":43850},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B50","v":14028},{"$f":"EDE!$F50","v":150},43834.99207155445,null,614932.40184971737,92.239860277457609,{"$f":"FDE!$L54*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":6.7140000000000004},null,2.2740582252387949E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":15.00792844555172},null,3.4225606489285561E-4,{"$f":"FDE!$W54","v":0.10782061160410697},195.39815028259267,0.193077215136986,37.726930699481265,{"$f":"EDE!$J50","v":538.02670000000001},103.88069690534263,2.0298096025370596E-2,92.26015837348298,149.98534999309572,-6.1561848845454392,-6.2552465177507415,92.269170000000003,92.26015837348298,92.26015837348298,9.0116265170223642E-3]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FDE!$B55","v":3036.7730000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H55","v":44400},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B51","v":14107},{"$f":"EDE!$F51","v":145},44371.712693356749,null,625998.19815422979,90.769738732363308,{"$f":"FDE!$L55*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":13.28},null,4.3730631166702281E-3,28.287306643250464,null,6.3710150097410958E-4,{"$f":"FDE!$W55","v":0.17459203629269998},352.60184577018737,0.193077215136986,68.079382433468822,{"$f":"EDE!$J51","v":521.68079999999998},100.72467605443497,3.5515706691397961E-2,90.805254439054707,144.97507537158845,-7.6110888189737125,-7.7335618932913661,90.820865999999995,90.805254439054707,90.805254439054707,1.5611560945288261E-2]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FDE!$B56","v":3206.0419999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$H56","v":45070},null,{"$f":"EDE!$B52","v":14107},{"$f":"EDE!$F52","v":141},45017.496089728804,null,635202.30595955288,89.563525140296946,{"$f":"FDE!$L56*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":24.22},null,7.5544861857704919E-3,52.50391027119413,null,1.1649414304680304E-3,{"$f":"FDE!$W56","v":0.28451560774256074},600.18404044712213,0.193077215136986,115.8818630991945,{"$f":"EDE!$J52","v":503.59064000000001},97.231878340252464,5.8357021602515741E-2,89.621882161899464,140.95868382317826,-8.7944610961289555,-8.9359762870599635,89.648151089999999,89.621882161899464,89.621882161899464,2.6268928100535049E-2]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.statista.com/statistics/587764/number-of-registered-cars-germany/ (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 60 million vehicles » 720 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .987). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .565).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FDE!$I$32","v":60000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FDE!$I$33","v":0.53037435502114794},"c:",null,{"$f":"FDE!$I$34","v":4.2744814571673631E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EDE!$C$32","v":16450738309.971521},"b:",{"$f":"EDE!$C$33","v":2.0914750064665892E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"EDE!$C$34","v":4.3034274819282355E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .940). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FDE!$N$32","v":59000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FDE!$S$32","v":59000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$G$32","v":243028950.34390506},null,{"$f":"EDE!$G$33","v":4.5103479348931979E-5},null,null,{"$f":"EDE!$G$34","v":1.7565346871939662E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FDE!$N$33","v":31.95162746266244},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FDE!$S$33","v":124.18841977225338}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FDE!$N$34","v":0.10155439585746838},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FDE!$S$34","v":0.15812008766715713}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .873)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FDE!$X$32","v":8.118996205547079},null,"b:",{"$f":"FDE!$X$33","v":21.358794480512071},"c:",{"$f":"FDE!$X$34","v":0.14776828024805644},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!I44","v":0.193077215136986},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EDE!$K$32","v":29443.721221932687},"b:",{"$f":"EDE!$K$33","v":1.1717060269135671},"c:",{"$f":"EDE!$K$34","v":5.2128229819628273E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":12.05258831177504},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FDE!$F$47:$F$64)","v":6.0121552553879715E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":17},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.8801153079909727E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":11}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.2622556740804525E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":3.2622556740804525E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.0878221766549795E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":2.055199619914175E-5}]
[null,3,2.3779020085920526E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":2.1691197909265547E-4}]
[null,4,1.3353277974244751E-3,null,null,1.0975375965652698E-3]
[null,5,5.0843062593114597E-3,null,null,3.7489784618869844E-3]
[null,6,1.5105137962834612E-2,null,null,1.0020831703523152E-2]
[null,7,3.7652934122989555E-2,null,null,2.2547796160154943E-2]
[null,8,8.1963463543139936E-2,null,null,4.4310529420150381E-2]
[null,9,0.15917327107144108,null,null,7.7209807528301144E-2]
[null,10,0.27835764833167187,null,null,0.11918437726023079]
[null,11,0.43894065048348846,null,null,0.16058300215181659]
[null,12,0.62246971319347477,null,null,0.18352906270998631]
[null,13,0.79291558390749417,null,null,0.1704458707140194]
[null,14,0.91425071700777494,null,null,0.12133513310028077]
[null,15,0.97566680252825366,null,null,6.1416085520478725E-2]
[null,16,0.99580204468447342,null,null,2.0135242156219757E-2]
[null,17,0.99961960235846536,null,null,3.8175576739919448E-3]
[null,18,0.99998482192921068,null,null,3.6521957074531208E-4]
[null,19,0.99999978391018962,null,null,1.4961980978944744E-5]
[null,20,0.99999999914373372,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":2.1523354409858086E-7}]
[null,21,0.99999999999929401,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":8.5556028928124306E-10}]
[null,22,0.99999999999999989,null,null,7.0587979905667453E-13]
[null,23,1,null,null,0]
[null,24,1,null,null,0]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"HK","index":12,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[2,0,2,2],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[4,28,4,29],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[18,26,18,29],[15,28,15,29],[144,27,145,29],[16,28,16,29],[17,26,17,29],[7,28,7,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[11,28,11,29],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[37,10,37,15],[10,33,17,33],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[11,30,11,31],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[15,30,15,31],[16,30,16,31],[17,30,17,31]]}
[null,"Hong Kong",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C40","v":7491.6090000000004},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":103.14625427599837}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.31664687004745157},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":8.6068360298766269},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":772.36567369378793},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.99952670080013872},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":38.352866750493696},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-13455.482043667707}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":16450.653059113152},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10689.426459448103},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10689.426459448103}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":75.257676681013535},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":772.36567369378793},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":772.36567369378793}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":619.07746426087306},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":65},{"$f":"$K91","v":0}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":155.63768909867042},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000040586},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000040586}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.18094129129907116},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.13793927514640383},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.13793927514640383}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":693.16885711612645},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":278.04162490600311},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":278.04162490600311}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":125.42286809489327},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":38.352860200062374},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":38.352860200062374}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":152.38763518677726},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":38.352866750493696},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":38.352866750493696}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":1.7406121819907547},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.31664687004745157},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.31664687004745157}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.11154369793097807},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":8.6068360298766269},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":8.6068360298766269}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-13455.482043667707},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-5761.2265996650513}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":138},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2097},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2024},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2097}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":1.7406121819907547},{"$f":"AA64","v":1.7406121819907547}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 0.7m to\n0.8m total Stock"},0.19652972666450808,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":1.9371419086552628}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 16,451 to\n10,689 yearly km"},-0.67568799610703079,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.261453912548232}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 156 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-0.56438605868398928,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.69706785386424275}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.1m to\n0.8m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":0.33590610724233194},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.0329739611065747}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1809 to\n.1379 kWh/km EV"},-0.24422724286149955,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.78874671824507514}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 693 to 278\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.46917559092335481,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.31957112732172033}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 1.14%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-2.6114990597936316E-3,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.3169596282619267}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":0.3169596282619267}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.43]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.03,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$12","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C12","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D12","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E12","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F12","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G12","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H12","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I12","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Hong Kong"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J37","v":792.38649999999996}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J38","v":796.35350000000005}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J39","v":807.18664999999999}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J40","v":866.49739999999997}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J41","v":829.41974000000005}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FHK!$B46","v":27.483000000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H46","v":291.12282654435955},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B42","v":21927.957819138875},{"$f":"EHK!$F42","v":201},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":291.12282654435955},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":6383.7290606531997},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":1.2831295411912931},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J42","v":835.07029999999997},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":1.2831295411912931},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":1.2831295411912931},{"$f":"AF46","v":1.2831295411912931}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FHK!$B47","v":27.876999999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H47","v":325.51463389647171},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B43","v":21580.630369252267},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":207.28585218052166},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":325.51463389647171},null,7024.8109939022306,{"$f":"I47*L47/1000000","v":1.4561439332781212},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J43","v":828.74929999999995},null,null,1.4561439332781212,{"$f":"IF(L47<>\"\",(M47+Z47)/(L47+U47)*1000000,0)","v":207.28585218052166},{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":0.17301439208682812},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":13.483782153920076},null,1.4561439332781212,1.4561439332781212]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FHK!$B48","v":33.462000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H48","v":359.36987758057239},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B44","v":21542},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":204.71099942654669},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":359.36987758057239},null,7741.5459028406904,1.5847795988770055,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J44","v":847.22209999999995},null,null,1.5847795988770055,204.71099942654669,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":0.3016500576857124},23.508932496843002,{"$f":"F48*H48*I48/1000000000","v":1.5847795988770055},1.5847795988770055,1.5847795988770055]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FHK!$B49","v":35.182000000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H49","v":392.30040685379333},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B45","v":20915},{"$f":"EHK!$F45","v":204},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":392.30040685379333},null,8204.9630093470878,1.673812453906806,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J45","v":825.46795999999995},null,null,1.673812453906806,204,0.39068291271551292,30.447659427495687,1.673812453906806,1.673812453906806,1.673812453906806]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FHK!$B50","v":28.797000000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H50","v":423.99347471154118},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B46","v":20473},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64)),0)","v":199.28053072812719},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":423.99347471154118},null,8680.4184077693826,1.7298383872424874,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$J46","v":837.13103999999998},null,null,1.7298383872424874,199.28053072812719,0.44670884605119432,34.814009942944452,1.7298383872424872,1.7298383872424874,1.7298383872424874]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FHK!$B51","v":41.637999999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H51","v":454.21014118591211},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B47","v":20202},{"$f":"EHK!$F47","v":202},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":454.21014118591211},null,9175.9532722377971,1.8535425609920351,{"$f":"FHK!$L51*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":0},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.18094129129907116},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0},{"$f":"EHK!$J47","v":799.8954},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":144.73410658018705},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":0},1.8535425609920351,202,0.57041301980074199,44.454827161967977,1.8535425609920348,1.8535425609920351,1.8535425609920351,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":0}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FHK!$B52","v":44.844999999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H52","v":482.78012074207663},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B48","v":19951},{"$f":"EHK!$F48","v":202},482.78012074207663,null,9631.9461889251706,1.9456531301628845,{"$f":"FHK!$L52*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":0},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":0},null,0,0.18094129129907116,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":0},{"$f":"EHK!$J48","v":838.33716000000004},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":151.68980827439603},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":0},1.9456531301628845,202,0.66252358897159147,51.633414063282046,1.9456531301628848,1.9456531301628845,1.9456531301628845,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":0}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FHK!$B53","v":45.283000000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H53","v":509.89600000000002},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B49","v":19480},{"$f":"EHK!$F49","v":199},509.80700000000002,null,9931.0403599999991,1.9762770316399998,{"$f":"FHK!$L53*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":8.8999999999999996E-2},null,1.965417485590619E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":8.8999999999999996E-2},null,1.7454539749282204E-4,null,1.7337199999999999,0.18094129129907116,0.31370153555102565,{"$f":"EHK!$J49","v":812.09454000000005},146.94143472452521,2.5475530421060382E-4,1.9765317869442105,198.99091341703109,0.69340224575291742,54.03992531487846,1.97662204192,1.9765317869442105,1.9765317869442105,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":9.0254975789516578E-5}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FHK!$B54","v":46.146999999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H54","v":533.24699999999996},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B50","v":19283},{"$f":"EHK!$F50","v":197},532.97100099686008,null,10277.279812222452,2.0246241230078228,{"$f":"FHK!$L54*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":0.187},null,4.0522677530500355E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":0.27599900313982983},null,5.1758191445958415E-4,null,5.3220887775453383,0.18094129129907116,0.96298561581734854,{"$f":"EHK!$J50","v":854.39639999999997},154.59558789727771,8.2277144340612565E-4,2.0254468944512287,196.97805224320228,0.74231735325993564,{"$f":"(AC54/M$46*100)","v":57.852097503011869},2.0256725744969999,2.0254468944512287,2.0254468944512287,2.2568004577117051E-4]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FHK!$B55","v":48.5},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H55","v":557.00099999999998},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B51","v":18615},{"$f":"EHK!$F51","v":190},555.94701704608917,null,10348.97854191154,1.9663059229631925,{"$f":"FHK!$L55*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":0.77800000000000002},null,1.6041237113402062E-2,1.0539829539108136,null,1.8922460712113868E-3,{"$f":"FHK!$W55","v":1.8975332068311196E-3},19.595073088457706,0.18094129129907116,3.545557827725216,{"$f":"EHK!$J51","v":860.59379999999999},155.71695345597459,3.0512850840817892E-3,1.9693572080472743,189.93521010433361,0.68622766685598124,53.480778427006555,1.9700289868500001,1.9693572080472743,1.9693572080472743,6.7177880272573098E-4]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FHK!$B56","v":45.1},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H56","v":583.13599999999997},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B52","v":18586},{"$f":"EHK!$F52","v":186},579.50310489029255,null,10771.165100466,2.0034367086866758,{"$f":"FHK!$L56*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":2.5790000000000002},null,5.7184035476718409E-2,3.6328951097074369,null,6.2299276836062893E-3,{"$f":"FHK!$W56","v":1.1560693641618498E-2},67.00059553400105,0.18094129129907116,12.12317427372893,{"$f":"EHK!$J52","v":814.8442},147.43896175555861,9.8784982425372311E-3,2.0133152069292128,185.7616190230658,0.73018566573791976,56.906621061813844,2.0158988194559999,2.0133152069292128,2.0133152069292128,2.5836125267870713E-3]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FHK!$B57","v":36.299999999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H57","v":598.28700000000003},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B53","v":18520},{"$f":"EHK!$F53","v":178},592.93946978036433,null,10983.374766036974,1.9550407083545813,{"$f":"FHK!$L57*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":1.7150000000000001},null,4.7245179063360884E-2,5.3475302196356873,null,8.9380685517747947E-3,{"$f":"FHK!$W57","v":3.234854151084518E-2},96.900473963027665,0.18094129129907116,17.533296886362248,{"$f":"EHK!$J53","v":815.32010000000002},147.52507171608784,1.4295249370718556E-2,1.9693359577252998,177.7334872166316,0.68620641653400671,53.479122294769525,1.97228899272,1.9693359577252998,1.9693359577252998,2.9530349947002321E-3]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FHK!$B58","v":37.299999999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$H58","v":615.69299999999998},null,{"$f":"EHK!$B54","v":18035},{"$f":"EHK!$F54","v":175},606.18175046862746,null,10936.719304273685,1.913925878247895,{"$f":"FHK!$L58*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":4.165},null,0.11166219839142093,9.5112495313725418,null,1.5448039089891459E-2,{"$f":"FHK!$W58","v":3.7001997266897929E-2},167.30395072631435,0.18094129129907116,30.272192883855492,{"$f":"EHK!$J54","v":810.50360000000001},146.65356798654585,2.453572131225926E-2,1.9384615995601542,174.57290524741018,0.6553320583688611,51.072946053477395,1.9432040696249997,1.9384615995601542,1.9384615995601542,4.7424700648455165E-3]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.td.gov.hk/mini_site/atd/2022/files/en/Section%203.2_EN.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit resulted to 776 thousand vehicles » 104 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = 1.000). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://www.td.gov.hk/filemanager/en/content_5200/Annual%20Traffic%20Census%202022.pdf (Last retrieved 07/23/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .991).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Logarithmic Function"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FHK!$I$32","v":776.02255833885147},"b:",null,{"$f":"FHK!$I$33","v":1.794636996637726},"c:",null,{"$f":"FHK!$I$34","v":0.1209124515706643},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EHK!$C$32","v":10817955388.859219},"b:",{"$f":"EHK!$C$33","v":1.375069878613483E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"EHK!$C$34","v":1.5968276333037473E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .754). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FHK!$N$32","v":776.02255833885147},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FHK!$S$32","v":776.02255833885147}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$G$32","v":19116.026948251772},null,{"$f":"EHK!$G$33","v":0.75861580218108571},null,null,{"$f":"EHK!$G$34","v":3.242318463857926E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FHK!$N$33","v":409.82757609635183},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FHK!$S$33","v":451.7924974405305}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FHK!$N$34","v":0.22741891598134376},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FHK!$S$34","v":0.23148083234954495}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .748)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FHK!$X$32","v":0.26834414771594167},null,"b:",{"$f":"FHK!$X$33","v":1412.4859225908033},"c:",{"$f":"FHK!$X$34","v":0.40591510695796384},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!I45","v":0.18094129129907116},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EHK!$K$32","v":49150.76084780461},"b:",{"$f":"EHK!$K$33","v":1.4456808579416607},"c:",{"$f":"EHK!$K$34","v":4.6907130013576361E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",4,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":17.285754179599653},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FHK!$F$47:$F$64)","v":3.5684320515202206E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":28},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.567773485332474E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":16}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.1200676069216409E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.1200676069216409E-5}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.7919576327700689E-4},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.6799508720779049E-4}]
[null,3,9.0684840680263241E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":7.2765264352562555E-4}]
[null,4,2.8632820983061874E-3,null,null,1.956433691503555E-3]
[null,5,6.9760155939931389E-3,null,null,4.1127334956869519E-3]
[null,6,1.4411306027107501E-2,null,null,7.4352904331143619E-3]
[null,7,2.6534577796649798E-2,null,null,1.2123271769542298E-2]
[null,8,4.4841731556452102E-2,null,null,1.8307153759802304E-2]
[null,9,7.08527484089298E-2,null,null,2.6011016852477697E-2]
[null,10,0.10596234764969416,null,null,3.5109599240764358E-2]
[null,11,0.15124950485727612,null,null,4.528715720758196E-2]
[null,12,0.20725884239219017,null,null,5.600933753491405E-2]
[null,13,0.27378146771073286,null,null,6.6522625318542694E-2]
[null,14,0.34967795284899039,null,null,7.589648513825753E-2]
[null,15,0.43279665228889158,null,null,8.3118699439901189E-2]
[null,16,0.52003957088249231,null,null,8.7242918593600727E-2]
[null,17,0.60760916392206232,null,null,8.7569593039570015E-2]
[null,18,0.69143067853890294,null,null,8.382151461684062E-2]
[null,19,0.76769206486619357,null,null,7.6261386327290626E-2]
[null,20,0.83339311233236046,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":6.5701047466166895E-2}]
[null,21,0.88676963215738436,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":5.3376519825023894E-2}]
[null,22,0.9274761835051899,null,null,4.0706551347805542E-2]
[null,23,0.95647526778392322,null,null,2.8999084278733323E-2]
[null,24,0.97567221862481968,null,null,1.9196950840896454E-2]
[null,25,0.98741549007909735,null,null,1.1743271454277671E-2]
[null,26,0.9940148196850529,null,null,6.5993296059555506E-3]
[null,27,0.99740074867450401,null,null,3.3859289894511146E-3]
[null,28,0.99897657589309263,null,null,1.5758272185886213E-3]
[null,29,0.9996373490430045,null,null,6.6077314991186409E-4]
[null,30,0.99988523206509616,null,null,2.4788302209166613E-4]
[null,31,0.99996781845784533,null,null,8.258639274916213E-5]
[null,32,0.9999920697491127,null,null,2.4251291267374242E-5]
[null,33,0.9999982971229503,null,null,6.2273738375973053E-6]
[null,34,0.9999996841348584,null,null,1.3870119081049737E-6]
[null,35,0.99999994984304552,null,null,2.6570818711935118E-7]
[null,36,0.99999999324471112,null,null,4.3401665594799965E-8]
[null,37,0.99999999923564431,null,null,5.9909331939778099E-9]
[null,38,0.999999999928051,null,null,6.9240668754133594E-10]
[null,39,0.99999999999442235,null,null,6.6371352858141108E-11]
[null,40,0.9999999999996475,null,null,5.2251536430958367E-12]
[null,41,0.99999999999998201,null,null,3.3451019731955967E-13]
[null,42,0.99999999999999922,null,null,1.7208456881689926E-14]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"India",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C41","v":1428627.6629999999},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":209.99170433844861}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":208.59498942747334},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":327.40224274393478},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":196867.15907704888},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.65622395585869675},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":69.380017944162489},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":16192.649617964487}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":11775.019151947445},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10021.858595506414},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10021.858595506414}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":159.21747572950866},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":196867.15907704888},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":196867.15907704888}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":59378.685330846078},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":103132.79874137591},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":91},{"$f":"$K91","v":103132.79874137591}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":125.37560451024828},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.12167533692421402},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":9.2758306619903655E-2},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":9.2758306619903655E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":713.44069999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":687.98716728162435},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":687.98716728162435}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":86.808137547947098},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":63.816524613267859},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":63.816524613267859}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":125.27266610920242},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":69.380017944162489},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":69.380017944162489}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":87.823648514519434},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":208.59498942747334},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":208.59498942747334}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.13922864917310562},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":327.40224274393478},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":327.40224274393478}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":16192.649617964487},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1753.1605564410311}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2050},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":87.823648514519434},{"$f":"AA64","v":87.823648514519434}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 59.5m to\n300.0m total Stock"},354.70270205935611,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":442.52635057387556}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 11,775 to\n10,022 yearly km"},-65.638850987265016,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":376.88749958661055}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 125 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-136.35208468847762,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":240.53541489813293}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.2m to\n196.9m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":13.395458596878569},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":253.9308734950115}]
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[]
[-0.64627999999999997]
[]
[-9.1829999999999995E-2]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$13","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C13","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D13","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E13","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F13","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G13","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H13","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I13","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
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[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J37","v":740.03740000000005}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J38","v":747.39369999999997}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J39","v":755.75750000000005}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J40","v":757.99603000000002}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J41","v":723.79425000000003}]
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[6,2006,{"$f":"FIN!$B47","v":1489.1869999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H47","v":11526},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B43","v":12803.699999999999},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":156.72507326662384},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":11526},null,147575.44619999998,23.128772618049698,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J43","v":723.02300000000002},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":23.128772618049698},156.72507326662381,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":2.1222268580496966},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":10.10269314287156},23.128772618049702,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":23.128772618049698},23.128772618049698]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FIN!$B48","v":1722.2809999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H48","v":12649},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B44","v":12740},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":154.94881993308775},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":12649},null,161148.26,24.969732721270407,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J44","v":717.86839999999995},null,null,24.969732721270407,154.94881993308772,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":3.9631869612704058},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":18.866438140519897},24.969732721270407,24.969732721270407,24.969732721270407]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FIN!$B49","v":1751.3530000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H49","v":13950},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B45","v":12668.024999999998},{"$f":"EIN!$F45","v":150},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":13950},null,176718.94874999998,26.507842312499996,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J45","v":733.07903999999996},null,null,26.507842312499996,150,5.5012965524999942,26.188487223708091,26.507842312499996,26.507842312499996,26.507842312499996]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FIN!$B50","v":2065.9450000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H50","v":15313},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B46","v":12605},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64)),0)","v":151.34787671279463},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":15313},null,193020.36499999999,29.213222405078621,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$J46","v":743.89275999999995},null,null,29.213222405078621,151.34787671279466,8.2066766450786197,39.067235226771615,29.213222405078621,29.213222405078621,29.213222405078621]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FIN!$B51","v":2727.527},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H51","v":17109},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B47","v":12569.096214564424},{"$f":"EIN!$F47","v":154},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":17109},null,215044.66713498274,33.116878738787342,{"$f":"FIN!$L51*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":0},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.12167533692421402},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0},{"$f":"EIN!$J47","v":738.81830000000002},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":89.895965578275039},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":0},33.116878738787342,154,12.110332978787341,57.650282522162463,33.116878738787342,33.116878738787342,33.116878738787342,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":0}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FIN!$B52","v":2950.2240000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H52","v":19231},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B48","v":12506.563397576543},{"$f":"EIN!$F48","v":150},19231,null,240513.72069879452,36.07705810481918,{"$f":"FIN!$L52*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":0},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":0},null,0,0.12167533692421402,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":0},{"$f":"EIN!$J48","v":721.29596000000004},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":87.763928955074405},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":0},36.07705810481918,150,15.070512344819178,71.741982318273244,36.077058104819173,36.07705810481918,36.07705810481918,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":0}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FIN!$B53","v":3285.0920000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H53","v":21568},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B49","v":12444.34168913089},{"$f":"EIN!$F49","v":146},21568,null,268399.56155117502,39.186335986471555,{"$f":"FIN!$L53*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":0},null,0,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":0},null,0,null,0,0.12167533692421402,0,{"$f":"EIN!$J49","v":741.20749999999998},90.186672293254361,0,39.186335986471555,146,18.179790226471553,86.543453808045555,39.186335986471555,39.186335986471555,39.186335986471555,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":0}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FIN!$B54","v":3027.0659999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H54","v":24056},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B50","v":12382.429541423773},{"$f":"EIN!$F50","v":147},24056,null,297871.72504849028,43.787143582128067,{"$f":"FIN!$L54*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":0},null,0,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":0},null,0,null,0,0.12167533692421402,0,{"$f":"EIN!$J50","v":736.66394000000003},89.633833099418979,0,43.787143582128067,147,22.780597822128065,108.44523455877338,43.787143582128074,43.787143582128067,43.787143582128067,0]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FIN!$B55","v":2961.1570000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H55","v":25998},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B51","v":12320.825414352013},{"$f":"EIN!$F51","v":142},25997.599999999999,null,320311.89079215791,45.484288492486428,{"$f":"FIN!$L55*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":0.4},null,1.350823343713285E-4,0.4,null,1.5385798907608277E-5,null,4.9283301657408058,0.12167533692421402,0.59965623339028007,{"$f":"EIN!$J51","v":741.50310000000002},90.222639522849164,4.4464695599321616E-4,45.484733139442419,141.99920336394374,24.478187379442417,116.52647540964591,45.484988315369954,45.484733139442419,45.484733139442419,2.5517592753487861E-4]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FIN!$B56","v":3144.9479999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H56","v":28611},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B52","v":12259.527775474642},{"$f":"EIN!$F52","v":139},28610.225000009028,null,350747.84805018967,48.753950878976369,{"$f":"FIN!$L56*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":0.375},null,1.1923885545961333E-4,{"$f":"N56+N55*(1-F$165)+N54*(1-F$166)+N53*(1-F$167)+N52*(1-F$168)+N51*(1-F$169)+N50*(1-F$170)+N49*(1-F$171)+N48*(1-F$172)+N47*(1-F$173)+N46*(1-F$174)+N45*(1-F$175)+N44*(1-F$176)+N43*(1-F$177)","v":0.77499999097028338},null,2.7087483519285706E-5,null,9.5011339152927867,0.12167533692421402,1.1560536703053266,{"$f":"EIN!$J52","v":745.78326000000004},90.743429432938711,8.621654749752717E-4,48.754813044451346,138.9986928509401,27.748267284451344,132.09343221620338,48.755271536590591,48.754813044451346,48.754813044451346,4.5849213924498144E-4]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FIN!$B57","v":3370.6869999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H57","v":30242},null,{"$f":"EIN!$B53","v":12198.53509997477},{"$f":"EIN!$F53","v":136},30240.202000577337,null,368886.65347561723,50.168584872683944,{"$f":"FIN!$L57*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":1.0229999999999999},null,3.0349896030097126E-4,1.7979994226629086,null,5.9453720741449265E-5,{"$f":"FIN!$W57","v":3.3370411568409343E-2},21.445017819766665,0.12167533692421402,2.6093297685658827,{"$f":"EIN!$J53","v":749.14750000000004},91.152774468432625,1.9547728727967095E-3,50.170539645556744,135.99739298336195,29.163993885556742,138.83288675232791,50.171501395107427,50.170539645556744,50.170539645556744,9.6174955068306645E-4]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FIN!$B58","v":3697.5529999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$H58","v":33688},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B58-2000))-AH$147*(B58-2000))","v":12144.172440334662},{"$f":"EIN!$F54","v":135},33683.850006561115,null,409063.06585340155,55.223513890209212,{"$f":"FIN!$L58*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":2.3519999999999999},null,6.360963588621988E-4,4.1499934388814186,null,1.2318907144625441E-4,{"$f":"FIN!$W58","v":1.7349397590361443E-2},49.815316592489872,0.12167533692421402,6.0612954303775943,{"$f":"EIN!$J54","v":739.80005000000006},90.015420340300381,4.4841466624581166E-3,55.227998036871668,134.99452248711623,34.221452276871666,162.90851750617213,55.230238957949197,55.227998036871668,55.227998036871668,2.2409210775293786E-3]
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[27,2027,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C68*(1+D$38/27*($B68-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C68*(1+D$38/27*($B68-$B$64)),0)","v":9300.1821465869507},0,null,85384.355835899143,11522.699282327923,118.03282102422344,null,84152.290070497096,969668.61262866424,114.45272180720617,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U68-FIN!$U67+(N67+O67)*F$165+(N66+O66)*F$166+(N65+O65)*F$167+(N64+O64)*F$168+(N63+O63)*F$169+(N62+O62)*F$170+(N61+O61)*F$171+(N60+O60)*F$172+(N59+O59)*F$173+(N58+O58)*F$174+(N57+O57)*F$175+(N56+O56)*F$176+(N55+O55)*F$177+(N54+O54)*F$178+(N53+O53)*F$179+(N52+O52)*F$180+(N51+O51)*F$181+(N50+O50)*F$182+(N49+O49)*F$183+(N48+O48)*F$184+(N47+O47)*F$185+(N46+O46)*F$186+(N45+O45)*F$187+(N44+O44)*F$188","v":468.13302160105906},5.0335898181613353E-2,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O68>D68,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R67+D68-(+(N67+O67)*F$165+(N66+O66)*F$166+(N65+O65)*F$167+(N64+O64)*F$168+(N63+O63)*F$169+(N62+O62)*F$170+(N61+O61)*F$171+(N60+O60)*F$172+(N59+O59)*F$173+(N58+O58)*F$174+(N57+O57)*F$175+(N56+O56)*F$176+(N55+O55)*F$177+(N54+O54)*F$178+(N53+O53)*F$179+(N52+O52)*F$180+(N51+O51)*F$181+(N50+O50)*F$182+(N49+O49)*F$183+(N48+O48)*F$184+(N47+O47)*F$185+(N46+O46)*F$186+(N45+O45)*F$187+(N44+O44)*F$188+(N43+O43)*F$189+(N42+O42)*F$190+(N41+O41)*F$191),R67+O68-(+(N67+O67)*F$165+(N66+O66)*F$166+(N65+O65)*F$167+(N64+O64)*F$168+(N63+O63)*F$169+(N62+O62)*F$170+(N61+O61)*F$171+(N60+O60)*F$172+(N59+O59)*F$173+(N58+O58)*F$174+(N57+O57)*F$175+(N56+O56)*F$176+(N55+O55)*F$177+(N54+O54)*F$178+(N53+O53)*F$179+(N52+O52)*F$180+(N51+O51)*F$181+(N50+O50)*F$182+(N49+O49)*F$183+(N48+O48)*F$184+(N47+O47)*F$185+(N46+O46)*F$186+(N45+O45)*F$187+(N44+O44)*F$188+(N43+O43)*F$189+(N42+O42)*F$190+(N41+O41)*F$191))","v":1232.0657654020531},1.4429642916905877E-2,7.4808393539984664E-4,14189.643083682968,0.11688084316480565,1658.4974478285183,713.94923425607396,83.446988476717266,1.1840829828928237,115.63680479009899,117.53400870369683,94.630259030098983,450.47986523463044,116.12756540970014,115.63680479009899,115.63680479009899,0.49076061960114714]
[28,2028,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C69*(1+D$38/27*($B69-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C69*(1+D$38/27*($B69-$B$64)),0)","v":9818.5619048861627},0,null,92641.387065708332,11458.977431400159,116.21950617368364,null,90721.448148295036,1039582.8452443149,120.81980490092727,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U69-FIN!$U68+(N68+O68)*F$165+(N67+O67)*F$166+(N66+O66)*F$167+(N65+O65)*F$168+(N64+O64)*F$169+(N63+O63)*F$170+(N62+O62)*F$171+(N61+O61)*F$172+(N60+O60)*F$173+(N59+O59)*F$174+(N58+O58)*F$175+(N57+O57)*F$176+(N56+O56)*F$177+(N55+O55)*F$178+(N54+O54)*F$179+(N53+O53)*F$180+(N52+O52)*F$181+(N51+O51)*F$182+(N50+O50)*F$183+(N49+O49)*F$184+(N48+O48)*F$185+(N47+O47)*F$186+(N46+O46)*F$187+(N45+O45)*F$188","v":688.10407834424029},7.0081961595802378E-2,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O69>D69,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R68+D69-(+(N68+O68)*F$165+(N67+O67)*F$166+(N66+O66)*F$167+(N65+O65)*F$168+(N64+O64)*F$169+(N63+O63)*F$170+(N62+O62)*F$171+(N61+O61)*F$172+(N60+O60)*F$173+(N59+O59)*F$174+(N58+O58)*F$175+(N57+O57)*F$176+(N56+O56)*F$177+(N55+O55)*F$178+(N54+O54)*F$179+(N53+O53)*F$180+(N52+O52)*F$181+(N51+O51)*F$182+(N50+O50)*F$183+(N49+O49)*F$184+(N48+O48)*F$185+(N47+O47)*F$186+(N46+O46)*F$187+(N45+O45)*F$188+(N44+O44)*F$189+(N43+O43)*F$190+(N42+O42)*F$191+(N41+O41)*F$192),R68+O69-(+(N68+O68)*F$165+(N67+O67)*F$166+(N66+O66)*F$167+(N65+O65)*F$168+(N64+O64)*F$169+(N63+O63)*F$170+(N62+O62)*F$171+(N61+O61)*F$172+(N60+O60)*F$173+(N59+O59)*F$174+(N58+O58)*F$175+(N57+O57)*F$176+(N56+O56)*F$177+(N55+O55)*F$178+(N54+O54)*F$179+(N53+O53)*F$180+(N52+O52)*F$181+(N51+O51)*F$182+(N50+O50)*F$183+(N49+O49)*F$184+(N48+O48)*F$185+(N47+O47)*F$186+(N46+O46)*F$187+(N45+O45)*F$188+(N44+O44)*F$189+(N43+O43)*F$190+(N42+O42)*F$191+(N41+O41)*F$192))","v":1919.9389174132996},2.0724418947349447E-2,5.3305761311189933E-4,21992.718355243564,0.1157120347331576,2544.8221901984957,712.80034204522235,82.479577936543379,1.8139501276177596,122.63375502854502,115.52051425592556,101.62720926854502,483.78829356162083,123.37578776759057,122.63375502854502,122.63375502854502,0.74203273904554123]
[29,2029,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C70*(1+D$38/27*($B70-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C70*(1+D$38/27*($B70-$B$64)),0)","v":10335.663704421349},0,null,100197.80915815843,11395.027114552437,114.41679822060273,null,97299.481193047424,1108738.5895488253,126.85831947980361,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U70-FIN!$U69+(N69+O69)*F$165+(N68+O68)*F$166+(N67+O67)*F$167+(N66+O66)*F$168+(N65+O65)*F$169+(N64+O64)*F$170+(N63+O63)*F$171+(N62+O62)*F$172+(N61+O61)*F$173+(N60+O60)*F$174+(N59+O59)*F$175+(N58+O58)*F$176+(N57+O57)*F$177+(N56+O56)*F$178+(N55+O55)*F$179+(N54+O54)*F$180+(N53+O53)*F$181+(N52+O52)*F$182+(N51+O51)*F$183+(N50+O50)*F$184+(N49+O49)*F$185+(N48+O48)*F$186+(N47+O47)*F$187+(N46+O46)*F$188","v":978.83526199163862},9.4704635327184289E-2,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O70>D70,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R69+D70-(+(N69+O69)*F$165+(N68+O68)*F$166+(N67+O67)*F$167+(N66+O66)*F$168+(N65+O65)*F$169+(N64+O64)*F$170+(N63+O63)*F$171+(N62+O62)*F$172+(N61+O61)*F$173+(N60+O60)*F$174+(N59+O59)*F$175+(N58+O58)*F$176+(N57+O57)*F$177+(N56+O56)*F$178+(N55+O55)*F$179+(N54+O54)*F$180+(N53+O53)*F$181+(N52+O52)*F$182+(N51+O51)*F$183+(N50+O50)*F$184+(N49+O49)*F$185+(N48+O48)*F$186+(N47+O47)*F$187+(N46+O46)*F$188+(N45+O45)*F$189+(N44+O44)*F$190+(N43+O43)*F$191+(N42+O42)*F$192+(N41+O41)*F$193),R69+O70-(+(N69+O69)*F$165+(N68+O68)*F$166+(N67+O67)*F$167+(N66+O66)*F$168+(N65+O65)*F$169+(N64+O64)*F$170+(N63+O63)*F$171+(N62+O62)*F$172+(N61+O61)*F$173+(N60+O60)*F$174+(N59+O59)*F$175+(N58+O58)*F$176+(N57+O57)*F$177+(N56+O56)*F$178+(N55+O55)*F$179+(N54+O54)*F$180+(N53+O53)*F$181+(N52+O52)*F$182+(N51+O51)*F$183+(N50+O50)*F$184+(N49+O49)*F$185+(N48+O48)*F$186+(N47+O47)*F$187+(N46+O46)*F$188+(N45+O45)*F$189+(N44+O44)*F$190+(N43+O43)*F$191+(N42+O42)*F$192+(N41+O41)*F$193))","v":2898.3279651110024},2.8926061252857356E-2,3.7983659990758264E-4,33018.162627140548,0.11455491438582602,3782.3927929293659,711.65329836230057,81.523382666284036,2.6917523067899776,129.55007178659358,113.46556220464332,108.54352602659358,516.71287258126335,130.6361519307282,129.55007178659358,129.55007178659358,1.0860801441346268]
[30,2030,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C71*(1+D$38/27*($B71-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C71*(1+D$38/27*($B71-$B$64)),0)","v":10849.746428415863},0,null,108041.62131182954,11330.862111655912,112.62544661265069,null,103793.44897990995,1176077.9439373128,132.4563036872278,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U71-FIN!$U70+(N70+O70)*F$165+(N69+O69)*F$166+(N68+O68)*F$167+(N67+O67)*F$168+(N66+O66)*F$169+(N65+O65)*F$170+(N64+O64)*F$171+(N63+O63)*F$172+(N62+O62)*F$173+(N61+O61)*F$174+(N60+O60)*F$175+(N59+O59)*F$176+(N58+O58)*F$177+(N57+O57)*F$178+(N56+O56)*F$179+(N55+O55)*F$180+(N54+O54)*F$181+(N53+O53)*F$182+(N52+O52)*F$183+(N51+O51)*F$184+(N50+O50)*F$185+(N49+O49)*F$186+(N48+O48)*F$187+(N47+O47)*F$188","v":1350.6944157507921},0.12449087401833434,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O71>D71,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R70+D71-(+(N70+O70)*F$165+(N69+O69)*F$166+(N68+O68)*F$167+(N67+O67)*F$168+(N66+O66)*F$169+(N65+O65)*F$170+(N64+O64)*F$171+(N63+O63)*F$172+(N62+O62)*F$173+(N61+O61)*F$174+(N60+O60)*F$175+(N59+O59)*F$176+(N58+O58)*F$177+(N57+O57)*F$178+(N56+O56)*F$179+(N55+O55)*F$180+(N54+O54)*F$181+(N53+O53)*F$182+(N52+O52)*F$183+(N51+O51)*F$184+(N50+O50)*F$185+(N49+O49)*F$186+(N48+O48)*F$187+(N47+O47)*F$188+(N46+O46)*F$189+(N45+O45)*F$190+(N44+O44)*F$191+(N43+O43)*F$192+(N42+O42)*F$193+(N41+O41)*F$194),R70+O71-(+(N70+O70)*F$165+(N69+O69)*F$166+(N68+O68)*F$167+(N67+O67)*F$168+(N66+O66)*F$169+(N65+O65)*F$170+(N64+O64)*F$171+(N63+O63)*F$172+(N62+O62)*F$173+(N61+O61)*F$174+(N60+O60)*F$175+(N59+O59)*F$176+(N58+O58)*F$177+(N57+O57)*F$178+(N56+O56)*F$179+(N55+O55)*F$180+(N54+O54)*F$181+(N53+O53)*F$182+(N52+O52)*F$183+(N51+O51)*F$184+(N50+O50)*F$185+(N49+O49)*F$186+(N48+O48)*F$187+(N47+O47)*F$188+(N46+O46)*F$189+(N45+O45)*F$190+(N44+O44)*F$191+(N43+O43)*F$192+(N42+O42)*F$193+(N41+O41)*F$194))","v":4248.1723319195926},3.9319775845074789E-2,2.7065661189237843E-4,48126.76946677237,0.11340936524196776,5458.02637637317,710.50810023398401,80.578272646812536,3.8779719517038767,136.33427563893167,111.36558628322359,115.32772987893168,549.00853856008575,137.87660259244714,136.33427563893167,136.33427563893167,1.5423269535154702]
[31,2031,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C72*(1+D$38/27*($B72-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C72*(1+D$38/27*($B72-$B$64)),0)","v":11359.155959274456},0,null,116159.52863174911,11266.495994149713,110.84615820742272,null,110100.98560048023,1240461.0894030691,137.50034616612453,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U72-FIN!$U71+(N71+O71)*F$165+(N70+O70)*F$166+(N69+O69)*F$167+(N68+O68)*F$168+(N67+O67)*F$169+(N66+O66)*F$170+(N65+O65)*F$171+(N64+O64)*F$172+(N63+O63)*F$173+(N62+O62)*F$174+(N61+O61)*F$175+(N60+O60)*F$176+(N59+O59)*F$177+(N58+O58)*F$178+(N57+O57)*F$179+(N56+O56)*F$180+(N55+O55)*F$181+(N54+O54)*F$182+(N53+O53)*F$183+(N52+O52)*F$184+(N51+O51)*F$185+(N50+O50)*F$186+(N49+O49)*F$187+(N48+O48)*F$188","v":1811.9594878660782},0.15951532793126766,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O72>D72,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R71+D72-(+(N71+O71)*F$165+(N70+O70)*F$166+(N69+O69)*F$167+(N68+O68)*F$168+(N67+O67)*F$169+(N66+O66)*F$170+(N65+O65)*F$171+(N64+O64)*F$172+(N63+O63)*F$173+(N62+O62)*F$174+(N61+O61)*F$175+(N60+O60)*F$176+(N59+O59)*F$177+(N58+O58)*F$178+(N57+O57)*F$179+(N56+O56)*F$180+(N55+O55)*F$181+(N54+O54)*F$182+(N53+O53)*F$183+(N52+O52)*F$184+(N51+O51)*F$185+(N50+O50)*F$186+(N49+O49)*F$187+(N48+O48)*F$188+(N47+O47)*F$189+(N46+O46)*F$190+(N45+O45)*F$191+(N44+O44)*F$192+(N43+O43)*F$193+(N42+O42)*F$194+(N41+O41)*F$195),R71+O72-(+(N71+O71)*F$165+(N70+O70)*F$166+(N69+O69)*F$167+(N68+O68)*F$168+(N67+O67)*F$169+(N66+O66)*F$170+(N65+O65)*F$171+(N64+O64)*F$172+(N63+O63)*F$173+(N62+O62)*F$174+(N61+O61)*F$175+(N60+O60)*F$176+(N59+O59)*F$177+(N58+O58)*F$178+(N57+O57)*F$179+(N56+O56)*F$180+(N55+O55)*F$181+(N54+O54)*F$182+(N53+O53)*F$183+(N52+O52)*F$184+(N51+O51)*F$185+(N50+O50)*F$186+(N49+O49)*F$187+(N48+O48)*F$188+(N47+O47)*F$189+(N46+O46)*F$190+(N45+O45)*F$191+(N44+O44)*F$192+(N43+O43)*F$193+(N42+O42)*F$194+(N41+O41)*F$195))","v":6058.543031268885},5.2157090362132751E-2,1.928589873678219E-4,68249.774608851236,0.11227527158954807,7662.7619801342144,709.36474469172742,79.644119366314129,5.4356931956713828,142.93603936179591,109.21895988822018,121.92949360179591,580.43571272898271,145.06557148003819,142.93603936179591,142.93603936179591,2.1295321182422811]
[32,2032,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C73*(1+D$38/27*($B73-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C73*(1+D$38/27*($B73-$B$64)),0)","v":11862.33669232851},0,null,124537.07946512515,11201.942124896554,109.07959845514658,null,116113.49401232532,1300705.2847412159,141.88041016805894,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U73-FIN!$U72+(N72+O72)*F$165+(N71+O71)*F$166+(N70+O70)*F$167+(N69+O69)*F$168+(N68+O68)*F$169+(N67+O67)*F$170+(N66+O66)*F$171+(N65+O65)*F$172+(N64+O64)*F$173+(N63+O63)*F$174+(N62+O62)*F$175+(N61+O61)*F$176+(N60+O60)*F$177+(N59+O59)*F$178+(N58+O58)*F$179+(N57+O57)*F$180+(N56+O56)*F$181+(N55+O55)*F$182+(N54+O54)*F$183+(N53+O53)*F$184+(N52+O52)*F$185+(N51+O51)*F$186+(N50+O50)*F$187+(N49+O49)*F$188","v":2367.9468876093611},0.19961892408101481,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O73>D73,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R72+D73-(+(N72+O72)*F$165+(N71+O71)*F$166+(N70+O70)*F$167+(N69+O69)*F$168+(N68+O68)*F$169+(N67+O67)*F$170+(N66+O66)*F$171+(N65+O65)*F$172+(N64+O64)*F$173+(N63+O63)*F$174+(N62+O62)*F$175+(N61+O61)*F$176+(N60+O60)*F$177+(N59+O59)*F$178+(N58+O58)*F$179+(N57+O57)*F$180+(N56+O56)*F$181+(N55+O55)*F$182+(N54+O54)*F$183+(N53+O53)*F$184+(N52+O52)*F$185+(N51+O51)*F$186+(N50+O50)*F$187+(N49+O49)*F$188+(N48+O48)*F$189+(N47+O47)*F$190+(N46+O46)*F$191+(N45+O45)*F$192+(N44+O44)*F$193+(N43+O43)*F$194+(N42+O42)*F$195+(N41+O41)*F$196),R72+O73-(+(N72+O72)*F$165+(N71+O71)*F$166+(N70+O70)*F$167+(N69+O69)*F$168+(N68+O68)*F$169+(N67+O67)*F$170+(N66+O66)*F$171+(N65+O65)*F$172+(N64+O64)*F$173+(N63+O63)*F$174+(N62+O62)*F$175+(N61+O61)*F$176+(N60+O60)*F$177+(N59+O59)*F$178+(N58+O58)*F$179+(N57+O57)*F$180+(N56+O56)*F$181+(N55+O55)*F$182+(N54+O54)*F$183+(N53+O53)*F$184+(N52+O52)*F$185+(N51+O51)*F$186+(N50+O50)*F$187+(N49+O49)*F$188+(N48+O48)*F$189+(N47+O47)*F$190+(N46+O46)*F$191+(N45+O45)*F$192+(N44+O44)*F$193+(N43+O43)*F$194+(N42+O42)*F$195+(N41+O41)*F$196))","v":8423.585452799829},6.7639176131143619E-2,1.374234042770245E-4,94351.871830758959,0.11115251887365259,10487.448214432885,708.22322877175793,78.720795802811992,7.4274544360022654,149.30786460406122,107.02634218296133,128.30131884406123,610.76828294335064,152.17227446084959,149.30786460406122,149.30786460406122,2.8644098567883702]
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[34,2034,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C75*(1+D$38/27*($B75-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C75*(1+D$38/27*($B75-$B$64)),0)","v":12844.335583384953},0,null,142008.37926732979,11072.323539609562,105.58712680975763,null,126811.75490997879,1404108.6060039951,148.25579343681585,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U75-FIN!$U74+(N74+O74)*F$165+(N73+O73)*F$166+(N72+O72)*F$167+(N71+O71)*F$168+(N70+O70)*F$169+(N69+O69)*F$170+(N68+O68)*F$171+(N67+O67)*F$172+(N66+O66)*F$173+(N65+O65)*F$174+(N64+O64)*F$175+(N63+O63)*F$176+(N62+O62)*F$177+(N61+O61)*F$178+(N60+O60)*F$179+(N59+O59)*F$180+(N58+O58)*F$181+(N57+O57)*F$182+(N56+O56)*F$183+(N55+O55)*F$184+(N54+O54)*F$185+(N53+O53)*F$186+(N52+O52)*F$187+(N51+O51)*F$188+(N50+O50)*F$189+(N49+O49)*F$190+(N48+O48)*F$191+(N47+O47)*F$192+(N46+O46)*F$193+(N45+O45)*F$194+(N44+O44)*F$195+(N43+O43)*F$196+(N42+O42)*F$197+(N41+O41)*F$198","v":3766.8993836573322},0.2932731988511792,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O75>D75,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R74+D75-(+(N74+O74)*F$165+(N73+O73)*F$166+(N72+O72)*F$167+(N71+O71)*F$168+(N70+O70)*F$169+(N69+O69)*F$170+(N68+O68)*F$171+(N67+O67)*F$172+(N66+O66)*F$173+(N65+O65)*F$174+(N64+O64)*F$175+(N63+O63)*F$176+(N62+O62)*F$177+(N61+O61)*F$178+(N60+O60)*F$179+(N59+O59)*F$180+(N58+O58)*F$181+(N57+O57)*F$182+(N56+O56)*F$183+(N55+O55)*F$184+(N54+O54)*F$185+(N53+O53)*F$186+(N52+O52)*F$187+(N51+O51)*F$188+(N50+O50)*F$189+(N49+O49)*F$190+(N48+O48)*F$191+(N47+O47)*F$192+(N46+O46)*F$193+(N45+O45)*F$194+(N44+O44)*F$195+(N43+O43)*F$196+(N42+O42)*F$197+(N41+O41)*F$198),R74+O75-(+(N74+O74)*F$165+(N73+O73)*F$166+(N72+O72)*F$167+(N71+O71)*F$168+(N70+O70)*F$169+(N69+O69)*F$170+(N68+O68)*F$171+(N67+O67)*F$172+(N66+O66)*F$173+(N65+O65)*F$174+(N64+O64)*F$175+(N63+O63)*F$176+(N62+O62)*F$177+(N61+O61)*F$178+(N60+O60)*F$179+(N59+O59)*F$180+(N58+O58)*F$181+(N57+O57)*F$182+(N56+O56)*F$183+(N55+O55)*F$184+(N54+O54)*F$185+(N53+O53)*F$186+(N52+O52)*F$187+(N51+O51)*F$188+(N50+O50)*F$189+(N49+O49)*F$190+(N48+O48)*F$191+(N47+O47)*F$192+(N46+O46)*F$193+(N45+O45)*F$194+(N44+O44)*F$195+(N43+O43)*F$196+(N42+O42)*F$197+(N41+O41)*F$198))","v":15196.624357351006},0.10701216671689116,6.9775270902615595E-5,168254.11457946332,0.10894058374806689,18329.701460300868,705.94570396740164,76.906137084648762,12.939774000904405,161.19556743772026,102.51805472588745,140.18902167772026,667.35875226408598,166.02126196918113,161.19556743772026,161.19556743772026,4.8256945314608686]
[35,2035,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C76*(1+D$38/27*($B76-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C76*(1+D$38/27*($B76-$B$64)),0)","v":13320.608154640096},0,null,151068.73604394999,11007.284506620883,103.86234949195186,null,131286.14192852756,1445111.1336013675,150.09263761281596,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U76-FIN!$U75+(N75+O75)*F$165+(N74+O74)*F$166+(N73+O73)*F$167+(N72+O72)*F$168+(N71+O71)*F$169+(N70+O70)*F$170+(N69+O69)*F$171+(N68+O68)*F$172+(N67+O67)*F$173+(N66+O66)*F$174+(N65+O65)*F$175+(N64+O64)*F$176+(N63+O63)*F$177+(N62+O62)*F$178+(N61+O61)*F$179+(N60+O60)*F$180+(N59+O59)*F$181+(N58+O58)*F$182+(N57+O57)*F$183+(N56+O56)*F$184+(N55+O55)*F$185+(N54+O54)*F$186+(N53+O53)*F$187+(N52+O52)*F$188+(N51+O51)*F$189+(N50+O50)*F$190+(N49+O49)*F$191+(N48+O48)*F$192+(N47+O47)*F$193+(N46+O46)*F$194+(N45+O45)*F$195+(N44+O44)*F$196+(N43+O43)*F$197+(N42+O42)*F$198","v":4601.3104697096469},0.34542795766474277,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O76>D76,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R75+D76-(+(N75+O75)*F$165+(N74+O74)*F$166+(N73+O73)*F$167+(N72+O72)*F$168+(N71+O71)*F$169+(N70+O70)*F$170+(N69+O69)*F$171+(N68+O68)*F$172+(N67+O67)*F$173+(N66+O66)*F$174+(N65+O65)*F$175+(N64+O64)*F$176+(N63+O63)*F$177+(N62+O62)*F$178+(N61+O61)*F$179+(N60+O60)*F$180+(N59+O59)*F$181+(N58+O58)*F$182+(N57+O57)*F$183+(N56+O56)*F$184+(N55+O55)*F$185+(N54+O54)*F$186+(N53+O53)*F$187+(N52+O52)*F$188+(N51+O51)*F$189+(N50+O50)*F$190+(N49+O49)*F$191+(N48+O48)*F$192+(N47+O47)*F$193+(N46+O46)*F$194+(N45+O45)*F$195+(N44+O44)*F$196+(N43+O43)*F$197+(N42+O42)*F$198+(N41+O41)*F$199),R75+O76-(+(N75+O75)*F$165+(N74+O74)*F$166+(N73+O73)*F$167+(N72+O72)*F$168+(N71+O71)*F$169+(N70+O70)*F$170+(N69+O69)*F$171+(N68+O68)*F$172+(N67+O67)*F$173+(N66+O66)*F$174+(N65+O65)*F$175+(N64+O64)*F$176+(N63+O63)*F$177+(N62+O62)*F$178+(N61+O61)*F$179+(N60+O60)*F$180+(N59+O59)*F$181+(N58+O58)*F$182+(N57+O57)*F$183+(N56+O56)*F$184+(N55+O55)*F$185+(N54+O54)*F$186+(N53+O53)*F$187+(N52+O52)*F$188+(N51+O51)*F$189+(N50+O50)*F$190+(N49+O49)*F$191+(N48+O48)*F$192+(N47+O47)*F$193+(N46+O46)*F$194+(N45+O45)*F$195+(N44+O44)*F$196+(N43+O43)*F$197+(N42+O42)*F$198+(N41+O41)*F$199))","v":19782.594115422431},0.13095094745260288,4.9718920049626384E-5,217745.42409000298,0.10785117791058624,23484.100472746963,704.80968917925986,76.01455518077735,16.551821554851294,166.64445916766726,100.21577531559811,145.63791340766727,693.29777047393657,172.70818894992513,166.64445916766726,166.64445916766726,6.063729782257866]
[36,2036,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C77*(1+D$38/27*($B77-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C77*(1+D$38/27*($B77-$B$64)),0)","v":13785.568988042074},0,null,160322.24295067356,10942.109088416388,102.15257235850963,null,135051.41789858378,1477753.8780600643,150.95635995659893,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U77-FIN!$U76+(N76+O76)*F$165+(N75+O75)*F$166+(N74+O74)*F$167+(N73+O73)*F$168+(N72+O72)*F$169+(N71+O71)*F$170+(N70+O70)*F$171+(N69+O69)*F$172+(N68+O68)*F$173+(N67+O67)*F$174+(N66+O66)*F$175+(N65+O65)*F$176+(N64+O64)*F$177+(N63+O63)*F$178+(N62+O62)*F$179+(N61+O61)*F$180+(N60+O60)*F$181+(N59+O59)*F$182+(N58+O58)*F$183+(N57+O57)*F$184+(N56+O56)*F$185+(N55+O55)*F$186+(N54+O54)*F$187+(N53+O53)*F$188+(N52+O52)*F$189+(N51+O51)*F$190+(N50+O50)*F$191+(N49+O49)*F$192+(N48+O48)*F$193+(N47+O47)*F$194+(N46+O46)*F$195+(N45+O45)*F$196+(N44+O44)*F$197+(N43+O43)*F$198+(N42+O42)*F$199+(N41+O41)*F$200","v":5513.654413203375},0.39995842159188699,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O77>D77,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R76+D77-(+(N76+O76)*F$165+(N75+O75)*F$166+(N74+O74)*F$167+(N73+O73)*F$168+(N72+O72)*F$169+(N71+O71)*F$170+(N70+O70)*F$171+(N69+O69)*F$172+(N68+O68)*F$173+(N67+O67)*F$174+(N66+O66)*F$175+(N65+O65)*F$176+(N64+O64)*F$177+(N63+O63)*F$178+(N62+O62)*F$179+(N61+O61)*F$180+(N60+O60)*F$181+(N59+O59)*F$182+(N58+O58)*F$183+(N57+O57)*F$184+(N56+O56)*F$185+(N55+O55)*F$186+(N54+O54)*F$187+(N53+O53)*F$188+(N52+O52)*F$189+(N51+O51)*F$190+(N50+O50)*F$191+(N49+O49)*F$192+(N48+O48)*F$193+(N47+O47)*F$194+(N46+O46)*F$195+(N45+O45)*F$196+(N44+O44)*F$197+(N43+O43)*F$198+(N42+O42)*F$199+(N41+O41)*F$200),R76+O77-(+(N76+O76)*F$165+(N75+O75)*F$166+(N74+O74)*F$167+(N73+O73)*F$168+(N72+O72)*F$169+(N71+O71)*F$170+(N70+O70)*F$171+(N69+O69)*F$172+(N68+O68)*F$173+(N67+O67)*F$174+(N66+O66)*F$175+(N65+O65)*F$176+(N64+O64)*F$177+(N63+O63)*F$178+(N62+O62)*F$179+(N61+O61)*F$180+(N60+O60)*F$181+(N59+O59)*F$182+(N58+O58)*F$183+(N57+O57)*F$184+(N56+O56)*F$185+(N55+O55)*F$186+(N54+O54)*F$187+(N53+O53)*F$188+(N52+O52)*F$189+(N51+O51)*F$190+(N50+O50)*F$191+(N49+O49)*F$192+(N48+O48)*F$193+(N47+O47)*F$194+(N46+O46)*F$195+(N45+O45)*F$196+(N44+O44)*F$197+(N43+O43)*F$198+(N42+O42)*F$199+(N41+O41)*F$200))","v":25270.825052089785},0.15762519652288595,3.5427600092598231E-5,276509.59360580082,0.10677266613148036,29523.666520223487,703.67550220587987,75.133309461930182,20.775080865577184,171.73144082217613,97.893756323329441,150.72489506217613,717.51394438766647,179.20252622523765,171.73144082217613,171.73144082217613,7.4710854030615224]
[37,2037,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C78*(1+D$38/27*($B78-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C78*(1+D$38/27*($B78-$B$64)),0)","v":14238.25307195387},0,null,169750.82873410723,10876.80960649416,100.45827167160918,null,138030.13097373192,1501333.2610643769,150.82134460962814,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U78-FIN!$U77+(N77+O77)*F$165+(N76+O76)*F$166+(N75+O75)*F$167+(N74+O74)*F$168+(N73+O73)*F$169+(N72+O72)*F$170+(N71+O71)*F$171+(N70+O70)*F$172+(N69+O69)*F$173+(N68+O68)*F$174+(N67+O67)*F$175+(N66+O66)*F$176+(N65+O65)*F$177+(N64+O64)*F$178+(N63+O63)*F$179+(N62+O62)*F$180+(N61+O61)*F$181+(N60+O60)*F$182+(N59+O59)*F$183+(N58+O58)*F$184+(N57+O57)*F$185+(N56+O56)*F$186+(N55+O55)*F$187+(N54+O54)*F$188+(N53+O53)*F$189+(N52+O52)*F$190+(N51+O51)*F$191+(N50+O50)*F$192+(N49+O49)*F$193+(N48+O48)*F$194+(N47+O47)*F$195+(N46+O46)*F$196+(N45+O45)*F$197+(N44+O44)*F$198+(N43+O43)*F$199+(N42+O42)*F$200","v":6490.9788048749424},0.45588308987573051,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O78>D78,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R77+D78-(+(N77+O77)*F$165+(N76+O76)*F$166+(N75+O75)*F$167+(N74+O74)*F$168+(N73+O73)*F$169+(N72+O72)*F$170+(N71+O71)*F$171+(N70+O70)*F$172+(N69+O69)*F$173+(N68+O68)*F$174+(N67+O67)*F$175+(N66+O66)*F$176+(N65+O65)*F$177+(N64+O64)*F$178+(N63+O63)*F$179+(N62+O62)*F$180+(N61+O61)*F$181+(N60+O60)*F$182+(N59+O59)*F$183+(N58+O58)*F$184+(N57+O57)*F$185+(N56+O56)*F$186+(N55+O55)*F$187+(N54+O54)*F$188+(N53+O53)*F$189+(N52+O52)*F$190+(N51+O51)*F$191+(N50+O50)*F$192+(N49+O49)*F$193+(N48+O48)*F$194+(N47+O47)*F$195+(N46+O46)*F$196+(N45+O45)*F$197+(N44+O44)*F$198+(N43+O43)*F$199+(N42+O42)*F$200),R77+O78-(+(N77+O77)*F$165+(N76+O76)*F$166+(N75+O75)*F$167+(N74+O74)*F$168+(N73+O73)*F$169+(N72+O72)*F$170+(N71+O71)*F$171+(N70+O70)*F$172+(N69+O69)*F$173+(N68+O68)*F$174+(N67+O67)*F$175+(N66+O66)*F$176+(N65+O65)*F$177+(N64+O64)*F$178+(N63+O63)*F$179+(N62+O62)*F$180+(N61+O61)*F$181+(N60+O60)*F$182+(N59+O59)*F$183+(N58+O58)*F$184+(N57+O57)*F$185+(N56+O56)*F$186+(N55+O55)*F$187+(N54+O54)*F$188+(N53+O53)*F$189+(N52+O52)*F$190+(N51+O51)*F$191+(N50+O50)*F$192+(N49+O49)*F$193+(N48+O48)*F$194+(N47+O47)*F$195+(N46+O46)*F$196+(N45+O45)*F$197+(N44+O44)*F$198+(N43+O43)*F$199+(N42+O42)*F$200))","v":31720.697760375304},0.18686623209399281,2.5244205301288252E-5,345014.18362110539,0.10570493947016556,36469.703396017532,702.54314010723351,74.262280100215165,25.621539942617595,176.44288455224574,95.563207813414579,155.43633879224575,739.94239970772685,185.48087319839559,176.44288455224574,176.44288455224574,9.0379886461498415]
[38,2038,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C79*(1+D$38/27*($B79-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C79*(1+D$38/27*($B79-$B$64)),0)","v":14677.819674707949},0,null,179336.12354679196,10811.398175071039,98.779889407260001,null,140162.09802158806,1515353.3296736307,149.68643431808445,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U79-FIN!$U78+(N78+O78)*F$165+(N77+O77)*F$166+(N76+O76)*F$167+(N75+O75)*F$168+(N74+O74)*F$169+(N73+O73)*F$170+(N72+O72)*F$171+(N71+O71)*F$172+(N70+O70)*F$173+(N69+O69)*F$174+(N68+O68)*F$175+(N67+O67)*F$176+(N66+O66)*F$177+(N65+O65)*F$178+(N64+O64)*F$179+(N63+O63)*F$180+(N62+O62)*F$181+(N61+O61)*F$182+(N60+O60)*F$183+(N59+O59)*F$184+(N58+O58)*F$185+(N57+O57)*F$186+(N56+O56)*F$187+(N55+O55)*F$188+(N54+O54)*F$189+(N53+O53)*F$190+(N52+O52)*F$191+(N51+O51)*F$192+(N50+O50)*F$193+(N49+O49)*F$194+(N48+O48)*F$195+(N47+O47)*F$196+(N46+O46)*F$197+(N45+O45)*F$198+(N44+O44)*F$199+(N43+O43)*F$200","v":7518.1853690919033},0.51221404375520752,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O79>D79,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R78+D79-(+(N78+O78)*F$165+(N77+O77)*F$166+(N76+O76)*F$167+(N75+O75)*F$168+(N74+O74)*F$169+(N73+O73)*F$170+(N72+O72)*F$171+(N71+O71)*F$172+(N70+O70)*F$173+(N69+O69)*F$174+(N68+O68)*F$175+(N67+O67)*F$176+(N66+O66)*F$177+(N65+O65)*F$178+(N64+O64)*F$179+(N63+O63)*F$180+(N62+O62)*F$181+(N61+O61)*F$182+(N60+O60)*F$183+(N59+O59)*F$184+(N58+O58)*F$185+(N57+O57)*F$186+(N56+O56)*F$187+(N55+O55)*F$188+(N54+O54)*F$189+(N53+O53)*F$190+(N52+O52)*F$191+(N51+O51)*F$192+(N50+O50)*F$193+(N49+O49)*F$194+(N48+O48)*F$195+(N47+O47)*F$196+(N46+O46)*F$197+(N45+O45)*F$198+(N44+O44)*F$199+(N43+O43)*F$200),R78+O79-(+(N78+O78)*F$165+(N77+O77)*F$166+(N76+O76)*F$167+(N75+O75)*F$168+(N74+O74)*F$169+(N73+O73)*F$170+(N72+O72)*F$171+(N71+O71)*F$172+(N70+O70)*F$173+(N69+O69)*F$174+(N68+O68)*F$175+(N67+O67)*F$176+(N66+O66)*F$177+(N65+O65)*F$178+(N64+O64)*F$179+(N63+O63)*F$180+(N62+O62)*F$181+(N61+O61)*F$182+(N60+O60)*F$183+(N59+O59)*F$184+(N58+O58)*F$185+(N57+O57)*F$186+(N56+O56)*F$187+(N55+O55)*F$188+(N54+O54)*F$189+(N53+O53)*F$190+(N52+O52)*F$191+(N51+O51)*F$192+(N50+O50)*F$193+(N49+O49)*F$194+(N48+O48)*F$195+(N47+O47)*F$196+(N46+O46)*F$197+(N45+O45)*F$198+(N44+O44)*F$199+(N43+O43)*F$200))","v":39174.025525203906},0.21843912286295578,1.7987947782660377E-5,423520.90916447045,0.10464789007546391,44320.569546904037,701.41259994801976,73.401348656905711,31.087005917070989,180.77344023515545,93.236289705662699,159.76689447515545,760.55766759796609,191.52178288701302,180.77344023515545,180.77344023515545,10.74834265185757]
[39,2039,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C80*(1+D$38/27*($B80-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C80*(1+D$38/27*($B80-$B$64)),0)","v":15103.550616707911},0,null,189059.59045709611,10745.886701626867,97.117834421532848,null,141406.41583187465,1519541.6990801326,147.57459912787903,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U80-FIN!$U79+(N79+O79)*F$165+(N78+O78)*F$166+(N77+O77)*F$167+(N76+O76)*F$168+(N75+O75)*F$169+(N74+O74)*F$170+(N73+O73)*F$171+(N72+O72)*F$172+(N71+O71)*F$173+(N70+O70)*F$174+(N69+O69)*F$175+(N68+O68)*F$176+(N67+O67)*F$177+(N66+O66)*F$178+(N65+O65)*F$179+(N64+O64)*F$180+(N63+O63)*F$181+(N62+O62)*F$182+(N61+O61)*F$183+(N60+O60)*F$184+(N59+O59)*F$185+(N58+O58)*F$186+(N57+O57)*F$187+(N56+O56)*F$188+(N55+O55)*F$189+(N54+O54)*F$190+(N53+O53)*F$191+(N52+O52)*F$192+(N51+O51)*F$193+(N50+O50)*F$194+(N49+O49)*F$195+(N48+O48)*F$196+(N47+O47)*F$197+(N46+O46)*F$198+(N45+O45)*F$199+(N44+O44)*F$200","v":8579.0450928012997},0.568015118465651,null,47653.174625221451,0.25205372819230526,1.2817445918797358E-5,512071.2398277981,0.10360141117470927,53051.303068142872,700.28387879765512,72.550398066336129,37.150972287829035,184.72557141570806,90.925573409177588,163.71902565570807,779.37147556861373,197.30584900950416,184.72557141570806,184.72557141570806,12.580277593796097]
[40,2040,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C81*(1+D$38/27*($B81-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C81*(1+D$38/27*($B81-$B$64)),0)","v":15514.847270038519},0,null,198902.65001342175,10680.286887533739,95.472483605063871,null,141742.49200864349,1513854.1959248988,144.53141990089705,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U81-FIN!$U80+(N80+O80)*F$165+(N79+O79)*F$166+(N78+O78)*F$167+(N77+O77)*F$168+(N76+O76)*F$169+(N75+O75)*F$170+(N74+O74)*F$171+(N73+O73)*F$172+(N72+O72)*F$173+(N71+O71)*F$174+(N70+O70)*F$175+(N69+O69)*F$176+(N68+O68)*F$177+(N67+O67)*F$178+(N66+O66)*F$179+(N65+O65)*F$180+(N64+O64)*F$181+(N63+O63)*F$182+(N62+O62)*F$183+(N61+O61)*F$184+(N60+O60)*F$185+(N59+O59)*F$186+(N58+O58)*F$187+(N57+O57)*F$188+(N56+O56)*F$189+(N55+O55)*F$190+(N54+O54)*F$191+(N53+O53)*F$192+(N52+O52)*F$193+(N51+O51)*F$194+(N50+O50)*F$195+(N49+O49)*F$196+(N48+O48)*F$197+(N47+O47)*F$198+(N46+O46)*F$199+(N45+O45)*F$200","v":9657.2574938966154},0.62245263042622523,null,57160.158004778255,0.28737755882549149,9.1331657893897567E-6,610483.1689091617,0.10256539706296217,{"$f":"V81*U81","v":62614.448619423572},699.15697373026796,71.709312619983947,43.777328408545536,188.30874830944259,88.643523117690904,167.3022025494426,796.42890583188671,202.81576423574444,188.30874830944259,188.30874830944259,14.507015926301847]
[41,2041,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C82*(1+D$38/27*($B82-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C82*(1+D$38/27*($B82-$B$64)),0)","v":15911.226467303677},0,null,208846.79698032278,10614.610228767162,93.844183024073914,null,141170.10930736561,1498468.8029361826,140.62258059860807,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U82-FIN!$U81+(N81+O81)*F$165+(N80+O80)*F$166+(N79+O79)*F$167+(N78+O78)*F$168+(N77+O77)*F$169+(N76+O76)*F$170+(N75+O75)*F$171+(N74+O74)*F$172+(N73+O73)*F$173+(N72+O72)*F$174+(N71+O71)*F$175+(N70+O70)*F$176+(N69+O69)*F$177+(N68+O68)*F$178+(N67+O67)*F$179+(N66+O66)*F$180+(N65+O65)*F$181+(N64+O64)*F$182+(N63+O63)*F$183+(N62+O62)*F$184+(N61+O61)*F$185+(N60+O60)*F$186+(N59+O59)*F$187+(N58+O58)*F$188+(N57+O57)*F$189+(N56+O56)*F$190+(N55+O55)*F$191+(N54+O54)*F$192+(N53+O53)*F$193+(N52+O52)*F$194+(N51+O51)*F$195+(N50+O50)*F$196+(N49+O49)*F$197+(N48+O48)*F$198+(N47+O47)*F$199+(N46+O46)*F$200","v":10737.465208912135},0.67483579791770198,null,67676.687672957152,0.32404944031453614,6.5079044639857166E-6,718358.54453641025,0.10153974309233255,72941.942060409026,698.03188182468989,70.877977950736437,50.915801080374806,191.53838167898289,86.402029412599944,170.53183591898289,811.80332010465133,208.03635132899029,191.53838167898289,191.53838167898289,16.497969650007406]
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[43,2043,null,{"$f":"IF(FIN!$C84*(1+D$38/27*($B84-$B$64))>=0,FIN!$C84*(1+D$38/27*($B84-$B$64)),0)","v":16657.846365960955},0,null,228965.34367801936,10483.071338947471,90.639969450506086,null,137395.30205069721,1440326.8676495268,130.55118328249623,null,{"$f":"FIN!$U84-FIN!$U83+(N83+O83)*F$165+(N82+O82)*F$166+(N81+O81)*F$167+(N80+O80)*F$168+(N79+O79)*F$169+(N78+O78)*F$170+(N77+O77)*F$171+(N76+O76)*F$172+(N75+O75)*F$173+(N74+O74)*F$174+(N73+O73)*F$175+(N72+O72)*F$176+(N71+O71)*F$177+(N70+O70)*F$178+(N69+O69)*F$179+(N68+O68)*F$180+(N67+O67)*F$181+(N66+O66)*F$182+(N65+O65)*F$183+(N64+O64)*F$184+(N63+O63)*F$185+(N62+O62)*F$186+(N61+O61)*F$187+(N60+O60)*F$188+(N59+O59)*F$189+(N58+O58)*F$190+(N57+O57)*F$191+(N56+O56)*F$192+(N55+O55)*F$193+(N54+O54)*F$194+(N53+O53)*F$195+(N52+O52)*F$196+(N51+O51)*F$197+(N50+O50)*F$198+(N49+O49)*F$199+(N48+O48)*F$200","v":12852.316640049694},0.77154731516268682,null,91570.041627322149,0.39992970183335591,3.3043100072612193E-6,959933.16427377542,9.9519102204795137E-2,95531.686685134249,695.78712583775916,69.244110089028609,66.469717705082886,197.02090098757913,82.083148645235909,176.01435522757913,837.90241974356445,217.55949596679886,197.02090098757913,197.02090098757913,20.538594979219738]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://morth.nic.in/sites/default/files/MoRTH%20Annual%20Report%20for%20the%20Year%202022-23%20in%20English.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2021 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation resulted to 700 million vehicles » 490 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .988). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2017 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .995).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FIN!$I$32","v":700000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FIN!$I$33","v":6.1194945796304623},"c:",null,{"$f":"FIN!$I$34","v":3.9543646462688382E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EIN!$C$32","v":3746614.5827525388},"b:",{"$f":"EIN!$C$33","v":0.62551419703498101},"c:",null,{"$f":"EIN!$C$34","v":1.044918575306349E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .909). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FIN!$N$32","v":604762.21873848024},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FIN!$S$32","v":605344.56323680619}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$G$32","v":23285.251085893939},null,{"$f":"EIN!$G$33","v":0.56553028864769017},null,null,{"$f":"EIN!$G$34","v":2.2313968274461814E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FIN!$N$33","v":46.044110132819107},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FIN!$S$33","v":71.017971812603307}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FIN!$N$34","v":7.4284286046645026E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FIN!$S$34","v":9.2334653841821351E-2}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .313)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FIN!$X$32","v":68.153955101723128},null,"b:",{"$f":"FIN!$X$33","v":0.30498197783954145},"c:",{"$f":"FIN!$X$34","v":0.3388949845244944},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!I46","v":0.12167533692421402},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EIN!$K$32","v":2943512362.0815587},"b:",{"$f":"EIN!$K$33","v":1.5729952770225907E-4},"c:",{"$f":"EIN!$K$34","v":1.6107457035985883E-3}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":18.810383276330722},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FIN!$F$47:$F$64)","v":3.8522358154629205E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":26},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.842552621012095E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":18}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.2574291393640964E-8},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.2574291393640964E-8}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.4447536218426596E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.4221793304490186E-6}]
[null,3,1.6456523201649438E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.5011769579806778E-5}]
[null,4,9.2460023900507393E-5,null,null,7.6003500698857955E-5]
[null,5,3.5266110745451901E-4,null,null,2.6020108355401163E-4]
[null,6,1.0526717031570218E-3,null,null,7.0001059570250278E-4]
[null,7,2.6523192076500866E-3,null,null,1.5996475044930648E-3]
[null,8,5.9002399218816481E-3,null,null,3.2479207142315615E-3]
[null,9,1.1925228189724048E-2,null,null,6.0249882678424004E-3]
[null,10,2.2321398859679799E-2,null,null,1.039617066995575E-2]
[null,11,3.920261958941907E-2,null,null,1.6881220729739271E-2]
[null,12,6.518485364581654E-2,null,null,2.598223405639747E-2]
[null,13,0.10323532145221723,null,null,3.8050467806400687E-2]
[null,14,0.15631319859687026,null,null,5.3077877144653035E-2]
[null,15,0.22673640876769141,null,null,7.0423210170821149E-2]
[null,16,0.31527211446168468,null,null,8.8535705693993272E-2]
[null,17,0.42009357362312627,null,null,0.10482145916144159]
[null,18,0.53596804666835851,null,null,0.11587447304523224]
[null,19,0.65424589596274685,null,null,0.11827784929438834]
[null,20,0.76419607970311731,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":0.10995018374037047}]
[null,21,0.8557358708017565,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":9.1539791098639189E-2}]
[null,22,0.92265435607503055,null,null,6.6918485273274042E-2]
[null,23,0.96462696006395388,null,null,4.1972603988923329E-2]
[null,24,0.9866202688125626,null,null,2.199330874860872E-2]
[null,25,0.99595915589512252,null,null,9.3388870825599213E-3]
[null,26,0.99906368146314461,null,null,3.1045255680220984E-3]
[null,27,0.99984086268455019,null,null,7.7718122140557622E-4]
[null,28,0.99998113745343187,null,null,1.4027476888167634E-4]
[null,29,0.99999852627172658,null,null,1.7388818294716835E-5]
[null,30,0.99999992872061005,null,null,1.4024488834696314E-6]
[null,31,0.99999999800927497,null,null,6.9288664916733467E-8]
[null,32,0.99999999997027289,null,null,1.9609979196033578E-9]
[null,33,0.99999999999978195,null,null,2.9509061860721886E-11]
[null,34,0.99999999999999933,null,null,2.1738166822160565E-13]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"IE","index":14,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[2,0,2,2],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[4,28,4,29],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[18,26,18,29],[15,28,15,29],[144,27,145,29],[16,28,16,29],[17,26,17,29],[7,28,7,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[11,28,11,29],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[37,10,37,15],[10,33,17,33],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[11,30,11,31],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[15,30,15,31],[16,30,16,31],[17,30,17,31]]}
[null,"Ireland",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C42","v":5056.9350000000004},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":587.44260622639013}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.48952091372114942},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":42.190004674361646},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":2970.6590558388466},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.99999999324102717},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":12.73751942411816},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-14183.76238494714}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":16019.439426178336},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":12937.000000000067},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":12937.000000000067}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":93.010616190304688},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":2970.6590558388466},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":2970.6590558388466}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":2189.211721530944},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":2.0078603938600281E-5},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":72},{"$f":"$K91","v":2.0078603938600281E-5}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":119.91394557431308},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":89.15890172674959},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":89.15890172674959}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19800230283555303},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15094561299063267},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15094561299063267}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":290.80500000000001},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":82.366180501164678},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":82.366180501164678}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":57.580059676093001},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":12.432813605445398},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":12.432813605445398}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":117.94376187315696},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":12.73751942411816},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":12.73751942411816}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":4.3120147929924935},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.48952091372114942},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.48952091372114942}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.16634920083148863},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":42.190004674361646},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":42.190004674361646}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-14183.76238494714},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-3082.4394261782691}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":114},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2073},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2031},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2073}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":4.3120147929924935},{"$f":"AA64","v":4.3120147929924935}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 2.3m to\n3.0m total Stock"},1.3007275189960499,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":5.6127423119885433}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 16,019 to\n12,937 yearly km"},-1.0624494208950939,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":4.5502928910934495}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 120 to 89\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-1.1532593365234622,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":3.3970335545699872}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.1m to\n3.0m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-0.91174935563399107},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.4852841989359962}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .198 to\n.1509 kWh/km EV"},-0.40786607384958229,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.0774181250864139}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 291 to 82\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.93776374706937249,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":1.1396543780170414}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 33.67%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-0.65013346429589203,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.48952091372114942}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":0.48952091372114936}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.99]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$14","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C14","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D14","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E14","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F14","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G14","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H14","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I14","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Ireland"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J37","v":632.93809999999996}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J38","v":641.57854999999995}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J39","v":615.72580000000005}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J40","v":595.89044000000001}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J41","v":591.73943999999995}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FIE!$B46","v":171.74199999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H46","v":1662.1569999999999},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B46-2000))-AH$147*(B46-2000))","v":17066.616434454612},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":143.92575513135242},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":1662.1569999999999},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":28367.395972843773},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":4.0827988865016254},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J42","v":593.43240000000003},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":4.0827988865016254},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":143.92575513135239},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":4.0827988865016254},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":4.0827988865016254},{"$f":"AF46","v":4.0827988865016254}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FIE!$B47","v":178.48400000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H47","v":1778.8610000000001},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B47-2000))-AH$147*(B47-2000))","v":17042.768033052271},142.52812376931783,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":1778.8610000000001},null,30316.715386043397,4.3209845628211756,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J43","v":560.02954},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":4.3209845628211756},142.52812376931783,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":0.23818567631955023},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":5.8338821710525472},4.3209845628211756,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":4.3209845628211756},4.3209845628211756]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FIE!$B48","v":186.32499999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H48","v":1850},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B48-2000))-AH$147*(B48-2000))","v":17014.311223056229},141.13726341659466,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":1850},null,31476.475762654027,4.4425036511397584,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J44","v":536.18065999999999},null,null,4.4425036511397584,141.13726341659466,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":0.35970476463813306},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":8.8102494058028071},4.4425036511397584,4.4425036511397584,4.4425036511397584]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FIE!$B49","v":151.607},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H49","v":1875},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B45","v":16272},139.75333090619492,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":1875},null,30510,4.2638741259480071,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J45","v":517.56444999999997},null,null,4.2638741259480071,139.75333090619492,0.18107523944638171,4.4350761445792708,4.2638741259480071,4.2638741259480071,4.2638741259480071]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FIE!$B50","v":57.453000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H50","v":1885},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B46","v":17437},138.37647672233874,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":1885},null,32868.745000000003,4.548261127384988,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$J46","v":487.47314},null,null,4.548261127384988,138.37647672233874,0.46546224088336263,11.400567449507589,4.548261127384988,4.548261127384988,4.548261127384988]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FIE!$B51","v":88.445999999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H51","v":1899},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B47","v":16789},137.0068451232527,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":1898.9829999999999},null,31882.025586999996,4.3680557418136887,{"$f":"FIE!$L51*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":1.7000000000000001E-2},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":1.9220767473938902E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":1.7000000000000001E-2},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":8.9520800421274366E-6},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0.28541300000000003},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.19800230283555303},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":5.6512431259203702E-2},{"$f":"EIE!$J47","v":479.18889999999999},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":94.880505693235534},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":2.7080129771423437E-5},4.3680828219434602,137.00646800489025,0.28528393544183483,6.9874599110190889,4.3680948453483763,4.3680828219434602,4.3680828219434602,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":1.20234049161283E-5}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FIE!$B52","v":89.911000000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H52","v":1913},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B48","v":16771},135.64457426356176,1912.9330000005207,null,32081.79934300873,4.3517220134914352,{"$f":"FIE!$L52*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.05},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":5.561054820878424E-4},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":6.6999999479245592E-2},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":3.5023522989673595E-5},null,1.1236569912664278,0.19800230283555303,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":0.22248667186802162},{"$f":"EIE!$J48","v":457.05860000000001},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":90.498655330793909},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":1.0168944676265735E-4},4.3518237029381979,135.64299309443214,0.2690248164365725,6.5892252818528689,4.3518744314656335,4.3518237029381979,4.3518237029381979,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":5.0728527435595083E-5}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FIE!$B53","v":79.498000000000005},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H53","v":1907},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B49","v":16388},134.28979631619154,1906.7510000343391,null,31247.835388562751,4.1962654496519747,{"$f":"FIE!$L53*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.182},null,2.2893657702080556E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":0.24899996566087307},null,1.3057156038850186E-4,{"$f":"FIE!$W53","v":0},4.0806114372503881,0.19800230283555303,0.80797046155267271,{"$f":"EIE!$J49","v":484.31155000000001},95.894802189856094,3.9130942658879034E-4,4.1966567590785635,134.28478302189737,0.11385787257693814,2.7887210646933931,4.1968134341307275,4.1966567590785635,4.1966567590785635,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":1.5667505216399036E-4}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FIE!$B54","v":74.367000000000004},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H54","v":1933},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B50","v":16736},132.94263759369971,1932.5270004483652,null,32342.849980763142,4.2997437837399923,{"$f":"FIE!$L54*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.224},null,3.0120886952546156E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":0.47299955163474},null,2.4469712966101396E-4,{"$f":"FIE!$W54","v":1.4799154334038056E-2},7.8380192368593429,0.19800230283555303,1.5519458585675139,{"$f":"EIE!$J50","v":464.36957000000001},91.946244226755539,7.2067643100627717E-4,4.3004644601709989,132.93270486769859,0.21766557366937356,5.3312832622985704,4.30078579069085,4.3004644601709989,4.3004644601709989,3.2133051985105965E-4]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FIE!$B55","v":96.284000000000006},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H55","v":1966},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B51","v":16718},{"$f":"EIE!$F51","v":133},1965.2690031298675,null,32855.768424607202,4.3698172004727578,{"$f":"FIE!$L55*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.25800000000000001},null,2.6795729300818413E-3,0.73099687013248782,null,3.7181936425864079E-4,{"$f":"FIE!$W55","v":4.9247606019151853E-2},11.819575392799694,0.19800230283555303,2.3403031463127757,{"$f":"EIE!$J51","v":447.63382000000001},88.632527187075439,1.0475988373420068E-3,4.3708647993101,132.98404492931149,0.2880659128084746,7.0555988873433311,4.3713892039999998,4.3708647993101,4.3708647993101,5.2440468989978228E-4]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FIE!$B56","v":124.804},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H56","v":2007},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B52","v":17558},{"$f":"EIE!$F52","v":131},2005.6720153061945,null,35216.982163358211,4.6134246633999254,{"$f":"FIE!$L56*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.59699999999999998},null,4.7835005288292039E-3,{"$f":"N56+N55*(1-F$165)+N54*(1-F$166)+N53*(1-F$167)+N52*(1-F$168)+N51*(1-F$169)+N50*(1-F$170)+N49*(1-F$171)+N48*(1-F$172)+N47*(1-F$173)+N46*(1-F$174)+N45*(1-F$175)+N44*(1-F$176)+N43*(1-F$177)","v":1.3279846938055899},null,6.6167647922550567E-4,{"$f":"FIE!$W56","v":8.9608433734939777E-2},21.923836641786952,0.19800230283555303,4.3409701420642941,{"$f":"EIE!$J52","v":441.51209999999998},87.420412529760966,1.9165908434601046E-3,4.6153412542433854,130.97288701991448,0.53254236774176,13.043561109571886,4.6162966860000001,4.6153412542433854,4.6153412542433854,9.5543175661472191E-4]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FIE!$B57","v":146.6},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H57","v":2049},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B53","v":17959},{"$f":"EIE!$F53","v":128},2046.9890576462237,null,36766.330190597422,4.7060902643964697,{"$f":"FIE!$L57*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.68300000000000005},null,4.6589358799454302E-3,2.0109423537761644,null,9.8142623415137351E-4,{"$f":"FIE!$W57","v":0.18498259572352066},31.660809402573246,0.19800230283555303,6.268913171347033,{"$f":"EIE!$J53","v":444.37085000000002},87.986451612992113,2.7857222745276767E-3,4.7088759866709973,127.96557254093024,0.6260771001693719,15.334507468376197,4.7101428480000003,4.7088759866709973,4.7088759866709973,1.2668613290029995E-3]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FIE!$B58","v":131.33199999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$H58","v":2087},null,{"$f":"EIE!$B54","v":17081},{"$f":"EIE!$F54","v":127},2084.0461781463237,null,35605.278755372055,4.5218704019322509,{"$f":"FIE!$L58*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.94299999999999995},null,7.1802759418877352E-3,2.9538218536761978,null,1.4153434852305692E-3,{"$f":"FIE!$W58","v":0.2285037237643873},42.768244627941229,0.19800230283555303,8.4682109245666339,{"$f":"EIE!$J54","v":405.74036000000001},80.337525633326308,3.4358949490895987E-3,4.5253062968813405,126.94401735055332,0.44250741037971508,10.838334747339971,4.5273019689999998,4.5253062968813405,4.5253062968813405,1.995672118659364E-3]
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[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FIE!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FIE!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":113.1503698069677},0,null,3690.6620186761857,7270.3798165738763,50.964443045966831,null,0,2.2031995978847935E-2,1.1228484042529659E-6,null,{"$f":"FIE!$U138-FIE!$U137*(1-FIE!$F137)","v":113.15036980696777},1.0000000000000007,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FIE!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FIE!$F137)+O138)","v":3690.6620190522408},1.0000000001018936,1.2316398367991784E-6,26832.492621117224,9.4118422947078437E-2,2525.4318892386723,6.8551289919803047,0.64519392982398183,1.7312161361191614E-2,1.7313284209595867E-2,0.64523524661849463,-4.0654856022920294,-99.575945700709468,1.3675041646793182,1.7313284209595867E-2,1.7313284209595867E-2,1.3501908804697225]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FIE!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FIE!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":113.25042065549533},0,null,3700.5739028087478,7168.8456684430475,50.340171686338074,null,0,1.8182724689534135E-2,9.1532148259656652E-7,null,{"$f":"FIE!$U139-FIE!$U138*(1-FIE!$F138)","v":113.25042065549542},1.0000000000000007,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FIE!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FIE!$F138)+O139)","v":3700.5739031742733},1.0000000000987754,1.0280918331891144E-6,26528.825013799582,9.3177238717607649E-2,2471.8826612084449,6.4972613102632719,0.60539686811707716,1.6060467578180245E-2,1.6061382899662843E-2,0.60543095606095476,-4.0667375036019626,-99.606608521601089,1.3354665210210623,1.6061382899662843E-2,1.6061382899662843E-2,1.3194051381213996]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FIE!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FIE!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":113.34811446003204},0,null,3710.3059479901349,7068.3369726647979,49.722847656645676,null,0,1.5004301595732935E-2,7.4605660243899426E-7,null,{"$f":"FIE!$U140-FIE!$U139*(1-FIE!$F139)","v":113.34811446003232},1.0000000000000024,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FIE!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FIE!$F139)+O140)","v":3710.3059483454258},1.0000000000957578,8.5818333336454212E-7,26225.677710286502,9.2245466330431583E-2,2419.1998702169835,6.1580129868976536,0.56804877964522793,1.4897464218697302E-2,1.4898210275299742E-2,0.56807690219799534,-4.0679006762263255,-99.635098110647675,1.3040161234125967,1.4898210275299742E-2,1.4898210275299742E-2,1.289117913137297]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FIE!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FIE!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":113.44350956863494},0,null,3719.860891015046,6968.8570739217266,49.112412207237149,null,0,1.2380130642848352E-2,6.0801807931101619E-7,null,{"$f":"FIE!$U141-FIE!$U140*(1-FIE!$F140)","v":113.44350956863491},0.99999999999999978,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FIE!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FIE!$F140)+O141)","v":3719.8608913603889},1.0000000000928375,7.1635489016958106E-7,25923.16650663098,9.1323011667127252E-2,2367.3816373339432,5.8364217020427906,0.53299960718992845,1.3817037565153421E-2,1.3817645583232733E-2,0.5330228072564468,-4.0689812409183927,-99.661564383469496,1.2731498470903879,1.3817645583232733E-2,1.3817645583232733E-2,1.2593322015071551]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.statista.com/statistics/452305/ireland-number-of-registered-passenger-cars/ (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 4.2 million vehicles » 831 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .943). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .030).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FIE!$I$32","v":4200},"b:",null,{"$f":"FIE!$I$33","v":0.98785742439104951},"c:",null,{"$f":"FIE!$I$34","v":2.0964618953226599E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EIE!$C$32","v":2688895.8357325434},"b:",{"$f":"EIE!$C$33","v":1.0109273560809127},"c:",null,{"$f":"EIE!$C$34","v":1.7301331733372418E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .970). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FIE!$N$32","v":3800},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FIE!$S$32","v":3800}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$G$32","v":51805.474323538168},null,{"$f":"EIE!$G$33","v":0.29153262896212062},null,null,{"$f":"EIE!$G$34","v":1.3382971057395405E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FIE!$N$33","v":39.06982976076894},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FIE!$S$33","v":39.06983157036818}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FIE!$N$34","v":0.10133783233237434},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FIE!$S$34","v":0.10133783364767952}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .958)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FIE!$X$32","v":5.3456089416524968},null,"b:",{"$f":"FIE!$X$33","v":51.940142390759384},"c:",{"$f":"FIE!$X$34","v":0.180642197962743},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!K41","v":0.19800230283555303},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EIE!$K$32","v":34359.433798726721},"b:",{"$f":"EIE!$K$33","v":0.68801674262814483},"c:",{"$f":"EIE!$K$34","v":5.3811342288297405E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":17.877330059256003},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FIE!$F$47:$F$64)","v":4.0532916223778435E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":25},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.9977399560493378E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":17}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.0632612926528659E-8},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":3.0632612926528659E-8}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.9604853355713724E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.9298527226448438E-6}]
[null,3,2.23309258266344E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":2.0370440491063028E-5}]
[null,4,1.2546331328895617E-4,null,null,1.0313238746232176E-4]
[null,5,4.7852005704824055E-4,null,null,3.5305674375928439E-4]
[null,6,1.4281743974867717E-3,null,null,9.4965434043853118E-4]
[null,7,3.5974100932525308E-3,null,null,2.1692356957657591E-3]
[null,8,7.9980002338544288E-3,null,null,4.4005901406018975E-3]
[null,9,1.6147632973438023E-2,null,null,8.1496327395835944E-3]
[null,10,3.016818915075074E-2,null,null,1.4020556177312717E-2]
[null,11,5.2821338629348527E-2,null,null,2.2653149478597787E-2]
[null,12,8.7409931761655901E-2,null,null,3.4588593132307374E-2]
[null,13,0.13744621623459014,null,null,5.0036284472934234E-2]
[null,14,0.20598217259590085,null,null,6.8535956361310713E-2]
[null,15,0.2945536895203108,null,null,8.8571516924409954E-2]
[null,16,0.40185972058768804,null,null,0.10730603106737724]
[null,17,0.52259821185284383,null,null,0.12073849126515579]
[null,18,0.64721035582302844,null,null,0.12461214397018461]
[null,19,0.7633417790866901,null,null,0.11613142326366166]
[null,20,0.8592101966578064,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":9.5868417571116304E-2}]
[null,21,0.92772235728589125,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":6.8512160628084851E-2}]
[null,22,0.9689799889829549,null,null,4.1257631697063646E-2]
[null,23,0.98927015487663883,null,null,2.0290165893683931E-2]
[null,24,0.99713155033787448,null,null,7.861395461235654E-3]
[null,25,0.99943498901233452,null,null,2.3034386744600344E-3]
[null,26,0.9999223188195705,null,null,4.8732980723598107E-4]
[null,27,0.99999298669894443,null,null,7.0667879373931264E-5]
[null,28,0.99999961172787166,null,null,6.6250289272318241E-6]
[null,29,0.99999998778978372,null,null,3.7606191205519224E-7]
[null,30,0.99999999979969401,null,null,1.2009910288490744E-8]
[null,31,0.99999999999844036,null,null,1.9874635270866747E-10]
[null,32,0.99999999999999478,null,null,1.5544232567776817E-12]
[null,33,1,null,null,5.2180482157382357E-15]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Italy",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C43","v":58870.762000000002},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":773.15367474162281}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":15.113795035055443},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":151.81805279119902},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":26789.050647676409},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.58856148897818261},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":42.845611365712635},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-6102.4787324786757}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":9303.9389124514946},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":7749.9999999268957},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":7749.9999999268957}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":528.71378541626189},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":26789.050647676409},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":26789.050647676409}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":39695.870766236229},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":18727.095327463077},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":81},{"$f":"$K91","v":18727.095327463077}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":118.37315110730921},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000000284},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000000284}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.18514669348282412},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1411452328620873},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1411452328620873}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":330.71823000000001},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":114.09623385914078},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":114.09623385914078}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":61.23138675899213},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":16.104139496735595},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":16.104139496735595}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":117.86318122152836},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":42.845611365712635},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":42.845611365712635}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":44.109951110800232},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":15.113795035055443},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":15.113795035055443}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.50388014781657375},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":151.81805279119902},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":151.81805279119902}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-6102.4787324786757},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1553.938912524598}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":129},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2088},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2040},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2088}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":44.109951110800232},{"$f":"AA64","v":44.109951110800232}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 40.2m to\n45.5m total Stock"},5.8026830678657433,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":49.912634178665975}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 9,304 to\n7,750 yearly km"},-8.3154678653102536,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":41.597166313355721}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 118 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-13.429373340890951,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":28.16779297246477}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.5m to\n26.8m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-2.5935582057211874},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":25.574234766743583}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1851 to\n.1411 kWh/km EV"},-2.0513797897515964,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":23.522854976991987}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 331 to 114\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-4.3101224894489789,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":19.212732487543008}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 48.15%\nto 1.8% PHEV"},-4.0989374524875668,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":15.113795035055441}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":15.113795035055441}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.38500000000000001]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.45700000000000002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$15","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C15","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D15","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E15","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F15","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G15","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H15","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I15","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Italy"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J37","v":501.66705000000002}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J38","v":498.67595999999998}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J39","v":523.07860000000005}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J40","v":523.24725000000001}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J41","v":510.98020000000002}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FIT!$B46","v":2244.1080000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FIT!$H46","v":34667},null,{"$f":"EIT!$B42","v":11657},{"$f":"EIT!$F42","v":153},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":34667},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":404113.21899999998},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":61.829322507000001},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J42","v":510.16528},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":61.829322507000001},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":153},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":61.829322507000001},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":61.829322507000001},{"$f":"AF46","v":61.829322507000001}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FIT!$B47","v":2335.462},null,null,{"$f":"FIT!$H47","v":35297},null,{"$f":"EIT!$B43","v":11544},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":151.49284047212947},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":35297},null,407468.56800000003,61.728570769431045,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J43","v":506.75695999999999},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":61.728570769431045},151.49284047212947,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-0.10075173756895595},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-0.16295138533589681},61.728570769431037,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":61.728570769431045},61.728570769431045]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FIT!$B48","v":2494.1149999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FIT!$H48","v":35680},null,{"$f":"EIT!$B44","v":11364},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":149.31032614396486},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":35680},null,405467.52,60.540487651984591,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J44","v":504.75220000000002},null,null,60.540487651984591,149.31032614396486,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-1.2888348550154092},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-2.084504249370505},60.540487651984598,60.540487651984591,60.540487651984591]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FIT!$B49","v":2161.3589999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FIT!$H49","v":36105},null,{"$f":"EIT!$B45","v":10856},{"$f":"EIT!$F45","v":152},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":36105},null,391955.88,59.577293759999996,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J45","v":485.50887999999998},null,null,59.577293759999996,151.99999999999997,-2.2520287470000042,-3.6423312688652558,59.577293760000003,59.577293759999996,59.577293759999996]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FIT!$B50","v":2159.4650000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FIT!$H50","v":36372},null,{"$f":"EIT!$B46","v":10685},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64)),0)","v":145.0391699196081},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":36372},null,388634.82,56.36727169465631,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$J46","v":458.58368000000002},null,null,56.36727169465631,145.0391699196081,-5.4620508123436906,-8.8340783804081067,56.36727169465631,56.36727169465631,56.36727169465631]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FIT!$B51","v":1961.58},null,null,{"$f":"FIT!$H51","v":36751},null,{"$f":"EIT!$B47","v":10312},{"$f":"EIT!$F47","v":153},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":36750.959999999999},null,378975.89951999998,57.983312626559993,{"$f":"FIT!$L51*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":0.04},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":2.039172503797959E-5},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0.04},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":1.0884057576664581E-6},{"$f":"FIT!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0.41248000000000001},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.18514669348282412},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":7.6369308127795299E-2},{"$f":"EIT!$J47","v":446.41473000000002},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":82.65221118152769},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":3.4092384068156549E-5},57.983346718944063,152.99992343306161,-3.845975788055938,-6.2203104160174423,57.983375735999999,57.983346718944063,57.983346718944063,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":2.9017055936719771E-5}]
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[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.statista.com/statistics/452345/italy-number-of-registered-passenger-cars/ (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 51.3 million vehicles » 872 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .966). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .935).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FIT!$I$32","v":51363.05068369527},"b:",null,{"$f":"FIT!$I$33","v":0.44542227097584286},"c:",null,{"$f":"FIT!$I$34","v":2.6089132568062164E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$C$32","v":7610895008.6341486},"a:",{"$f":"EIT!$C$33","v":2.110447828998503E-4},"b:",null,{"$f":"EIT!$C$34","v":6.7694510010682506E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .882). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FIT!$N$32","v":50000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FIT!$S$32","v":50000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$G$32","v":295829265.8574301},null,{"$f":"EIT!$G$33","v":3.8499374955770288E-5},null,null,{"$f":"EIT!$G$34","v":1.4512008761385599E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FIT!$N$33","v":25.866691543107134},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FIT!$S$33","v":148.51480086596473}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FIT!$N$34","v":7.4490266228413593E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FIT!$S$34","v":0.14731229589705677}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .928)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FIT!$X$32","v":8.3093963165802034},null,"b:",{"$f":"FIT!$X$33","v":36.104946205325938},"c:",{"$f":"FIT!$X$34","v":0.15708064121874046},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!K42","v":0.18514669348282412},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EIT!$K$32","v":30971.380998902754},"b:",{"$f":"EIT!$K$33","v":0.8767416944805102},"c:",{"$f":"EIT!$K$34","v":4.6217984000839082E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",5,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":16.586282484178806},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FIT!$F$47:$F$64)","v":4.0962226404466603E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":24},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":4.1593391629915315E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":15}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":7.9662611381264975E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":7.9662611381264975E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.5491720876382375E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":2.4695094762569726E-5}]
[null,3,1.9356148731964877E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.680697664432664E-4}]
[null,4,8.1541283558730622E-4,null,null,6.2185134826765742E-4]
[null,5,2.4863614674447429E-3,null,null,1.6709486318574368E-3]
[null,6,6.1754203531588295E-3,null,null,3.6890588857140865E-3]
[null,7,1.3299667786744639E-2,null,null,7.1242474335858098E-3]
[null,8,2.5766094605270483E-2,null,null,1.2466426818525844E-2]
[null,9,4.5950759543119515E-2,null,null,2.0184664937849033E-2]
[null,10,7.657218141973908E-2,null,null,3.0621421876619564E-2]
[null,11,0.12040832366527182,null,null,4.3836142245532742E-2]
[null,12,0.17981565097607205,null,null,5.9407327310800229E-2]
[null,13,0.25605027286681264,null,null,7.6234621890740595E-2]
[null,14,0.34847845536821526,null,null,9.2428182501402611E-2]
[null,15,0.45389182280517698,null,null,0.10541336743696172]
[null,16,0.56626579207999583,null,null,0.11237396927481885]
[null,17,0.67732046972381654,null,null,0.11105467764382071]
[null,18,0.77804482062430758,null,null,0.10072435090049103]
[null,19,0.86089495467020916,null,null,8.285013404590158E-2]
[null,20,0.92185620154000736,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":6.0961246869798202E-2}]
[null,21,0.96136137302185976,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":3.9505171481852397E-2}]
[null,22,0.98351854496538327,null,null,2.2157171943523513E-2]
[null,23,0.99406780482713131,null,null,1.0549259861748039E-2]
[null,24,0.9982413991179675,null,null,4.1735942908361912E-3]
[null,25,0.99958180176498035,null,null,1.3404026470128505E-3]
[null,26,0.99992248337741751,null,null,3.4068161243716588E-4]
[null,27,0.999989143195958,null,null,6.6659818540482085E-5]
[null,28,0.99999888898221367,null,null,9.7457862556771246E-6]
[null,29,0.999999919878646,null,null,1.0308964323302305E-6]
[null,30,0.99999999608332313,null,null,7.6204677124103171E-8]
[null,31,0.99999999987550281,null,null,3.7921796813833453E-9]
[null,32,0.99999999999753875,null,null,1.2203593691140213E-10]
[null,33,0.99999999999997113,null,null,2.4323876246512555E-12]
[null,34,0.99999999999999978,null,null,2.8643754035329039E-14]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Japan",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C44","v":123294.51300000001},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":550.29227316844322}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":31.178810669678075},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":17.644300635063782},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":4946.162668572234},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":7.2900621520198369E-2},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":76.513321007314033},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-2537.8343926480038}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":6520.758913091232},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":6005.9999999970223},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":6005.9999999970223}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":597.51989226667956},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":4946.162668572234},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":4946.162668572234}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":61355.61510773332},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":62901.855159393941},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"$K91","v":62901.855159393941}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":126.95570228009531},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999983629},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999983629}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.18572098439646631},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14158303935601818},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14158303935601818}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":485.39236},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":220.21587803577839},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":220.21587803577839}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":90.147546917723957},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":31.178833326759712},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":31.178833326759712}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":126.70081176796515},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":76.513321007314033},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":76.513321007314033}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":51.184778572171638},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":31.178810669678075},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":31.178810669678075}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.53162454827417349},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":17.644300635063782},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":17.644300635063782}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-2537.8343926480038},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-514.75891309420967}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":51.184778572171638},{"$f":"AA64","v":51.184778572171638}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 62.0m to\n67.8m total Stock"},4.8702664079605569,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":56.055044980132195}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 6,521 to\n6,006 yearly km"},-4.41604865912376,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":51.638996321008435}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 127 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-19.013233869582315,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":32.62576245142612}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.6m to\n4.9m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":0.19029205912328706},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":32.816054510549407}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 42.3%\nto 3.05% PHEV"},-0.3794892447867575,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":31.178810669678075}]
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[]
[]
[]
[-5.7799999999999997E-2]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$16","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C16","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D16","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E16","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F16","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G16","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H16","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I16","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Japan"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000]
[1,2001]
[2,2002]
[3,2003]
[4,2004]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FJP!$B46","v":4748.482},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H46","v":56288.256000000001},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B46-2000))-AH$147*(B46-2000))","v":6888.2148081074156},{"$f":"EJP!$F42","v":179},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":56288.256000000001},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":387725.59850174113},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":69.402882131811666},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":69.402882131811666},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":179},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":69.402882131811666},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":69.402882131811666},{"$f":"AF46","v":69.402882131811666}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FJP!$B47","v":4612.3180000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H47","v":57097.67},null,6867.2678299007703,{"$f":"EJP!$F43","v":173.49932999999999},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":57097.67},null,392104.99235329032,68.029953462950985,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":68.029953462950985},173.49932999999999,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-1.3729286688606805},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-1.9782012312589274},68.029953462950985,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":68.029953462950985},68.029953462950985]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FJP!$B48","v":4325.5079999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H48","v":57510.36},null,6846.3845509760013,{"$f":"EJP!$F44","v":168.16769558909999},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":57510.36},null,393738.04022506822,66.214018890418089,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,66.214018890418089,168.16769558910002,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-3.1888632413935767},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-4.5947129909348847},66.214018890418075,66.214018890418089,66.214018890418089]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FJP!$B49","v":4184.2659999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H49","v":57551.248},null,6825.5647776264213,{"$f":"EJP!$F45","v":163},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":57551.248},null,392819.77125724306,64.029622714930611,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,64.029622714930611,162.99999999999997,-5.373259416881055,-7.7421272025505052,64.029622714930625,64.029622714930611,64.029622714930611]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FJP!$B50","v":3905.31},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H50","v":57682.474999999999},null,6804.8083167343921,{"$f":"EJP!$F46","v":163},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":57682.474999999999},null,392518.18560982362,63.980464254401255,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,63.980464254401255,163,-5.4224178774104104,-7.8129577776208494,63.980464254401255,63.980464254401255,63.980464254401255]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FJP!$B51","v":4203.1809999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H51","v":57902.834999999999},null,6784.1149757695275,{"$f":"EJP!$F47","v":163},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":57900.273999999998},null,392802.11594455899,64.026744898963116,{"$f":"FJP!$L51*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":2.5609999999999999},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":6.0930043222026371E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":2.5609999999999999},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":4.4229267876089311E-5},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":17.374118452945762},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.18572098439646631},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":3.2267383821018973},null,null,{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":0},64.026744898963116,162.99279062933621,-5.3761372328485493,-7.7462737392347147,64.029576880270952,64.026744898963116,64.026744898963116,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":2.8319813078354628E-3}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FJP!$B52","v":3509.0360000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H52","v":58139.470999999998},null,6763.484562786909,{"$f":"EJP!$F48","v":159},58122.121019005368,null,393108.06826847536,62.504182854687578,{"$f":"FJP!$L52*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":14.789},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":4.2145478131315837E-3},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":17.349980994626819},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":2.9842000101147842E-4},null,117.34632862180474,0.18572098439646631,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":21.793675666952808},null,null,{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":0},62.504182854687578,158.95255121983917,-6.8986992771240878,-9.9400760677660447,62.522840920938449,62.504182854687578,62.504182854687578,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":1.8658066250871741E-2}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FJP!$B53","v":4572.3329999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H53","v":58729.343000000001},null,6742.9168864253052,{"$f":"EJP!$F49","v":147},58690.943698846895,null,395780.70506225381,58.179763644151308,{"$f":"FJP!$L53*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":21.05},null,4.6037766715591368E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":38.39930115310333},null,6.5383501996784353E-4,{"$f":"FJP!$W53","v":0.18856770833333333},226.37358110998912,0.18572098439646631,42.042324325100488,{"$f":"EJP!$J49","v":594.52700000000004},{"$f":"V53*X53","v":110.41613969027793},2.4995296954029019E-2,58.204758941105339,146.97908719334637,-11.198123190706326,-16.134954121125077,58.213040560574477,58.204758941105339,58.204758941105339,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":8.2816194691375244E-3}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FJP!$B54","v":4562.2820000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H54","v":59357.222999999998},null,6722.4117559053993,{"$f":"EJP!$F50","v":143},59288.760564127479,null,398656.4037686481,57.007865738916678,{"$f":"FJP!$L54*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":30.07},null,6.5909998548971767E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":68.462435872516664},null,1.1533968809914956E-3,{"$f":"FJP!$W54","v":0.30292098729370526},367.28992445027791,0.18572098439646631,68.213446327809351,{"$f":"EJP!$J50","v":595.90350000000001},110.67178462529967,4.0648631413803739E-2,57.04851437033048,142.97024280018891,-12.354367761481186,-17.800943393125181,57.060388198113067,57.04851437033048,57.04851437033048,1.1873827782586943E-2]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FJP!$B55","v":4699.5910000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H55","v":60051.338000000003},null,{"$f":"EJP!$B51","v":7200},{"$f":"EJP!$F51","v":136},59950.496972632493,null,431815.82480138354,58.726952172988163,{"$f":"FJP!$L55*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":32.414000000000001},null,6.8971959474771315E-3,100.84102736751042,null,1.6792469697762674E-3,{"$f":"FJP!$W55","v":0.35585424844375718},553.80879861649851,0.18572098439646631,102.85391524648047,{"$f":"EJP!$J51","v":591.52930000000003},109.85940389535264,6.0841104488009924E-2,58.787793277476176,135.9665173245325,-10.61508885433549,-15.294881895790798,58.802270169600007,58.787793277476176,58.787793277476176,1.4476892123830964E-2]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FJP!$B56","v":4215.8890000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H56","v":60517.249000000003},null,{"$f":"EJP!$B52","v":7070},{"$f":"EJP!$F52","v":143},60390.864719205405,null,427191.65149098111,61.088406163210294,{"$f":"FJP!$L56*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":25.664999999999999},null,6.0876839973727954E-3,{"$f":"N56+N55*(1-F$165)+N54*(1-F$166)+N53*(1-F$167)+N52*(1-F$168)+N51*(1-F$169)+N50*(1-F$170)+N49*(1-F$171)+N48*(1-F$172)+N47*(1-F$173)+N46*(1-F$174)+N45*(1-F$175)+N44*(1-F$176)+N43*(1-F$177)","v":126.38428079460198},null,2.0884009581235586E-3,{"$f":"FJP!$W56","v":0.38314802961698624},665.29893901893433,0.18572098439646631,123.5599738725211,{"$f":"EJP!$J52","v":578.04920000000004},107.35586645358984,7.142374404903172E-2,61.159829907259329,142.9445749234485,-8.2430522245523363,-11.877103617825162,61.183543911489998,61.159829907259329,61.159829907259329,2.3714004230669161E-2]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FJP!$B57","v":4146.4589999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H57","v":60831.892},null,{"$f":"EJP!$B53","v":6900},{"$f":"EJP!$F53","v":144},60682.393075167005,null,418956.80540587404,60.329779978445856,{"$f":"FJP!$L57*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":23.437999999999999},null,5.6525338849365203E-3,149.49892483299777,null,2.4575748002872862E-3,{"$f":"FJP!$W57","v":0.36105129111189632},783.24939412603146,0.18572098439646631,145.46584850502239,{"$f":"EJP!$J53","v":569.65515000000005},105.79691522451668,8.2865369750005816E-2,60.412645348195859,143.92871172845679,-8.9902367836158064,-12.953693719147466,60.442567891200007,60.412645348195859,60.412645348195859,2.9922543004147428E-2]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FJP!$B58","v":4386.3779999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$H58","v":61253.3},null,{"$f":"EJP!$B54","v":6020},{"$f":"EJP!$F54","v":144},61047.632385362085,null,367870.31589858048,52.973325489395592,{"$f":"FJP!$L58*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":56.881},null,1.296764665516743E-2,205.66761463791619,null,3.3576577039590712E-3,{"$f":"FJP!$W58","v":0.44046928476129704},874.55010141951368,0.18572098439646631,162.42230573966154,{"$f":"EJP!$J54","v":553.75360000000001},102.84366370508705,8.9941936523638244E-2,53.063267425919229,143.90238975129009,-16.339614705892437,-23.543135679667941,53.099260704000002,53.063267425919229,53.063267425919229,3.5993278080773905E-2]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://airia.or.jp/publish/file/r5c6pv0000013czd-att/hoyuudaisuusuii05.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2024 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 69.8 million vehicles » 566 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .956). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2021 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .876).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FJP!$I$32","v":69781.34435597765},"b:",null,{"$f":"FJP!$I$33","v":0.40212668942476282},"c:",null,{"$f":"FJP!$I$34","v":5.322242255031872E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EJP!$C$32","v":632557016272.76843},"b:",{"$f":"EJP!$C$33","v":3.6303177066397232E-6},"c:",null,{"$f":"EJP!$C$34","v":3.0456320190143777E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .876). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FJP!$N$32","v":69000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FJP!$S$32","v":69000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EJP!$G$32","v":90293592.382557392},null,{"$f":"EJP!$G$33","v":1.2183214094985787E-4},null,null,{"$f":"EJP!$G$34","v":1.7105259112654952E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FJP!$N$33","v":7.6626473625988476},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FJP!$S$33","v":813.16088939045028}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FJP!$N$34","v":2.1345734381145214E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FJP!$S$34","v":0.21570290408004369}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .968)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FJP!$X$32","v":10.16827377606187},null,"b:",{"$f":"FJP!$X$33","v":11.588852543678566},"c:",{"$f":"FJP!$X$34","v":0.12271467476614617},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!K43","v":0.18572098439646631},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EJP!$K$32","v":44578.751002385994},"b:",{"$f":"EJP!$K$33","v":1.0477314251950369},"c:",{"$f":"EJP!$K$34","v":3.9795657006989303E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",5,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":10.614665506591191},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FJP!$F$47:$F$64)","v":6.4006826960631952E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":16},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":6.2473915747535351E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":10}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":7.4210750421660793E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":7.4210750421660793E-6}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.3744708748836614E-4},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":2.3002601244620006E-4}]
[null,3,1.8017029077259245E-3,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.5642558202375583E-3}]
[null,4,7.5704080524294868E-3,null,null,5.7687051447035623E-3]
[null,5,2.2924102342292387E-2,null,null,1.53536942898629E-2]
[null,6,5.6073044661894847E-2,null,null,3.3148942319602456E-2]
[null,7,0.11726167593597775,null,null,6.1188631274082902E-2]
[null,8,0.21586547809776957,null,null,9.860380216179182E-2]
[null,9,0.35480887364915265,null,null,0.13894339555138308]
[null,10,0.52389185627141954,null,null,0.1690829826222669]
[null,11,0.69734931441292569,null,null,0.17345745814150615]
[null,12,0.84222854757775956,null,null,0.14487923316483386]
[null,13,0.93641663755730609,null,null,9.418808997954653E-2]
[null,14,0.98152334199795921,null,null,4.5106704440653123E-2]
[null,15,0.99643074993303404,null,null,1.4907407935074835E-2]
[null,16,0.99958265196056562,null,null,3.1519020275315723E-3]
[null,17,0.99997346124508724,null,null,3.9080928452162045E-4]
[null,18,0.99999918711643732,null,null,2.5725871350079643E-5]
[null,19,0.99999998953662395,null,null,8.0242018662968206E-7]
[null,20,0.99999999995140632,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":1.0414782369849718E-8}]
[null,21,0.99999999999993128,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":4.8524961826501567E-11}]
[null,22,1,null,null,6.872280522429719E-14]
[null,23,1,null,null,0]
[null,24,1,null,null,0]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Korea (South)",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C45","v":51784.059000000001},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":681.96612534817416}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":23.710300657581747},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":133.84846221412923},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":22961.487723791306},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.65019126667366112},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":55.032385500120455},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-9202.5739193638783}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":16154.591345322568},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":12200.000000069977},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":12200.000000069977}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":641.20906119847268},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":22961.487723791306},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":22961.487723791306}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":25370.973754455594},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":12353.486347239941},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":79},{"$f":"$K91","v":12353.486347239941}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":132.20003686513746},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999992028},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999992028}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.2174351939477269},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.16576013594869901},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.16576013594869901}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":430.56707999999998},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":250.14885497310141},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":250.14885497310141}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":93.62043654730644},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":41.464708207752679},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":41.464708207752679}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":131.30464052390937},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":55.032385500120455},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":55.032385500120455}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":55.176334901921607},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":23.710300657581747},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":23.710300657581747}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":1.0375071332165646},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":133.84846221412923},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":133.84846221412923}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-9202.5739193638783},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-3954.5913452525911}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2038},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":55.176334901921607},{"$f":"AA64","v":55.176334901921607}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 26.0m to\n35.3m total Stock"},19.732827862506795,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":74.909162764428402}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 16,155 to\n12,200 yearly km"},-18.235896902816549,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":56.673265861611853}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 132 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-22.10553169395277,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":34.567734167659083}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.6m to\n23.0m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":3.4920882338544956},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":38.059822401513578}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2174 to\n.1658 kWh/km EV"},-5.8683551159404033,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":32.191467285573175}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 431 to 250\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-7.8877855079029509,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":24.303681777670224}]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$17","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C17","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D17","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E17","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F17","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G17","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H17","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I17","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
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[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FKR!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FKR!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":883.99713864455521},1,null,38648.925180689643,7561.6096307296257,33.996314910724855,null,246.53141195196804,1870.6627084501051,6.3595638528219256E-2,null,{"$f":"FKR!$U137-FKR!$U136*(1-FKR!$F136)","v":906.49608463955519},1.0254513787561552,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FKR!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FKR!$F136)+O137)","v":38402.393768737675},0.99362126085526581,3.3516369127228054E-5,290377.42215520144,0.10439965073195098,30315.301453447315,53.403804520303545,5.5753385396770749,1.6189524327939744,1.6825480713221936,5.7572595286883983,-49.636265493757577,-96.721381586134143,9.9353579250809378,1.6825480713221936,1.6825480713221936,8.2528098537587447]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FKR!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FKR!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":883.47596182645884},1,null,38666.665218468654,7483.3837716677481,33.369694900185245,null,220.37861076235276,1654.9365813260893,5.522472879800721E-2,null,{"$f":"FKR!$U138-FKR!$U137*(1-FKR!$F137)","v":904.10645938834932},1.0233515097787607,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FKR!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FKR!$F137)+O138)","v":38446.286607706301},0.99430055295647546,3.0024480933535444E-5,287702.55841907201,0.10335565422463149,29735.686147503446,51.502940497916782,5.3231201096544565,1.5314752743195983,1.5867000031176055,5.4835282670504961,-49.732113561962166,-96.90815143045846,9.6557713252451602,1.5867000031176055,1.5867000031176055,8.0690713221275541]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FKR!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FKR!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":882.98059778243419},1,null,38683.51251535739,7405.9671530090927,32.754624555518944,null,196.53532604191423,1460.6450782021859,4.7842881145379205E-2,null,{"$f":"FKR!$U139-FKR!$U138*(1-FKR!$F138)","v":901.88740162179602},1.0214124793759289,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FKR!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FKR!$F138)+O139)","v":38486.977189315476},0.99491940329969031,2.6896380155478604E-5,285028.1779735508,0.10232209768238516,29164.681068841928,49.666917474238375,5.0820231813819818,1.4485198078086543,1.4963626889540336,5.2231101828489903,-49.822450876125735,-97.08418300228935,9.38383383841267,1.4963626889540336,1.4963626889540336,7.8874711494586363]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FKR!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FKR!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":882.50979905285817},1,null,38699.511634066243,7329.3514035651424,32.150891003910608,null,174.81556535670097,1285.8202124655188,4.1340265501604072E-2,null,{"$f":"FKR!$U140-FKR!$U139*(1-FKR!$F139)","v":899.82716843473463},1.0196228635653248,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FKR!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FKR!$F139)+O140)","v":38524.696068709542},0.99548274492428435,2.4094169810396051E-5,282356.49969996343,0.10129887670556133,28602.396250120459,47.893729360918748,4.8515809855012311,1.3698754250770264,1.4112156905786304,4.9753354542239174,-49.907597874501143,-97.250100708604649,9.1193533116008467,1.4112156905786304,1.4112156905786304,7.7081376210222166]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FKR!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FKR!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":882.06237536341791},1,null,38714.704948826577,7253.5282387361531,31.558285295763422,null,155.04730918908899,1128.6646208897075,3.5618720109272056E-2,null,{"$f":"FKR!$U141-FKR!$U140*(1-FKR!$F140)","v":897.91476286703983},1.0179719574787334,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FKR!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FKR!$F140)+O141)","v":38559.657639637488},0.99599513132299389,2.158390025060235E-5,279689.54097976215,0.10028588793850569,28048.913964268522,46.181416733099375,4.6313443833370354,1.295338584694735,1.3309573048040071,4.7395691527804482,-49.987856260275763,-97.406492449175275,8.8621410485897218,1.3309573048040071,1.3309573048040071,7.5311837437857143]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1095105/south-korea-number-of-vehicles-registered/ (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 39 million vehicles » 753 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .995). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): http://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=115863 (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .676).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FKR!$I$32","v":39000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FKR!$I$33","v":1.341770092933176},"c:",null,{"$f":"FKR!$I$34","v":5.2081138936338034E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EKR!$C$32","v":34865846564.869362},"b:",{"$f":"EKR!$C$33","v":5.6596479823728701E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"EKR!$C$34","v":1.0399231817442517E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .881). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FKR!$N$32","v":39000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FKR!$S$32","v":39000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EKR!$G$32","v":105395369.27919158},null,{"$f":"EKR!$G$33","v":1.0343322798489828E-4},null,null,{"$f":"EKR!$G$34","v":1.8604303562545638E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FKR!$N$33","v":24.713918538366421},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FKR!$S$33","v":115.96029898793796}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FKR!$N$34","v":7.6854586714046283E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FKR!$S$34","v":0.1412662999453041}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .419)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FKR!$X$32","v":6.6268585645117204},null,"b:",{"$f":"FKR!$X$33","v":1.7770301123507128},"c:",{"$f":"FKR!$X$34","v":0.11002565971550481},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!K44","v":0.2174351939477269},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EKR!$K$32","v":35676.462505692762},"b:",{"$f":"EKR!$K$33","v":1.5517321839973497},"c:",{"$f":"EKR!$K$34","v":3.7773995044887647E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":25.642651408876361},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FKR!$F$47:$F$64)","v":2.8258400819886658E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":35},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":2.8526984258203401E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":24}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.5174054172772035E-9},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":3.5174054172772035E-9}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.2511392176350694E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":2.2159651634622973E-7}]
[null,3,2.564185266176072E-6,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":2.3390713444125652E-6}]
[null,4,1.4407188829963738E-5,null,null,1.1843003563787666E-5]
[null,5,5.4957949498173665E-5,null,null,4.0550760668209928E-5]
[null,6,1.6409460244478499E-4,null,null,1.0913665294661132E-4]
[null,7,4.137336192968143E-4,null,null,2.4963901685202928E-4]
[null,8,9.2164175443135859E-4,null,null,5.0790813513454424E-4]
[null,9,1.8675474147628009E-3,null,null,9.4590566033144234E-4]
[null,10,3.5112265996059379E-3,null,null,1.643679184843137E-3]
[null,11,6.2119239935203097E-3,null,null,2.7006973939143718E-3]
[null,12,1.0447953282750309E-2,null,null,4.236029289229999E-3]
[null,13,1.6834532744323307E-2,null,null,6.3865794615729984E-3]
[null,14,2.6136793975010373E-2,null,null,9.3022612306870658E-3]
[null,15,3.927343876142101E-2,null,null,1.3136644786410637E-2]
[null,16,5.7304798301548117E-2,null,null,1.8031359540127107E-2]
[null,17,8.1397344341359257E-2,null,null,2.409254603981114E-2]
[null,18,0.11275558407317972,null,null,3.1358239731820461E-2]
[null,19,0.15251271007701273,null,null,3.9757126003833007E-2]
[null,20,0.20157476466562366,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":4.9062054588610932E-2}]
[null,21,0.26042103369240244,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":5.884626902677878E-2}]
[null,22,0.32887716034920139,null,null,6.8456126656798955E-2]
[null,23,0.40589680089083585,null,null,7.701964054163446E-2]
[null,24,0.48940912436478745,null,null,8.35123234739516E-2]
[null,25,0.57630505772462892,null,null,8.6895933359841471E-2]
[null,26,0.66263236085239963,null,null,8.6327303127770705E-2]
[null,27,0.74403509382906274,null,null,8.1402732976663117E-2]
[null,28,0.81640142620076972,null,null,7.2366332371706976E-2]
[null,29,0.87658896850662282,null,null,6.0187542305853103E-2]
[null,30,0.92301837744296944,null,null,4.6429408936346617E-2]
[null,31,0.95591828731571293,null,null,3.2899909872743494E-2]
[null,32,0.9771038227606661,null,null,2.1185535444953163E-2]
[null,33,0.98935448325523889,null,null,1.2250660494572796E-2]
[null,34,0.99563310666943983,null,null,6.2786234142009345E-3]
[null,35,0.99844444903711904,null,null,2.8113423676792149E-3]
[null,36,0.99952709970965403,null,null,1.0826506725349905E-3]
[null,37,0.99987960107890561,null,null,3.5250136925157882E-4]
[null,38,0.99997485078731763,null,null,9.5249708412015188E-5]
[null,39,0.99999578494698427,null,null,2.093415966664125E-5]
[null,40,0.9999994466596781,null,null,3.6617126938365274E-6]
[null,41,0.99999994456432062,null,null,4.9790464251575628E-7]
[null,42,0.99999999587891775,null,null,5.1314597127039008E-8]
[null,43,0.99999999977942799,null,null,3.9005102481226572E-9]
[null,44,0.99999999999177136,null,null,2.1234336511355423E-10]
[null,45,0.99999999999979339,null,null,8.0220274867315311E-12]
[null,46,0.99999999999999667,null,null,2.0328183580886616E-13]
[null,47,1,null,null,3.3306690738754696E-15]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"LU","index":18,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[2,0,2,2],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[4,28,4,29],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[18,26,18,29],[15,28,15,29],[144,27,145,29],[16,28,16,29],[17,26,17,29],[7,28,7,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[11,28,11,29],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[37,10,37,15],[10,33,17,33],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[11,30,11,31],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[15,30,15,31],[16,30,16,31],[17,30,17,31]]}
[null,"Luxembourg",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C46","v":654.76800000000003},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":844.63978043846669}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":6.5850779309873982E-3},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":9.3890762321735739},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":553.04309093001564},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.99999998403719648},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":1.3096116019283144},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-10874.334161572016}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":10998.419913197122},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9091.9999999973152},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9091.9999999973152}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":46.496667794097462},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":553.04309093001564},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":553.04309093001564}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":399.37392477773409},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":8.8281183252547635E-6},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":72},{"$f":"$K91","v":8.8281183252547635E-6}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":131.26508316848214},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":90.000000000000227},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":90.000000000000227}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.17939245211323204},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1367585288773841},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.1367585288773841}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":105.26315},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":8.5415923058035901},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":8.5415923058035901}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":18.883414595662959},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.1681355980120822},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.1681355980120822}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":122.65694053975768},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":1.3096116019283144},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":1.3096116019283144}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":0.60149393681546992},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":6.5850779309873982E-3},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":6.5850779309873982E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":9.7133004949927715E-2},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":9.3890762321735739},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":9.3890762321735739}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-10874.334161572016},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1906.4199131998084}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":89},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2048},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2031},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2048}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":0.60149393681546992},{"$f":"AA64","v":0.60149393681546992}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 0.4m to\n0.6m total Stock"},0.14457919930094509,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":0.74607313611641501}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 10,998 to\n9,092 yearly km"},-0.1209333026039261,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.62513983351248892}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 131 to 90\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-0.19467847457773019,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.43046135893475873}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.0m to\n0.6m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-0.24057503291111401},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.18988632602364472}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1794 to\n.1368 kWh/km EV"},-1.6574904576136862E-2,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.17331142144750786}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 105 to 9\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-4.8853656937513146E-2,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.12445776450999471}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 39.82%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-0.11787268657900732,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":6.5850779309873982E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":6.585077930987393E-3}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$18","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C18","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D18","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E18","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F18","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G18","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H18","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I18","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Luxembourg"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,225.00002000000001]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,287.35631999999998]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,317.85714999999999]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,318.99642999999998]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,314.54003999999998]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FLU!$B46","v":48.517000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FLU!$H46","v":307},null,{"$f":"ELU!$B42","v":12789},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":149.77863329202947},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":307},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":3926.223},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":0.58806431493973188},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,313.43283000000002,null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":0.58806431493973188},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":149.77863329202947},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":0.58806431493973188},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":0.58806431493973188},{"$f":"AF46","v":0.58806431493973188}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FLU!$B47","v":50.837000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FLU!$H47","v":315},null,{"$f":"ELU!$B43","v":12737},149.20412044798212,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":315},null,4012.1550000000002,0.59863005787597379,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,313.55932999999999,null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":0.59863005787597379},149.20412044798212,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":1.0565742936241906E-2},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":1.7966985358267733},0.59863005787597368,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":0.59863005787597379},0.59863005787597379]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FLU!$B48","v":51.332000000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FLU!$H48","v":322},null,{"$f":"ELU!$B44","v":12700},148.5629765791912,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":322},null,4089.4,0.60753343642294455,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,310.34482000000003,null,null,0.60753343642294455,148.56297657919123,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":1.946912148321267E-2},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":3.3107129592122884},0.60753343642294455,0.60753343642294455,0.60753343642294455]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FLU!$B49","v":52.359000000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FLU!$H49","v":329},null,{"$f":"ELU!$B45","v":12415},147.85768186776971,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":329},null,4084.5349999999999,0.60392987660777075,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,308.82351999999997,null,null,0.60392987660777075,147.85768186776971,1.5865561668038874E-2,2.697929676223402,0.60392987660777075,0.60392987660777075,0.60392987660777075]
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[10,2010,{"$f":"FLU!$B51","v":49.725999999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FLU!$H51","v":337},null,{"$f":"ELU!$B47","v":12161},146.26463668864949,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":337},null,4098.2569999999996,0.59943007116171454,{"$f":"FLU!$L51*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":0},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.17939245211323204},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0},311.72840000000002,{"$f":"V51*X51","v":55.92172206933445},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":0},0.59943007116171454,146.26463668864949,1.1365756221982659E-2,1.9327403369387386,0.59943007116171454,0.59943007116171454,0.59943007116171454,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":0}]
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[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FLU!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FLU!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":29.983245563884079},0,null,595.33784183664693,6436.1470799075387,34.508510902354836,null,0,2.4817558767341801E-4,8.564169972926464E-9,null,{"$f":"FLU!$U140-FLU!$U139*(1-FLU!$F139)","v":29.504284855601782},0.98402572172309377,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FLU!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FLU!$F139)+O140)","v":589.95159797147949},0.99095262641368365,9.8041055026573513E-8,3797.0150063953356,8.3575494650122539E-2,317.33740735342838,4.6336563957449166E-2,3.8726012531308538E-3,1.4704325071923232E-5,1.4712889241896158E-5,3.8748565005590871E-3,-0.58804960205048995,-99.997498081609763,0.13222563704480134,1.4712889241896158E-5,1.4712889241896158E-5,0.13221092415555943]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FLU!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FLU!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":29.984065535113473},0,null,595.55501527992806,6390.9296918286927,33.774059725689938,null,0,2.0052135316819787E-4,6.7724201581788799E-9,null,{"$f":"FLU!$U141-FLU!$U140*(1-FLU!$F140)","v":29.503739593723481},0.98398062661557695,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FLU!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FLU!$F140)+O141)","v":589.95775766662894},0.99060161115313883,7.9775021455253906E-8,3770.3783498749822,8.2739739703621293E-2,311.96012325282521,4.1649003116172034E-2,3.4460276767473864E-3,1.2992828145478329E-5,1.2999600565636508E-5,3.4478237110355972E-3,-0.58805131533916621,-99.99778942536804,0.12854914520208691,1.2999600565636508E-5,1.2999600565636508E-5,0.12853614560152127]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 600 thousand vehicles » 916 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .972). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .790).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FLU!$I$32","v":600},"b:",null,{"$f":"FLU!$I$33","v":0.89313183080616598},"c:",null,{"$f":"FLU!$I$34","v":4.7884165027066918E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ELU!$C$32","v":43148600489.115845},"b:",{"$f":"ELU!$C$33","v":4.2519309918589988E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"ELU!$C$34","v":7.0504807135623217E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .677). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FLU!$N$32","v":590},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FLU!$S$32","v":590}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ELU!$G$32","v":17434.854023691856},null,{"$f":"ELU!$G$33","v":0.95390777513429825},null,null,{"$f":"ELU!$G$34","v":2.3656851904544137E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FLU!$N$33","v":58.441243400826508},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FLU!$S$33","v":58.441243400826508}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FLU!$N$34","v":0.13612445821529662},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FLU!$S$34","v":0.13612444898093504}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .937)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FLU!$X$32","v":7.0139351667694614},null,"b:",{"$f":"FLU!$X$33","v":49.633227313211876},"c:",{"$f":"FLU!$X$34","v":0.20617589130681793},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!K45","v":0.17939245211323204},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ELU!$K$32","v":8441.6003689546615},"b:",{"$f":"ELU!$K$33","v":1.9831221560595789},"c:",{"$f":"ELU!$K$34","v":0.10665914093875041}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":6.3251933372555547},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FLU!$F$47:$F$64)","v":0.11456097591968087},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":9},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":0.11108346335278428},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":6}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.5615423978891802E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.5615423978891802E-5}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":9.9889570885927431E-4},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":9.8328028488038253E-4}]
[null,3,1.1319183444019812E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.0320287735160538E-2}]
[null,4,6.1958676469806497E-2,null,null,5.0639493025786686E-2]
[null,5,0.21650680663875613,null,null,0.15454813016894964]
[null,6,0.51739603482672525,null,null,0.30088922818796915]
[null,7,0.84072983371818544,null,null,0.32333379889146019]
[null,8,0.98331961272914625,null,null,0.14258977901096082]
[null,9,0.99975117017505855,null,null,1.6431557445912293E-2]
[null,10,0.99999983470695386,null,null,2.4866453189531512E-4]
[null,11,0.99999999999903233,null,null,1.6529207846893712E-7]
[null,12,1,null,null,9.6767038826328644E-13]
[null,13,1,null,null,0]
[null,14,1,null,null,0]
[null,15,1,null,null,0]
[null,16,1,null,null,0]
[null,17,1,null,null,0]
[null,18,1,null,null,0]
[null,19,1,null,null,0]
[null,20,1,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":0}]
[null,21,1,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":0}]
[null,22,1,null,null,0]
[null,23,1,null,null,0]
[null,24,1,null,null,0]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Netherlands",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C47","v":17618.298999999999},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":651.84365141694661}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":3.1556581770757335},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":94.087913170147488},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":9261.0948872276676},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.80640816736060394},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":26.600035502948984},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-9554.7634276519166}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":12620.031654989494},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10330.000000020176},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":10330.000000020176}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":688.02383004406749},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":9261.0948872276676},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":9261.0948872276676}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":8622.1813205534181},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":2223.2814646878705},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":2223.2814646878705}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":116.05316254951578},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999983899},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999983899}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.20191682592574989},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15392982114858775},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15392982114858775}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":267.62177000000003},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":88.030222508661026},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":88.030222508661026}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":54.037338347031081},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":13.550476406428576},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":13.550476406428576}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":112.49602379582399},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":26.600035502948984},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":26.600035502948984}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":13.217729733493451},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":3.1556581770757335},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":3.1556581770757335}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":1.1858161257281683},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":94.087913170147488},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":94.087913170147488}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-9554.7634276519166},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2290.0316549693162}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":114},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2073},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2073}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":13.217729733493451},{"$f":"AA64","v":13.217729733493451}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 9.3m to\n11.5m total Stock"},3.0866782061749252,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":16.304407939668376}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 12,620 to\n10,330 yearly km"},-2.8787083332946999,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":13.425699606373676}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 116 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-4.0782321112639028,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":9.3474674951097736}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.7m to\n9.3m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-1.7845964097350722},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":7.5628710853747014}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2019 to\n.1539 kWh/km EV"},-0.95359023215292282,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":6.6092808532217786}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 268 to 88\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-2.0526994658222968,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":4.5565813873994818}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 33.58%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-1.4009232103237488,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":3.155658177075733}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":3.155658177075733}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.48199999999999998]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.38,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$19","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C19","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D19","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E19","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F19","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G19","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H19","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I19","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Netherlands"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J37","v":542.35749999999996}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J38","v":543.08659999999998}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J39","v":540.78612999999996}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J40","v":542.78830000000005}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J41","v":524.64435000000003}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FNL!$B46","v":465.19600000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H46","v":7092},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B42","v":13737},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":148.67979394307292},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":7092},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":97422.804000000004},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":14.48480242407638},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J42","v":513.54912999999999},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":14.48480242407638},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":148.67979394307292},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":14.48480242407638},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":14.48480242407638},{"$f":"AF46","v":14.48480242407638}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FNL!$B47","v":483.99900000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H47","v":7230},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B43","v":13727},146.64843195975422,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":7230},null,99246.21,14.55430107444848,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J43","v":513.22810000000004},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":14.55430107444848},146.64843195975422,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":6.9498650372100457E-2},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":0.47980392370821051},14.554301074448478,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":14.55430107444848},14.55430107444848]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FNL!$B48","v":504.3},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H48","v":7392},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B44","v":13711},144.64469865329875,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":7392},null,101351.712,14.659987840235923,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J44","v":511.57409999999999},null,null,14.659987840235923,144.64469865329875,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":0.17518541615954319},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":1.2094429114777094},14.659987840235923,14.659987840235923,14.659987840235923]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FNL!$B49","v":499.98},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H49","v":7542},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B45","v":13615},142.66822165618859,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":7542},null,102684.33,14.649790753057216,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J45","v":496.09264999999999},null,null,14.649790753057216,142.66822165618859,0.16498832898083649,1.1390443870093514,14.649790753057216,14.649790753057216,14.649790753057216]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FNL!$B50","v":387.69900000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H50","v":7622},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B46","v":13505},140.71863352627804,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":7622},null,102935.11,14.484888021077118,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$J46","v":488.29552999999999},null,null,14.484888021077118,140.71863352627804,8.5597000738957263E-5,5.9094351605845489E-4,14.484888021077118,14.484888021077118,14.484888021077118]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FNL!$B51","v":482.53100000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H51","v":7736},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B47","v":13217},138.7955716842078,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":7735.9139999999998},null,102245.575338,14.191233081218448,{"$f":"FNL!$L51*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":8.5999999999999993E-2},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":1.7822689112202117E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":8.5999999999999993E-2},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":1.1116856256463287E-5},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":1.1366619999999998},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.20191682592574989},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0.22951118319041469},{"$f":"ENL!$J47","v":479.59354000000002},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":96.83800533129417},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":1.1007208081587947E-4},14.191343153299263,138.79510524797377,-0.29345927077711664,-2.0259804875856222,14.191390844870551,14.191343153299263,14.191343153299263,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":4.7691571287700185E-5}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FNL!$B52","v":555.81200000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H52","v":7859},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B48","v":13128},136.89867835154323,7858.0670000019218,null,103160.70357602523,14.122563977373174,{"$f":"FNL!$L52*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":0.84699999999999998},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":1.523896569343591E-3},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0.93299999807866407},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":1.1871739382601655E-4},null,12.248423974776703,0.20191682592574989,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":2.473162891579769},{"$f":"ENL!$J48","v":473.72160000000002},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":95.65236184446772},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":1.1715906820597948E-3},14.123735568055233,136.89378169634259,-0.36106685602114652,-2.4927288992288061,14.124240770427209,14.123735568055233,14.123735568055233,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":5.0520237197559936E-4}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FNL!$B53","v":502.45400000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H53","v":7915.6130000000003},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B49","v":12935},135.0276004896302,7909.0970001399673,null,102341.80192266879,13.818967943402988,{"$f":"FNL!$L53*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":5.5830000000000002},null,1.1111464930122958E-2,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":6.5159998600329976},null,8.2318322788557218E-4,{"$f":"FNL!$W53","v":0.66973603437691831},46.652232331219579,0.20191682592574989,9.4198706746705039,{"$f":"ENL!$J49","v":496.2355},100.19829707167746,4.6744742341804551E-3,13.823642417637169,135.01173088042083,-0.66116000643921069,-4.5645082831108716,13.825267282392158,13.823642417637169,13.823642417637169,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":1.6248647549890194E-3}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FNL!$B54","v":417.036},null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$H54","v":8154},null,{"$f":"ENL!$B50","v":13000},133.18198973916174,8124.3330025945506,null,105824.64968217698,14.093937408122079,{"$f":"FNL!$L54*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":23.151},null,5.5513193105631166E-2,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":29.666997405449045},null,3.6383366943155563E-3,{"$f":"FNL!$W54","v":0.81022685138369221},177.35031782301962,0.20191682592574989,35.810013251747073,{"$f":"ENL!$J50","v":502.38670000000002},101.44032785131193,1.7990474384501482E-2,14.111927882506579,133.12888325226484,-0.37287454156980004,-2.5742466528229246,14.117557276330622,14.111927882506579,14.111927882506579,5.6293938240425945E-3]
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[93,2093,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C134*(1+D$38/27*($B134-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C134*(1+D$38/27*($B134-$B$64)),0)","v":384.15941129859021},0,null,12932.074962097035,7509.4268309579766,44.206689648203799,null,0,0.45763143625734326,2.0230370875890133E-5,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U134-FNL!$U133*(1-FNL!$F133)","v":384.15941129858948},0.99999999999999811,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O134>D134,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R133*(1-FNL!$F133)+D134,R133*(1-FNL!$F133)+O134)","v":12932.07496203013},0.99999999999482647,7.0685788286429025E-6,97112.013068392669,9.9916251491826341E-2,9703.0683206190479,6.8117519155505244,0.68060471749407603,6.6094894219694417E-2,6.6115124590570312E-2,0.68080982920236599,-14.418687299485809,-99.5435552197752,4.293020853219832,6.6115124590570312E-2,6.6115124590570312E-2,4.2269057286292613]
[94,2094,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64)),0)","v":384.14794306718471},0,null,12948.951976240663,7453.9417074896464,43.600774648529388,null,0,0.39012201325339668,1.7009621985291944E-5,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U135-FNL!$U134*(1-FNL!$F134)","v":384.14794306718431},0.999999999999999,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O135>D135,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R134*(1-FNL!$F134)+D135,R134*(1-FNL!$F134)+O135)","v":12948.95197617566},0.99999999999498002,6.0627701474909454E-6,96520.343081482992,9.8917088976908069E-2,9547.5113646727459,6.4111068799381981,0.6341680296833142,6.1210115796341578E-2,6.1227125418326873E-2,0.63434169412327934,-14.423575298658053,-99.577300928064048,4.2083787373375934,6.1227125418326873E-2,6.1227125418326873E-2,4.1471516119192664]
[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":384.13614945535608},1,null,12965.337889570785,7398.866536048512,43.003153542026247,null,0,0.3325583550154893,1.4301058002414762E-5,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U136-FNL!$U135*(1-FNL!$F135)","v":384.13614945535664},1.0000000000000016,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FNL!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FNL!$F135)+O136)","v":12965.337889507628},0.99999999999512879,5.2000807723938183E-6,95928.472080884821,9.7927918087138979E-2,9394.0755561612878,6.0339281209264266,0.59089001876976754,5.6683176668429161E-2,5.6697477726431578E-2,0.59103705023380826,-14.428104946349947,-99.608572653830677,4.1252411150243651,5.6697477726431578E-2,5.6697477726431578E-2,4.0685436372979336]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":384.12407897402971},0,null,12981.246372481004,7344.1982878872395,42.413713100716727,null,0,0.2834774991951593,1.2023333321372145E-5,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U137-FNL!$U136*(1-FNL!$F136)","v":384.12407897402954},0.99999999999999956,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FNL!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FNL!$F136)+O137)","v":12981.24637241964},0.99999999999527289,4.4601458980980493E-6,95336.56390546757,9.6948638906267592E-2,9242.7501086354805,5.6788524720115392,0.55055701771101184,5.2488214302609519E-2,5.2500237635930889E-2,0.55068149490026852,-14.432302186440449,-99.637549508106062,4.0435896928470827,5.2500237635930889E-2,5.2500237635930889E-2,3.991089455211152]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":384.11177649217638},0,null,12996.69075199472,7289.9339566323197,41.832341634207701,null,0,0.24163127890015448,1.0108002208461785E-5,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U138-FNL!$U137*(1-FNL!$F137)","v":384.11177649217643},1.0000000000000002,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FNL!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FNL!$F137)+O138)","v":12996.690751935099},0.99999999999541256,3.8254984686525195E-6,94744.775605102011,9.5979152517204916E-2,9093.5232680104418,5.3445946564047357,0.51296966566970859,4.860119586610074E-2,4.8611303868309204E-2,0.51307504379916946,-14.43619112020807,-99.66439788099899,3.9634059291893649,4.8611303868309204E-2,4.8611303868309204E-2,3.9147946253210555]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":384.09928346500493},0,null,13011.684018103075,7236.0705581188395,41.258928969034905,null,0,0.20595485498589416,8.4974767326908911E-6,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U139-FNL!$U138*(1-FNL!$F138)","v":384.09928346500419},0.99999999999999811,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FNL!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FNL!$F138)+O139)","v":13011.684018045147},0.99999999999554801,3.2811568534327336E-6,94153.257679666945,9.501936099203287E-2,8946.3823800401642,5.0299429864997922,0.47794196840356767,4.4999793307028337E-2,4.5008290783761028E-2,0.47803117428022551,-14.439794133292619,-99.689272318213,3.8846710683026457,4.5008290783761028E-2,4.5008290783761028E-2,3.8396627775188845]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":384.0866381492778},0,null,13026.238830138225,7182.6051302264495,40.693366428278729,null,0,0.17553984639769335,7.1433072922250995E-6,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U140-FNL!$U139*(1-FNL!$F139)","v":384.08663814927786},1.0000000000000002,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FNL!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FNL!$F139)+O140)","v":13026.238830081944},0.99999999999567935,2.8142711925076866E-6,93562.154308655139,9.4069167382112545E-2,8801.3139542919234,4.733755283220658,0.44530041808324367,4.1663266430413098E-2,4.1670409737705326E-2,0.44537593073172821,-14.443132014338675,-99.712316340135629,3.8073661724250041,4.1670409737705326E-2,4.1670409737705326E-2,3.7656957626872987]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FNL!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FNL!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":384.07387580627238},1,null,13040.367523168572,7129.5347327165637,40.135546811447853,null,0,0.1496113887823235,6.0047348979986689E-6,null,{"$f":"FNL!$U141-FNL!$U140*(1-FNL!$F140)","v":384.07387580627255},1.0000000000000004,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FNL!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FNL!$F140)+O141)","v":13040.36752311389},0.99999999999580669,2.4138200635059486E-6,92971.603572040767,9.31284757082914E-2,8658.3037248196961,4.4549550061246617,0.41488316906941169,3.8572353523433307E-2,3.8578358258331308E-2,0.41494708809263553,-14.446224065818049,-99.733663206933315,3.7314721520515595,3.8578358258331308E-2,3.8578358258331308E-2,3.6928937937932282]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 13.5 million vehicles » 766 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .993). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .741).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FNL!$I$32","v":13500},"b:",null,{"$f":"FNL!$I$33","v":0.75483912812249365},"c:",null,{"$f":"FNL!$I$34","v":3.0814971538059881E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ENL!$C$32","v":32616361117.617802},"b:",{"$f":"ENL!$C$33","v":6.1877910096916737E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"ENL!$C$34","v":7.4163907487318752E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .008). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FNL!$N$32","v":13200},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FNL!$S$32","v":13000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$G$32","v":2353254.730155386},null,{"$f":"ENL!$G$33","v":4.9213301645772162E-3},null,null,{"$f":"ENL!$G$34","v":1.3819891314131656E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FNL!$N$33","v":18.026921631717219},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FNL!$S$33","v":47.027476541139542}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FNL!$N$34","v":7.8584214530330584E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FNL!$S$34","v":0.11877027594165852}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .703)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FNL!$X$32","v":34.05754678880681},null,"b:",{"$f":"FNL!$X$33","v":2.1404851780410619},"c:",{"$f":"FNL!$X$34","v":0.15349282208889214},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!K46","v":0.20191682592574989},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ENL!$K$32","v":24062.444734542489},"b:",{"$f":"ENL!$K$33","v":1.3453092766203643},"c:",{"$f":"ENL!$K$34","v":6.0893332665065622E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":18.842962774241158},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FNL!$F$47:$F$64)","v":3.8455752966154298E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":26},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.8422836476041153E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":18}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.2341115525577133E-8},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.2341115525577133E-8}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.429830387400509E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.4074892718749319E-6}]
[null,3,1.6286540772931757E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.4856710385531247E-5}]
[null,4,9.1505023374908155E-5,null,null,7.5218482601976391E-5]
[null,5,3.4901901267541253E-4,null,null,2.5751398930050438E-4]
[null,6,1.0418040425693173E-3,null,null,6.9278502989390486E-4]
[null,7,2.6249586848741753E-3,null,null,1.583154642304858E-3]
[null,8,5.8394730645996437E-3,null,null,3.2145143797254684E-3]
[null,9,1.1802779148670346E-2,null,null,5.9633060840707025E-3]
[null,10,2.2093401217310099E-2,null,null,1.0290622068639753E-2]
[null,11,3.8805646345099892E-2,null,null,1.6712245127789793E-2]
[null,12,6.4533753146667927E-2,null,null,2.5728106801568035E-2]
[null,13,0.10222544873124594,null,null,3.7691695584578008E-2]
[null,14,0.15483063141055098,null,null,5.2605182679305043E-2]
[null,15,0.22467987614427903,null,null,6.9849244733728055E-2]
[null,16,0.31258818381835651,null,null,8.7908307674077479E-2]
[null,17,0.41682048469871025,null,null,0.10423230088035373]
[null,18,0.5322732561043555,null,null,0.11545277140564525]
[null,19,0.6504321054274208,null,null,0.11815884932306531]
[null,20,0.76065072917036636,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":0.11021862374294555}]
[null,21,0.85282174957153556,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":9.2171020401169201E-2}]
[null,22,0.92058226411749888,null,null,6.7760514545963324E-2]
[null,23,0.96338462097990341,null,null,4.2802356862404523E-2]
[null,24,0.98601057667668968,null,null,2.2625955696786271E-2]
[null,25,0.9957224461730646,null,null,9.7118694963749252E-3]
[null,26,0.99899374837707,null,null,3.2713022040053996E-3]
[null,27,0.999825817332885,null,null,8.3206895581500184E-4]
[null,28,0.99997889429284093,null,null,1.530769599559223E-4]
[null,29,0.99999830701392556,null,null,1.9412721084632878E-5]
[null,30,0.99999991551344269,null,null,1.6084995171361527E-6]
[null,31,0.99999999755157898,null,null,8.2038136284268148E-8]
[null,32,0.99999999996181543,null,null,2.4102364548639343E-9]
[null,33,0.99999999999970535,null,null,3.7889913429012267E-11]
[null,34,0.999999999999999,null,null,2.936539900133539E-13]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"NZ","index":20,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[2,0,2,2],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[4,28,4,29],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[18,26,18,29],[15,28,15,29],[144,27,145,29],[16,28,16,29],[17,26,17,29],[7,28,7,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[11,28,11,29],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[37,10,37,15],[10,33,17,33],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[11,30,11,31],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[15,30,15,31],[16,30,16,31],[17,30,17,31]]}
[null,"New Zealand",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C48","v":5228.1000000000004},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":698.29576604908243}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.63953995359608629},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":25.084824255837525},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":2760.1024992254152},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.756035024979542},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":21.450968916828131},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-7021.7346491185453}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":8555.2763458121408},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":8166.5283262115781},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":8166.5283262115781}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":71.444385400784867},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":2760.1024992254152},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":2760.1024992254152}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":2867.6396145992148},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":890.65759525579278},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":890.65759525579278}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":144.99999999999579},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999997684},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999997684}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19165870988080416},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14610962111879625},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14610962111879625}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":112.75830999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":10.767342549400873},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":10.767342549400873}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":21.611112222939777},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.5732123403492551},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.5732123403492551}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":142.61668328284017},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":21.450968916828131},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":21.450968916828131}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":3.5860502681776212},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.63953995359608629},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.63953995359608629}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.1317460404316555},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":25.084824255837525},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":25.084824255837525}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-7021.7346491185453},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-388.74801960056266}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":107},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2066},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2066}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":3.5860502681776212},{"$f":"AA64","v":3.5860502681776212}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($G$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 0.0m to\n3.7m total Stock"},0.86833389228410551,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":4.4543841604617267}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 8,555 to\n8,167 yearly km"},-0.18855361705141149,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":4.2658305434103152}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 145 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-1.9077775064885794,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.3580530369217358}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.1m to\n2.8m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-1.0187153743678372},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.3393376625538986}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1917 to\n.1461 kWh/km EV"},-9.1989982869712605E-2,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.247347679684186}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 113 to 11\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.26690260510191277,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.98044507458227326}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 30.81%\nto 1.88% PHEV"},-0.34090512098618697,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.63953995359608629}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":0.63953995359608629}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$20","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C20","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D20","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E20","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F20","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G20","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H20","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I20","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"New Zealand"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J37","v":184.78540000000001}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J38","v":230.90633}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J39","v":198.20939999999999}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J40","v":232.35075000000001}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J41","v":205.3466}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FNZ!$B46","v":77.825000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$H46","v":2250.4349999999999},null,{"$f":"ENZ!$B42","v":9042},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":215.51706575091961},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":2250.4349999999999},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":20348.433270000001},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":4.3854346309787902},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J42","v":255.6497},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":4.3854346309787902},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":215.51706575091961},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":4.3854346309787902},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":4.3854346309787902},{"$f":"AF46","v":4.3854346309787902}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FNZ!$B47","v":76.804000000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$H47","v":2288.2809999999999},null,{"$f":"ENZ!$B43","v":8913},210.8248694605345,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":2288.2809999999999},null,20395.448552999998,4.2998677787752717,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J43","v":250.23235},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":4.2998677787752717},210.8248694605345,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-8.5566852203518451E-2},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-1.9511601335719986},4.2998677787752726,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":4.2998677787752717},4.2998677787752717]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FNZ!$B48","v":77.453999999999994},null,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$H48","v":2331.2040000000002},null,{"$f":"ENZ!$B44","v":8958},206.23470280219985,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":2331.2040000000002},null,20882.925432,4.3067839201090203,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J44","v":227.75470000000001},null,null,4.3067839201090203,206.23470280219982,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-7.8650710869769824E-2},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-1.793453043722959},4.3067839201090212,4.3067839201090203,4.3067839201090203]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FNZ!$B49","v":73.397000000000006},null,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$H49","v":2345.9009999999998},null,{"$f":"ENZ!$B45","v":8740},201.74435270758863,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":2345.9009999999998},null,20503.174739999999,4.1363997163718818,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J45","v":248.21387999999999},null,null,4.1363997163718818,201.74435270758866,-0.24903491460690841,-5.6786826292591668,4.1363997163718818,4.1363997163718818,4.1363997163718818]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FNZ!$B50","v":54.404000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$H50","v":2348.875},null,{"$f":"ENZ!$B46","v":8673},197.35165387265994,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":2348.875},null,20371.792874999999,4.0204070162325198,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$J46","v":197.43886000000001},null,null,4.0204070162325198,197.35165387265994,-0.36502761474627032,-8.3236359782382472,4.0204070162325198,4.0204070162325198,4.0204070162325198]
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[93,2093,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C134*(1+D$38/27*($B134-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C134*(1+D$38/27*($B134-$B$64)),0)","v":98.399905683521126},0,null,4067.3072066287309,7583.5436225641643,31.01806800462597,null,0,4.6708129830605181,1.4487959474546104E-4,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U134-FNZ!$U133*(1-FNZ!$F133)","v":97.11561264100601},0.98694822892772149,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O134>D134,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R133*(1-FNZ!$F133)+D134,R133*(1-FNZ!$F133)+O134)","v":4063.9970909843405},0.99918616532358417,2.2733073708458286E-4,30814.828408470548,9.4840139098122014E-2,2922.4826125441086,0.25065213728383967,2.3771883565240931E-2,7.3252651300904025E-4,8.7740610775450135E-4,2.8469187686986638E-2,-4.3845572248710356,-99.979992721780491,0.95673995086789398,8.7740610775450135E-4,8.7740610775450135E-4,0.95586254476013943]
[94,2094,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64)),0)","v":98.356548948831914},0,null,4071.7089591044391,7570.4928593927243,30.342009079867271,null,0,4.2107035841826157,1.2776120638389858E-4,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U135-FNZ!$U134*(1-FNZ!$F134)","v":96.913989652823602},0.98533336812418282,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O135>D135,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R134*(1-FNZ!$F134)+D135,R134*(1-FNZ!$F134)+O135)","v":4067.0327478354257},0.99885153597273757,2.0513704987116759E-4,30785.231672820282,9.3891737707140807E-2,2890.4788974780054,0.22957861710342667,2.1555535300243046E-2,6.6359214804963794E-4,7.9135335443353651E-4,2.5702100894168557E-2,-4.3846432776243569,-99.981954961799161,0.93528768440960031,7.9135335443353651E-4,7.9135335443353651E-4,0.93449633105516672]
[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":98.314448997595747},0,null,4075.9669311467223,7557.4645516269575,29.680682650541616,null,0,3.7956781918990927,1.1265831985733856E-4,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U136-FNZ!$U135*(1-FNZ!$F135)","v":96.729107573691181},0.98387478707282039,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FNZ!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FNZ!$F135)+O136)","v":4069.8133989341186},0.99849028897521686,1.8511006257571766E-4,30753.674815989121,9.295282033006938E-2,2858.6408096600162,0.2102762366730383,1.9545769247152074E-2,6.0110423145527539E-4,7.13762551312614E-4,2.3206152516594306E-2,-4.3847208684274772,-99.983724246024082,0.91428302403233808,7.13762551312614E-4,7.13762551312614E-4,0.91356926148102546]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":98.273576641008788},0,null,4080.0856716782419,7544.4586606436415,29.033767784222857,null,0,3.421361381793008,9.9335011864886024E-5,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U137-FNZ!$U136*(1-FNZ!$F136)","v":96.559602043585528},0.98255915113698999,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FNZ!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FNZ!$F136)+O137)","v":4072.3603114623261},0.99810656911703077,1.6703824894475624E-4,30720.33265969159,9.2023292126768685E-2,2826.986146574312,0.19259623777980517,1.7723339851727613E-2,5.4446689608584134E-4,6.4380190795072735E-4,2.0954532688588264E-2,-4.3847908290708393,-99.985319541570561,0.89371853398034828,6.4380190795072735E-4,6.4380190795072735E-4,0.89307473207239751]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":98.233902836903994},0,null,4084.0695954993785,7531.4751478859389,28.400950534746965,null,0,3.0837949479270859,8.7582707775379757E-5,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U138-FNZ!$U137*(1-FNZ!$F137)","v":96.404215702156762},0.98137417854826525,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FNZ!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FNZ!$F137)+O138)","v":4074.6930039697031},0.99770410584089742,1.5073073284420721E-4,30685.365299714591,9.1103059205501005E-2,2795.5306516423243,0.17640234054441467,1.6070792874606759E-2,4.9313815001335878E-4,5.8072085778873854E-4,1.8923108691398169E-2,-4.3848539101210013,-99.986757963425404,0.87358678752856644,5.8072085778873854E-4,5.8072085778873854E-4,0.87300606667077774]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":98.195398736913006},0,null,4087.9229865802558,7518.5139748632828,27.781923790342997,null,0,2.7793994325983893,7.7217063219371012E-5,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U139-FNZ!$U138*(1-FNZ!$F138)","v":96.261790492534601},0.98030856568382629,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FNZ!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FNZ!$F138)+O139)","v":4076.8293860705376},0.99728625012111627,1.3601527236805201E-4,30648.919312872033,9.0192028613445996E-2,2764.2882076377518,0.16156969925837186,1.4572298938576939E-2,4.4662521437149535E-4,5.2384227759086637E-4,1.7090154855938809E-2,-4.3849107887011991,-99.988054951865195,0.85388037543522044,5.2384227759086637E-4,5.2384227759086637E-4,0.8533565331576296]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":98.158035728914285},0,null,4091.6500013191662,7505.5751031512609,27.17638712505644,null,0,2.5049389677028446,6.8075191110931755E-5,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U140-FNZ!$U139*(1-FNZ!$F139)","v":96.131260399712119},0.97935191638512853,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FNZ!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FNZ!$F139)+O140)","v":4078.7858876520204},0.99685600829420928,1.2273644072906278E-4,30611.128870478016,8.9290108327311532E-2,2733.2710128662757,0.147983945181348,1.3213502495945495E-2,4.0448022773377046E-4,4.7255541884470224E-4,1.5436109995504587E-2,-4.3849620755599457,-99.989224433639805,0.83459191376480968,4.7255541884470224E-4,4.7255541884470224E-4,0.83411935834596496]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FNZ!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FNZ!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":98.121785475083485},0,null,4095.254671763777,7492.6584943915022,26.584046653393543,null,0,2.2574891860539412,6.0013197841589387E-5,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$U141-FNZ!$U140*(1-FNZ!$F140)","v":96.011644620968127},0.97849467532721168,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FNZ!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FNZ!$F140)+O141)","v":4080.5775782682267},0.99641607307190272,1.1075398472484445E-4,30572.116764648879,8.8397207244038406E-2,2702.4897415336077,0.13554030912325363,1.198138479548928E-2,3.6629629496988695E-4,4.2630949281147635E-4,1.3943359536066532E-2,-4.3850083214859783,-99.990278968250934,0.81571405111568307,4.2630949281147635E-4,4.2630949281147635E-4,0.81528774162287154]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://figure.nz/chart/uJNrdoLD71eoFI72 (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2024 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 4.2 million vehicles » 803 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .964). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .003).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FNZ!$I$32","v":4200},"b:",null,{"$f":"FNZ!$I$33","v":0.77771920140244566},"c:",null,{"$f":"FNZ!$I$34","v":3.4273168693230278E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ENZ!$C$32","v":24216925643.757572},"b:",{"$f":"ENZ!$C$33","v":2.1340051590124654E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"ENZ!$C$34","v":1.7227274791557835E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2023 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = 1.000). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FNZ!$N$32","v":4100},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FNZ!$S$32","v":4100}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$G$32","v":7498670.9354502838},null,{"$f":"ENZ!$G$33","v":1.4578018413650474E-3},null,null,{"$f":"ENZ!$G$34","v":2.2040774973774858E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FNZ!$N$33","v":32.977917027983317},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FNZ!$S$33","v":102.32443196579423}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FNZ!$N$34","v":8.8457771792789117E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FNZ!$S$34","v":0.13563737927079597}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .787)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FNZ!$X$32","v":392.2585944616572},null,"b:",{"$f":"FNZ!$X$33","v":7.9529407951580741E-2},"c:",{"$f":"FNZ!$X$34","v":0.10272820770849338},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!M41","v":0.19165870988080416},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ENZ!$K$32","v":6942.1271818172409},"b:",{"$f":"ENZ!$K$33","v":1.4534657204552348},"c:",{"$f":"ENZ!$K$34","v":8.7855121180935428E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",5.5,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":30.149330913782961},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FNZ!$F$47:$F$64)","v":2.3340792861363157E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":43},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":2.3235595814232447E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":28}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":7.3109323692519017E-9},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":7.3109323692519017E-9}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.3085497720294134E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":3.2354404483368943E-7}]
[null,3,3.0770815113845048E-6,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":2.7462265341815636E-6}]
[null,4,1.4972677455306442E-5,null,null,1.1895595943921937E-5]
[null,5,5.1085388273078372E-5,null,null,3.6112710817771928E-5]
[null,6,1.3924333198348537E-4,null,null,8.8157943710406996E-5]
[null,7,3.250434330216092E-4,null,null,1.8580010103812382E-4]
[null,8,6.7736159239234852E-4,null,null,3.5231815937073933E-4]
[null,9,1.2942714484620152E-3,null,null,6.1690985606966666E-4]
[null,10,2.3092493907900498E-3,null,null,1.0149779423280346E-3]
[null,11,3.8974883876867344E-3,null,null,1.5882389968966846E-3]
[null,12,6.2820574777203222E-3,null,null,2.3845690900335878E-3]
[null,13,9.7395224318584626E-3,null,null,3.4574649541381404E-3]
[null,14,1.4604482484269019E-2,null,null,4.8649600524105566E-3]
[null,15,2.1272278179758068E-2,null,null,6.667795695489049E-3]
[null,16,3.0198893148483199E-2,null,null,8.9266149687251307E-3]
[null,17,4.1896825939031955E-2,null,null,1.1697932790548756E-2]
[null,18,5.6925481189757259E-2,null,null,1.5028655250725304E-2]
[null,19,7.5874478571499523E-2,null,null,1.8948997381742265E-2]
[null,20,9.9338285630231241E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":2.3463807058731717E-2}]
[null,21,0.12788085646034925,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":2.8542570830118005E-2}]
[null,22,0.16198963142209163,null,null,3.4108774961742389E-2]
[null,23,0.20201945265027063,null,null,4.0029821228178997E-2]
[null,24,0.24812876502466491,null,null,4.6109312374394279E-2]
[null,25,0.30021289149101493,null,null,5.2084126466350023E-2]
[null,26,0.35784200555154394,null,null,5.7629114060529008E-2]
[null,27,0.42021422501928196,null,null,6.2372219467738022E-2]
[null,28,0.48613626885965616,null,null,6.59220438403742E-2]
[null,29,0.55404433930949348,null,null,6.7908070449837321E-2]
[null,30,0.62207522431462381,null,null,6.8030885005130326E-2]
[null,31,0.68819126395963237,null,null,6.6116039645008562E-2]
[null,32,0.75035280650746239,null,null,6.2161542547830018E-2]
[null,33,0.80671944774709525,null,null,5.6366641239632864E-2]
[null,34,0.85584962770302886,null,null,4.9130179955933606E-2]
[null,35,0.89686116175929576,null,null,4.1011534056266896E-2]
[null,36,0.92951707167286113,null,null,3.2655909913565373E-2]
[null,37,0.9542137717306014,null,null,2.4696700057740273E-2]
[null,38,0.97187059953005484,null,null,1.7656827799453434E-2]
[null,39,0.98374483274230684,null,null,1.1874233212252006E-2]
[null,40,0.99121589806337762,null,null,7.47106532107078E-3]
[null,41,0.99558856013149932,null,null,4.3726620681217021E-3]
[null,42,0.9979546455426711,null,null,2.3660854111717811E-3]
[null,43,0.99913062001199515,null,null,1.1759744693240481E-3]
[null,44,0.99966374869268249,null,null,5.3312868068733366E-4]
[null,45,0.99988259187393325,null,null,2.1884318125076074E-4]
[null,46,0.99996329899040626,null,null,8.0707116473011098E-5]
[null,47,0.9999898196710002,null,null,2.6520680593944412E-5]
[null,48,0.99999751747693066,null,null,7.6978059304622093E-6]
[null,49,0.99999947301942194,null,null,1.9555424912720554E-6]
[null,50,0.99999990362614211,null,null,4.3060672016981272E-7]
[null,51,0.99999998498086862,null,null,8.1354726511051467E-8]
[null,52,0.99999999802818651,null,null,1.3047317892755927E-8]
[null,53,0.99999999978453025,null,null,1.7563437371137525E-9]
[null,54,0.99999999998064859,null,null,1.9611834378707727E-10]
[null,55,0.99999999999859046,null,null,1.7941870211757305E-11]
[null,56,0.99999999999991784,null,null,1.3273826482418372E-12]
[null,57,0.99999999999999623,null,null,7.8381745538536052E-14]
[null,58,0.99999999999999989,null,null,3.6637359812630166E-15]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
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[null,"Norway",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C49","v":5474.36},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":618.42011578678796}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":7.8517332545055135E-2},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":65.532679534393466},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":3335.7321635514827},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.98531299600018174},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":2.42726885929945},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-11252.908631508571}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":11592.304912794372},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9554.9999999963675},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9554.9999999963675}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":883.90925392354154},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":3335.7321635514827},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":3335.7321635514827}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":2017.7981793847857},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":49.722181507077039},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":66},{"$f":"$K91","v":49.722181507077039}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":112.37442462818173},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000009052},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000009052}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.20334593105507712},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15501928903196643},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15501928903196643}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":30.080083999999999},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":8.1041700220058956},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":8.1041700220058956}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":6.1166626871949283},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.2563026750055297},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":1.2563026750055297}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":84.863985909887191},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":2.42726885929945},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":2.42726885929945}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":2.854610402570366},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":7.8517332545055135E-2},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":7.8517332545055135E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":3.9309754812609494},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":65.532679534393466},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":65.532679534393466}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-11252.908631508571},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2037.3049127980048}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":90},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2049},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2025},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2049}]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 2.9m to\n3.4m total Stock"},0.47589531275352748,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":3.3305057153238935}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 11,592 to\n9,555 yearly km"},-0.45816532086591177,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.8723403944579817}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 112 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-0.81485531714549087,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.0574850773124909}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.9m to\n3.3m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-1.4711233473532723},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.58636172995921865}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2033 to\n.155 kWh/km EV"},-3.9379511220742014E-2,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":0.54698221873847663}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 30 to 8\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-9.2286323429816242E-2,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.45469589530866039}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 22.51%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-0.37617856276360523,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":7.8517332545055149E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":7.8517332545055052E-2}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$21","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C21","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D21","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E21","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F21","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G21","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H21","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I21","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Norway"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
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[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FNO!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FNO!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":118.33176706311252},1,null,3513.7040817828365,6825.1591911149881,44.272257410941165,null,0,2.293804641666709E-5,1.015519095462802E-9,null,{"$f":"FNO!$U138-FNO!$U137*(1-FNO!$F137)","v":118.34487183199963},1.0001107459916501,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FNO!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FNO!$F137)+O138)","v":3513.7040229692475},0.99999998326165562,1.4347284987752208E-9,23981.58928428822,9.6658463409409895E-2,2318.0235703348694,0.47010682108694352,4.5439802964546333E-2,1.0897186918547325E-3,1.089719707373828E-3,4.543984526686342E-2,-3.7937865377332152,-99.971284446884468,1.0617191127044159,1.089719707373828E-3,1.089719707373828E-3,1.0606293929970421]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FNO!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FNO!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":118.30618690899968},1,null,3514.2072373514197,6776.4755289490322,43.718356523098173,null,0,1.7577694014456108E-5,7.6846789377792095E-10,null,{"$f":"FNO!$U139-FNO!$U138*(1-FNO!$F138)","v":118.3192922118069},1.0001107744501756,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FNO!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FNO!$F138)+O139)","v":3514.2071805098776},0.99999998382521627,1.1071894096702875E-9,23813.938944804468,9.5691878775315792E-2,2278.8005586690006,0.44176062696780827,4.2272904363511006E-2,1.0066843635322094E-3,1.0066851320001031E-3,4.227293660197582E-2,-3.7938695723085889,-99.973472517581399,1.041106290616391,1.0066851320001031E-3,1.0066851320001031E-3,1.040099605484391]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FNO!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FNO!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":118.28131044099081},1,null,3514.681753010972,6728.1391148165549,43.171383482761414,null,0,1.3469883034811973E-5,5.8151348596380976E-10,null,{"$f":"FNO!$U140-FNO!$U139*(1-FNO!$F139)","v":118.29441616419945},1.0001108013020805,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FNO!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FNO!$F139)+O140)","v":3514.681698075141},0.99999998436961446,8.5442534237894708E-10,23647.267395479343,9.4734959987562636E-2,2240.2229305259302,0.41511593914161232,3.9325991884780129E-2,9.2995224569184648E-4,9.2995282720533239E-4,3.9326016453528789E-2,-3.7939463046133839,-99.975494515127281,1.0208852655879832,9.2995282720533239E-4,9.2995282720533239E-4,1.0199553127607779]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FNO!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FNO!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":118.25709833624305},1,null,3515.129255410428,6680.1474720446886,42.63125169395839,null,0,1.0321965491647882E-5,4.4003830885079382E-10,null,{"$f":"FNO!$U141-FNO!$U140*(1-FNO!$F140)","v":118.27020437280135},1.0001108266374086,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FNO!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FNO!$F140)+O141)","v":3515.1292023162114},0.99999998489551511,6.593656507888737E-10,23481.581444441137,9.3787610387687001E-2,2202.281411797986,0.39007152756465352,3.6583876450563636E-2,8.5904727442728227E-4,8.5904771446559112E-4,3.6583895174204219E-2,-3.7940172097261238,-99.977362958468504,1.0010492242905242,8.5904771446559112E-4,8.5904771446559112E-4,1.0001901765760586]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 3.5 million vehicles » 643 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .997). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .900).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FNO!$I$32","v":3522.5338081766199},"b:",null,{"$f":"FNO!$I$33","v":0.74871256643954875},"c:",null,{"$f":"FNO!$I$34","v":5.874388718051033E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ENO!$C$32","v":29368625106.024826},"b:",{"$f":"ENO!$C$33","v":6.5009879764608427E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"ENO!$C$34","v":7.1587637747520892E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2016 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = 1.000). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FNO!$N$32","v":3522.5338081766199},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FNO!$S$32","v":3522.5338081766199}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ENO!$G$32","v":11110730.596143303},null,{"$f":"ENO!$G$33","v":1.0737563222231576E-3},null,null,{"$f":"ENO!$G$34","v":1.2594126601044607E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FNO!$N$33","v":23.063795862334981},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FNO!$S$33","v":30.898841211838356}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FNO!$N$34","v":0.12096067511917698},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FNO!$S$34","v":0.13314626010162775}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .494)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FNO!$X$32","v":3.5660798550998072},null,"b:",{"$f":"FNO!$X$33","v":128.28112417748531},"c:",{"$f":"FNO!$X$34","v":0.25915089133564939},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!M42","v":0.20334593105507712},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ENO!$K$32","v":1497.1773591549652},"b:",{"$f":"ENO!$K$33","v":2.1680329070517339},"c:",{"$f":"ENO!$K$34","v":6.249770591893291E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",5,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":20.077390495452292},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FNO!$F$47:$F$64)","v":3.3839609708207034E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":30},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.331392322589706E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":19}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.065233787022488E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":3.065233787022488E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":9.8087015161502609E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":9.5021781374480127E-6}]
[null,3,7.4482418487300202E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":6.467371697114994E-5}]
[null,4,3.1383073272701992E-4,null,null,2.3934831423971971E-4]
[null,5,9.5742707918835765E-4,null,null,6.4359634646133767E-4]
[null,6,2.3806878151548536E-3,null,null,1.4232607359664961E-3]
[null,7,5.1384917658394442E-3,null,null,2.7578039506845906E-3]
[null,8,9.9938855027245036E-3,null,null,4.8553937368850594E-3]
[null,9,1.7937082359394077E-2,null,null,7.9431968566695734E-3]
[null,10,3.018732294094776E-2,null,null,1.2250240581553683E-2]
[null,11,4.8167213669848191E-2,null,null,1.7979890728900431E-2]
[null,12,7.3436628755605179E-2,null,null,2.5269415085756988E-2]
[null,13,0.10757250104443493,null,null,3.4135872288829749E-2]
[null,14,0.15198389777125185,null,null,4.4411396726816918E-2]
[null,15,0.20766122021684502,null,null,5.5677322445593175E-2]
[null,16,0.27487636498162799,null,null,6.7215144764782964E-2]
[null,17,0.35287734767233725,null,null,7.8000982690709264E-2]
[null,18,0.43965177402732436,null,null,8.6774426354987111E-2]
[null,19,0.53185740898015177,null,null,9.2205634952827409E-2]
[null,20,0.62501714054551816,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":9.3159731565366388E-2}]
[null,21,0.71403121839440886,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":8.9014077848890705E-2}]
[null,22,0.79396494099673853,null,null,7.9933722602329671E-2]
[null,23,0.86094557910095615,null,null,6.6980638104217616E-2]
[null,24,0.91290282118972099,null,null,5.1957242088764843E-2]
[null,25,0.94988289083608946,null,null,3.6980069646368463E-2]
[null,26,0.9737980140984539,null,null,2.3915123262364446E-2]
[null,27,0.98770147728651492,null,null,1.3903463188061016E-2]
[null,28,0.99488399263969429,null,null,7.1825153531793751E-3]
[null,29,0.99813994208775136,null,null,3.2559494480570716E-3]
[null,30,0.99941769677691172,null,null,1.2777546891603597E-3]
[null,31,0.99984552919422176,null,null,4.2783241731003674E-4]
[null,32,0.99996586609695537,null,null,1.2033690273360875E-4]
[null,33,0.99999383063552461,null,null,2.7964538569236197E-5]
[null,34,0.99999910551867488,null,null,5.2748831502746896E-6]
[null,35,0.99999989809094592,null,null,7.9257227103557426E-7]
[null,36,0.99999999107401727,null,null,9.2983071353636149E-8]
[null,37,0.99999999941273632,null,null,8.3387190485950669E-9]
[null,38,0.99999999997167954,null,null,5.5894322503746707E-10]
[null,39,0.99999999999902456,null,null,2.7345015141122531E-11]
[null,40,0.99999999999997669,null,null,9.5212726591853425E-13]
[null,41,0.99999999999999967,null,null,2.298161660974074E-14]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Portugal",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C50","v":10247.605},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":679.1933948345818}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.85948591843204769},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":53.020909540615129},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":6010.0970370946352},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.86350658417623571},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":16.916093422067291},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-8270.5382570090314}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":9694.0885050692959},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":7299.9999999999891},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":7299.9999999999891}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":180.28426698196489},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":6010.0970370946352},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":6010.0970370946352}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":5349.485475459348},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":950.00859177919847},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":72},{"$f":"$K91","v":950.00859177919847}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":112.09501222825686},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":88.088135888372889},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":88.088135888372889}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19943041857846247},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15203432662248409},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15203432662248409}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":165.55257},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":35.992505746465582},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":35.992505746465582}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":33.016218331840207},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":5.4720963746197837},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":5.4720963746197837}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":110.31411479114479},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":16.916093422067291},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":16.916093422067291}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":5.9135069643207236},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.85948591843204769},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.85948591843204769}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.22774703326019985},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":53.020909540615129},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":53.020909540615129}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-8270.5382570090314},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2394.0885050693068}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":104},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2063},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2031},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2063}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":5.9135069643207236},{"$f":"AA64","v":5.9135069643207236}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 5.5m to\n7.0m total Stock"},1.5295937479672261,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":7.4431007122879498}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 9,694 to\n7,300 yearly km"},-1.8195809507279588,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":5.623519761559991}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 112 to 88\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-1.1979353778937254,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":4.4255843836662656}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.2m to\n6.0m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-1.6189586527496482},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.8066257309166174}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1994 to\n.152 kWh/km EV"},-0.23779947749468056,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.5688262534219368}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 166 to 36\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.59696001860544579,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":1.971866234816491}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 46.39%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-1.1123803163844435,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.85948591843204769}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":0.85948591843204758}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.35]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.62,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$22","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C22","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D22","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E22","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F22","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G22","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H22","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I22","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Portugal"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J37","v":546.16989999999998}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J38","v":506.94745}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J39","v":592.53570000000002}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J40","v":485.23390000000001}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J41","v":541.18176000000005}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FPT!$B46","v":206.488},null,null,{"$f":"FPT!$H46","v":4200},null,{"$f":"EPT!$B42","v":12436},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B46-$B$64)),0)","v":130.35051402562476},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":4200},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":52231.199999999997},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":6.8083637681752114},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J42","v":595.30535999999995},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":6.8083637681752114},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":130.35051402562476},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":6.8083637681752123},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":6.8083637681752114},{"$f":"AF46","v":6.8083637681752114}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FPT!$B47","v":194.702},null,null,{"$f":"IF(a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B47-2000)))>=0,a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B47-2000))),0)","v":4042.9752331681293},null,{"$f":"EPT!$B43","v":12302},129.29350181191404,{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":4042.9752331681293},null,49736.681318434326,6.4306296961635798,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J43","v":503.92556999999999},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":6.4306296961635798},129.29350181191404,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-0.37773407201163156},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-5.5480888635430894},6.4306296961635798,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":6.4306296961635798},6.4306296961635798]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FPT!$B48","v":201.816},null,null,{"$f":"IF(a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B48-2000)))>=0,a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B48-2000))),0)","v":4142.06355598556},null,{"$f":"EPT!$B44","v":11887},128.24122409763379,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":4142.06355598556},null,49236.70949000035,6.3141758955372271,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J44","v":472.27573000000001},null,null,6.3141758955372271,128.24122409763379,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-0.49418787263798425},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-7.2585409573442536},6.314175895537228,6.3141758955372271,6.3141758955372271]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FPT!$B49","v":213.38900000000001},null,null,{"$f":"IF(a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B49-2000)))>=0,a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B49-2000))),0)","v":4239.9364462752756},null,{"$f":"EPT!$B45","v":11466},127.19374631701587,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":4239.9364462752756},null,48615.111292992311,6.1835381329743573,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J45","v":471.54827999999998},null,null,6.1835381329743573,127.19374631701587,-0.6248256352008541,-9.1773244861198258,6.1835381329743564,6.1835381329743573,6.1835381329743573]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FPT!$B50","v":161.01300000000001},null,null,{"$f":"IF(a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B50-2000)))>=0,a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B50-2000))),0)","v":4336.5272835628366},null,{"$f":"EPT!$B46","v":11713},126.15113148524378,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":4336.5272835628366},null,50793.744072371504,6.4076882871015597,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$J46","v":452.81490000000002},null,null,6.4076882871015597,126.15113148524377,-0.4006754810736517,-5.8850480778738028,6.4076882871015597,6.4076882871015597,6.4076882871015597]
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[15,2015,{"$f":"FPT!$B56","v":178.50299999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FPT!$H56","v":4723},null,{"$f":"EPT!$B52","v":10215},{"$f":"EPT!$F52","v":119},4720.7230031635854,null,48226.257851658003,5.7389246843473023,{"$f":"FPT!$L56*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":1.3029999999999999},null,7.2995972056492048E-3,{"$f":"N56+N55*(1-F$165)+N54*(1-F$166)+N53*(1-F$167)+N52*(1-F$168)+N51*(1-F$169)+N50*(1-F$170)+N49*(1-F$171)+N48*(1-F$172)+N47*(1-F$173)+N46*(1-F$174)+N45*(1-F$175)+N44*(1-F$176)+N43*(1-F$177)","v":2.2769968364145594},null,4.8210815930860881E-4,{"$f":"FPT!$W56","v":0.2626262626262626},19.187148341999354,0.19943041857846247,3.8265010251719835,{"$f":"EPT!$J52","v":413.96170000000001},82.55655510645191,1.5840248694319371E-3,5.7405087092167344,118.98550649116687,-1.067855058958477,-15.6844595165438,5.7412079550000001,5.7405087092167344,5.7405087092167344,6.9924578326574505E-4]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FPT!$B57","v":207.345},null,null,{"$f":"FPT!$H57","v":4850},null,{"$f":"EPT!$B53","v":10091},{"$f":"EPT!$F53","v":118},4845.7930112775184,null,48909.768618325703,5.7713526969624329,{"$f":"FPT!$L57*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":1.93},null,9.3081579010827354E-3,4.2069887224817624,null,8.674203551508788E-4,{"$f":"FPT!$W57","v":0.38412170192536244},31.581381674297788,0.19943041857846247,6.2982881665913917,{"$f":"EPT!$J53","v":343.60712000000001},68.525711768139985,2.1641366578525486E-3,5.7735168336202856,117.96807471841879,-1.0348469345549258,-15.199642231106683,5.7750792999999998,5.7735168336202856,5.7735168336202856,1.5624663797142446E-3]
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[21,2021,{"$f":"FPT!$B62","v":146.637},null,null,{"$f":"IF(a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B62-2000)))>=0,a*EXP(-b*EXP(-ze*($B62-2000))),0)","v":5378.8675690720802},null,{"$f":"AC$147*AE$147*AH$147*EXP(-AE$147*EXP(-AH$147*(B62-2000))-AH$147*(B62-2000))","v":9899.9028266328187},114.03887661512475,5299.368472868543,null,52735.213162198903,6.0138644670763037,{"$f":"FPT!$L62*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":29.538},null,0.20143619959491807,{"$f":"N62+N61*(1-F$165)+N60*(1-F$166)+N59*(1-F$167)+N58*(1-F$168)+N57*(1-F$169)+N56*(1-F$170)+N55*(1-F$171)+N54*(1-F$172)+N53*(1-F$173)+N52*(1-F$174)+N51*(1-F$175)+N50*(1-F$176)+N49*(1-F$177)","v":79.499096203537007},null,1.4779894686503979E-2,{"$f":"FPT!$W62","v":0.51836477987421381},515.05308894138818,0.19943041857846247,102.71725311771111,{"$f":"EPT!$J58","v":210.48354},41.976820486076548,2.1620291055291872E-2,6.035484758131596,113.34187006064694,-0.77287901004361537,-11.351905338200865,6.0726005427363283,6.035484758131596,6.035484758131596,3.7115784604732305E-2]
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[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FPT!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FPT!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":222.16943277351234},0,null,7791.3205715394843,4502.1268004369676,56.731104005902765,null,0,7.8048832311853403E-3,4.4277964234230197E-7,null,{"$f":"FPT!$U137-FPT!$U136*(1-FPT!$F136)","v":222.1694327735122},0.99999999999999933,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FPT!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FPT!$F136)+O137)","v":7791.3205532590973},0.99999999765374992,3.3375584016477596E-7,35077.505268739929,9.5754811660911127E-2,3358.8399105428098,1.2549422442245839,0.12016675824104617,4.2151500953276945E-3,4.2155928749700372E-3,0.12017935439499525,-6.8041481753002415,-99.938082143984801,1.9899860471171349,4.2155928749700372E-3,4.2155928749700372E-3,1.9857704542421648]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FPT!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FPT!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":222.11652515499557},0,null,7798.6303885371362,4455.0664058466282,56.173460626764808,null,0,6.3201249273881245E-3,3.5502328876487163E-7,null,{"$f":"FPT!$U138-FPT!$U137*(1-FPT!$F137)","v":222.11652515499554},0.99999999999999989,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FPT!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FPT!$F137)+O138)","v":7798.6303707607394},0.99999999772057457,2.7286284523523902E-7,34743.409856266473,9.4797263544302013E-2,3293.5801805721931,1.1661029285999522,0.11054336664227206,3.8406534941439938E-3,3.8410085174327589E-3,0.11055356496701592,-6.8045227596577789,-99.943583970419041,1.9516579250724848,3.8410085174327589E-3,3.8410085174327589E-3,1.9478169165550521]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FPT!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FPT!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":222.06520679119916},0,null,7805.6873555163666,4408.4977902445353,55.620681573860338,null,0,5.1152114047125444E-3,2.8451154472449532E-7,null,{"$f":"FPT!$U139-FPT!$U138*(1-FPT!$F138)","v":218.3481073798539},0.98326122554245821,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FPT!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FPT!$F138)+O139)","v":7801.9702388187197},0.99952379380208967,2.2307963719365462E-7,34394.963442174543,9.384929090885899E-2,3227.9429298842088,1.0835480959981476,0.10169022047507043,3.4976314156667165E-3,3.4979159272114412E-3,0.10169847724603609,-6.8048658522479997,-99.948623251543026,1.9139830444617707,3.4979159272114412E-3,3.4979159272114412E-3,1.9104851285345592]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FPT!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FPT!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":222.01544090832121},0,null,7812.4999960331015,4362.4158174706799,55.072737809033711,null,0,4.1391364205799084E-3,2.2795357484641958E-7,null,{"$f":"FPT!$U140-FPT!$U139*(1-FPT!$F139)","v":216.79273948584341},0.97647595409981214,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FPT!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FPT!$F139)+O140)","v":7803.6626588203308},0.998868820836191,1.8237926154268611E-7,34042.817277906695,9.2910797999770409E-2,3162.9453194506827,1.006833810262302,9.3545732764619915E-2,3.184560287633845E-3,3.1847882412086915E-3,9.3552417474253968E-2,-6.805178979934003,-99.953222413642237,1.8769545500590161,3.1847882412086915E-3,3.1847882412086915E-3,1.8737697618178075]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FPT!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FPT!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":221.96719071628766},0,null,7819.0765618587566,4316.8154049468221,54.529600152893842,null,0,3.349245838795571E-3,1.8263303640326602E-7,null,{"$f":"FPT!$U141-FPT!$U140*(1-FPT!$F140)","v":216.68068587823473},0.97618339529822673,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FPT!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FPT!$F140)+O141)","v":7805.196365194889},0.99822482916568755,1.4910457667810129E-7,33693.588558662399,9.1981690019772688E-2,3099.1932184566444,0.93554740910538858,8.6053231783133316E-2,2.8994421858441043E-3,2.8996248188805076E-3,8.6058643637811016E-2,-6.805464143356331,-99.957410841758559,1.8405654124919155,2.8996248188805076E-3,2.8996248188805076E-3,1.8376657876730351]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.statista.com/statistics/452382/portugal-number-of-registered-passenger-cars/(Last retrieved 02/01/2024). Total inventories from 2021 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 8 million vehicles » 781 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .893). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .886).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FPT!$I$32","v":8000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FPT!$I$33","v":0.84763401620200152},"c:",null,{"$f":"FPT!$I$34","v":3.6124008139470934E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EPT!$C$32","v":1477147497.2783923},"b:",{"$f":"EPT!$C$33","v":7.9561549855012236E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"EPT!$C$34","v":1.051097348868358E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .558). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FPT!$N$32","v":7820},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FPT!$S$32","v":7820}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$G$32","v":60598.433914780471},null,{"$f":"EPT!$G$33","v":0.26876258217579396},null,null,{"$f":"EPT!$G$34","v":1.0901467365916743E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FPT!$N$33","v":36.571543022304944},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FPT!$S$33","v":77.620555488022234}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FPT!$N$34","v":9.8678913467693599E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FPT!$S$34","v":0.13003565180785684}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .813)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FPT!$X$32","v":7.145723042904736},null,"b:",{"$f":"FPT!$X$33","v":58.042616185749807},"c:",{"$f":"FPT!$X$34","v":0.20144047995086958},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!M43","v":0.19943041857846247},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EPT!$K$32","v":20250.975413983626},"b:",{"$f":"EPT!$K$33","v":0.97722468099974813},"c:",{"$f":"EPT!$K$34","v":7.348198985804287E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":26.282927878007236},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FPT!$F$47:$F$64)","v":2.7570000000000001E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":36},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":2.7740120865962798E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":24}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.0335945777133959E-9},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":3.0335945777133959E-9}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.9415003442102333E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.9111643984330993E-7}]
[null,3,2.2114880051642409E-6,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":2.0173379707432177E-6}]
[null,4,1.2425526211670883E-5,null,null,1.0214038206506642E-5]
[null,5,4.7398791990429303E-5,null,null,3.4973265778758423E-5]
[null,6,1.4152537317185931E-4,null,null,9.4126581181430008E-5]
[null,7,3.5683568801107336E-4,null,null,2.1531031483921405E-4]
[null,8,7.9492249975846735E-4,null,null,4.3808681174739399E-4]
[null,9,1.6108776799145773E-3,null,null,8.1595518015610991E-4]
[null,10,3.0289978836180518E-3,null,null,1.4181202037034746E-3]
[null,11,5.3597826854443059E-3,null,null,2.3307848018262541E-3]
[null,12,9.0173623989341766E-3,null,null,3.6575797134898707E-3]
[null,13,1.4535900364968185E-2,null,null,5.5185379660340084E-3]
[null,14,2.2582666117516047E-2,null,null,8.0467657525478617E-3]
[null,15,3.3964347681997971E-2,null,null,1.1381681564481924E-2]
[null,16,4.9621803057040281E-2,null,null,1.565745537504231E-2]
[null,17,7.0607004134049037E-2,null,null,2.0985201077008755E-2]
[null,18,9.8034761994644504E-2,null,null,2.7427757860595467E-2]
[null,19,0.13300158445859042,null,null,3.4966822463945918E-2]
[null,20,0.17646567901952062,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":4.34640945609302E-2}]
[null,21,0.22908691347198923,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":5.2621234452468607E-2}]
[null,22,0.29103467639001951,null,null,6.194776291803028E-2]
[null,23,0.36178551634650885,null,null,7.0750839956489342E-2]
[null,24,0.43994985390166108,null,null,7.816433755515223E-2]
[null,25,0.52318355683550843,null,null,8.3233702933847353E-2]
[null,26,0.60824758160976078,null,null,8.5064024774252345E-2]
[null,27,0.69126645762465477,null,null,8.3018876014893994E-2]
[null,28,0.76819524049629262,null,null,7.6928782871637846E-2]
[null,29,0.83543551903315738,null,null,6.7240278536864762E-2]
[null,30,0.89046273308539503,null,null,5.502721405223765E-2]
[null,31,0.93227679248466899,null,null,4.1814059399273962E-2]
[null,32,0.96150771240991861,null,null,2.9230919925249621E-2]
[null,33,0.98011501260050282,null,null,1.8607300190584208E-2]
[null,34,0.99077935518320548,null,null,1.0664342582702657E-2]
[null,35,0.99621440665006389,null,null,5.4350514668584093E-3]
[null,36,0.99864435117466077,null,null,2.4299445245968831E-3]
[null,37,0.99958339571104216,null,null,9.3904453638138374E-4]
[null,38,0.99989206272668352,null,null,3.0866701564136179E-4]
[null,39,0.99997687143235492,null,null,8.4808705671401974E-5]
[null,40,0.99999598552271329,null,null,1.9114090358374192E-5]
[null,41,0.99999944809532226,null,null,3.4625726089698716E-6]
[null,42,0.99999994133936576,null,null,4.9324404349793127E-7]
[null,43,0.99999999530352068,null,null,5.3964154922425678E-8]
[null,44,0.99999999972457743,null,null,4.4210567429203707E-9]
[null,45,0.99999999998851818,null,null,2.6394075813840345E-10]
[null,46,0.99999999999967049,null,null,1.115230130466216E-11]
[null,47,0.99999999999999367,null,null,3.2318592246838307E-13]
[null,48,0.99999999999999989,null,null,6.2172489379008766E-15]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Russia",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C51","v":144444.359},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":335.20434934433342}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":61.082607117615993},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":352.5296317569331},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":39064.608225733755},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.8068136592669104},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":90.111309013099842},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-9935.7465835080584}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":17321.581085125137},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":13999.999999960206},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":13999.999999960206}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":9.864664238715827},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":39064.608225733755},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":39064.608225733755}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":46005.979677865282},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":9353.7691493205566},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":9353.7691493205566}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":179.74944009911178},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":133.33463401803184},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":133.33463401803184}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.21627695274736308},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.164877159208145},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.164877159208145}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":441.03885000000002},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":330.09916075761504},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":330.09916075761504}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":95.386538521201359},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":54.425811882708345},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":54.425811882708345}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":179.73620441242613},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":90.111309013099842},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":90.111309013099842}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":143.26182941019241},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":61.082607117615993},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":61.082607117615993}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":3.8920005760587628E-2},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":352.5296317569331},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":352.5296317569331}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-9935.7465835080584},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-3321.5810851649276}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":143.26182941019241},{"$f":"AA64","v":143.26182941019241}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 46.0m to\n48.4m total Stock"},7.4798427028741514,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":150.74167211306656}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 17,322 to\n14,000 yearly km"},-28.905731700159691,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":121.83594041290687}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 180 to 133\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-31.457923120320459,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":90.378017292586406}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.0m to\n39.1m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-15.1848976146495},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":75.193119677936906}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2163 to\n.1649 kWh/km EV"},-9.073394365639686,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":66.11972531229722}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 441 to 330\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-7.3211449747265149,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":58.798580337570705}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 40.22%\nto 48.16% PHEV"},2.2840267800452949,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":61.082607117616}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":61.082607117616}]
[]
[]
[]
[-1.06E-2]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.69910000000000005,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$23","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C23","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D23","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E23","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F23","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G23","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H23","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I23","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Russia"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J37","v":470.04874000000001}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J38","v":458.40206999999998}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J39","v":463.14287999999999}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J40","v":465.37673999999998}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J41","v":453.82067999999998}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FRU!$B46","v":1520.2249999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FRU!$H46","v":25570},null,{"$f":"ERU!$B42","v":21043.762480680452},{"$f":"ERU!$F42","v":219},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":25570},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":538089.00663099915},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":117.84149245218882},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J42","v":457.49444999999997},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":117.84149245218882},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":219},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":117.84149245218883},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":117.84149245218882},{"$f":"AF46","v":117.84149245218882}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FRU!$B47","v":1911.24},null,null,{"$f":"FRU!$H47","v":26794},null,{"$f":"ERU!$B43","v":20939.067144955676},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":216.11127242651764},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":26794},null,561041.36508194229,121.24736329176896,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J43","v":462.59525000000002},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":121.24736329176896},216.11127242651762,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":3.405870839580146},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":2.8902135985438164},121.24736329176898,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":121.24736329176896},121.24736329176896]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FRU!$B48","v":2514.92},null,null,{"$f":"FRU!$H48","v":29405},null,{"$f":"ERU!$B44","v":20834.892681547939},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":213.80263275003432},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":29405},null,612650.01930091716,130.98618708089543,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J44","v":458.28014999999999},null,null,130.98618708089543,213.80263275003432,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":13.144694628706617},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":11.154555458502651},130.98618708089543,130.98618708089543,130.98618708089543]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FRU!$B49","v":2897.4589999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FRU!$H49","v":32021},null,{"$f":"ERU!$B45","v":20731.236499052677},{"$f":"ERU!$F45","v":210},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":32021},null,663834.92393616575,139.40533402659483,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$J45","v":475.21154999999999},null,null,139.40533402659483,210.00000000000003,21.563841574406013,18.299022802307931,139.40533402659483,139.40533402659483,139.40533402659483]
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[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FRU!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FRU!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":1260.3450295127529},1,null,48474.489134928292,9512.0241730411926,76.505908034571021,null,14.394460395858914,118162.56002035178,9.0401339500465117,null,{"$f":"FRU!$U140-FRU!$U139*(1-FRU!$F139)","v":1261.9864966238747},1.0013023950368229,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FRU!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FRU!$F139)+O140)","v":48460.094674532433},0.99970305080769817,0.38407002880760727,342927.95240690873,0.10075927439730224,34553.171655072721,162.67302477005993,16.390815939845613,5.6208689485297771,14.661002898576289,31.796366447442661,-103.18048955361253,-87.558709081587196,35.276148339373222,14.661002898576289,14.661002898576289,20.615145440796933]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FRU!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FRU!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":1260.3441298191162},1,null,48474.496547239272,9437.2768351313243,75.633511807585691,null,12.585034265626746,116496.05208205032,8.81100553068487,null,{"$f":"FRU!$U141-FRU!$U140*(1-FRU!$F140)","v":1261.7792999790545},1.0011387129324307,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FRU!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FRU!$F140)+O141)","v":48461.911512973646},0.99974037823676287,0.38169128142351111,340971.19127786416,9.9751681653329191E-2,34012.449725305923,160.03088085408339,15.96334948165838,5.4430422895459341,14.254047820230804,31.158619610751813,-103.58744463195801,-87.904050157872845,34.599854152245776,14.254047820230804,14.254047820230804,20.345806332014973]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/russia (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2021 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 48.5 million vehicles » 336 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .994). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2019 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .837).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FRU!$I$32","v":48474.545534007055},"b:",null,{"$f":"FRU!$I$33","v":1.3301208278570689},"c:",null,{"$f":"FRU!$I$34","v":0.14090268448199919},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ERU!$C$32","v":1461640670.9629855},"b:",{"$f":"ERU!$C$33","v":1.8025051893858699E-3},"c:",null,{"$f":"ERU!$C$34","v":7.8957205158268935E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .984). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FRU!$N$32","v":48474.545534007055},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FRU!$S$32","v":48474.545534007055}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$G$32","v":215942.93108772006},null,{"$f":"ERU!$G$33","v":9.9638509639304929E-2},null,null,{"$f":"ERU!$G$34","v":1.183175084522343E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FRU!$N$33","v":178.69264763264906},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FRU!$S$33","v":22251.957087720166}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FRU!$N$34","v":0.13437937781529111},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FRU!$S$34","v":0.33540096813561499}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .724)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FRU!$X$32","v":123.51320090395762},null,"b:",{"$f":"FRU!$X$33","v":1.3013753661324063},"c:",{"$f":"FRU!$X$34","v":1.100401587443986E-2},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!M44","v":0.21627695274736308},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ERU!$K$32","v":65597.217445263363},"b:",{"$f":"ERU!$K$33","v":1.0052646884623098},"c:",{"$f":"ERU!$K$34","v":1.9228546173484844E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":27.995962303612338},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FRU!$F$47:$F$64)","v":2.5883029621852339E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":39},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":2.5623846982347685E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":26}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.0769574489516808E-9},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.0769574489516808E-9}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.3292526803638351E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.3084831058743182E-7}]
[null,3,1.5141008356063113E-6,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.3811755675699278E-6}]
[null,4,8.5071815334665935E-6,null,null,6.993080697860282E-6]
[null,5,3.2451933598181752E-5,null,null,2.3944752064715157E-5]
[null,6,9.6897831940717424E-5,null,null,6.4445898342535665E-5]
[null,7,2.4432211565501659E-4,null,null,1.4742428371429918E-4]
[null,8,5.4431374156085855E-4,null,null,2.9999162590584196E-4]
[null,9,1.1031714033163051E-3,null,null,5.5885766175544651E-4]
[null,10,2.0748020674533157E-3,null,null,9.716306641370106E-4]
[null,11,3.6726959124982121E-3,null,null,1.5978938450448964E-3]
[null,12,6.1825704871308973E-3,null,null,2.5098745746326852E-3]
[null,13,9.9749933376656191E-3,null,null,3.7924228505347218E-3]
[null,14,1.5516879103504487E-2,null,null,5.5418857658388679E-3]
[null,15,2.3380190554030861E-2,null,null,7.8633114505263745E-3]
[null,16,3.424544777628985E-2,null,null,1.0865257222258989E-2]
[null,17,4.8896798870114298E-2,null,null,1.4651351093824448E-2]
[null,18,6.8204530834926849E-2,null,null,1.9307731964812551E-2]
[null,19,9.3090209561077608E-2,null,null,2.4885678726150759E-2]
[null,20,0.12446948795600965,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":3.1379278394932042E-2}]
[null,21,0.16316853438297546,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":3.8699046426965811E-2}]
[null,22,0.20981267108249105,null,null,4.6644136699515587E-2]
[null,23,0.26469084024472167,null,null,5.4878169162230622E-2]
[null,24,0.32760731061886444,null,null,6.2916470374142774E-2]
[null,25,0.39774220245308889,null,null,7.0134891834224444E-2]
[null,26,0.47355316082200866,null,null,7.5810958368919767E-2]
[null,27,0.55275819119574754,null,null,7.9205030373738883E-2]
[null,28,0.63243887863165482,null,null,7.9680687435907283E-2]
[null,29,0.70928815583454452,null,null,7.6849277202889699E-2]
[null,30,0.77999433475729796,null,null,7.0706178922753438E-2]
[null,31,0.84170697629254576,null,null,6.1712641535247803E-2]
[null,32,0.89248405124678132,null,null,5.0777074954235557E-2]
[null,33,0.93159600304748391,null,null,3.9111951800702593E-2]
[null,34,0.95958252517314646,null,null,2.798652212566255E-2]
[null,35,0.97802828834674282,null,null,1.8445763173596363E-2]
[null,36,0.98912277681609606,null,null,1.1094488469353236E-2]
[null,37,0.99515062080219729,null,null,6.0278439861012334E-3]
[null,38,0.99807645753209562,null,null,2.9258367298983234E-3]
[null,39,0.9993300323115597,null,null,1.2535747794640839E-3]
[null,40,0.99979799492149002,null,null,4.6796260993031691E-4]
[null,41,0.99994807781470973,null,null,1.5008289321971624E-4]
[null,42,0.99998880994790407,null,null,4.0732133194332221E-5]
[null,43,0.99999801363075524,null,null,9.2036828511776747E-6]
[null,44,0.99999971507935403,null,null,1.7014485987898453E-6]
[null,45,0.99999996764728483,null,null,2.5256793079186934E-7]
[null,46,0.99999999715502497,null,null,2.950774014021107E-8]
[null,47,0.99999999981075371,null,null,2.655728748024444E-9]
[null,48,0.9999999999907131,null,null,1.799593807305655E-10]
[null,49,0.99999999999967271,null,null,8.9596108310274758E-12]
[null,50,0.9999999999999919,null,null,3.1918911957973251E-13]
[null,51,0.99999999999999989,null,null,7.9936057773011271E-15]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"South Africa",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C52","v":60414.495000000003},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":213.64400498129933}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":10.096709320938723},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":0.93166076880237014},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":874.0467877579074},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":6.7717796938516983E-2},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":79.015118467520182},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-6406.3918256231791}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":12462.20054442609},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9900.0593340499418}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":3.2949853335941977},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":874.0467877579074}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":10829.871664999939},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":12033.147882964779},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":132},{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":132}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":153.91797789820362},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":80.000000000010886},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19821040055248618},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15110425476900893}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":707.68560000000002},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":433.0829952762553}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":140.27064624122653},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":65.44068325434877}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":153.91470124302185},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":79.015118467520182}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":20.77926891364018},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":10.096709320938723}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":1.7748084571813649E-3},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":0.93166076880237014}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/((($J64+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-6406.3918256231791},null,-12555.25294974059]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2091}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":20.77926891364018},{"$f":"AA64","v":20.77926891364018}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 10.8m to\n12.9m total Stock"},3.9782260682534698,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":24.75749498189365}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 12,462 to\n9,900 yearly km"},-5.0899004137565704,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":19.66759456813708}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 154 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-9.4434831565255806,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":10.224111411611499}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.0m to\n0.9m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":0.41013134377833715},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":10.634242755389836}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1982 to\n.1511 kWh/km EV"},-0.22770645506112785,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":10.406536300328709}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 708 to 433\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.28342539298394698,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":10.123110907344762}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 31.59%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-2.6401586406038291E-2,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":10.096709320938723}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":10.096709320938723}]
[]
[]
[]
[-1.01E-2]
[]
[]
[]
[-6.0999999999999999E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$24","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C24","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D24","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E24","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F24","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G24","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H24","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I24","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"South Africa"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J37","v":799.40189999999996}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J38","v":806.23509999999999}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J39","v":802.28499999999997}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J40","v":807.66765999999996}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J41","v":806.9171}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FZA!$B46","v":419.86799999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H46","v":6872},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B42","v":17000},{"$f":"EZA!$F42","v":205},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":6872},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":116824},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":23.948920000000001},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J42","v":812.68129999999996},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":23.948920000000001},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":205.00000000000003},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":23.948920000000001},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":23.948920000000001},{"$f":"AF46","v":23.948920000000001}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FZA!$B47","v":481.55799999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H47","v":7372},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B43","v":16700},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B47-$B$64)),0)","v":205.35302415243069},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":7372},null,123112.4,25.281503650663709,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J43","v":813.48253999999997},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":25.281503650663709},205.35302415243069,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":1.3325836506637074},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":5.5642745086780838},25.281503650663709,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":25.281503650663709},25.281503650663709]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FZA!$B48","v":434.65300000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H48","v":7803},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B44","v":16400},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B48-$B$64)),0)","v":202.71598589941595},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":7803},null,127969.2,25.94140254275954,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J44","v":810.04970000000003},null,null,25.94140254275954,202.71598589941595,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":1.9924825427595394},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":8.3197177273945524},25.94140254275954,25.94140254275954,25.94140254275954]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FZA!$B49","v":329.262},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H49","v":8017},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B45","v":16050},{"$f":"EZA!$F45","v":202},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":8017},null,128672.85,25.991915700000003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J45","v":809.40026999999998},null,null,25.991915700000003,202,2.0429957000000023,8.5306381248089771,25.9919157,25.991915700000003,25.991915700000003]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FZA!$B50","v":258.12900000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H50","v":8221},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B46","v":15780},{"$f":"IF($M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64))>=0,$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))*(1+I$38/27*($B50-$B$64)),0)","v":197.19929455086583},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":8221},null,129727.38,25.582147819932104,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$J46","v":807.90189999999996},null,null,25.582147819932104,197.19929455086586,1.6332278199321024,6.8196303630063584,25.582147819932104,25.582147819932104,25.582147819932104]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FZA!$B51","v":337.13},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H51","v":8157},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B47","v":15510},{"$f":"EZA!$F47","v":201},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":8157},null,126515.07,25.429529070000001,{"$f":"FZA!$L51*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":0},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.19821040055248618},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0},{"$f":"EZA!$J47","v":807.58849999999995},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":160.07244006658146},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":0},25.429529070000001,201,1.4806090699999999,6.1823625867053709,25.429529070000001,25.429529070000001,25.429529070000001,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":0}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FZA!$B52","v":396.29199999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H52","v":8404},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B48","v":15240},{"$f":"EZA!$F48","v":193},8404,null,128076.96,24.718853280000001,{"$f":"FZA!$L52*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":0},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":0},null,0,0.19821040055248618,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":0},{"$f":"EZA!$J48","v":803.38239999999996},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":159.23874730081766},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":0},24.718853280000001,193,0.76993328000000005,3.2148977072870095,24.718853280000001,24.718853280000001,24.718853280000001,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":0}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FZA!$B53","v":440.00200000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H53","v":8700},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B49","v":14970},{"$f":"EZA!$F49","v":186},8700,null,130239,24.224454000000001,{"$f":"FZA!$L53*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0},null,0,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":0},null,0,null,0,0.19821040055248618,0,{"$f":"EZA!$J49","v":806.84685999999999},159.92543930511573,0,24.224454000000001,186.00000000000003,0.27553400000000039,1.1505069957225644,24.224454000000001,24.224454000000001,24.224454000000001,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":0}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FZA!$B54","v":450.56099999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$H54","v":9013},null,{"$f":"EZA!$B50","v":14700},{"$f":"EZA!$F50","v":182},9013,null,132491.1,24.113380199999998,{"$f":"FZA!$L54*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0},null,0,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":0},null,0,null,0,0.19821040055248618,0,{"$f":"EZA!$J50","v":799.13324},158.39651959520606,0,24.113380199999998,181.99999999999997,0.16446019999999706,0.68671238619527331,24.113380200000002,24.113380199999998,24.113380199999998,0]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.nationmaster.com/nmx/timeseries/south-africa-vehicles-in-use (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2020 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 13.5 million vehicles » 223 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .984). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with a logarithmic function (R² = .959).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Logarithmic Function"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FZA!$I$32","v":13469.217278829503},"b:",null,{"$f":"FZA!$I$33","v":0.87399670822821296},"c:",null,{"$f":"FZA!$I$34","v":6.0414122110737711E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EZA!$C$32","v":-3299.48},"b:",null,{"$f":"EZA!$C$33","v":22807.701000000001}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .921). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FZA!$N$32","v":13469.217278829503},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FZA!$S$32","v":13469.217278829503}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$G$32","v":19636.84894655563},null,{"$f":"EZA!$G$33","v":0.72812513462685424},null,null,{"$f":"EZA!$G$34","v":3.1717074647541622E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FZA!$N$33","v":20.886725817350239},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FZA!$S$33","v":973.13513152338874}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FZA!$N$34","v":4.0659441265316759E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FZA!$S$34","v":0.20071815277073843}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .954)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FZA!$X$32","v":5.0739858603952843},null,"b:",{"$f":"FZA!$X$33","v":63.65521166692195},"c:",{"$f":"FZA!$X$34","v":0.21356017986119041},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!M45","v":0.19821040055248618},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EZA!$K$32","v":69832.764077877786},"b:",{"$f":"EZA!$K$33","v":1.2273858818292491},"c:",{"$f":"EZA!$K$34","v":3.1670471381253881E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":42.870530847899175},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FZA!$F$47:$F$64)","v":1.6902527383380158E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":59},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":1.6930171300547244E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":40}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.6108193301162233E-10},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.6108193301162233E-10}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.0309243660433898E-8},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.0148161727422276E-8}]
[null,3,1.1742872228017735E-7,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.0711947861974344E-7}]
[null,4,6.5979138000631769E-7,null,null,5.4236265772614033E-7]
[null,5,2.5169020361060656E-6,null,null,1.857110656099748E-6]
[null,6,7.5154104263571248E-6,null,null,4.9985083902510587E-6]
[null,7,1.8950948766912395E-5,null,null,1.1435538340555271E-5]
[null,8,4.2225770717846128E-5,null,null,2.3274821950933732E-5]
[null,9,8.5601879518534604E-5,null,null,4.3376108800688476E-5]
[null,10,1.6106896002660367E-4,null,null,7.5467080508069071E-5]
[null,11,2.8532575721259992E-4,null,null,1.2425679718599625E-4]
[null,12,4.8087241848034377E-4,null,null,1.9554666126774385E-4]
[null,13,7.7720954014224609E-4,null,null,2.9633712166190232E-4]
[null,14,1.2121369814325723E-3,null,null,4.3492744129032621E-4]
[null,15,1.8331416330395766E-3,null,null,6.2100465160700434E-4]
[null,16,2.6988579010961459E-3,null,null,8.6571626805656923E-4]
[null,17,3.8805772970368991E-3,null,null,1.1817193959407532E-3]
[null,18,5.4637737829416055E-3,null,null,1.5831964859047065E-3]
[null,19,7.5495989794314338E-3,null,null,2.0858251964898282E-3]
[null,20,1.0256285602861836E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":2.7066866234304017E-3}]
[null,21,1.3720378262938133E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":3.4640926600762977E-3}]
[null,22,1.8097687912998615E-2,null,null,4.3773096500604822E-3]
[null,23,2.3563840010270898E-2,null,null,5.4661520972722824E-3]
[null,24,3.0314257500172782E-2,null,null,6.7504174899018846E-3]
[null,25,3.8563389462594549E-2,null,null,8.2491319624217671E-3]
[null,26,4.854296695622394E-2,null,null,9.9795774936293907E-3]
[null,27,6.0499042773812892E-2,null,null,1.1956075817588951E-2]
[null,28,7.4687556432867758E-2,null,null,1.4188513659054866E-2]
[null,29,9.1368166366915304E-2,null,null,1.6680609934047547E-2]
[null,30,0.11079611621741518,null,null,1.9427949850499879E-2]
[null,31,0.13321196104842351,null,null,2.2415844831008322E-2]
[null,32,0.15882908266293819,null,null,2.5617121614514682E-2]
[null,33,0.18781908091710947,null,null,2.8989998254171284E-2]
[null,34,0.22029534736622691,null,null,3.2476266449117441E-2]
[null,35,0.2562954106241348,null,null,3.6000063257907888E-2]
[null,36,0.29576298218753744,null,null,3.9467571563402637E-2]
[null,37,0.33853100652143236,null,null,4.2768024333894927E-2]
[null,38,0.38430739197830333,null,null,4.577638545687096E-2]
[null,39,0.43266541190730201,null,null,4.8358019928998686E-2]
[null,40,0.48304094126067809,null,null,5.0375529353376081E-2]
[null,41,0.53473864299203211,null,null,5.1697701731354018E-2]
[null,42,0.58694884997767727,null,null,5.2210206985645158E-2]
[null,43,0.63877613178142967,null,null,5.1827281803752401E-2]
[null,44,0.68927936882713081,null,null,5.0503237045701144E-2]
[null,45,0.73752163470168752,null,null,4.8242265874556711E-2]
[null,46,0.78262646765646682,null,null,4.5104832954779295E-2]
[null,47,0.82383546129819996,null,null,4.1208993641733138E-2]
[null,48,0.86056087515099144,null,null,3.6725413852791489E-2]
[null,49,0.89242653805635896,null,null,3.186566290536752E-2]
[null,50,0.91929100143244658,null,null,2.6864463376087611E-2]
[null,51,0.94124882070436844,null,null,2.1957819271921863E-2]
[null,52,0.95860884307250371,null,null,1.7360022368135275E-2]
[null,53,0.97185197635670306,null,null,1.3243133284199349E-2]
[null,54,0.98157436248077112,null,null,9.7223861240680609E-3]
[null,55,0.98842434507056887,null,null,6.8499825897977429E-3]
[null,56,0.99304242710296919,null,null,4.618082032400328E-3]
[null,57,0.9960122894858402,null,null,2.9698623828710025E-3]
[null,58,0.99782815573940531,null,null,1.8158662535651127E-3]
[null,59,0.99888010673228733,null,null,1.0519509928820225E-3]
[null,60,0.9994553889387735,null,null,5.7528220648617179E-4]
[null,61,0.99975123490297779,null,null,2.9584596420428877E-4]
[null,62,0.9998937261966927,null,null,1.424912937149081E-4]
[null,63,0.99995772888625145,null,null,6.400268955875088E-5]
[null,64,0.99998441912175484,null,null,2.6690235503390447E-5]

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[null,"Spain",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C53","v":47519.627999999997},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":648.56665372343696}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":8.5186326239834731},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":140.64669505773654},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":19548.441208221662},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.63428506392596518},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":30.99379623429574},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-7401.8419466216501}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":10358.659026761816},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":8918.0000000017335},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":8918.0000000017335}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":373.91440328704988},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":19548.441208221662},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":19548.441208221662}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":25297.500809926205},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":11271.204909920871},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":80},{"$f":"$K91","v":11271.204909920871}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":113.55868210979168},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":73.384146836812576},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":73.384146836812576}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19519006616289644},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14880172485221319},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14880172485221319}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":174.05005},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":34.201438394575234},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":34.201438394575234}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":33.972840775155433},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":5.089233025539504},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":5.089233025539504}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":112.80459532257422},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":30.99379623429574},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":30.99379623429574}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":29.997160080272},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":8.5186326239834731},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":8.5186326239834731}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.55910315557503054},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":140.64669505773654},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":140.64669505773654}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-7401.8419466216501},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1440.6590267600823}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":116},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2075},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2039},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2075}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":29.997160080272},{"$f":"AA64","v":29.997160080272}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 25.7m to\n30.8m total Stock"},6.0157301536644461,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":36.012890233936446}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 10,359 to\n8,918 yearly km"},-4.9739702962678081,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":31.038919937668638}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 114 to 73\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-10.954807869314145,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":20.084112068354493}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.4m to\n19.5m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-4.3840559343227188},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":15.700056134031774}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1952 to\n.1488 kWh/km EV"},-0.91564205810026067,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":14.784414075931513}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 174 to 34\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-2.3599829269308561,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":12.424431149000657}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 52.42%\nto 3.21% PHEV"},-3.9057985250171843,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":8.5186326239834731}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":8.5186326239834731}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.16]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.70399999999999996,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$25","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C25","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D25","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E25","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F25","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G25","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H25","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I25","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Spain"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J37","v":470.93973}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J38","v":422.53399999999999}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J39","v":481.9307}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J40","v":429.26546999999999}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J41","v":449.15224999999998}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FES!$B46","v":1528.877},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H46","v":20250},null,{"$f":"EES!$B42","v":12622},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))","v":151.905813195853},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":20250},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":255595.5},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":38.826442276700647},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J42","v":475.09158000000002},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":38.826442276700647},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":151.905813195853},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":38.826442276700647},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":38.826442276700647},{"$f":"AF46","v":38.826442276700647}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FES!$B47","v":1634.6079999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H47","v":21053},null,{"$f":"EES!$B43","v":12588},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))","v":149.47076410477791},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":21053},null,265015.16399999999,39.612019062433028,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J43","v":432.79539999999997},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":39.612019062433028},149.47076410477788,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":0.78557678573238121},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":2.0233035520841369},39.612019062433028,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":39.612019062433028},39.612019062433028]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FES!$B48","v":1614.835},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H48","v":21760},null,{"$f":"EES!$B44","v":12625},147.07468251626281,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":21760},null,274720,40.404356780867715,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J44","v":438.87894},null,null,40.404356780867715,147.07468251626278,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":1.5779145041670688},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":4.0640203213106627},40.404356780867722,40.404356780867715,40.404356780867715]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FES!$B49","v":1161.1759999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H49","v":22145},null,{"$f":"EES!$B45","v":11919},144.7169469555464,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":22145},null,263946.255,38.197496183950129,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J45","v":390.26434},null,null,38.197496183950129,144.71694695554643,-0.62894609275051749,-1.6198911254043526,38.197496183950129,38.197496183950129,38.197496183950129]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FES!$B50","v":952.77200000000005},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H50","v":21983},null,{"$f":"EES!$B46","v":11387},142.39694579211255,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":21983},null,250320.421,35.64486341979579,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$J46","v":355.04955999999999},null,null,35.64486341979579,142.39694579211255,-3.1815788569048564,-8.1943610342431228,35.64486341979579,35.64486341979579,35.64486341979579]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FES!$B51","v":982.01499999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H51","v":22147},null,{"$f":"EES!$B47","v":10999},140.11407708590909,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":22146.960999999999},null,243594.424039,34.131007907498066,{"$f":"FES!$L51*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":3.9E-2},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":3.9714260983793529E-5},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":3.9E-2},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":1.760960852485664E-6},{"$f":"FES!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0.42896100000000004},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.19519006616289644},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":8.3728925971302229E-2},{"$f":"EES!$J47","v":288.24716000000001},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":56.262982231666996},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":2.4134625121078108E-5},34.131032042123188,140.11392942741358,-4.6954102345774587,-12.093331140450966,34.131068010972697,34.131032042123188,34.131032042123188,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":3.5968849509515621E-5}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FES!$B52","v":808.05100000000004},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H52","v":22277},null,{"$f":"EES!$B48","v":10479},137.86774843589961,22276.378000000695,null,233434.22095000723,32.183050450265803,{"$f":"FES!$L52*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":0.58299999999999996},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":7.2148911392968997E-4},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0.6219999993062908},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":2.7921174274197191E-5},{"$f":"FES!$W52","v":1.2861736334405145E-2},6.4620499927929531,0.19519006616289644,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":1.2613279656412011},{"$f":"EES!$J48","v":337.31216000000001},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":65.839982827949513},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":4.2546126055883934E-4},32.183475911526365,137.86575458026039,-6.6429663651742814,-17.109387251689189,32.183941358548587,32.183475911526365,32.183475911526365,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":4.6544702222206524E-4}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FES!$B53","v":699.58900000000006},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H53","v":22248},null,{"$f":"EES!$B49","v":9387},135.65737683091527,22245.718000054072,null,208821.2745364905,28.328146330108702,{"$f":"FES!$L53*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":1.66},null,2.3728217567743344E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":2.2819999459262852},null,1.0257101518906353E-4,{"$f":"FES!$W53","v":5.0394390885188427E-2},20.701463509463164,0.19519006616289644,4.0407200320809009,{"$f":"EES!$J49","v":351.14816000000002},68.540632583379349,1.4188914043403494E-3,28.329565221513043,135.65072388279378,-10.496877055187603,-27.035382176869376,28.330954636344963,28.329565221513043,28.329565221513043,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":1.3894148319195665E-3}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FES!$B54","v":722.68899999999996},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H54","v":22024.538},null,{"$f":"EES!$B50","v":9997},133.482388502774,22020.980001144155,null,220144.99002836854,29.385479085905999,{"$f":"FES!$L54*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":1.276},null,1.7656280917517772E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":3.5579988558459861},null,1.6154703702960698E-4,{"$f":"FES!$W54","v":5.2838673412029233E-2},34.316357631475277,0.19519006616289644,6.6982121165572757,{"$f":"EES!$J50","v":286.89690000000002},55.999424892929888,1.9216962917827211E-3,29.38740078219778,133.47031228574332,-9.4390414945028667,-24.310858634006596,29.390059715287361,29.38740078219778,29.38740078219778,2.6589330895809837E-3]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FES!$B55","v":890.125},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H55","v":22029.511999999999},null,{"$f":"EES!$B51","v":10240},{"$f":"EES!$F51","v":133},22023.998011114563,null,225529.11200034874,29.995371896046382,{"$f":"FES!$L55*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":1.956},null,2.1974441791883163E-3,5.5139888854350136,null,2.5030009223241139E-4,{"$f":"FES!$W55","v":8.9590134203844762E-2},53.090879651211189,0.19519006616289644,10.362812311766284,{"$f":"EES!$J51","v":289.02492999999998},56.414795209426508,2.995111103011388E-3,29.998367007149394,132.98197563531744,-8.8280752695512525,-22.737275814861079,30.002432983040002,29.998367007149394,29.998367007149394,4.0659758906080867E-3]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FES!$B56","v":1094.077},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H56","v":22355.548999999999},null,{"$f":"EES!$B52","v":10523},{"$f":"EES!$F52","v":129},22347.098064010945,null,235167.31710423395,30.33658390644618,{"$f":"FES!$L56*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":2.9369999999999998},null,2.6844545676401204E-3,{"$f":"N56+N55*(1-F$165)+N54*(1-F$166)+N53*(1-F$167)+N52*(1-F$168)+N51*(1-F$169)+N50*(1-F$170)+N49*(1-F$171)+N48*(1-F$172)+N47*(1-F$173)+N46*(1-F$174)+N45*(1-F$175)+N44*(1-F$176)+N43*(1-F$177)","v":8.4509359890528408},null,3.7802408650545067E-4,{"$f":"FES!$W56","v":0.14850313572358298},80.125022766010346,0.19519006616289644,15.639608495001143,{"$f":"EES!$J52","v":328.53480000000002},64.126729348813953,5.1381556489835016E-3,30.341722062095162,128.97790423461851,-8.4847202146054848,-21.852942780948741,30.346920034383,30.341722062095162,30.341722062095162,5.1979722878385815E-3]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FES!$B57","v":1147.0070000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FES!$H57","v":23320},null,{"$f":"EES!$B53","v":10709},{"$f":"EES!$F53","v":127},23307.019257800934,null,249614.58767884335,31.701052635213106,{"$f":"FES!$L57*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":4.53},null,3.9494092015131552E-3,12.980742199066242,null,5.5663560030301204E-4,{"$f":"FES!$W57","v":0.21277251367383093},119.29232115664738,0.19519006616289644,23.284676059291492,{"$f":"EES!$J53","v":282.93310000000002},55.225730508673401,6.5880055799511263E-3,31.707640640793056,126.9657150275047,-7.118801635907591,-18.334931604535683,31.716202760000002,31.707640640793056,31.707640640793056,8.5621192069460506E-3]
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[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FES!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FES!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":972.51218891621045},0,null,34584.01700489621,6870.9844801890476,34.306135857216113,null,321.47506101871113,2214.651876173099,7.5976148140432895E-2,null,{"$f":"FES!$U138-FES!$U137*(1-FES!$F137)","v":965.83206871309812},0.9931310678886639,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FES!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FES!$F137)+O138)","v":34262.541943877499},0.9907045193456504,3.6966604602189994E-5,235411.59222706288,9.2781654248967865E-2,21841.876956210359,1.3203353154995645,0.12250289473538249,2.8838601502080674E-2,0.10481474964251357,0.44109079802219625,-38.721627527058132,-99.730042868992371,8.1520382134456124,0.10481474964251357,0.10481474964251357,8.0472234638030997]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FES!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FES!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":972.5005098314216},0,null,34623.440735935532,6832.9615132596082,33.755474644311832,null,321.42397003385122,2201.2768474413933,7.430514480891863E-2,null,{"$f":"FES!$U139-FES!$U138*(1-FES!$F138)","v":963.87820366999949},0.99113388006046732,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FES!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FES!$F138)+O139)","v":34302.016765901681},0.99071657919600564,3.1993799112855257E-5,234379.36115783101,9.1853837706478175E-2,21528.643801539445,1.2313953615244604,0.1131083896899778,2.6510272117128E-2,0.10081541692604663,0.42613553575673369,-38.7256268597746,-99.740343407702468,7.9858917275220893,0.10081541692604663,0.10081541692604663,7.8850763105960429]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FES!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FES!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":972.48789066340021},0,null,34661.788195543391,6795.1486918896589,33.213648932420064,null,323.1763677579147,2200.3388438645684,7.308128189248482E-2,null,{"$f":"FES!$U140-FES!$U139*(1-FES!$F139)","v":962.0634742278271},0.98928067224727922,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FES!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FES!$F139)+O140)","v":34338.611827785477},0.99067629269630508,2.7689930435027004E-5,233331.66587163854,9.093529932941341E-2,21218.084879068127,1.1484411272480446,0.10443383766850989,2.4367721316561688E-2,9.7449003209046509E-2,0.41373996424288173,-38.728993273491596,-99.749013822810312,7.8228773169698265,9.7449003209046509E-2,9.7449003209046509E-2,7.72542831376078]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FES!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FES!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":972.47442660335309},0,null,34699.087576630984,6757.5448576035287,32.680517061254413,null,326.55314622261358,2210.4085000001201,7.2237292696595706E-2,null,{"$f":"FES!$U141-FES!$U140*(1-FES!$F140)","v":960.3783497365439},0.98756154759867754,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FES!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FES!$F140)+O141)","v":34372.53443040837},0.99058899904784414,2.3965017062138444E-5,232270.23231699708,9.0025946336119253E-2,20910.347470047931,1.0710704761836647,9.642413321111229E-2,2.2396455821910126E-2,9.4633748518505839E-2,0.40358874911282644,-38.731808528182142,-99.75626469238648,7.6629485827537449,9.4633748518505839E-2,9.4633748518505839E-2,7.5683148342352391]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 36 million vehicles » 758 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .855). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .531).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FES!$I$32","v":36000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FES!$I$33","v":0.6558461934538875},"c:",null,{"$f":"FES!$I$34","v":2.8802777471279961E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EES!$C$32","v":965063147.352965},"b:",{"$f":"EES!$C$33","v":2.1993875211628617E-3},"c:",null,{"$f":"EES!$C$34","v":5.5563231004156291E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .329). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FES!$N$32","v":34800},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FES!$S$32","v":34600}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EES!$G$32","v":5375501.2879076535},null,{"$f":"EES!$G$33","v":1.8961595802929449E-3},null,null,{"$f":"EES!$G$34","v":1.6187943353172217E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FES!$N$33","v":26.910998755615857},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FES!$S$33","v":118.23931164031949}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FES!$N$34","v":7.6858605845030445E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FES!$S$34","v":0.13858907476302024}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .890)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FES!$X$32","v":10.045750144302618},null,"b:",{"$f":"FES!$X$33","v":31.069178447518315},"c:",{"$f":"FES!$X$34","v":0.14447624689804645},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!M46","v":0.19519006616289644},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EES!$K$32","v":18234.000540334273},"b:",{"$f":"EES!$K$33","v":0.90596476178297691},"c:",{"$f":"EES!$K$34","v":6.9807778245641064E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":19.572570349911523},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FES!$F$47:$F$64)","v":3.7022236152030749E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":27},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":3.6999382068997951E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":18}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.778741426321779E-8},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.778741426321779E-8}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.1383938749996878E-6},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.12060646073647E-6}]
[null,3,1.2966941041703938E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.182854716670425E-5}]
[null,4,7.285459544516639E-5,null,null,5.9887654403462454E-5]
[null,5,2.7788973182844097E-4,null,null,2.0503513638327458E-4]
[null,6,8.29545344105431E-4,null,null,5.5165561227699003E-4]
[null,7,2.0904834088194238E-3,null,null,1.2609380647139929E-3]
[null,8,4.6520096931235207E-3,null,null,2.5615262843040969E-3]
[null,9,9.4084225204170858E-3,null,null,4.756412827293565E-3]
[null,10,1.7630152175578711E-2,null,null,8.2217296551616251E-3]
[null,11,3.1020176878133646E-2,null,null,1.3390024702554935E-2]
[null,12,5.172708663743171E-2,null,null,2.0706909759298064E-2]
[null,13,8.2274040523400122E-2,null,null,3.0546953885968411E-2]
[null,14,0.12534956668699312,null,null,4.3075526163593003E-2]
[null,15,0.18340315802883256,null,null,5.8053591341839433E-2]
[null,16,0.25801280533649795,null,null,7.4609647307665394E-2]
[null,17,0.34906464509696161,null,null,9.105183976046366E-2]
[null,18,0.45391985248095629,null,null,0.10485520738399468]
[null,19,0.56691643644202827,null,null,0.11299658396107198]
[null,20,0.67966710369410288,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":0.11275066725207461}]
[null,21,0.78250024122709971,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":0.10283313753299683}]
[null,22,0.86691075217257219,null,null,8.4410510945472472E-2]
[null,23,0.92815007475473577,null,null,6.123932258216358E-2]
[null,24,0.96660095029256698,null,null,3.8450875537831219E-2]
[null,25,0.98699771898185251,null,null,2.0396768689285527E-2]
[null,26,0.99589197511410765,null,null,8.8942561322551406E-3]
[null,27,0.99898331586294475,null,null,3.0913407488371014E-3]
[null,28,0.99981058734115991,null,null,8.2727147821515246E-4]
[null,29,0.99997459002941247,null,null,1.6400268825256248E-4]
[null,30,0.99999766389399036,null,null,2.3073864577893843E-5]
[null,31,0.99999986066653868,null,null,2.1967725483129641E-6]
[null,32,0.99999999492576874,null,null,1.3425923006682439E-7]
[null,33,0.99999999989445421,null,null,4.9686854630692778E-9]
[null,34,0.99999999999883471,null,null,1.0438050423999812E-10]
[null,35,0.99999999999999367,null,null,1.1589618154062009E-12]
[null,36,1,null,null,6.3282712403633923E-15]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Sweden",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C54","v":10612.085999999999},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":586.15036985056781}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.14048428537376764},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":100.26845765479614},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":6220.2781469855272},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":1.0000000021220103},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":2.3173494782795858},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-11519.823141146071}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":11770.302413949628},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9746.0000000001291},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9746.0000000001291}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":701.79584242395902},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":6220.2781469855272},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":6220.2781469855272}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":4387.8600232531926},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":0}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":126.92897895833386},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":85.01754301490972},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":85.01754301490972}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.20614996319442669},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15715692250419472},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15715692250419472}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":40.694878000000003},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":13.35104465832924},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":13.35104465832924}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":8.3892476019016851},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.0982090907190911},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.0982090907190911}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":116.05920838157287},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":2.3173494782795858},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":2.3173494782795858}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":6.9527344757519645},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.14048428537376764},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.14048428537376764}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":1.8676136691919289},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":100.26845765479614},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":100.26845765479614}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-11519.823141146071},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-2024.3024139494992}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":91},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2050},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2050}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":6.9527344757519645},{"$f":"AA64","v":6.9527344757519645}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 5.1m to\n6.2m total Stock"},1.5444887886320098,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":8.4972232643839742}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 11,770 to\n9,746 yearly km"},-1.3416110373855972,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":7.1556122269983771}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 127 to 85\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-2.3501543731221233,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":4.8054578538762538}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.7m to\n6.2m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-2.7407491805403081},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":2.0647086733359457}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2061 to\n.1572 kWh/km EV"},-8.0379337801887329E-2,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.9843293355340583}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 41 to 13\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-0.17324599077517844,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":1.8110833447588799}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 50.25%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-1.6705990703219624,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.14048427443691741}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":0.14048427443691747}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$26","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C26","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D26","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E26","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F26","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G26","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H26","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I26","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Sweden"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J37","v":44.894309999999997}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J38","v":46.782173}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J39","v":56.237220000000001}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J40","v":68.542725000000004}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J41","v":48.033783}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FSE!$B46","v":274.30099999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$H46","v":4154},null,{"$f":"ESE!$B42","v":13493.591948093634},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))","v":164.79105317686563},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":4154},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":56052.380952380954},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":9.2369308902137384},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J42","v":43.129578000000002},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":9.2369308902137384},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":164.7910531768656},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":9.2369308902137401},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":9.2369308902137384},{"$f":"AF46","v":9.2369308902137384}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FSE!$B47","v":282.76600000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$H47","v":4202},null,{"$f":"ESE!$B43","v":13366.764125926427},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))","v":162.44443986193136},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":4202},null,56167.142857142848,9.12404006007365,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J43","v":49.692909999999998},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":9.12404006007365},162.44443986193139,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-0.11289083014008838},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-1.2221681799058706},9.1240400600736482,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":9.12404006007365},9.12404006007365]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FSE!$B48","v":306.79399999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$H48","v":4258},null,{"$f":"ESE!$B44","v":13439.240421391665},160.12796145495059,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":4258},null,57224.28571428571,9.1632082171442235,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J44","v":46.028759999999998},null,null,9.1632082171442235,160.12796145495062,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-7.3722673069514855E-2},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-0.79812952966468431},9.1632082171442217,9.1632082171442235,9.1632082171442235]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FSE!$B49","v":253.982},null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$H49","v":4279},null,{"$f":"ESE!$B45","v":13260.775214502723},157.84133271940223,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":4279},null,56742.857142857152,8.9563681937352246,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J45","v":47.831890000000001},null,null,8.9563681937352246,157.84133271940223,-0.28056269647851373,-3.0374017064018721,8.9563681937352264,8.9563681937352246,8.9563681937352246]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FSE!$B50","v":213.40799999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$H50","v":4301},null,{"$f":"ESE!$B46","v":13137.587050630529},155.58426774380413,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":4301},null,56504.761904761901,8.7912520049903797,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$J46","v":51.098095000000001},null,null,8.7912520049903797,155.58426774380413,-0.44567888522335863,-4.8249671944124053,8.7912520049903797,8.7912520049903797,8.7912520049903797]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FSE!$B51","v":289.68400000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$H51","v":4335},null,{"$f":"ESE!$B47","v":12954.907453177348},153.35648008624807,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":4334.9430000000002},null,56158.785379798974,8.6123136517650209,{"$f":"FSE!$L51*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":5.7000000000000002E-2},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":1.96766131370735E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":5.7000000000000002E-2},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":1.3148788927335641E-5},{"$f":"FSE!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0.7384297248311088},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.20614996319442669},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0.15222726059560371},{"$f":"ESE!$J47","v":63.725160000000002},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":13.136939388558952},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":9.7007065378165411E-6},8.6123233524715594,153.35463636910399,-0.62460753774217892,-6.7620678899301119,8.6124268947484115,8.6123233524715594,8.6123233524715594,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":1.0354227685205331E-4}]
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[12,2012,{"$f":"FSE!$B53","v":279.899},null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$H53","v":4447},null,{"$f":"ESE!$B49","v":12686.883613350894},148.98758913523199,4445.5470007328468,null,56405.922611988572,8.4037824229086446,{"$f":"FSE!$L53*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":1.212},null,4.3301333695368689E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":1.4529992671534298},null,3.2673696135674155E-4,{"$f":"FSE!$W53","v":0.47075017205781139},12.648816582850467,0.20614996319442669,2.6075530730076775,{"$f":"ESE!$J49","v":44.700789999999998},9.215066213261796,1.1655968233037084E-4,8.4038989825909756,148.95625269829296,-0.8330319076227628,-9.0184923707217095,8.4056669395967383,8.4038989825909756,8.4038989825909756,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":1.7679570057627103E-3}]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 8 million vehicles » 754 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .977). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .975).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FSE!$I$32","v":8000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FSE!$I$33","v":0.74515245335650571},"c:",null,{"$f":"FSE!$I$34","v":2.171282637886866E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ESE!$C$32","v":1899645708.6132219},"b:",{"$f":"ESE!$C$33","v":1.041271530065116E-3},"c:",null,{"$f":"ESE!$C$34","v":6.9953796061401688E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .718). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FSE!$N$32","v":7348},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FSE!$S$32","v":7348}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$G$32","v":134992.54468534735},null,{"$f":"ESE!$G$33","v":9.1763062479124927E-2},null,null,{"$f":"ESE!$G$34","v":1.5660786525871693E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FSE!$N$33","v":22.547611657185488},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FSE!$S$33","v":22.547611657185488}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FSE!$N$34","v":9.8154157107702283E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FSE!$S$34","v":9.8154157107702283E-2}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .352)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FSE!$X$32","v":10.41557268157942},null,"b:",{"$f":"FSE!$X$33","v":29.273035458690195},"c:",{"$f":"FSE!$X$34","v":0.191959101958769},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!O41","v":0.20614996319442669},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ESE!$K$32","v":2888.118194246742},"b:",{"$f":"ESE!$K$33","v":1.191962285767646},"c:",{"$f":"ESE!$K$34","v":4.8321708059389415E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":13.141659626043586},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FSE!$F$47:$F$64)","v":5.5139178932974153E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":18},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.548019728698933E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":12}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.9413268901931462E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.9413268901931462E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.2424416119539062E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.2230283430519748E-5}]
[null,3,1.415127301610397E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.2908831404150064E-4}]
[null,4,7.9485150945343957E-4,null,null,6.5333877929239987E-4]
[null,5,3.0287276825520576E-3,null,null,2.233876173098618E-3]
[null,6,9.0165604288462708E-3,null,null,5.9878327462942133E-3]
[null,7,2.2580671529678558E-2,null,null,1.3564111100832287E-2]
[null,8,4.9617481683381731E-2,null,null,2.7036810153703173E-2]
[null,9,9.8026447587165708E-2,null,null,4.8408965903783976E-2]
[null,10,0.1764513943592434,null,null,7.8424946772077689E-2]
[null,11,0.29101289065465075,null,null,0.11456149629540735]
[null,12,0.43992084641611584,null,null,0.14890795576146509]
[null,13,0.60821478156571429,null,null,0.16829393514959845]
[null,14,0.76816496415656088,null,null,0.15995018259084659]
[null,15,0.8904410891212885,null,null,0.12227612496472762]
[null,16,0.96149650923137142,null,null,7.1055420110082923E-2]
[null,17,0.99077549391307507,null,null,2.9278984681703646E-2]
[null,18,0.99864355116580794,null,null,7.868057252732874E-3]
[null,19,0.99989197461069745,null,null,1.2484234448895126E-3]
[null,20,0.99999598106374377,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":1.0400645304631251E-4}]
[null,21,0.9999999412520344,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":3.9601882906303842E-6}]
[null,22,0.99999999972403519,null,null,5.8472000796783163E-8]
[null,23,0.9999999999996696,null,null,2.7563440418987284E-10]
[null,24,0.99999999999999989,null,null,3.3029134982598407E-13]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"CH","index":27,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[2,0,2,2],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[4,28,4,29],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[18,26,18,29],[15,28,15,29],[144,27,145,29],[16,28,16,29],[17,26,17,29],[7,28,7,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[11,28,11,29],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[37,10,37,15],[10,33,17,33],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[11,30,11,31],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[15,30,15,31],[16,30,16,31],[17,30,17,31]]}
[null,"Switzerland",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C55","v":8796.6689999999999},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":665.06675261798557}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":0.97107558991131371},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":65.473549071269105},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":5029.2544003513503},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.85964692957853672},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":17.111883499437848},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-9084.3228225846069}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":10650.932056875814},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9699.9999999280353},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":9699.9999999280353}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":283.24721450964142},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":5029.2544003513503},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":5029.2544003513503}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":4595.6397369143688},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":821.11768533395207},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":821.11768533395207}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":134.54772260607768},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":84.668597849976464},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":84.668597849976464}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19881506584175099},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15156521694689853},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15156521694689853}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":34.842716000000003},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":35.870770443448194},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":35.870770443448194}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":6.9272568756454316},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":5.4367611043136215},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":5.4367611043136215}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":128.78793356516604},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":17.111883499437848},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":17.111883499437848}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":6.6924254855570355},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":0.97107558991131371},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":0.97107558991131371}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.95611601820973391},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":65.473549071269105},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":65.473549071269105}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-9084.3228225846069},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-950.93205694777862}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":134},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2093},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2093}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":6.6924254855570355},{"$f":"AA64","v":6.6924254855570355}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 4.9m to\n5.9m total Stock"},1.3325973600336107,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":8.0250228455906463}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 10,651 to\n9,700 yearly km"},-0.66220990060033813,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":7.3628129449903081}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 135 to 85\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-2.7240346703619105,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":4.6387782746283976}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.3m to\n5.0m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-2.7822330984061505},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":1.8565451762222471}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 35 to 36\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},5.9092499254220776E-3,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":1.8000192813306433}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 33.39%\nto 1.22% PHEV"},-0.82894369141932955,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":0.97107558991131371}]
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[]
[]
[]
[-0.41]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$27","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C27","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D27","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E27","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F27","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G27","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H27","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I27","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Switzerland"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J37","v":32.214157}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J38","v":31.949331000000001}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J39","v":33.175353999999999}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J40","v":33.363945000000001}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J41","v":33.8187}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FCH!$B46","v":266.77},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H46","v":3906},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B42","v":11064.260112647209},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B46-2000))-$R$150*($B46-2000)))","v":182.84516921295813},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":3906},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":43217},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":7.9020196778764111},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J42","v":36.678196},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":7.9020196778764111},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":182.84516921295813},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":7.9020196778764111},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":7.9020196778764111},{"$f":"AF46","v":7.9020196778764111}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FCH!$B47","v":269.42099999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H47","v":3946},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B43","v":11064.875823618853},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))","v":179.76581363577441},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":3946},null,43661.999999999993,7.8489349549651806,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J43","v":34.765816000000001},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":7.8489349549651806},179.76581363577441,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-5.3084722911230564E-2},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-0.67178677192938296},7.8489349549651806,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":7.8489349549651806},7.8489349549651806]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FCH!$B48","v":284.67399999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H48","v":4002.5839999999998},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B44","v":10993.897941929514},176.73706034861613,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":4002.5839999999998},null,44004,7.7771376035805035,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J44","v":32.967033000000001},null,null,7.7771376035805035,176.7370603486161,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-0.12488207429590759},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-1.5803817174176968},7.7771376035805044,7.7771376035805035,7.7771376035805035]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FCH!$B49","v":288.52499999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H49","v":4031.2049999999999},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B45","v":11099.162657319584},173.75812087944107,{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":4031.2049999999999},null,44742.999999999993,7.7744596025088297,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J45","v":32.965392999999999},null,null,7.7744596025088297,173.75812087944104,-0.1275600753675814,-1.6142718009766066,7.7744596025088297,7.7744596025088297,7.7744596025088297]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FCH!$B50","v":266.01799999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H50","v":4051.8319999999999},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B46","v":11266.261779856619},170.82821754784464,{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":4051.8319999999999},null,45649,7.7981373028415604,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$J46","v":32.698368000000002},null,null,7.7981373028415604,170.82821754784467,-0.10388237503485076,-1.3146306801246554,7.7981373028415604,7.7981373028415604,7.7981373028415604]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FCH!$B51","v":294.23899999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H51","v":4119.6840000000002},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B47","v":11220.520797226194},167.94658337119373,{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":4119.5610000000006},null,46223.619875941949,7.7630990292132518,{"$f":"FCH!$L51*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":0.123},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":4.1802752184448702E-4},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0.123},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":2.9856658908790089E-5},{"$f":"FCH!$W51","v":0},{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":1.3801240580588219},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.19881506584175099},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0.27438945547274923},{"$f":"ECH!$J47","v":34.519302000000003},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":6.8629572999412876},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":9.4717324790793857E-6},7.763108500945731,167.94177395231432,-0.13891117693068011,-1.7579199064714441,7.76333081633343,7.763108500945731,7.763108500945731,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":2.2231538769901249E-4}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FCH!$B52","v":318.95800000000003},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H52","v":4209.6719999999996},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B48","v":11039.102333863542},165.11246196941082,4209.1030000206365,null,46465.020486452697,7.6719539279773148,{"$f":"FCH!$L52*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":0.44600000000000001},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":1.3983032248760024E-3},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0.56899997936329538},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":1.3516492006106304E-4},{"$f":"FCH!$W52","v":7.2056239015817231E-2},5.979513547308847,0.19881506584175099,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":1.1888173796098505},{"$f":"ECH!$J48","v":34.669212000000002},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":6.8927616664616238},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":4.1215361762978383E-5},7.6719951433390774,165.09210353422728,-0.23002453453733374,-2.9109587664194545,7.6729412201804905,7.6719951433390774,7.6719951433390774,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":9.4607684141312376E-4}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FCH!$B53","v":328.13900000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H53","v":4300.0360000000001},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B49","v":10954.559450199951},162.32510746852492,4298.0040013749349,null,47085.917170349989,7.6432265649311244,{"$f":"FCH!$L53*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":1.4630000000000001},null,4.4584764383386313E-3,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":2.0319986250655591},null,4.7255386351778426E-4,{"$f":"FCH!$W53","v":0.21407480314960631},19.082829650015309,0.19881506584175099,3.7939540333147117,{"$f":"ECH!$J49","v":34.639659999999999},6.8868862836358682,1.314212777696503E-4,7.6433579862088941,162.2621374845323,-0.25866169166751707,-3.2733617759988904,7.6463241873048666,7.6433579862088941,7.6433579862088941,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":2.9662010959725649E-3}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FCH!$B54","v":307.88499999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H54","v":4366.8950000000004},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B50","v":10918.971030904109},159.5837844030994,4363.49601868216,null,47649.261465136413,7.604049468619241,{"$f":"FCH!$L54*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":1.367},null,4.4399694691199636E-3,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":3.3989813178404282},null,7.7835196812390216E-4,{"$f":"FCH!$W54","v":0.1768167107972933},32.738534863590736,0.19881506584175099,6.5089139644672525,{"$f":"ECH!$J50","v":34.066090000000003},6.7728519263210156,2.2173324891579824E-4,7.6042712018681566,159.47886418078429,-0.29774847600825449,-3.7680047398752041,7.6092740079085868,7.6042712018681566,7.6042712018681566,5.00280604043013E-3]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FCH!$B55","v":301.94200000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H55","v":4430.375},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B51","v":10885.760234743108},{"$f":"ECH!$F$51","v":159},4424.7161349068774,null,48175.390374994604,7.6598870696241415,{"$f":"FCH!$L55*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":2.2599999999999998},null,7.484881202350119E-3,5.6588650931226692,null,1.2772880609706106E-3,{"$f":"FCH!$W55","v":0.21894327619720794},52.6096250053902,0.19881506584175099,10.459586059356482,{"$f":"ECH!$J51","v":33.105020000000003},6.5817767309924839,3.4626480568671758E-4,7.6602333344298286,158.83373422969706,-0.24178634344658256,-3.059804370312075,7.668251999999999,7.6602333344298286,7.6602333344298286,8.0186655701703913E-3]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FCH!$B56","v":323.78300000000002},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H56","v":4503.8649999999998},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B52","v":10835.582327623053},{"$f":"ECH!$F$52","v":152},4491.8596674226728,null,48696.879024337279,7.4019256116992667,{"$f":"FCH!$L56*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":6.3470000000000004},null,1.9602635098198484E-2,{"$f":"N56+N55*(1-F$165)+N54*(1-F$166)+N53*(1-F$167)+N52*(1-F$168)+N51*(1-F$169)+N50*(1-F$170)+N49*(1-F$171)+N48*(1-F$172)+N47*(1-F$173)+N46*(1-F$174)+N45*(1-F$175)+N44*(1-F$176)+N43*(1-F$177)","v":12.005332577327106},null,2.6655622620409595E-3,{"$f":"FCH!$W56","v":0.28785607196401797},105.12097566272003,0.19881506584175099,20.899633697732785,{"$f":"ECH!$J52","v":34.357501999999997},6.8307890222880907,7.1805920656912146E-4,7.4026436709058361,151.68730115376081,-0.49937600697057505,-6.3195996381620931,7.4179040000000001,7.4026436709058361,7.4026436709058361,1.5260329094163971E-2]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FCH!$B57","v":317.31799999999998},null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$H57","v":4571.9939999999997},null,{"$f":"ECH!$B53","v":10847.550306211722},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B57-2000))-$R$150*($B57-2000)))","v":151.62880321655905},4554.3375019089081,null,49442.862960305392,7.4969621382714422,{"$f":"FCH!$L57*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":5.6529999999999996},null,1.781493643600426E-2,17.656498091092054,null,3.8618812909842083E-3,{"$f":"FCH!$W57","v":0.30902089586046777},152.07195439276856,0.19881506584175099,30.234195625282034,{"$f":"ECH!$J53","v":37.806873000000003},7.5165759447657186,1.1430603942621936E-3,7.4981051986657041,151.18691478398401,-0.403914479210707,-5.1115347174034751,7.5200206267188205,7.4981051986657041,7.4981051986657041,2.1915428053116415E-2]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/switzerland (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 6.8 million vehicles » 770 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .978). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .320).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FCH!$I$32","v":6775.9218146115008},"b:",null,{"$f":"FCH!$I$33","v":0.65199198158484362},"c:",null,{"$f":"FCH!$I$34","v":2.9809667317913149E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ECH!$C$32","v":6365546113974.3535},"b:",{"$f":"ECH!$C$33","v":5.2312188776106303E-7},"c:",null,{"$f":"ECH!$C$34","v":3.463761593716573E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .972). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FCH!$N$32","v":6560},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FCH!$S$32","v":6560}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$G$32","v":449796.73321710306},null,{"$f":"ECH!$G$33","v":2.6106687722309733E-2},null,null,{"$f":"ECH!$G$34","v":1.7397507511230315E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FCH!$N$33","v":26.66889101258538},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FCH!$S$33","v":58.016173123272083}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FCH!$N$34","v":9.2176284045852944E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FCH!$S$34","v":0.12456060178270416}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .330)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FCH!$X$32","v":6.851075973592641},null,"b:",{"$f":"FCH!$X$33","v":17.769967382153812},"c:",{"$f":"FCH!$X$34","v":0.14531300973235856},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!O42","v":0.19881506584175099},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ECH!$K$32","v":8483.8941743702944},"b:",{"$f":"ECH!$K$33","v":1.5312629772927946},"c:",{"$f":"ECH!$K$34","v":1.1625418667517106E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":13.465137346776185},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FCH!$F$47:$F$64)","v":5.3814551083665521E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":19},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.2611934337133848E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":13}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.6777808676310511E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":1.6777808676310511E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.0737740803670928E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.0569962716907824E-5}]
[null,3,1.2230275591888388E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.1156501511521295E-4}]
[null,4,6.8698302006830049E-4,null,null,5.6468026414941666E-4]
[null,5,2.6180996091653892E-3,null,null,1.9311165890970887E-3]
[null,6,7.7972972013524077E-3,null,null,5.1791975921870181E-3]
[null,7,1.954538868657664E-2,null,null,1.1748091485224231E-2]
[null,8,4.3028838700041414E-2,null,null,2.3483450013464774E-2]
[null,9,8.5304596692147558E-2,null,null,4.2275757992106144E-2]
[null,10,0.15445856119387555,null,null,6.9153964501727991E-2]
[null,11,0.25712622931082829,null,null,0.10266766811695274]
[null,12,0.39406510013709367,null,null,0.13693887082626538]
[null,13,0.55506756825819914,null,null,0.16100246812110547]
[null,14,0.71727801525890289,null,null,0.16221044700070375]
[null,15,0.85208203210402966,null,null,0.13480401684512677]
[null,16,0.94008626119620153,null,null,8.8004229092171871E-2]
[null,17,0.98257336481925439,null,null,4.2487103623052858E-2]
[null,18,0.99667573388986119,null,null,1.4102369070606802E-2]
[null,19,0.99962675240554311,null,null,2.9510185156819135E-3]
[null,20,0.99997829132165472,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":3.5153891611161558E-4}]
[null,21,0.99999943682583081,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":2.1145504176089958E-5}]
[null,22,0.99999999452276245,null,null,5.5769693163565393E-7]
[null,23,0.9999999999836563,null,null,5.4608938482303415E-9]
[null,24,0.99999999999998812,null,null,1.6331824781445903E-11]
[null,25,1,null,null,1.1879386363489175E-14]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

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[null,"Taiwan",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C56","v":23923.276000000002},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":368.82448361910508}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":10.007463351218657},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":-6.1739271282178798},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":8066.812403650154},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.91424283127993411},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":90.028913833580248},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-6714.3594926664755}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":16335.783783864972},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":12597.999999982767},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":12597.999999982767}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":68.045964750150745},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":8066.812403650154},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":8066.812403650154}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":7161.9835816393679},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":756.67751352717642},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":69},{"$f":"$K91","v":756.67751352717642}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":144.20224058241897},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.99999999994354},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.99999999994354}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19127625538901796},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14581805972341372},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14581805972341372}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":642.37750000000005},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":623.85835489130204},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":623.85835489130204}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":122.8715627461589},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":90.969814852490515},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":90.969814852490515}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":144.0257878125629},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":90.028913833580248},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":90.028913833580248}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":17.010626468700334},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":10.007463351218657},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":10.007463351218657}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":4.7187042035332638E-2},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":-6.1739271282178798},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":-6.1739271282178798}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-6714.3594926664755},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-3737.7837838822034}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2028},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":17.010626468700334},{"$f":"AA64","v":17.010626468700334}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($G$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 0.0m to\n8.8m total Stock"},3.7490523359872121,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":20.759678804687546},{"$f":"AD22/AD21","v":1.2203947246084965},{"$f":"G91/F64","v":1.2203947246084965}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 16,336 to\n12,598 yearly km"},-4.7464711480943222,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":16.013207656593224}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 144 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-7.0882391767266597,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":8.9249684798665641}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.1m to\n8.1m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":3.797129896217708},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":12.722098376084272},4.5837168924167795,4.9503116043367239]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1913 to\n.1458 kWh/km EV"},-2.6083603857024844,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":10.113737990381788}]
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[]
[]
[]
[-0.92500000000000004]
[]
[]
[]
[-1E-3,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$4","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C4","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D4","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E4","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F4","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G4","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H4","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I28","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Taiwan"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J37","v":636.51604999999995}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J38","v":654.36030000000005}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J39","v":654.37810000000002}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J40","v":665.99699999999996}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J41","v":663.88900000000001}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FTW!$B46","v":325.83999999999997},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H46","v":5634},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B42","v":16154.788552715654},{"$f":"ETW!$F41","v":216.09798775153106},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":5634},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":91016.078706},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":19.668391461401573},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J42","v":665.31866000000002},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":19.668391461401573},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":216.09798775153104},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":19.668391461401576},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":19.668391461401573},{"$f":"AF46","v":19.668391461401573}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FTW!$B47","v":218.61},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H47","v":5698.3239999999996},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B43","v":16133.415483921241},{"$f":"ETW!$F42","v":215.72052401746726},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":5698.3239999999996},null,91933.428654000018,19.831927403963324,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J43","v":669.56790000000001},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":19.831927403963324},215.72052401746726,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":0.16353594256175086},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":0.83146577025723523},19.83192740396332,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":19.831927403963324},19.831927403963324]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FTW!$B48","v":213.327},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H48","v":5712.8419999999996},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B44","v":16277.287883333727},{"$f":"ETW!$F43","v":209.32203389830505},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":5712.8419999999996},null,92989.573866000006,19.464766732967792,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J44","v":669.69683999999995},null,null,19.464766732967792,209.32203389830502,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-0.20362472843378043},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-1.0352891787484795},19.464766732967796,19.464766732967792,19.464766732967792]
[8,2008,{"$f":"FTW!$B49","v":141.161},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H49","v":5674.4260000000004},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B45","v":16744.767400732282},{"$f":"ETW!$F44","v":204.1322314049587},{"$f":"IF(AND(F49<>\"\",Q49<>\"\"),F49-Q49,F49)","v":5674.4260000000004},null,95016.94350266768,19.396020698478445,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J45","v":660.06464000000005},null,null,19.396020698478445,204.1322314049587,-0.27237076292312778,-1.3848146324403012,19.396020698478448,19.396020698478445,19.396020698478445]
[9,2009,{"$f":"FTW!$B50","v":187.262},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H50","v":5704.3119999999999},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B46","v":17153.665093069452},{"$f":"ETW!$F45","v":202.45901639344265},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":5704.3119999999999},null,97849.8576343772,19.810585930894405,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$J46","v":657.68309999999997},null,null,19.810585930894405,202.45901639344268,0.1421944694928321,0.72295932167042243,19.810585930894401,19.810585930894405,19.810585930894405]
[10,2010,{"$f":"FTW!$B51","v":208.3},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H51","v":5803.4129999999996},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B47","v":17268.089244912164},{"$f":"ETW!$F46","v":199.19354838709677},{"$f":"IF(AND(F51<>\"\",Q51<>\"\"),F51-Q51,\"\")","v":5803.4129999999996},null,100213.85360908342,19.961953097938391,{"$f":"FTW!$L51*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N51/C51","v":0},{"$f":"N51+N50*(1-F$165)+N49*(1-F$166)+N48*(1-F$167)+N47*(1-F$168)+N46*(1-F$169)+N45*(1-F$170)+N44*(1-F$171)+N43*(1-F$172)+N42*(1-F$173)+N41*(1-F$174)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51/F51","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q51*(1-2/3*T51)*H51/1000","v":0},{"$f":"$O$154","v":0.19127625538901796},{"$f":"V51*U51","v":0},{"$f":"ETW!$J47","v":653.18755999999996},{"$f":"V51*X51","v":124.93927054348949},{"$f":"W51*X51/1000000","v":0},19.961953097938391,199.19354838709677,0.29356163653681833,1.4925553882376259,19.961953097938391,19.961953097938391,19.961953097938391,{"$f":"AE51-AF51","v":0}]
[11,2011,{"$f":"FTW!$B52","v":235.20500000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H52","v":5960.0879999999997},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B48","v":16992.5899103302},{"$f":"ETW!$F47","v":194.48818897637796},5960.0879999999997,null,101277.33121348009,19.697244732070541,{"$f":"FTW!$L52*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":0},null,{"$f":"N52/C52","v":0},{"$f":"N52+N51*(1-F$165)+N50*(1-F$166)+N49*(1-F$167)+N48*(1-F$168)+N47*(1-F$169)+N46*(1-F$170)+N45*(1-F$171)+N44*(1-F$172)+N43*(1-F$173)+N42*(1-F$174)+N41*(1-F$175)","v":0},null,{"$f":"Q52/F52","v":0},null,0,0.19127625538901796,{"$f":"V52*U52","v":0},{"$f":"ETW!$J48","v":652.28423999999995},{"$f":"V52*X52","v":124.76648687647148},{"$f":"W52*X52/1000000","v":0},19.697244732070541,194.48818897637798,2.8853270668967923E-2,0.14669868009080106,19.697244732070537,19.697244732070541,19.697244732070541,{"$f":"AE52-AF52","v":0}]
[12,2012,{"$f":"FTW!$B53","v":211.578},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H53","v":6091.3239999999996},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B49","v":16909.071414376114},{"$f":"ETW!$F48","v":191.47286821705424},6091.2169999999996,null,102996.82325346183,19.721097165585324,{"$f":"FTW!$L53*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":0.107},null,5.0572365746911303E-4,{"$f":"N53+N52*(1-F$165)+N51*(1-F$166)+N50*(1-F$167)+N49*(1-F$168)+N48*(1-F$169)+N47*(1-F$170)+N46*(1-F$171)+N45*(1-F$172)+N44*(1-F$173)+N43*(1-F$174)+N42*(1-F$175)+N41*(1-F$176)","v":0.107},null,1.7565967595878992E-5,null,1.809270641338244,0.19127625538901796,0.34607051326046628,{"$f":"ETW!$J49","v":649.26509999999996},124.18899708277628,2.2469150639910796E-4,19.721321857091723,191.47168631075417,5.2930395690150789E-2,0.26911400352196857,19.721443591824404,19.721321857091723,19.721321857091723,{"$f":"AE53-AF53","v":1.2173473268006774E-4}]
[13,2013,{"$f":"FTW!$B54","v":211.82400000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H54","v":6236.8789999999999},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B50","v":16753.484553254162},{"$f":"ETW!$F49","v":180.29197080291971},6236.7180000000271,null,104486.75867600265,18.838123644505586,{"$f":"FTW!$L54*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":5.3999999999999999E-2},null,2.5492861998640376E-4,{"$f":"N54+N53*(1-F$165)+N52*(1-F$166)+N51*(1-F$167)+N50*(1-F$168)+N49*(1-F$169)+N48*(1-F$170)+N47*(1-F$171)+N46*(1-F$172)+N45*(1-F$173)+N44*(1-F$174)+N43*(1-F$175)+N42*(1-F$176)+N41*(1-F$177)","v":0.16099999997264561},null,2.5814193280428497E-5,null,2.6973110126156388,0.19127625538901796,0.51593155011267955,{"$f":"ETW!$J50","v":644.03754000000004},123.18908898115488,3.3227928634295688E-4,18.83845592379193,180.29049673809149,-0.82993553760964289,-4.2196411396344127,18.838609948023919,18.83845592379193,18.83845592379193,1.5402423198906945E-4]
[14,2014,{"$f":"FTW!$B55","v":235.48},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H55","v":6405.7780000000002},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B51","v":16541.614523838962},{"$f":"ETW!$F50","v":176.42857142857144},6405.5870000017376,null,105958.75095294279,18.694151060983479,{"$f":"FTW!$L55*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":0.03},null,1.2739935450993716E-4,0.19099999826286931,null,2.9816830721087948E-5,null,3.1594483453182955,0.19127625538901796,0.60432744858751253,{"$f":"ETW!$J51","v":645.45910000000003},123.46099965476569,3.9006865107059211E-4,18.694541129634551,176.42699210345015,-0.97385033176702152,-4.9513471077600002,18.694708477941546,18.694541129634551,18.694541129634551,1.673483069950521E-4]
[15,2015,{"$f":"FTW!$B56","v":212.23599999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H56","v":6573.7460000000001},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B52","v":16356.104732819307},{"$f":"ETW!$F51","v":168.02721088435374},6573.5350000190683,null,107517.42692516524,18.06585336769783,{"$f":"FTW!$L56*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":0.02},null,9.4234719840177923E-5,{"$f":"N56+N55*(1-F$165)+N54*(1-F$166)+N53*(1-F$167)+N52*(1-F$168)+N51*(1-F$169)+N50*(1-F$170)+N49*(1-F$171)+N48*(1-F$172)+N47*(1-F$173)+N46*(1-F$174)+N45*(1-F$175)+N44*(1-F$176)+N43*(1-F$177)","v":0.21099998093195668},null,3.2097373541958678E-5,null,3.4511377867459601,0.19127625538901796,0.66012071268031047,{"$f":"ETW!$J52","v":650.18975999999998},124.36586258508429,4.2920372774864001E-4,18.066282571425578,168.025809469748,-1.6021088899759945,-8.1456020087868843,18.066433252754521,18.066282571425578,18.066282571425578,1.5068132894313635E-4]
[16,2016,{"$f":"FTW!$B57","v":206.09200000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H57","v":6666},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B53","v":16504.024195619946},{"$f":"ETW!$F52","v":168.02721088435374},6665.7870001017709,null,110012.30993252853,18.485061600907855,{"$f":"FTW!$L57*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":2E-3},null,9.7044038584709732E-6,0.21299989822925275,null,3.1953180052393151E-5,null,3.5153554740401738,0.19127625538901796,0.67240403143569061,{"$f":"ETW!$J53","v":659.14430000000004},126.07865346501548,4.4321128461785635E-4,18.485504812192474,168.02587049454559,-1.1828866492090988,-6.0141504277584987,18.485652276283425,18.485504812192474,18.485504812192474,1.4746409095067747E-4]
[17,2017,{"$f":"FTW!$B58","v":194.971},null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$H58","v":6763},null,{"$f":"ETW!$B54","v":16599.4258085539},{"$f":"ETW!$F53","v":167.91298436437796},6762.5960003672717,null,112255.37657542706,18.849135291727045,{"$f":"FTW!$L58*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":0.191},null,9.7963286847787623E-4,0.40399963272793576,null,5.9736748887762199E-5,{"$f":"FTW!$W58","v":3.7128712871287127E-2},6.5401678229684537,0.19127625538901796,1.2509788107931517,{"$f":"ETW!$J54","v":684.67394999999999},130.96186931840771,8.5651260375204979E-4,18.849991804330795,167.91083166201318,-0.81839965707077766,-4.160989263798486,18.850233470824445,18.849991804330795,18.849991804330795,2.4166649365042758E-4]
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[94,2094,null,{"$f":"IF(FTW!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64))>=0,FTW!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64)),0)","v":146.44526450869444},1,null,9738.2568673942224,5893.4929213119067,30.626280430364009,null,0,4.3542745825950439E-7,1.3335523443736201E-11,null,{"$f":"FTW!$U135-FTW!$U134*(1-FTW!$F134)","v":146.44526450869489},1.0000000000000031,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O135>D135,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R134*(1-FTW!$F134)+D135,R134*(1-FTW!$F134)+O135)","v":9738.2568673717342},0.99999999999769074,1.1380283454695936E-11,57392.347913336955,9.370437697174798E-2,5377.9142041650393,550.48887382780595,51.583216951913741,2.9604819337933739,2.9604819338067094,51.583216951754743,-16.707909527594865,-84.948022111434312,1.7577141417682687,2.9604819338067094,2.9604819338067094,-1.2027677920384408]
[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FTW!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FTW!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":146.26320979866705},1,null,9747.2106553626309,5777.0495097046605,29.965191373058087,null,0,3.0683248539344772E-7,9.1942941442857119E-12,null,{"$f":"FTW!$U136-FTW!$U135*(1-FTW!$F135)","v":146.26320979866796},1.0000000000000062,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FTW!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FTW!$F135)+O136)","v":9747.210655340461},0.99999999999772549,8.1734640246636829E-12,56310.118537115821,9.2767333202030483E-2,5223.7395289784563,548.55452595149416,50.887940488424135,2.8655059610128584,2.8655059610220528,50.887940488310122,-16.802885500379521,-85.430908436790602,1.6873434782172936,2.8655059610220528,2.8655059610220528,-1.1781624828047592]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FTW!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FTW!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":146.08701836360711},0,null,9755.8620034856249,5662.448850164571,29.318372322947667,null,0,2.1619115063550295E-7,6.3383726472581395E-12,null,{"$f":"FTW!$U137-FTW!$U136*(1-FTW!$F136)","v":146.08701836360706},0.99999999999999956,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FTW!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FTW!$F136)+O137)","v":9755.8620034637679},0.99999999999775957,5.8702856065316079E-12,55242.069583661447,9.1839659870010179E-2,5073.4128810789025,546.6123097042821,50.200688604001932,2.7731899330099949,2.7731899330163334,50.200688603920213,-16.89520152838524,-85.900270805273493,1.619607563953936,2.7731899330163334,2.7731899330163334,-1.1535823690623974]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FTW!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FTW!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":145.91651672689309},0,null,9764.2208659633707,5549.6831380282101,28.685515255386516,null,0,1.5230944323218881E-7,4.3690748573763791E-12,null,{"$f":"FTW!$U138-FTW!$U137*(1-FTW!$F137)","v":145.91651672689295},0.999999999999999,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FTW!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FTW!$F137)+O138)","v":9764.2208659418211},0.99999999999779299,4.2161136328761997E-12,54188.331895548225,9.0921263271310074E-2,4926.871590508269,544.66246238341171,49.521399136362199,2.6834820123331098,2.6834820123374787,49.521399136303629,-16.984909449064094,-86.356372774033389,1.5544202212614961,2.6834820123374787,2.6834820123374787,-1.1290617910759826]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FTW!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FTW!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":145.75153546217439},0,null,9772.2968872154615,5438.7434243898879,28.066318794492272,null,0,1.0729249591223792E-7,3.0113053945296282E-12,null,{"$f":"FTW!$U139-FTW!$U138*(1-FTW!$F138)","v":145.75153546217371},0.99999999999999534,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FTW!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FTW!$F138)+O139)","v":9772.2968871942157},0.99999999999782596,3.0280663253471096E-12,53149.015436306021,9.0012050638596977E-2,4784.0518688443499,542.7052191661129,48.850009669411023,2.5963299179832249,2.5963299179862362,48.850009669369065,-17.072061543415337,-86.799480155347581,1.4916972108550097,2.5963299179862362,2.5963299179862362,-1.1046327071312265]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FTW!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FTW!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":145.59190918050427},0,null,9780.0994102862278,5329.6196863069817,27.460488069635591,null,0,7.5573004629943736E-8,2.0752715920270852E-12,null,{"$f":"FTW!$U140-FTW!$U139*(1-FTW!$F139)","v":145.59190918050444},1.0000000000000011,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FTW!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FTW!$F139)+O140)","v":9780.0994102652821},0.99999999999785838,2.1747956694516023E-12,52124.210350913585,8.9111930132211012E-2,4644.8889909872814,540.74081309991163,48.186457556594299,2.5116810497452904,2.5116810497473656,48.186457556564243,-17.156710411654206,-87.229860384483189,1.4313562564855791,2.5116810497473656,2.5116810497473656,-1.0803247932617865]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FTW!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FTW!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":145.43747650988024},0,null,9787.6374851110722,5222.3008943998348,26.867734575026702,null,0,5.3202412353424426E-8,1.4294282938629293E-12,null,{"$f":"FTW!$U141-FTW!$U140*(1-FTW!$F140)","v":141.18528336432064},0.97076274116134897,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FTW!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FTW!$F140)+O141)","v":9783.3852919448618},0.99956555469359398,1.5619658540078327E-12,51091.781760328646,8.8220810830888882E-2,4507.3584136910122,538.7694750936646,47.530679943695482,2.4284271266033195,2.428427126604749,47.530679943673967,-17.239964334796824,-87.653148294457935,1.3733170624551208,2.428427126604749,2.428427126604749,-1.0551100641496283]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/taiwan (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 10 million vehicles » 418 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .956). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .013).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FTW!$I$32","v":10000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FTW!$I$33","v":0.72988325039375224},"c:",null,{"$f":"FTW!$I$34","v":3.5264615984353133E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ETW!$C$32","v":1940418.8551027267},"b:",{"$f":"ETW!$C$33","v":1.3644411902567251},"c:",null,{"$f":"ETW!$C$34","v":2.3445558075842893E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .969). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FTW!$N$32","v":9788},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FTW!$S$32","v":9788}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$G$32","v":391560083.00128943},null,{"$f":"ETW!$G$33","v":2.787789920791331E-5},null,null,{"$f":"ETW!$G$34","v":2.1822134888353027E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FTW!$N$33","v":79.314865238786311},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FTW!$S$33","v":140.94670885074606}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FTW!$N$34","v":0.12032853610609634},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FTW!$S$34","v":0.14428504763440253}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .152)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FTW!$X$32","v":1.519739146026257},null,"b:",{"$f":"FTW!$X$33","v":735.83532609204678},"c:",{"$f":"FTW!$X$34","v":0.3309895243007977},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!O43","v":0.19127625538901796},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ETW!$K$32","v":246967.01590361138},"b:",{"$f":"ETW!$K$33","v":1.0183097983597584},"c:",{"$f":"ETW!$K$34","v":7.2394684935773168E-3}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":39.694118445212737},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FTW!$F$47:$F$64)","v":1.8255105541562958E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":55},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":1.8166459719000872E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":37}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.5564837252078093E-10},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.5564837252078093E-10}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.6361495709572112E-8},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.610584733705133E-8}]
[null,3,1.8636764622501968E-7,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.7000615051544756E-7}]
[null,4,1.0471351857325378E-6,null,null,8.6076753950751807E-7]
[null,5,3.994497843120052E-6,null,null,2.9473626573875145E-6]
[null,6,1.1927459337145447E-5,null,null,7.9329614940253953E-6]
[null,7,3.0076323080867819E-5,null,null,1.8148863743722372E-5]
[null,8,6.7014441406651308E-5,null,null,3.6938118325783488E-5]
[null,9,1.3585279793097943E-4,null,null,6.883835652432812E-5]
[null,10,2.5561569729278308E-4,null,null,1.1976289936180365E-4]
[null,11,4.5279414430577318E-4,null,null,1.971784470129901E-4]
[null,12,7.6307066346101369E-4,null,null,3.1027651915524051E-4]
[null,13,1.2332048426553898E-3,null,null,4.7013417919437612E-4]
[null,14,1.9230621664079869E-3,null,null,6.898573237525971E-4]
[null,15,2.9077589994091378E-3,null,null,9.8469683300115088E-4]
[null,16,4.2798830506358947E-3,null,null,1.372124051226757E-3]
[null,17,6.1517303775281383E-3,null,null,1.8718473268922436E-3]
[null,18,8.6574760543941028E-3,null,null,2.5057456768659645E-3]
[null,19,1.1955165201323528E-2,null,null,3.2976891469294247E-3]
[null,20,1.6228373585552489E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":4.2732083842289617E-3}]
[null,21,2.1687342413583662E-2,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":5.4589688280311729E-3}]
[null,22,2.8569341031954593E-2,null,null,6.8819986183709311E-3]
[null,23,3.7137956159851479E-2,null,null,8.5686151278968857E-3]
[null,24,4.7680950973900245E-2,null,null,1.0542994814048766E-2]
[null,25,6.0506288359499873E-2,null,null,1.2825337385599628E-2]
[null,26,7.5935879613539758E-2,null,null,1.5429591254039886E-2]
[null,27,9.429661621287326E-2,null,null,1.8360736599333502E-2]
[null,28,0.11590828521283553,null,null,2.1611668999962266E-2]
[null,29,0.14106807904156887,null,null,2.5159793828733346E-2]
[null,30,0.17003161028003319,null,null,2.8963531238464318E-2]
[null,31,0.2029906523234562,null,null,3.2959042043423009E-2]
[null,32,0.24004826161885859,null,null,3.7057609295402388E-2]
[null,33,0.28119249598140994,null,null,4.1144234362551352E-2]
[null,34,0.32627060168317223,null,null,4.5078105701762294E-2]
[null,35,0.37496624040481602,null,null,4.8695638721643786E-2]
[null,36,0.42678296342509692,null,null,5.1816723020280897E-2]
[null,37,0.48103756648755258,null,null,5.4254603062455664E-2]
[null,38,0.53686698948907385,null,null,5.5829423001521272E-2]
[null,39,0.59325186415103048,null,null,5.638487466195663E-2]
[null,40,0.64905849926498782,null,null,5.5806635113957337E-2]
[null,41,0.70309896721923604,null,null,5.4040467954248217E-2]
[null,42,0.75420613273124093,null,null,5.1107165512004893E-2]
[null,43,0.80131729536136775,null,null,4.7111162630126824E-2]
[null,44,0.84355719953133934,null,null,4.2239904169971587E-2]
[null,45,0.88030927659142422,null,null,3.6752077060084876E-2]
[null,46,0.91126390886825182,null,null,3.0954632276827598E-2]
[null,47,0.93643478271425129,null,null,2.5170873845999475E-2]
[null,48,0.95613903557365809,null,null,1.9704252859406801E-2]
[null,49,0.97094319427807751,null,null,1.4804158704419423E-2]
[null,50,0.9815834547705069,null,null,1.0640260492429388E-2]
[null,51,0.98887390845466061,null,null,7.2904536841537082E-3]
[null,52,0.99361832186081134,null,null,4.744413406150727E-3]
[null,53,0.99653929464656943,null,null,2.9209727857580914E-3]
[null,54,0.99823354174060297,null,null,1.6942470940335408E-3]
[null,55,0.99915528454504798,null,null,9.2174280444501377E-4]
[null,56,0.99962344491219679,null,null,4.681603671488066E-4]
[null,57,0.99984433914497894,null,null,2.2089423278215392E-4]
[null,58,0.99994065835928625,null,null,9.6319214307305501E-5]
[null,59,0.99997925872286608,null,null,3.8600363579832653E-5]
[null,60,0.99999339398836584,null,null,1.413526549975952E-5]
[null,61,0.99999809513583948,null,null,4.7011474736402548E-6]
[null,62,0.99999950607778298,null,null,1.4109419435026638E-6]
[null,63,0.99999988565339271,null,null,3.7957560972134985E-7]
[null,64,0.99999997654125261,null,null,9.0887859904853485E-8]

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[null,"Thailand",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C57","v":71801.278999999995},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":279.28891965261278}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":7.0384960128979381},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":104.53655531338991},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":19876.982887587124},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.99120749504744576},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":52.386475392054734},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-8064.8632964578392}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":11774.735862381614},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":6699.9999999582551},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":6699.9999999582551}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":128.35799997844779},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":19876.982887587124},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":19876.982887587124}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":11591.40696535427},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":176.31875399870842},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":69},{"$f":"$K91","v":176.31875399870842}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":162.74624216483477},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":98.683665183522436},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":98.683665183522436}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.18819530048994551},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14346931620287381},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14346931620287381}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":549.58270000000005},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":362.19108900531268},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":362.19108900531268}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":103.42888137057558},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":51.963307874366414},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":51.963307874366414}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":162.21891779794106},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":52.386475392054734},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":52.386475392054734}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":22.385746196748162},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":7.0384960128979381},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":7.0384960128979381}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":0.10348840377652024},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":104.53655531338991},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":104.53655531338991}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-8064.8632964578392},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-5074.7358624233593}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2028},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":22.385746196748162},{"$f":"AA64","v":22.385746196748162}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 11.7m to\n20.1m total Stock"},15.917762643510354,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":38.303508840258516},{"$f":"AD22/AD21","v":1.7110668772713338},{"$f":"G91/F64","v":1.7110668772713338}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 11,775 to\n6,700 yearly km"},-16.478799077973516,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":21.824709762285}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 163 to 99\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-8.5625441961997097,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":13.26216556608529}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 0.1m to\n19.9m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":0.50963547094674766},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":13.771801037032038},0.75964260571626951,0.75964260571626951]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1882 to\n.1435 kWh/km EV"},-2.6571141224411257,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":11.114686914590912}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 550 to 362\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-2.9062061711297211,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":8.2084807434611911}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 28.25%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-1.1699847305632529,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":7.0384960128979381}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":7.0384960128979381}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$29","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C29","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D29","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E29","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F29","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G29","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H29","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I29","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"Thailand"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J37","v":608.45899999999995}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J38","v":605.50549999999998}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J39","v":593.13904000000002}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J40","v":591.42660000000001}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J41","v":599.29110000000003}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FTH!$B46","v":233.99299999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FTH!$H46","v":3943},null,{"$f":"ETH!$B42","v":17000},{"$f":"ETH!$F42","v":225},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":3943},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":67031},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":15.081975},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J42","v":600.78204000000005},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":15.081975},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":225},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":15.081975},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":15.081975},{"$f":"AF46","v":15.081975}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FTH!$B47","v":222.387},null,null,{"$f":"FTH!$H47","v":3708},null,{"$f":"ETH!$B43","v":16700},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))","v":223.00088675575},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":3708},null,61923.6,13.809017711108361,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J43","v":598.55250000000001},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":13.809017711108361},223.00088675575,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-1.2729572888916394},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-8.4402559273015605},{"$f":"F47*H47*I47/1000000000","v":13.809017711108361},{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":13.809017711108361},13.809017711108361]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FTH!$B48","v":207.87899999999999},null,null,{"$f":"FTH!$H48","v":3942},null,{"$f":"ETH!$B44","v":16400},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))","v":218.90708842398533},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":3942},null,64648.800000000003,14.152080578104542,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$J44","v":606.88980000000004},null,null,14.152080578104542,218.9070884239853,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-0.92989442189545812},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-6.1656011357627776},14.152080578104542,14.152080578104542,14.152080578104542]
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[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FTH!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FTH!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":171.81525869754861},0,null,22726.113229016555,2603.928604697172,42.867923503562487,null,0,8.6546665651287082E-5,3.7100758426277739E-9,null,{"$f":"FTH!$U136-FTH!$U135*(1-FTH!$F135)","v":171.81525869754842},0.99999999999999889,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FTH!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FTH!$F135)+O136)","v":22726.113180391389},0.99999999786038352,2.1937511528645105E-9,59177.176097459887,9.1273096663776435E-2,5401.284114232777,126.18601422215197,11.517388273715145,0.68156651405646074,0.68156651776653654,11.517388319565327,-14.400408482233463,-95.480919987159922,2.5368026672406176,0.68156651776653654,0.68156651776653654,1.8552361494740812]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FTH!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FTH!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":171.1697360257383},1,null,22738.200172439178,2549.6981773386588,42.080943229289396,null,0,6.4775031124306788E-5,2.7257944074174077E-9,null,{"$f":"FTH!$U137-FTH!$U136*(1-FTH!$F136)","v":171.16973602573853},1.0000000000000013,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FTH!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FTH!$F136)+O137)","v":22738.200124154388},0.99999999787649019,1.6759228851279602E-9,57975.547347743071,9.0360365697138678E-2,5238.6916598338421,122.96779794748437,11.111415191506547,0.64419037753561947,0.64419038026141384,11.111415226108241,-14.437784619738586,-95.728739901362957,2.4396657245338043,0.64419038026141384,0.64419038026141384,1.7954753442723903]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FTH!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FTH!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":170.56086895516808},1,null,22749.593640187271,2496.593802526972,41.308410449912493,null,0,4.8478700793033303E-5,2.002578070437118E-9,null,{"$f":"FTH!$U138-FTH!$U137*(1-FTH!$F137)","v":170.56086895517001},1.0000000000000113,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FTH!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FTH!$F137)+O138)","v":22749.593592240475},0.9999999978924109,1.280326400301451E-9,56796.49432391618,8.9456762040167295E-2,5080.8304774502822,119.82397845743156,10.719065127572588,0.60880532167586443,0.60880532367844253,10.719065153682154,-14.473169676321557,-95.963358090180876,2.3461729065958017,0.60880532367844253,0.60880532367844253,1.7373675829173592]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FTH!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FTH!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":169.98661414772678},1,null,22760.333098853687,2444.5922380552583,40.550059939546259,null,0,3.6281159009328742E-5,1.4712031725044894E-9,null,{"$f":"FTH!$U139-FTH!$U138*(1-FTH!$F138)","v":169.98661414772869},1.0000000000000111,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FTH!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FTH!$F138)+O139)","v":22760.33305124252},0.99999999790815153,9.7810925894620525E-10,55639.733476338857,8.8562194419765622E-2,4927.5768935954638,116.75325917936911,10.339924838584572,0.57531066218422167,0.57531066365542483,10.339924858283778,-14.506664336344574,-96.185442134366184,2.2561945336767395,0.57531066365542483,0.57531066365542483,1.6808838700213147]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FTH!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FTH!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":169.44503785647987},0,null,22770.455805018191,2393.6707156730731,39.805631341180778,null,0,2.715181776584986E-5,1.0807952482303422E-9,null,{"$f":"FTH!$U140-FTH!$U139*(1-FTH!$F139)","v":169.44503785647976},0.99999999999999933,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FTH!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FTH!$F139)+O140)","v":22770.455757740303},0.99999999792371796,7.472295519119013E-10,54504.973102680451,8.7676572475567968E-2,4778.8092245160451,113.75434125749391,9.9735907456731567,0.543610295330058,0.54361029641085323,9.9735907605340781,-14.538364703589147,-96.395629243445555,2.1696048711717797,0.54361029641085323,0.54361029641085323,1.6259945747609263]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FTH!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FTH!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":168.9343105422478},0,null,22779.996924925312,2343.8069316614233,39.074869077305785,null,0,2.0315980100659527E-5,7.9384426261042069E-10,null,{"$f":"FTH!$U141-FTH!$U140*(1-FTH!$F140)","v":165.41156881260031},0.97914726902817939,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FTH!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FTH!$F140)+O141)","v":22776.474136248722},0.99984535605126723,5.7084829545019284E-10,53383.657939030898,8.6799806750812267E-2,4633.6911927593474,110.82592541878762,9.6196689093306986,0.51353311454244044,0.51353311533628465,9.619668920540331,-14.568441884663715,-96.595053928041352,2.0862820765276369,0.51353311533628465,0.51353311533628465,1.5727489611913521]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/thailand (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2016 until 2020 and from 2021 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 23 million vehicles » 319 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .964). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2019 on were forcasted with a logarithmic function    (R² = .959).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Logarithmic Function"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FTH!$I$32","v":22935.918140162343},"b:",null,{"$f":"FTH!$I$33","v":2.6445359865649731},"c:",null,{"$f":"FTH!$I$34","v":5.9601954793956885E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ETH!$C$32","v":39982517.149482831},"b:",{"$f":"ETH!$C$33","v":2.2992720967293188E-2},"c:",null,{"$f":"ETH!$C$34","v":2.111095986427591E-2}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .921). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FTH!$N$32","v":22780},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FTH!$S$32","v":22780}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$G$32","v":359009637.56897163},null,{"$f":"ETH!$G$33","v":3.7466729697224983E-5},null,null,{"$f":"ETH!$G$34","v":1.8528977368778222E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FTH!$N$33","v":120.05573313977757},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FTH!$S$33","v":127.71250367546718}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FTH!$N$34","v":0.13561404794410731},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FTH!$S$34","v":0.13819011025243741}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .854)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FTH!$X$32","v":6.6596414581966208},null,"b:",{"$f":"FTH!$X$33","v":157.12631602672886},"c:",{"$f":"FTH!$X$34","v":0.26924894430179963},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!O44","v":0.18819530048994551},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"ETH!$K$32","v":58553.427793403956},"b:",{"$f":"ETH!$K$33","v":1.2060879537845042},"c:",{"$f":"ETH!$K$34","v":2.8144024338665769E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":111.59412615053307},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FTH!$F$47:$F$64)","v":6.4933553995413229E-3},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":154},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.4619561152245331E-4},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":104}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":5.1778800508402846E-13},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":5.1778800508402846E-13}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":3.3138432324837466E-11},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":3.2620644319753435E-11}]
[null,3,3.774674556351137E-10,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":3.4432902331027622E-10}]
[null,4,2.1208596665757093E-9,null,null,1.7433922109405956E-9]
[null,5,8.0904375467124712E-9,null,null,5.9695778801367624E-9]
[null,6,2.4157916873404223E-8,null,null,1.6067479326691752E-8]
[null,7,6.0917239154691611E-8,null,null,3.6759322281287388E-8]
[null,8,1.3573500959278568E-7,null,null,7.4817770438094071E-8]
[null,9,2.751737373496327E-7,null,null,1.3943872775684702E-7]
[null,10,5.1778787103197633E-7,null,null,2.4261413368234363E-7]
[null,11,9.1729261536177655E-7,null,null,3.9950474432980022E-7]
[null,12,1.5461055033508841E-6,null,null,6.2881288798910755E-7]
[null,13,2.4992606798751071E-6,null,null,9.5315517652422304E-7]
[null,14,3.8986958247150709E-6,null,null,1.3994351448399637E-6]
[null,15,5.8979116026627807E-6,null,null,1.9992157779477098E-6]
[null,16,8.6870034712729365E-6,null,null,2.7890918686101558E-6]
[null,17,1.2498065598618732E-5,null,null,3.8110621273457955E-6]
[null,18,1.7610966538543797E-5,null,null,5.1129009399250649E-6]
[null,19,2.4359496173071788E-5,null,null,6.7485296345279908E-6]
[null,20,3.3137883253603054E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":8.7783870805312661E-6}]
[null,21,4.4407682646065703E-5,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":1.1269799392462649E-5}]
[null,22,5.8705031101014682E-5,null,null,1.4297348454948979E-5]
[null,23,7.6648270017411915E-5,null,null,1.7943238916397233E-5]
[null,24,9.8945933236907358E-5,null,null,2.2297663219495443E-5]
[null,25,1.26405097381121E-4,null,null,2.7459164144213639E-5]
[null,26,1.5994009161364968E-4,null,null,3.3534994232528684E-5]
[null,27,2.0058156295594024E-4,null,null,4.0641471342290562E-5]
[null,28,2.4948589239507263E-4,null,null,4.8904329439132391E-5]
[null,29,3.0794495597377344E-4,null,null,5.8459063578700807E-5]
[null,30,3.7739622382915015E-4,null,null,6.945126785537671E-5]
[null,31,4.594331887257041E-4,null,null,8.2036964896553945E-5]
[null,32,5.5581611398785767E-4,null,null,9.638292526215357E-5]
[null,33,6.6848308885368232E-4,null,null,1.1266697486582466E-4]
[null,34,7.9956137711961143E-4,null,null,1.3107828826592911E-4]
[null,35,9.5137904249926108E-4,null,null,1.5181766537964965E-4]
[null,36,1.1264768313502323E-3,null,null,1.7509778885097123E-4]
[null,37,1.3276202903023664E-3,null,null,2.0114345895213409E-4]
[null,38,1.557812092819293E-3,null,null,2.3019180251692664E-4]
[null,39,1.8203045448121555E-3,null,null,2.6249245199286243E-4]
[null,40,2.1186122350686141E-3,null,null,2.9830769025645859E-4]
[null,41,2.4565247914308643E-3,null,null,3.3791255636225022E-4]
[null,42,2.8381196983220964E-3,null,null,3.8159490689123211E-4]
[null,43,3.2677751253511597E-3,null,null,4.2965542702906329E-4]
[null,44,3.7501827102911097E-3,null,null,4.8240758493995001E-4]
[null,45,4.2903602327007649E-3,null,null,5.4017752240965522E-4]
[null,46,4.8936641068149309E-3,null,null,6.0330387411416594E-4]
[null,47,5.5658016140461382E-3,null,null,6.7213750723120729E-4]
[null,48,6.3128427865014516E-3,null,null,7.4704117245531342E-4]
[null,49,7.1412318433099831E-3,null,null,8.2838905680853153E-4]
[null,50,8.0577980712742293E-3,null,null,9.1656622796424617E-4]
[null,51,9.0697660304040473E-3,null,null,1.011967959129818E-3]
[null,52,1.0184764953277544E-2,null,null,1.1149989228734971E-3]
[null,53,1.1410837194921914E-2,null,null,1.2260722416443694E-3]
[null,54,1.2756445577054859E-2,null,null,1.345608382132945E-3]
[null,55,1.4230479457126575E-2,null,null,1.4740338800717165E-3]
[null,56,1.5842259338719879E-2,null,null,1.6117798815933043E-3]
[null,57,1.7601539825594491E-2,null,null,1.759280486874612E-3]
[null,58,1.9518510707107174E-2,null,null,1.9169708815126828E-3]
[null,59,2.1603795948043913E-2,null,null,2.0852852409367385E-3]
[null,60,2.3868450341224191E-2,null,null,2.2646543931802779E-3]
[null,61,2.6323953566777508E-2,null,null,2.4555032255533168E-3]
[null,62,2.898220138797817E-2,null,null,2.658247821200662E-3]
[null,63,3.1855493700221532E-2,null,null,2.8732923122433626E-3]
[null,64,3.4956519137437012E-2,null,null,3.1010254372154794E-3]

{"sheet":"UK","index":30,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[2,0,2,2],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[4,28,4,29],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[18,26,18,29],[15,28,15,29],[144,27,145,29],[16,28,16,29],[17,26,17,29],[7,28,7,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[11,28,11,29],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[37,10,37,15],[10,33,17,33],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[11,30,11,31],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[15,30,15,31],[16,30,16,31],[17,30,17,31]]}
[null,"United Kingdom",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C58","v":67736.801999999996},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":641.25232591349061}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":6.2014784259023195},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":519.74482599566136},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":37747.286860771928},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.86902465786363903},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":12.777118657291997},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-11275.121330183501}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":12669.846786945487},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11173.999999999294},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11173.999999999294}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":1646.5330352450057},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":37747.286860771928},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":37747.286860771928}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":34911.159101978243},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":5689.0949716696487},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":74},{"$f":"$K91","v":5689.0949716696487}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":125.61050032839726},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999990649},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":79.999999999990649}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.20618388993275452},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15718278630598048},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.15718278630598048}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":237.58902},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":16.523908941567925},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":16.523908941567925}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":48.987028348911011},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.5972740481019514},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":2.5972740481019514}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":122.9932295704493},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":12.777118657291997},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":12.777118657291997}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":56.968048136356764},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":6.2014784259023195},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":6.2014784259023195}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":3.3567600117579062},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":519.74482599566136},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":519.74482599566136}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-11275.121330183501},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-1495.8467869461947}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":100},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2059},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2033},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2059}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":56.968048136356764},{"$f":"AA64","v":56.968048136356764}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 36.6m to\n43.4m total Stock"},10.719099121502246,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":67.68714725785901}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 12,670 to\n11,174 yearly km"},-7.7902133598559899,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":59.89693389800302}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 126 to 80\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-21.501014089733459,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":38.395919808269561}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 1.6m to\n37.7m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-9.4877551501311181},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":28.908164658138443}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .2062 to\n.1572 kWh/km EV"},-3.7241038647343565,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":25.184060793404086}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 238 to 17\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-11.115135131701832,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":14.068925661702254}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 36.24%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-7.8674472357999337,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":6.2014784259023203}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":6.2014784259023203}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.26]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.70599999999999996,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$30","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C30","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D30","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E30","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F30","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G30","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H30","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I30","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"United Kingdom"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J37","v":521.98590000000002}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J38","v":528.99132999999995}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J39","v":520.89139999999998}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J40","v":536.77710000000002}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J41","v":536.02246000000002}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FUK!$B46","v":2439.7170000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FUK!$H46","v":30477.058000000001},null,{"$f":"EUK!$B42","v":13961.535298453018},{"$f":"EUK!$F42","v":176},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":30477.058000000001},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":425506.52105999994},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":74.889147706559982},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J42","v":535.25792999999999},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":74.889147706559982},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":175.99999999999997},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":74.889147706559996},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":74.889147706559982},{"$f":"AF46","v":74.889147706559982}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FUK!$B47","v":2344.864},null,null,{"$f":"FUK!$H47","v":30817.036},null,{"$f":"EUK!$B43","v":13880.045069876285},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))","v":166.86146149592},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":30817.036},null,427741.84860000003,71.373630000362539,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J43","v":559.34249999999997},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":71.373630000362539},166.86146149592,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-3.5155177061974427},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-4.6942952535291012},71.373630000362553,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":71.373630000362539},71.373630000362539]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FUK!$B48","v":2404.0070000000001},null,null,{"$f":"FUK!$H48","v":31105.988000000001},null,{"$f":"EUK!$B44","v":13768.208849048613},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))","v":164.09763716384211},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":31105.988000000001},null,428273.73924000002,70.278708668607464,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J44","v":556.05960000000005},null,null,70.278708668607464,164.09763716384214,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-4.6104390379525171},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-6.156351326119661},70.27870866860745,70.278708668607464,70.278708668607464]
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[9,2009,{"$f":"FUK!$B50","v":1994.999},null,null,{"$f":"FUK!$H50","v":31035.791000000001},null,{"$f":"EUK!$B46","v":13652.357423724112},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B50-2000))-$R$150*($B50-2000)))","v":158.70641947640681},{"$f":"IF(AND(F50<>\"\",Q50<>\"\"),F50-Q50,F50)","v":31035.791000000001},null,423711.71165999997,67.245768647778291,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$J46","v":504.64483999999999},null,null,67.245768647778291,158.70641947640681,-7.6433790587816901,-10.20625723867353,67.245768647778277,67.245768647778291,67.245768647778291]
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[94,2094,null,{"$f":"IF(FUK!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64))>=0,FUK!$C135*(1+D$38/27*($B135-$B$64)),0)","v":1811.0363039122503},0,null,48566.285107325013,9105.2246542287285,38.343401680797378,null,0,1.0917686849454579E-2,4.1862125229379614E-7,null,{"$f":"FUK!$U135-FUK!$U134*(1-FUK!$F134)","v":1811.0363039122531},1.0000000000000016,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O135>D135,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R134*(1-FUK!$F134)+D135,R134*(1-FUK!$F134)+O135)","v":48566.285107174175},0.99999999999689415,3.7033634983158621E-8,442206.92560445698,0.10100748212822599,44666.208134969951,0.19766907133640768,1.9966055190315229E-2,8.8291278821582084E-3,8.8295465034105014E-3,1.9967001361066068E-2,-74.880318160056575,-99.988209845119343,16.955718193156091,8.8295465034105014E-3,8.8295465034105014E-3,16.946888646652681]
[95,2095,null,{"$f":"IF(FUK!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64))>=0,FUK!$C136*(1+D$38/27*($B136-$B$64)),0)","v":1811.7272079192264},0,null,48629.626051380539,9062.9542762724486,37.707752409923607,null,0,8.6417947565265094E-3,3.2586265705647765E-7,null,{"$f":"FUK!$U136-FUK!$U135*(1-FUK!$F135)","v":1811.7272079192262},0.99999999999999989,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O136>D136,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R135*(1-FUK!$F135)+D136,R135*(1-FUK!$F135)+O136)","v":48629.626051235129},0.99999999999700984,2.9411995287454465E-8,440728.06873277674,9.9997407306943717E-2,44071.66420067416,0.17871157228914863,1.7870693884662312E-2,7.8761164027018639E-3,7.8764422653589197E-3,1.7871432907744591E-2,-74.881271264294625,-99.989482531839968,16.618865221791687,7.8764422653589197E-3,7.8764422653589197E-3,16.610988779526327]
[96,2096,null,{"$f":"IF(FUK!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64))>=0,FUK!$C137*(1+D$38/27*($B137-$B$64)),0)","v":1812.3984102665211},0,null,48691.357923797361,9020.8801244171118,37.082638157424434,null,0,6.8400956122277225E-3,2.5364879055042716E-7,null,{"$f":"FUK!$U137-FUK!$U136*(1-FUK!$F136)","v":1812.3984102665199},0.99999999999999933,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O137>D137,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R136*(1-FUK!$F136)+D137,R136*(1-FUK!$F136)+O137)","v":48691.357923657182},0.99999999999712108,2.335891322474127E-8,439238.89608430309,9.8997433233874277E-2,43483.523288826436,0.1615720061812263,1.5995213894389074E-2,7.0257200936037628E-3,7.0259737423943132E-3,1.5995791118719772E-2,-74.882121732817581,-99.990618168376102,16.288137301856445,7.0259737423943132E-3,7.0259737423943132E-3,16.281111328114051]
[97,2097,null,{"$f":"IF(FUK!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64))>=0,FUK!$C138*(1+D$38/27*($B138-$B$64)),0)","v":1813.0504995089229},0,null,48751.519538049579,8979.0012878525285,36.467884406869928,null,0,5.4138436606554806E-3,1.9743142481364962E-7,null,{"$f":"FUK!$U138-FUK!$U137*(1-FUK!$F137)","v":1813.0504995089213},0.99999999999999911,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O138>D138,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R137*(1-FUK!$F137)+D138,R137*(1-FUK!$F137)+O138)","v":48751.519537914442},0.99999999999722811,1.8551574665269602E-8,437739.95130185789,9.8007458901535532E-2,42901.780286777001,0.14607607678177909,1.4316545091687763E-2,6.2669237512462533E-3,6.2671211826710671E-3,1.4316995939078432E-2,-74.882880585377308,-99.991631469479088,15.963450141820697,6.2671211826710671E-3,6.2671211826710671E-3,15.957183020638027]
[98,2098,null,{"$f":"IF(FUK!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64))>=0,FUK!$C139*(1+D$38/27*($B139-$B$64)),0)","v":1813.6840454975943},1,null,48810.148880177388,8937.3168599952005,35.863319529893303,null,0,4.2848433824294353E-3,1.5366870735961567E-7,null,{"$f":"FUK!$U139-FUK!$U138*(1-FUK!$F138)","v":1813.6840454975973},1.0000000000000016,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O139>D139,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R138*(1-FUK!$F138)+D139,R138*(1-FUK!$F138)+O139)","v":48810.14888004712},0.99999999999733113,1.4733601646781655E-8,436231.76223967754,9.7027384312520185E-2,42326.426844157126,0.13206619233984407,1.281403719884926E-2,5.5898900286587942E-3,5.5900436973661538E-3,1.2814389336893771E-2,-74.883557662862614,-99.992535575756222,15.644719232000464,5.5900436973661538E-3,5.5900436973661538E-3,15.639129188303098]
[99,2099,null,{"$f":"IF(FUK!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64))>=0,FUK!$C140*(1+D$38/27*($B140-$B$64)),0)","v":1814.2996000132796},0,null,48867.283120504282,8895.8259384687099,35.268774738490734,null,0,3.3911756113172904E-3,1.1960260873421313E-7,null,{"$f":"FUK!$U140-FUK!$U139*(1-FUK!$F139)","v":1814.2996000132844},1.0000000000000027,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O140>D140,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R139*(1-FUK!$F139)+D140,R139*(1-FUK!$F139)+O140)","v":48867.283120378706},0.99999999999743028,1.1701379602522279E-8,434714.84133358346,9.6057110469394982E-2,41757.45153666554,0.11939986579456734,1.1469206098659691E-2,4.9858341094010149E-3,4.9859537120097493E-3,1.1469481138070222E-2,-74.884161752847973,-99.993342221316837,15.331859934114902,4.9859537120097493E-3,4.9859537120097493E-3,15.326873980402892]
[100,2100,null,{"$f":"IF(FUK!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64))>=0,FUK!$C141*(1+D$38/27*($B141-$B$64)),0)","v":1814.8976973771887},0,null,48922.958625543317,8854.5276250842089,34.684084038106043,null,0,2.6820731149904847E-3,9.3025249316674826E-8,null,{"$f":"FUK!$U141-FUK!$U140*(1-FUK!$F140)","v":1783.2026431936247},0.98253617587957254,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(O141>D141,$AA$1=\"YES\"),R140*(1-FUK!$F140)+D141,R140*(1-FUK!$F140)+O141)","v":48891.263571238698},0.99935214354987778,9.2931984882691955E-9,432909.04123473319,9.5096539364701013E-2,41168.151681113777,0.10794826798534503,1.0265506715819658E-2,4.4440306701342023E-3,4.4441236953835193E-3,1.026572153627163E-2,-74.884703582864603,-99.994065730708016,15.02478756560274,4.4441236953835193E-3,4.4441236953835193E-3,15.020343441907356]
[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/uk (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 51 million vehicles » 753 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .902). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2020 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .836).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FUK!$I$32","v":51000},"b:",null,{"$f":"FUK!$I$33","v":0.61976997374206333},"c:",null,{"$f":"FUK!$I$34","v":2.7017568977239555E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EUK!$C$32","v":33923663866.916962},"b:",{"$f":"EUK!$C$33","v":8.9331742402163226E-5},"c:",null,{"$f":"EUK!$C$34","v":4.6535084298818261E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .974). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FUK!$N$32","v":49000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FUK!$S$32","v":49000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$G$32","v":8830358.9807174783},null,{"$f":"EUK!$G$33","v":1.2507671626853243E-3},null,null,{"$f":"EUK!$G$34","v":1.6721057462359218E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FUK!$N$33","v":30.641438238373009},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FUK!$S$33","v":62.506253543784496}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FUK!$N$34","v":9.5318914099994365E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FUK!$S$34","v":0.12502364084961207}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .933)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FUK!$X$32","v":7.1734981121143475},null,"b:",{"$f":"FUK!$X$33","v":57.159994976244491},"c:",{"$f":"FUK!$X$34","v":0.23042396380636698},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!O45","v":0.20618388993275452},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EUK!$K$32","v":15299.115301412203},"b:",{"$f":"EUK!$K$33","v":1.6753819646074444},"c:",{"$f":"EUK!$K$34","v":0.1008333890946588}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":12.504914073078288},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FUK!$F$47:$F$64)","v":5.7946845325126048E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":17},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.8716865500085674E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":12}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.6152648220983127E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.6152648220983127E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.6737556975635032E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.6476030493425201E-5}]
[null,3,1.906346573654041E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.7389710038976907E-4}]
[null,4,1.0706390677914298E-3,null,null,8.8000441042602562E-4]
[null,5,4.0780140441727206E-3,null,null,3.0073749763812911E-3]
[null,6,1.2127641270475852E-2,null,null,8.0496272263031309E-3]
[null,7,3.029980553366133E-2,null,null,1.8172164263185478E-2]
[null,8,6.6260331496396901E-2,null,null,3.5960525962735572E-2]
[null,9,0.12975971290676513,null,null,6.3499381410368233E-2]
[null,10,0.23012453917806042,null,null,0.10036482627129528]
[null,11,0.37080256029519931,null,null,0.1406780211171389]
[null,12,0.54201277742715792,null,null,0.17121021713195861]
[null,13,0.71700853565992118,null,null,0.17499575823276325]
[null,14,0.86042780996010704,null,null,0.14341927430018586]
[null,15,0.94915382985086871,null,null,8.8726019890761676E-2]
[null,16,0.98757055289949924,null,null,3.841672304863053E-2]
[null,17,0.99818671350145649,null,null,1.0616160601957247E-2]
[null,18,0.99986294091640726,null,null,1.6762274149507705E-3]
[null,19,0.99999546527161509,null,null,1.3252435520783035E-4]
[null,20,0.99999994618410948,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":4.4809124943867573E-6}]
[null,21,0.99999999981856336,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":5.3634453878181887E-8}]
[null,22,0.99999999999986744,null,null,1.8130408285799149E-10]
[null,23,1,null,null,1.3256062914024369E-13]
[null,24,1,null,null,0]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"US","index":31,"n_rows":228,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":228,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[151,20,152,23],[155,1,155,33],[147,20,150,26],[16,28,16,29],[16,30,16,31],[17,26,17,29],[17,30,17,31],[18,26,18,29],[10,33,17,33],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[144,27,145,29],[144,20,146,26],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[2,21,2,23],[4,30,4,31],[5,30,6,31],[7,30,7,31],[8,30,8,31],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[4,28,4,29],[5,28,6,29],[7,28,7,29],[8,28,8,29],[0,30,0,33],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[0,24,0,25],[2,0,2,2],[5,9,5,10],[5,16,5,17],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[37,10,37,15],[9,28,9,29],[11,28,11,29],[15,28,15,29],[14,28,14,29],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[11,30,11,31],[13,30,13,31],[14,30,14,31],[15,30,15,31]]}
[null,"United States",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050 based on actual data",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: Both zero CO₂/kWh and 100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"'P1'!C59","v":339996.56300000002},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":816.06430586489103}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":225.21942613229234},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":2465.5739771363228},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":153624.88369084525},{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.55368487208271},"2050 Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":47.413736540390488},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-12626.303021410245}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero CO2/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero CO2 + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":18009.181503784403},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":17119.960410658328},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":17119.960410658328}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":4840.0312401441279},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":153624.88369084525},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":153624.88369084525}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":251620.25068386301},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":123834.17549019845},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":89},{"$f":"$K91","v":123834.17549019845}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":165.13972282873567},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":86.173954584482473},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":86.173954584482473}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.19534674598496576},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14892116857305293},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.14892116857305293}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":369.47318000000001},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":107.42625487362911},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":107.42625487362911}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":72.175383441717543},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":15.998043411207469},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":15.998043411207469}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":163.69598432639842},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":47.413736540390488},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":47.413736540390488}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":756.05278269222401},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":225.21942613229234},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":225.21942613229234}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":23.502201576594189},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":2465.5739771363228},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":2465.5739771363228}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-12626.303021410245},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((($K91+$R91*$T91*(2/3))*$I91+($R91*(1-$T91*(2/3))*$Y91))/1000000000)-$AC8","v":-889.22109312607427}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($AB$65:$AB$141<=3,ROW($AB$65:$AB$141)))","v":125},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2084},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2048},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":2084}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":756.05278269222401},{"$f":"AA64","v":756.05278269222401}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 256.5m to\n277.5m total Stock"},61.905039872883776,{"$f":"G91/F64*AD21","v":817.95782256510779}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 18,009 to\n17,120 yearly km"},-39.868452521007498,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$64)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":778.08937004410029}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gm \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 165 to 86\n gm CO₂/km ICE"},-369.70999923844181,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$Q$64)+$Q$64*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($Q$64*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":408.37937080565848}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 4.8m to\n153.6m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-29.341971106187032},{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$64*$X$64))/1000000000","v":379.03739969947145}]
["https://www.bts.gov/content/number-us-aircraft-vehicles-vessels-and-other-conveyances",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1953 to\n.1489 kWh/km EV"},-37.123477987531373,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$64))/1000000000","v":341.91392171194008}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"gr CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" gr CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 369 to 107\n gr CO₂/kWh EV"},-84.458609729238106,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$64*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$64*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":257.45531198270197}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 26.57%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-32.23588585040963,{"$f":"$H$91*(((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000","v":225.21942613229234}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":225.21942613229234}]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.15226000000000001,null,null,null,null,null,null,-0.15384999999999999]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.67859999999999998,null,null,null,null,null,null,-0.67728999999999995,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"Change by % in 2050¹²",null,{"$f":"Control!$B$31","v":0},null,null,{"$f":"Control!C31","v":0},{"$f":"Control!D31","v":0},{"$f":"Control!E31","v":0},null,"Except for fields D3 (scenario selection) and AA1 (sales limit selection), all other fields are locked to prevent accidental overwriting. To be able to do this anyway, the sheet can be unlocked without a password.",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Control!F31","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!G31","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!H31","v":0},null,{"$f":"Control!I31","v":0}]
["#",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"United States"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly Distance per vehicle (km)³","ICE CO₂/km (gm)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Elec-tricity CO₂/kWh (gm)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (gm)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (gm)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J37","v":571.16330000000005}]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J38","v":573.37890000000004}]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J39","v":564.71379999999999}]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J40","v":570.05535999999995}]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J41","v":566.3913}]
[5,2005,{"$f":"FUS!$B46","v":16958.945},null,null,{"$f":"FUS!$H46","v":231904.92199999999},null,{"$f":"EUS!$B42","v":19080.433546465072},{"$f":"EUS!$F42","v":258},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":231904.92199999999},null,{"$f":"IF(J46<>\"\",(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*H46/1000,0)","v":4424846.4533191659},{"$f":"I46*L46/1000000","v":1141.6103849563449},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J42","v":568.22199999999998},null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":1141.6103849563449},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",(M46+Z46)/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":258.00000000000006},null,null,{"$f":"F46*H46*I46/1000000000","v":1141.6103849563449},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":1141.6103849563449},{"$f":"AF46","v":1141.6103849563449}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"FUS!$B47","v":16526.43},null,null,{"$f":"FUS!$H47","v":234524.72},null,{"$f":"EUS!$B43","v":19028.914102692408},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B47-2000))-$R$150*($B47-2000)))","v":248.68570040638818},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":234524.72},null,4462750.7518379875,{"$f":"I47*L47/1000000","v":1109.8222964599652},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J43","v":559.82543999999996},null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":1109.8222964599652},248.68570040638812,{"$f":"Z47+M47-M$46","v":-31.788088496379714},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-2.7844953861027895},1109.8222964599656,{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":1109.8222964599652},1109.8222964599652]
[7,2007,{"$f":"FUS!$B48","v":16105.177},null,null,{"$f":"FUS!$H48","v":235678.15},null,{"$f":"EUS!$B44","v":18375.906938295804},{"$f":"$M$150*$O$150*$R$150*EXP((-$O$150*EXP(-$R$150*($B48-2000))-$R$150*($B48-2000)))","v":242.76925459946537},{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":235678.15},null,4330799.7517897198,1051.3850275615398,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$J44","v":562.65560000000005},null,null,1051.3850275615398,242.76925459946534,{"$f":"Z48+M48-M$46","v":-90.225357394805087},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-7.903340630372357},1051.38502756154,1051.3850275615398,1051.3850275615398]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.bts.gov/content/number-us-aircraft-vehicles-vessels-and-other-conveyances (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). Total inventories from 2022 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was calculated to 289 million vehicles » 849 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .991). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): hhttps://www.bts.gov/newsroom/bts-updates-national-transportation-statistics-12012023; Table 1-35M:  U.S. Vehicle-Kilometers (millions), last retrieved 05/31/2024. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2022 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .168).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"FUS!$I$32","v":288635.8310481942},"b:",null,{"$f":"FUS!$I$33","v":0.30069965688447547},"c:",null,{"$f":"FUS!$I$34","v":4.0600071216713454E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EUS!$C$32","v":78391926718.6241},"b:",{"$f":"EUS!$C$33","v":1.2789637273162251E-4},"c:",null,{"$f":"EUS!$C$34","v":1.8756556377258257E-3}]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .961). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (gm): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 gm.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",{"$f":"FUS!$N$32","v":297000},"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a",null,{"$f":"FUS!$S$32","v":283000}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$G$32","v":10970695.201517474},null,{"$f":"EUS!$G$33","v":1.0879135956158887E-3},null,null,{"$f":"EUS!$G$34","v":2.4100847427680924E-2},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",{"$f":"FUS!$N$33","v":19.580625612084894},null,"b",null,{"$f":"FUS!$S$33","v":486.48286644173885}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",{"$f":"FUS!$N$34","v":6.7824821710596825E-2},null,"c",null,{"$f":"FUS!$S$34","v":0.20221227595664096}]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050 (R² = .990)."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"FUS!$X$32","v":8.8900377229957019},null,"b:",{"$f":"FUS!$X$33","v":9.6426021611674493},"c:",{"$f":"FUS!$X$34","v":0.16508592775079942},null,"Starting with ",null,{"$f":"'P1'!O46","v":0.19534674598496576},null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",{"$f":"EUS!$K$32","v":28536.659681900317},"b:",{"$f":"EUS!$K$33","v":1.1360268364398898},"c:",{"$f":"EUS!$K$34","v":5.4523639432219093E-2}]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"WEIBULL FUNCTION"]
[null,"k=",6,"l=",null,{"$f":"(1/G164)/((-LN(1-0.999))^(1/C163))","v":12.941684291767952},"Avg. Scrap","Lifetime","Æ Waste","Mean Lifetime"]
[null,"Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)",null,null,"Waste in year",{"$f":"AVERAGE(FUS!$F$47:$F$64)","v":5.5991191351931043E-2},{"$f":"(ROUND((1/G164),0))","v":18},{"$f":"AVERAGE(F165:F165:INDIRECT(\"F\"&H164+ROW()))","v":5.5515672775306765E-2},{"$f":"ROUND(F163*_xlfn.GAMMA(1+1/k),0)","v":12}]
[null,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B165,C$163,F$163,1)","v":2.1284092953287039E-7},null,null,{"$f":"C165","v":2.1284092953287039E-7}]
[null,2,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(B166,C$163,F$163,1)","v":1.3621728163162659E-5},null,null,{"$f":"C166-C165","v":1.3408887233629789E-5}]
[null,3,1.551490172879715E-4,null,null,{"$f":"C167-C166","v":1.4152728912480883E-4}]
[null,4,8.7141663594767079E-4,null,null,7.1626761865969924E-4]
[null,5,3.3201160626719576E-3,null,null,2.4486994267242869E-3]
[null,6,9.8811647637981163E-3,null,null,6.5610487011261587E-3]
[null,7,2.4729611783899971E-2,null,null,1.4848447020101855E-2]
[null,8,5.426698844942543E-2,null,null,2.9537376665525458E-2]
[null,9,0.10694973194002579,null,null,5.2682743490600356E-2]
[null,10,0.19171531709231451,null,null,8.4765585152288728E-2]
[null,11,0.31412558058482287,null,null,0.12241026349250836]
[null,12,0.47035042892367762,null,null,0.15622484833885475]
[null,13,0.64204307590142129,null,null,0.17169264697774367]
[null,14,0.79862644471041255,null,null,0.15658336880899126]
[null,15,0.91146802306815033,null,null,0.11284157835773778]
[null,16,0.97186887398835986,null,null,6.0400850920209526E-2]
[null,17,0.99412743145533256,null,null,2.2258557466972695E-2]
[null,18,0.9992821099555218,null,null,5.154678500189247E-3]
[null,19,0.99995519944849998,null,null,6.7308949297817389E-4]
[null,20,0.99999878628049188,null,null,{"$f":"C184-C183","v":4.3586831991904162E-5}]
[null,21,0.99999998819264102,null,null,{"$f":"C185-C184","v":1.2019121491402274E-6}]
[null,22,0.99999999996691324,null,null,1.1774272223874505E-8]
[null,23,0.99999999999997924,null,null,3.3065994387015962E-11]
[null,24,1,null,null,2.0761170560490427E-14]
[null,25,1,null,null,0]
[null,26,1,null,null,0]
[null,27,1,null,null,0]
[null,28,1,null,null,0]
[null,29,1,null,null,0]
[null,30,1,null,null,0]
[null,31,1,null,null,0]
[null,32,1,null,null,0]
[null,33,1,null,null,0]
[null,34,1,null,null,0]
[null,35,1,null,null,0]
[null,36,1,null,null,0]
[null,37,1,null,null,0]
[null,38,1,null,null,0]
[null,39,1,null,null,0]
[null,40,1,null,null,0]
[null,41,1,null,null,0]
[null,42,1,null,null,0]
[null,43,1,null,null,0]
[null,44,1,null,null,0]
[null,45,1,null,null,0]
[null,46,1,null,null,0]
[null,47,1,null,null,0]
[null,48,1,null,null,0]
[null,49,1,null,null,0]
[null,50,1,null,null,0]
[null,51,1,null,null,0]
[null,52,1,null,null,0]
[null,53,1,null,null,0]
[null,54,1,null,null,0]
[null,55,1,null,null,0]
[null,56,1,null,null,0]
[null,57,1,null,null,0]
[null,58,1,null,null,0]
[null,59,1,null,null,0]
[null,60,1,null,null,0]
[null,61,1,null,null,0]
[null,62,1,null,null,0]
[null,63,1,null,null,0]
[null,64,1,null,null,0]

{"sheet":"30 Countries","index":32,"n_rows":158,"n_cols":40,"rows_kept":158,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[0,30,0,33],[4,30,4,31],[5,28,6,29],[5,30,6,31],[3,14,3,17],[153,25,153,26],[154,1,154,33],[155,1,155,33],[157,1,157,33],[151,1,152,8],[151,12,152,19],[151,20,152,23],[153,5,153,6],[153,10,153,11],[153,12,153,13],[153,16,153,19],[9,30,9,31],[10,28,10,29],[10,30,10,31],[5,16,5,17],[147,1,150,11],[147,12,147,14],[147,20,150,26],[147,27,147,29],[148,27,150,27],[5,9,5,10],[17,30,17,31],[14,28,14,29],[14,30,14,31],[15,28,15,29],[15,30,15,31],[16,28,16,29],[2,0,2,2],[4,28,4,29],[18,26,18,29],[0,24,0,25],[148,30,150,30],[149,12,149,13],[149,14,149,16],[2,25,2,26],[2,28,2,29],[144,27,145,29],[3,19,3,20],[7,28,7,29],[7,30,7,31],[8,28,8,29],[8,30,8,31],[9,28,9,29],[0,7,0,9],[0,11,0,13],[0,16,0,19],[0,21,0,23],[2,7,2,9],[2,11,2,13],[2,16,2,19],[2,21,2,23],[10,33,17,33],[144,1,146,11],[144,12,145,14],[144,20,146,26],[17,26,17,29],[16,30,16,31],[11,28,11,29],[11,30,11,31],[12,28,12,29],[12,30,12,31],[13,28,13,29],[13,30,13,31],[37,1,37,25]]}
[null,"30 Countries",null,null,null,null,"Click →","Scenario 1/2",null,null,null,"Scenario 3",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 4",null,null,null,null,"Scenario 5",null,null,"With Sales Limit →",null,"NO",null,null,null,"Limits forecasted EV sales to maximum total sales (column D)"]
[]
["Or choose scenario (1-5):",null,null,1,null,null,null,"Actual (2023) data and forecast 2050",null,null,null,"Electricity: Reduce CO₂/kWh to zero in 2050",null,null,null,null,"Increase EV Stock to 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,"ZERO CARBON in 2050: zero CO₂/kWh and100% EVs",null,null,null,"Population (thsd):",null,{"$f":"AU!AB3+AT!AB3+BE!AB3+BR!AB3+CA!AB3+CN!AB3+DK!AB3+FI!AB3+FR!AB3+DE!AB3+HK!AB3+IN!AB3+IE!AB3+IT!AB3+JP!AB3+KR!AB3+LU!AB3+NL!AB3+NZ!AB3+NO!AB3+PT!AB3+RU!AB3+ZA!AB3+ES!AB3+SE!AB3+CH!AB3+TW!AB3+TH!AB3+UK!AB3+US!AB3","v":4377060.7350000003},"Vehicles per 1,000 in 2050:",null,{"$f":"G91/AB3*1000","v":390.32341828528189}]
[null,"CO2 emission 2050 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA91","v":865.82731997755991},"Accrued CO₂ savings in 2050 since 2010 (Mt):",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH91)","v":12189.247726037023},"2050 EV Stock (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"R91","v":1283695.932048559},null,{"$f":"R91/G91","v":0.75137195964937264},"2050 Average CO₂/km (g)",null,null,{"$f":"AB91","v":44.60872206104294},"Equivalent reduction in distance travelled in 2050 (km):",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AE18","v":-8326.942265962025}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Summary","Scenario:",1,null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,2,IF(Scen=3,3,IF(Scen=4,4,5)))","v":2},null,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual",null,{"$f":"IF(Scen=1,\"Forecast 2050\",IF(Scen=3,\"2050 Zero  CO₂/kWh\",IF(Scen=4,\"2050 100% EVs\",\"Zero  CO₂ + 100% EVs\")))","v":"Forecast 2050"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Yearly km per vehicle",null,{"$f":"H64","v":13581.461136469557},null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11360.679868850661},null,null,null,{"$f":"$H91","v":11360.679868850661}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock EVs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"Q64","v":41578.769823644892},null,{"$f":"$R91","v":1283695.932048559},null,null,null,{"$f":"$R91","v":1283695.932048559}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock ICEs (thsd.)",null,{"$f":"J64+K64","v":1059526.3963577882},null,{"$f":"$K91","v":424773.37607892952},null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF($O$65:$O$141>=$D$65:$D$141,ROW($P$65:$P$141)))","v":78},{"$f":"$K91","v":424773.37607892952}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"I64","v":152.96202882557404},null,{"$f":"$I91","v":84.381685028268407},null,null,"Year in which the EV share of total car sales reaches 100%.",{"$f":"$I91","v":84.381685028268407}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV kWh/km",null,{"$f":"V64","v":0.18485217621213457},null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.13685994457991146},null,null,null,{"$f":"$V91","v":0.13685994457991146}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,{"$f":"X64","v":437.83867263871872},null,{"$f":"$X91","v":203.59928894590581},null,null,null,{"$f":"$X91","v":203.59928894590581}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"Y64","v":80.935431467099534},null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":27.864587401646052},null,null,null,{"$f":"$Y91","v":27.864587401646052}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average CO₂/km (gm)",null,{"$f":"AB64","v":151.0889335470076},null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":44.60872206104294},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AB91","v":44.60872206104294}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total CO₂/year (Mt)",null,{"$f":"AA64","v":2256.3635638769961},null,{"$f":"$AA$91","v":865.82731997755991},null,null,null,{"$f":"$AA91","v":865.82731997755991}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CO₂ Reduction (Mt)",null,{"$f":"SUM(AH46:AH64)","v":92.279634092881679},null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":12189.247726037023},null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM($AH46:$AH91)","v":12189.247726037023}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁴ Equivalent km reduction",null,null,null,{"$f":"AE16/(((($J64+K64)+$R64*$T64*(2/3))*$I64+((Q64+$R64)*(1-$T64*(2/3))*$Y64))/1000000000)-AC8","v":-8326.942265962025},null,-12555.25294974059,null,{"$f":"AI16/((((($G$91-$R$91)+$R$91*$T$91*2/3)*$I$91)+((($R$91*(1-$T$91*2/3)))*$V$91*$X$91))/1000000000)-$AC$8","v":-1571.8706661924607}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"First zero carbon year (<= 3g/km)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(IF(AB$65:AB$141<=3,ROW(AB$65:AB$141)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AE19>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AE19),\">2100\")","v":">2100"},null,{"$f":"IF(AH10>0,INDIRECT(\"B\"&AH10),\">2100\")","v":2037}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"!!!",{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2023\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2023"},{"$f":"AD21-AD20","v":2256.3635638769961},{"$f":"AU!AD21+AT!AD21+BE!AD21+BR!AD21+CA!AD21+CN!AD21+DK!AD21+FI!AD21+FR!AD21+DE!AD21+HK!AD21+IN!AD21+IE!AD21+IT!AD21+JP!AD21+KR!AD21+LU!AD21+NL!AD21+NZ!AD21+NO!AD21+PT!AD21+RU!AD21+ZA!AD21+ES!AD21+SE!AD21+CH!AD21+TW!AD21+TH!AD21+UK!AD21+US!AD21","v":2256.3635638769961}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($F$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($G$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m total Stock\")","v":"From 1101.1m to\n1708.5m total Stock"},{"$f":"AD22-AD21","v":1055.8280115714083},{"$f":"AU!AD22+AT!AD22+BE!AD22+BR!AD22+CA!AD22+CN!AD22+DK!AD22+FI!AD22+FR!AD22+DE!AD22+HK!AD22+IN!AD22+IE!AD22+IT!AD22+JP!AD22+KR!AD22+LU!AD22+NL!AD22+NZ!AD22+NO!AD22+PT!AD22+RU!AD22+ZA!AD22+ES!AD22+SE!AD22+CH!AD22+TW!AD22+TH!AD22+UK!AD22+US!AD22","v":3312.1915754484044},{"$f":"AD22/AD21","v":1.4679334609344747},{"$f":"G91/F64","v":1.5515950343347835}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($H$64,\"###,0\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($H$91,\"###,0\"),\" yearly km\")","v":"From 13,581 to\n11,361 yearly km"},-412.36354394730233,{"$f":"AU!AD23+AT!AD23+BE!AD23+BR!AD23+CA!AD23+CN!AD23+DK!AD23+FI!AD23+FR!AD23+DE!AD23+HK!AD23+IN!AD23+IE!AD23+IT!AD23+JP!AD23+KR!AD23+LU!AD23+NL!AD23+NZ!AD23+NO!AD23+PT!AD23+RU!AD23+ZA!AD23+ES!AD23+SE!AD23+CH!AD23+TW!AD23+TH!AD23+UK!AD23+US!AD23","v":2899.828031501102}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($I$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($I$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" g \",\"CO₂/km ICE\")","v":"From 153 to 84\n g CO₂/km ICE"},-1262.4346981789877,{"$f":"AU!AD24+AT!AD24+BE!AD24+BR!AD24+CA!AD24+CN!AD24+DK!AD24+FI!AD24+FR!AD24+DE!AD24+HK!AD24+IN!AD24+IE!AD24+IT!AD24+JP!AD24+KR!AD24+LU!AD24+NL!AD24+NZ!AD24+NO!AD24+PT!AD24+RU!AD24+ZA!AD24+ES!AD24+SE!AD24+CH!AD24+TW!AD24+TH!AD24+UK!AD24+US!AD24","v":1637.3933333221144}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($Q$64/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($R$91/1000,\"##0.0\"),\"m EV Stock\")","v":"From 41.6m to\n1283.7m EV Stock"},{"$f":"AD25-AD24","v":-30.95842340792592},{"$f":"AU!AD25+AT!AD25+BE!AD25+BR!AD25+CA!AD25+CN!AD25+DK!AD25+FI!AD25+FR!AD25+DE!AD25+HK!AD25+IN!AD25+IE!AD25+IT!AD25+JP!AD25+KR!AD25+LU!AD25+NL!AD25+NZ!AD25+NO!AD25+PT!AD25+RU!AD25+ZA!AD25+ES!AD25+SE!AD25+CH!AD25+TW!AD25+TH!AD25+UK!AD25+US!AD25","v":1606.4349099141884},-26.104368214856436,-53.826034057724314]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($V$64,\".####\"),\" to\"&CHAR(10),TEXT($V$91,\".####\"),\" kWh/km EV\")","v":"From .1849 to\n.1369 kWh/km EV"},-233.93134810243555,{"$f":"AU!AD26+AT!AD26+BE!AD26+BR!AD26+CA!AD26+CN!AD26+DK!AD26+FI!AD26+FR!AD26+DE!AD26+HK!AD26+IN!AD26+IE!AD26+IT!AD26+JP!AD26+KR!AD26+LU!AD26+NL!AD26+NZ!AD26+NO!AD26+PT!AD26+RU!AD26+ZA!AD26+ES!AD26+SE!AD26+CH!AD26+TW!AD26+TH!AD26+UK!AD26+US!AD26","v":1372.5035618117529}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($X$91=0,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to zero\"&CHAR(10),\"g CO₂/kWh EV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($X$64,\"###\"),\" to \",TEXT($X$91,\"###\")&CHAR(10),\" g CO₂/kWh EV\"))","v":"From 438 to 204\n g CO₂/kWh EV"},-389.4104435874217,{"$f":"AU!AD27+AT!AD27+BE!AD27+BR!AD27+CA!AD27+CN!AD27+DK!AD27+FI!AD27+FR!AD27+DE!AD27+HK!AD27+IN!AD27+IE!AD27+IT!AD27+JP!AD27+KR!AD27+LU!AD27+NL!AD27+NZ!AD27+NO!AD27+PT!AD27+RU!AD27+ZA!AD27+ES!AD27+SE!AD27+CH!AD27+TW!AD27+TH!AD27+UK!AD27+US!AD27","v":983.09311822433119}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF($T$91<0.01,CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",\" zero % PHEV\"),CONCATENATE(\"From \",TEXT($T$64,\"###.##%\")&CHAR(10),\"to \",TEXT($T$91,\"###.##%\"),\" PHEV\"))","v":"From 29.19%\nto  zero % PHEV"},-117.26548552713018,{"$f":"AU!AD28+AT!AD28+BE!AD28+BR!AD28+CA!AD28+CN!AD28+DK!AD28+FI!AD28+FR!AD28+DE!AD28+HK!AD28+IN!AD28+IE!AD28+IT!AD28+JP!AD28+KR!AD28+LU!AD28+NL!AD28+NZ!AD28+NO!AD28+PT!AD28+RU!AD28+ZA!AD28+ES!AD28+SE!AD28+CH!AD28+TW!AD28+TH!AD28+UK!AD28+US!AD28","v":865.82763269720101}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Total CO₂\"&CHAR(10),\"in 2050\")","v":"Total CO₂\nin 2050"},{"$f":"SUM(AC21:AC28)","v":865.82763269720101}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[-0.316,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"    "]
[null,"To calculate the aggregated numbers in the \"30 Countries\" folder, it is recommended to first select the scenario and the \"YES\"/\"NO\" settings. These settings are automatically applied to all countries by a macro. If the macros are disabled, the setting must be made manually for each country."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Blue Background = Actual Data"]
[null,{"$f":"B1","v":"30 Countries"},"Total Actual Sales (thsd)¹","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)",null,"Total Stock Actual (thsd)¹","Total Stock Forecast (thsd)²","Yearly km per vehicle³","ICE CO₂/km (g)⁴","ICE Stock Actual = Total - EV (thsd)","ICE Stock Forecast = Total - EV","ICE Yearly Distance (million kM)","ICE Yearly Mt CO₂","EV Sales Actual (thsd)⁵","EV Sales Forecast (thsd)⁶","EV % from Total Sales","EV Stock Actual (thsd)⁷","EV Stock Forecast (thsd)⁸","EV % from Total Stock","Thereof PHEVs in %⁹","EV Yearly Distance (million km)","EV kWh/km¹⁰","EV Total kWh (million)","Elec-tricity CO₂/kWh (g)¹¹","EV CO₂/km (g)","EV Yearly Mt CO₂","Total         Mt CO₂     (ICE + EV)","Average CO₂/km (g)","Absolute CO₂ Reduction compared to 2005","Relative CO₂ Re-duction (%)","CO₂ of ICE only","CO₂ of combined ICE + EV",null,"Accrued CO₂ Reduction since 2010"]
[0,2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,643.71445838852026]
[1,2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,630.2108558688235]
[2,2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,616.99049652796168]
[3,2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,604.047440494032]
[4,2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,591.37587240738617]
[5,2005,{"$f":"AU!C46+AT!C46+BE!C46+BR!C46+CA!C46+CN!C46+DK!C46+FI!C46+FR!C46+DE!C46+HK!C46+IN!C46+IE!C46+IT!C46+JP!C46+KR!C46+LU!C46+NL!C46+NZ!C46+NO!C46+PT!C46+RU!C46+ZA!C46+ES!C46+SE!C46+CH!C46+TW!C46+TH!C46+UK!C46+US!C46","v":48529.537999999993},null,null,{"$f":"AU!F46+AT!F46+BE!F46+BR!F46+CA!F46+CN!F46+DK!F46+FI!F46+FR!F46+DE!F46+HK!F46+IN!F46+IE!F46+IT!F46+JP!F46+KR!F46+LU!F46+NL!F46+NZ!F46+NO!F46+PT!F46+RU!F46+ZA!F46+ES!F46+SE!F46+CH!F46+TW!F46+TH!F46+UK!F46+US!F46","v":617829.49417154491},null,{"$f":"L46/(J46+Q46*T46*2/3)*1000","v":15784.835106957567},{"$f":"M46/L46*1000000","v":218.15563804443121},{"$f":"IF(AND(F46<>\"\",Q46<>\"\"),F46-Q46,F46)","v":617829.49417154491},null,{"$f":"AU!L46+AT!L46+BE!L46+BR!L46+CA!L46+CN!L46+DK!L46+FI!L46+FR!L46+DE!L46+HK!L46+IN!L46+IE!L46+IT!L46+JP!L46+KR!L46+LU!L46+NL!L46+NZ!L46+NO!L46+PT!L46+RU!L46+ZA!L46+ES!L46+SE!L46+CH!L46+TW!L46+TH!L46+UK!L46+US!L46","v":9752336.6897128373},{"$f":"AU!M46+AT!M46+BE!M46+BR!M46+CA!M46+CN!M46+DK!M46+FI!M46+FR!M46+DE!M46+HK!M46+IN!M46+IE!M46+IT!M46+JP!M46+KR!M46+LU!M46+NL!M46+NZ!M46+NO!M46+PT!M46+RU!M46+ZA!M46+ES!M46+SE!M46+CH!M46+TW!M46+TH!M46+UK!M46+US!M46","v":2127.5272329684203},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,578.97009881276529,null,null,{"$f":"M46+Z46","v":2127.5272329684203},{"$f":"IF(L46<>\"\",AA46/(L46+U46)*1000000,0)","v":218.15563804443121},null,null,{"$f":"AU!AE46+AT!AE46+BE!AE46+BR!AE46+CA!AE46+CN!AE46+DK!AE46+FI!AE46+FR!AE46+DE!AE46+HK!AE46+IN!AE46+IE!AE46+IT!AE46+JP!AE46+KR!AE46+LU!AE46+NL!AE46+NZ!AE46+NO!AE46+PT!AE46+RU!AE46+ZA!AE46+ES!AE46+SE!AE46+CH!AE46+TW!AE46+TH!AE46+UK!AE46+US!AE46","v":2126.2441034272292},{"$f":"Z46+M46","v":2127.5272329684203},{"$f":"AF46","v":2127.5272329684203}]
[6,2006,{"$f":"AU!C47+AT!C47+BE!C47+BR!C47+CA!C47+CN!C47+DK!C47+FI!C47+FR!C47+DE!C47+HK!C47+IN!C47+IE!C47+IT!C47+JP!C47+KR!C47+LU!C47+NL!C47+NZ!C47+NO!C47+PT!C47+RU!C47+ZA!C47+ES!C47+SE!C47+CH!C47+TW!C47+TH!C47+UK!C47+US!C47","v":50230.387999999999},null,null,{"$f":"AU!F47+AT!F47+BE!F47+BR!F47+CA!F47+CN!F47+DK!F47+FI!F47+FR!F47+DE!F47+HK!F47+IN!F47+IE!F47+IT!F47+JP!F47+KR!F47+LU!F47+NL!F47+NZ!F47+NO!F47+PT!F47+RU!F47+ZA!F47+ES!F47+SE!F47+CH!F47+TW!F47+TH!F47+UK!F47+US!F47","v":635883.93364672957},null,15667.388657019746,{"$f":"AE47/(F47*H47)*1000000000","v":211.65681175044784},{"$f":"IF(AND(F47<>\"\",Q47<>\"\"),F47-Q47,F47)","v":635883.93364672957},null,{"$f":"AU!L47+AT!L47+BE!L47+BR!L47+CA!L47+CN!L47+DK!L47+FI!L47+FR!L47+DE!L47+HK!L47+IN!L47+IE!L47+IT!L47+JP!L47+KR!L47+LU!L47+NL!L47+NZ!L47+NO!L47+PT!L47+RU!L47+ZA!L47+ES!L47+SE!L47+CH!L47+TW!L47+TH!L47+UK!L47+US!L47","v":9962640.7291978672},{"$f":"AU!M47+AT!M47+BE!M47+BR!M47+CA!M47+CN!M47+DK!M47+FI!M47+FR!M47+DE!M47+HK!M47+IN!M47+IE!M47+IT!M47+JP!M47+KR!M47+LU!M47+NL!M47+NZ!M47+NO!M47+PT!M47+RU!M47+ZA!M47+ES!M47+SE!M47+CH!M47+TW!M47+TH!M47+UK!M47+US!M47","v":2110.1169172904551},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,566.82454560596511,null,null,{"$f":"M47+Z47","v":2110.1169172904551},{"$f":"IF(L47<>\"\",AA47/(L47+U47)*1000000,0)","v":211.80297218851425},{"$f":"AA47-M$46","v":-17.410315677965173},{"$f":"(AC47/M$46*100)","v":-0.81833573776038238},{"$f":"AU!AE47+AT!AE47+BE!AE47+BR!AE47+CA!AE47+CN!AE47+DK!AE47+FI!AE47+FR!AE47+DE!AE47+HK!AE47+IN!AE47+IE!AE47+IT!AE47+JP!AE47+KR!AE47+LU!AE47+NL!AE47+NZ!AE47+NO!AE47+PT!AE47+RU!AE47+ZA!AE47+ES!AE47+SE!AE47+CH!AE47+TW!AE47+TH!AE47+UK!AE47+US!AE47","v":2108.6607733571777},{"$f":"Z47+M47","v":2110.1169172904551},2110.1169172904551]
[7,2007,{"$f":"AU!C48+AT!C48+BE!C48+BR!C48+CA!C48+CN!C48+DK!C48+FI!C48+FR!C48+DE!C48+HK!C48+IN!C48+IE!C48+IT!C48+JP!C48+KR!C48+LU!C48+NL!C48+NZ!C48+NO!C48+PT!C48+RU!C48+ZA!C48+ES!C48+SE!C48+CH!C48+TW!C48+TH!C48+UK!C48+US!C48","v":52056.141999999993},null,null,{"$f":"AU!F48+AT!F48+BE!F48+BR!F48+CA!F48+CN!F48+DK!F48+FI!F48+FR!F48+DE!F48+HK!F48+IN!F48+IE!F48+IT!F48+JP!F48+KR!F48+LU!F48+NL!F48+NZ!F48+NO!F48+PT!F48+RU!F48+ZA!F48+ES!F48+SE!F48+CH!F48+TW!F48+TH!F48+UK!F48+US!F48","v":655333.16983828554},null,15357.931941329867,206.80475695540372,{"$f":"IF(AND(F48<>\"\",Q48<>\"\"),F48-Q48,F48)","v":655333.16983828554},null,{"$f":"AU!L48+AT!L48+BE!L48+BR!L48+CA!L48+CN!L48+DK!L48+FI!L48+FR!L48+DE!L48+HK!L48+IN!L48+IE!L48+IT!L48+JP!L48+KR!L48+LU!L48+NL!L48+NZ!L48+NO!L48+PT!L48+RU!L48+ZA!L48+ES!L48+SE!L48+CH!L48+TW!L48+TH!L48+UK!L48+US!L48","v":10064562.221272357},{"$f":"AU!M48+AT!M48+BE!M48+BR!M48+CA!M48+CN!M48+DK!M48+FI!M48+FR!M48+DE!M48+HK!M48+IN!M48+IE!M48+IT!M48+JP!M48+KR!M48+LU!M48+NL!M48+NZ!M48+NO!M48+PT!M48+RU!M48+ZA!M48+ES!M48+SE!M48+CH!M48+TW!M48+TH!M48+UK!M48+US!M48","v":2081.3993440327677},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,554.93375553389558,null,null,2081.3993440327677,206.80475695540369,{"$f":"AA48-M$46","v":-46.127888935652663},{"$f":"(AC48/M$46*100)","v":-2.1681456397290382},{"$f":"AU!AE48+AT!AE48+BE!AE48+BR!AE48+CA!AE48+CN!AE48+DK!AE48+FI!AE48+FR!AE48+DE!AE48+HK!AE48+IN!AE48+IE!AE48+IT!AE48+JP!AE48+KR!AE48+LU!AE48+NL!AE48+NZ!AE48+NO!AE48+PT!AE48+RU!AE48+ZA!AE48+ES!AE48+SE!AE48+CH!AE48+TW!AE48+TH!AE48+UK!AE48+US!AE48","v":2081.3993440327677},2081.3993440327677,2081.3993440327677]
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[]
[null,"References"]
[]
[null,"¹ Total vehicle Stock: https://www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/ (Last retrieved 11/13/2023); https://www.bitre.gov.au/publications/2023/road-vehicles-australia-january-2023 (Last retrieved 01/03/2024). Total inventories from 2023 on were forecasted with the distribution function of a Gompertz function. Saturation limit was set to 6.8 million vehicles » 759 vehicles per 1,000 population (R² = .954). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"² Total Vehicles Stock Forecast: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Distribution Function",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly Distance Travelled (km): https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?lang=en (Last retrieved 11/13/2023). Passenger transport: Road passenger transport: Passenger kilometers divided by vehicle Stock assuming an occupancy of 1.6 passengers per car. Note that due to COVID-19, data for 2020 were not included. Distances from 2016 on were forcasted with the density function of a Gompertz function, minimum 10,000 km in 2050 (R² = .935).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"³ Yearly km per vehicle: Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,"c:"]
[null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (g): IEA International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf. (Last retrieved 02/03/2024). CO₂/km values from 2018 on were forecasted with the density function of a Gompertz function (R² = .972). ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁴ ICE CO₂/km (g): Coeffcients for the Gompertz Density Function. Constraint: CO₂/km              in 2050 >= 80 g.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁵ Actual EV Sales 2010-June 2024: https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 07/31/2024).                                                                                                                   ⁶ EV sales from 2025 on were forecasted by the yearly difference of the EV Stock forecasts⁸ augmented by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).                                                                                                         ⁷ Actual EV stocks until 2023 were the added EV sales⁵ which were reduced by the EV wastes according to the Weibull function (see below).",null,null,null,null,null,null,"⁸ EV Stock Forecast Coefficients for the Gompertz Distribution Function (Saturation Limit 20 million vehicles (750 per 1,000 population)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,null,"c:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Based on actual data (Scenarios 1 and 3):","a",null,"Based on 100% EVs in 2050 (Scenarios 4 and 5):","a"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",null,null,"b"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",null,null,"c"]
[null,"⁹ Proportion Plug-In-Hybrid-EVs (PHEV) of all EVs in % based on the numbers from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ (Last retrieved 05/21/2024). Coefficients for the Gompertz Density Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹⁰ EV Efficiency: Assesing local EV-fleet from https://www.ev-volumes.com/datacenter/ and respective efficiencies from Marklines Electric Vehicles by Model: https://www.marklines.com/en/green_vehicles/case_top?rf=left_menu (Last retrieved 02/01/2024, see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 3). From 2024 on, kWh/km have been reduced by 1% per year.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"¹¹ Electricty CO₂/kWh: Coefficients for the Gompert Density Function: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity? (Last retrieved 05/31/2024). In Scenario 3 and 5, from 2024 on, CO₂ is reduced linearly down to zero in 2050."]
[]
[null,"a:",null,null,null,{"$f":"'F30 Countries'!$X$32","v":7.4630050397482961},null,"b:",{"$f":"'F30 Countries'!$X$33","v":10.797809997418835},"c:",{"$f":"'F30 Countries'!$X$34","v":0.14052299583566105},null,"Starting with ",null,null,null,"kWh/km until 2023 and from 2024 on, reducing by 1% per year.",null,null,null,"a:",null,"b:",null,"c:"]
[null,"¹² Increase or decrease number reached in 2050 by a positive or negative percentage. 100% will double in 2050. -100% will decrease to zero in 2050. -35.1% will decrease to zero in 2100 (= 27/77). EVs won't exceed total stock. Does not work for EV Stock Forecast in Scenarios 4 and 5 (forced to be 100% in 2050). "]
[null,"¹³ EV Sales should not exceed the yearly maximum sales of all cars in the respective country. The number is the mean of the maximum of cars ever sold per year, the forecasted sales numbers by a linear, and by a logarithmic function (see Folder \"Parameters\" Table 2) ."]
[null,"¹⁴ Equivalent to km reduction means: Instead of taking the measures in Scenario 3, 4, or 5, how many km would have to be saved in Scenario 2 to achieve the same CO₂ reduction effect."]
[null,"For any function in this study, the time variable is the respective year minus 2000 (i.e., for 2050, t = 50)."]

{"sheet":"Instructions Growth Functions","index":33,"n_rows":45,"n_cols":10,"rows_kept":45,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[16,9,17,13],[0,0,1,21],[16,0,18,1],[12,5,14,9]]}
["In the Vehicle Forecasting files FAU ... FUS and Vehicle Efficiencies files EAU ... EUS all fields are locked. However, to be able to overwrite fields, the sheets can be unlocked without a password."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Forecasted values like",null,1369,"were constrained to better fit the actual data."]
[]
["The starting point is the historical data, e.g. the EV stocks since 2010 in Australia:"]
[]
["EV Vehicle Stock"]
[]
[null,"Gompertz Growth Function:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"To activate the Solver add-in in EXCEL, go to:"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/office/load-the-solver-add-in-in-excel-612926fc-d53b-46b4-872c-e24772f078ca"]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Objective: Calculate the coefficients a, b, and c of the Gompertz function by minimizing the sum of squared errors by the EXCEL Solver."]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Minimize the sum of squared errors"]
["Coefficients of the Gompertz Function:",null,"a",19500,{"$f":"SUM(E27:E43)","v":413.96015772362233}," ¬ Sum of squared errors",null,null,null,"by varying the coefficients (the saturation limit was constrained to 19.5 million EVs)"]
[null,null,"b",74.46050675261526]
[null,null,"c",0.12036429942438416]
[]
[]
["Year",null,"EV Actual Stock (thsd)","EV Stock Forecast (thsd) according to the Gompertz function with the coefficients above","Squared error (Actual - Forecast)²"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2010,null,0.112,{"$f":"D$17*EXP(-D$18*EXP(-D$19*(A27-2000)))","v":3.8503332921089033E-6},{"$f":"(C27-D27)^2","v":1.2543137540167632E-2}]
[2011,null,0.16999999805743496,4.853086799800527E-5,{"$f":"(C28-D28)^2","v":2.8883501199842267E-2}]
[2012,null,0.42799982511581164,4.5891894257522756E-4,{"$f":"(C29-D29)^2","v":0.18279122645143214}]
[2013,null,0.7319976285197175,3.3636047033878892E-3,0.53090754066277557]
[2014,null,1.959984955465236,1.9668572461337297E-2,3.7648276661533324]
[2015,null,3.6999353539550124,9.4137913763298081E-2,13.001775179693118]
[2016,null,5.1327800485520774,0.37726234731297292,22.614948606798457]
[2017,null,7.5543551683745296,1.291678159402915,39.22112331870165]
[2018,null,11.559293711795904,3.8463627900679516,59.489303403347208]
[2019,null,20.722840054478016,10.120573849679452,112.40804867741375]
[2020,null,27.271571555671553,23.862358755812565,11.62273191472236]
[2021,null,48.762001921911953,51.047937256257725,5.2255003528105197]
[2022,null,89.478020385021281,100.18210017284156,114.57732410402258]
[2023,null,187.7281465961988,182.13626588166682,31.269129925554708]
[2024,null,309.32861372335759,309.43019703178203,1.0319168550454444E-2]
[2025,null,null,495.02542374572067]
[2026,null,null,750.84593284742539]
[2027,null,null,1086.0418782482061]
[2028,null,null,1506.8551523833717]

{"sheet":"FAU","index":34,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[35,27,43,27],[22,12,22,14]]}
["AUSTRALIA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D$31","v":26439.111000000001},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D$31","v":26439.111000000001},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D$31","v":26439.111000000001},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["www.bitre.gov.au/publications/2023/road-vehicles-australia-january-2023",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["www.abs.gov.au/statistics/industry/tourism-and-transport/survey-motor-vehicle-use-australia/latest-release#number-of-vehicles",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":756.45508655718413},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":737.54370939325452},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":737.54370939325452}]
["https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL",null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
["Last retrieved 01/26/2024",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.9937288272557494},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":3.8781601748286844E-3},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H41:H98,I41:I98,2,1)","v":0.95370889402563397},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.9983422408568462},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M41:M98,N41:N98,2,1)","v":0.11728025776716586},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99089844964151597},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R41:R98,S41:S98,2,1)","v":4.7748995875014476E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.97895005560498749},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W53:W98,X53:X98,2,1)","v":0.78411444616013548},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.92601339954747852}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,638043.10741277342,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":1.7662197705918618E-4},"a",{"$f":"20000","v":20000},{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":46959.679374224259},null,null,"a",{"$f":"19500","v":19500},{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":413.96015858607234},null,null,"a",19500,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":4039.4636967726683},null,null,"a",5.2953218817491017,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":2.9227875120876382E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,6.0613642259995699E-5,null,"b",0.75243913480820779,null,null,null,"b",74.460506752687195,null,null,null,"b",210.7801589833974,null,null,null,"b",120.61790251626344]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.2513296545800098E-3,null,"c",4.384702644610218E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.12036429942441246,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.16371710885127427,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.29761084512421293]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":322.60839172043046},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1993.5130111968749},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":863.45124858027771},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2035.8101936765045},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":1174.4490910310139},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2032.6833018693765}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AU!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,789.096,null,null,null,null,null,11011,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":10929.042376322433},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":6717.0520788736121},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,769.24099999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":507.24099999999999},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":4.6066751430387791E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":4.8029198475311327E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":3.8511984041291194E-6},11273,11216.078247256071,3240.0859354409504,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,835.19500000000005,null,589.19500000000005,5.2266033886276951E-2,4.7969139310848993E-2,1.846330299234221E-5,11519,11497.858172758875,446.9768590935625,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,791.22500000000002,null,506.22500000000002,4.3946957201145935E-2,4.7909155244178478E-2,1.5699013332210912E-5,11804,11774.177567129898,889.37750229172195,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,728.71500000000003,null,509.71500000000003,4.3181548627583874E-2,4.7849246181408997E-2,2.1787400453985039E-5,12023,12044.860203767103,477.86850873924561,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,827.40700000000004,null,581.10199999999975,4.8332529318805599E-2,4.7789412028767117E-2,2.9497639073874459E-7,12269.305,12309.75689838554,1636.3560829940218,2010,0.112,{"$f":"AU!$Q51","v":0.112},null,{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":1.2544000000000001E-2},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.112},{"$f":"M51","v":0.112},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":3.0385700365237464E-14},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":1.2543999999993193E-2},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":0},2010]
[2011,803.45,null,598.75500000000034,4.8801052708364517E-2,4.7729652692596658E-2,1.1478979937873693E-6,12474,12568.744133536604,8976.4508396018209,2011,5.8000000000000003E-2,{"$f":"AU!$Q52","v":0.16999999805743496},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K52-2000)))","v":4.8530867997375782E-5},2.8883501199842475E-2,2011,5.8000000000000003E-2,0.16999999805743496,1.4855906218618039E-11,2.8899999334476886E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":4.8530867997375782E-5},2011,1.7647058823529412E-2,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V52-2000))-X$34*(V52-2000))","v":7.4759923129133668E-2},{"$f":"(X52-W52)^2","v":3.261879269190365E-3}]
[2012,882.68,null,642.44499999999937,5.1502725669392284E-2,4.7669968079358457E-2,1.4690030743961906E-5,12714.235000000001,12821.722643315454,11553.593465510085,2012,0.25800000000000001,{"$f":"AU!$Q53","v":0.42799982511581164},4.5891894257017653E-4,0.18279122645143647,2012,0.25800000000000001,0.42799982511581164,2.8510665187580416E-9,0.18318384785865344,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":4.5891894257017653E-4},2012,0.19392523364485981,0.1798858286688623,1.9710489208006366E-4]
[2013,899.96500000000003,null,614.17899999999997,4.8306406166002118E-2,4.7610358095630301E-2,4.8448291626833024E-7,13000.021000000001,13068.61597513533,4705.270613816424,2013,0.30399999999999999,{"$f":"AU!$Q54","v":0.7319976285197175},3.3636047033565562E-3,0.53090754066282131,2013,0.30399999999999999,0.7319976285197175,2.4735772394329179E-7,0.53582016602801685,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":3.3636047033565562E-3},2013,0.25136612021857918,0.31981371890832655,4.6850737663927059E-3]
[2014,883.94899999999996,null,586.71000000000038,4.5131465556863357E-2,4.7550822648106728E-2,5.8532887349495844E-6,13297.26,13309.369043503764,146.62893457605014,2014,1.228,{"$f":"AU!$Q55","v":1.959984955465236},1.9668572461182483E-2,3.7648276661539328,2014,1.228,1.959984955465236,1.0937623771899368E-5,3.8414981506136123,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":1.9668572461182483E-2},2014,0.58010204081632655,0.45415081641128596,1.5863710929128891E-2]
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[2096,null,858.21917353581807,848.31195216306219,null,4.2913903582889996E-2,null,null,19777.672009409627,null,2096,null,null,19486.083030506546,null,2096,null,null,19499.38606901377,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":19486.083030506546},2096,null,7.4281574632328182E-11]
[2097,null,857.16263642706224,847.67578098262209,null,4.286024060765712E-2,null,null,19787.158864854067,null,2097,null,null,19487.660751710177,null,2097,null,null,19499.478782307684,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":19487.660751710177},2097,null,5.5160774276808471E-11]
[2098,null,856.1060144815732,847.02187980916494,null,4.2806644733299454E-2,null,null,19796.242999526476,null,2098,null,null,19489.059662047181,null,2098,null,null,19499.557494585966,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":19489.059662047181},2098,null,4.096185405153355E-11]
[2099,null,855.04940531021532,846.35107086666869,null,4.2753115875922183E-2,null,null,19804.941333970022,null,2099,null,null,19490.300016285764,null,2099,null,null,19499.624320155181,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":19490.300016285764},2099,null,3.0417874102261726E-11]
[2100,null,853.9929000394111,845.66414149494062,null,4.2699653951735389E-2,null,null,19813.270092514493,null,2100,null,null,19491.399777137514,null,2100,null,null,19499.681054050852,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$2)","v":19491.399777137514},2100,null,2.2588017225377932E-11]

{"sheet":"FAT","index":35,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["AUSTRIA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D32","v":8958.9599999999991},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D32","v":8958.9599999999991},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D32","v":8958.9599999999991},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.statistik.at/statistiken/tourismus-und-verkehr/fahrzeuge/kfz-bestand",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":759.016671577951},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":747.85466170180473},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":725.53064194951207}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.99995451928185441},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":0.6271360655935978},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H41:H98,I41:I98,2,1)","v":0.95817749146195708},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.9543035144707569},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M41:M98,N41:N98,2,1)","v":0.54450847977113759},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99595267620301298},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R41:R98,S41:S98,2,1)","v":2.3617803824725202E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.95730099761693177},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W41:W98,X41:X98,2,1)","v":0.87346545298080258},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.93203928377595502}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,241471.53810016127,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":6.4063620960883163E-5},"a",6800,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":102337.7130490651},null,null,"a",6700,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":361.72979770244871},null,null,"a",6500,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":13343.690959739797},null,null,"a",5.272506584555801,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":6.2620823711510339E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.2937191067526557E-5,null,"b",0.56666148254727999,null,null,null,"b",27.35491000920404,null,null,null,"b",98.230673661843099,null,null,null,"b",19.397505753792746]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.200751103035788E-2,null,"c",3.1398905619247554E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.0490135799517549E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.1441647074875258,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13886526571135044]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":78.546880597704828},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1981.9104145545257},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":223.03938594934476},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2036.5663727713131},null,null,"Max increase",339.76537567306372,{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2031.8199828905094}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,4097.1450000000004,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A41-2000)))","v":3858.4329503448384},{"$f":"(I41-H41)^2","v":56983.442650568526},2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AU!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,307.91500000000002,null,null,null,null,null,4156.7430000000004,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":4189.5448186699396},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":1075.9593080555696},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,308.59399999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":260.36800000000034},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":6.2637502486923125E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":6.1881542580847652E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":5.7147537959363658E-7},4204.9690000000001,4252.7391101397998,2281.9834227685965,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,298.18200000000002,null,257.56800000000044,6.1253245862216921E-2,6.1142958099819941E-2,1.2163390534532597E-8,4245.5829999999996,4314.8893258965954,4803.3668092851467,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,293.697,null,254.36099999999976,5.9911913157745307E-2,6.0413188778305017E-2,2.5127724776752258E-7,4284.9189999999999,4375.984875066506,8292.993601628501,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,319.40300000000002,null,244.37799999999947,5.7032116593102339E-2,5.9692129409898015E-2,7.0756681855172669E-6,4359.9440000000004,4436.0171444653406,5787.1233088445188,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,328.56299999999999,null,247.48000000000036,5.6762196945648921E-2,5.8979676043698928E-2,4.9172135502886726E-6,4441.027,4494.9794059448104,2910.8621072336105,2010,0.17299999999999999,{"$f":"AT!$Q51","v":0.17299999999999999},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.10461841374276633},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":4.6760413390554874E-3},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.17299999999999999},{"$f":"M51","v":0.17299999999999999},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":5.2718509701646362E-7},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":2.9928817594234349E-2},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.10461841374276633},2010]
[2011,356.14499999999998,null,283.75099999999975,6.3893104004996981E-2,5.827572596933224E-2,3.1554935995568666E-5,4513.4210000000003,4552.8667240891291,1555.9651489156774,2011,0.68400000000000005,{"$f":"AT!$Q52","v":0.85699996319942262},0.27255085664686901,0.34158075815007821,2011,0.68400000000000005,0.85699996319942262,1.1932246570214592E-5,0.73442848519644699,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.27255085664686901},2011,2.3337222870478415E-3,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V52-2000))-X$34*(V52-2000))","v":4.5738776925887292E-2},{"$f":"(X52-W52)^2","v":1.8839987682006383E-3}]
[2012,336.01,null,265.22900000000004,5.8764515873879264E-2,5.7580177702145213E-2,1.4026569050263537E-6,4584.2020000000002,4609.6758646300495,648.91777919007779,2012,1.2949999999999999,{"$f":"AT!$Q53","v":2.151997536078853},0.6535968284036322,2.2452046807616024,2012,1.2949999999999999,2.151997536078853,1.7766354485525748E-4,4.6303287638322299,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":0.6535968284036322},2012,9.0148698884758363E-2,6.8718401094716858E-2,4.5925766336985782E-4]
[2013,319.03500000000003,null,261.92900000000026,5.7137316374802037E-2,5.6892930968582715E-2,5.972422677298293E-8,4641.308,4665.4052039094759,580.67523625485899,2013,0.83399999999999996,{"$f":"AT!$Q54","v":2.9859660877326464},1.4531414729437258,2.349551299702803,2013,0.83399999999999996,2.9859660877326464,1.8408148618872411E-3,8.9050036441859817,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":1.4531414729437258},2013,9.1761553918285332E-2,9.618798162394579E-2,1.9593262233438499E-5]
[2014,303.31799999999998,null,249.7049999999997,5.3800566564425306E-2,5.6213886691736506E-2,5.8241140368853455E-6,4694.9210000000003,4720.0546396818154,631.69984365531127,2014,1.65,{"$f":"AT!$Q55","v":4.6357618742365725},3.01498222747782,2.6269266633474264,2014,1.65,4.6357618742365725,1.3934709998439865E-2,21.361286336089503,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":3.01498222747782},2014,0.10418464193270059,0.12659411743901353,5.0218459246803928E-4]
[2015,308.55500000000001,null,255.42800000000051,5.4405175294749475E-2,5.5542946977066888E-2,1.2945244010833975E-6,4748.0479999999998,4773.6255035133381,654.20868597483525,2015,2.7949999999999999,{"$f":"AT!$Q56","v":7.429892264465531},5.8727002899926148,2.4248468453628589,2015,2.7949999999999999,7.429892264465531,8.0382951126087634E-2,54.015287146863223,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":5.8727002899926148},2015,0.19741622930964878,0.15791380770370289,1.5604413127339005E-3]
[2016,329.60399999999998,null,256.09499999999997,5.3936902070071742E-2,5.488001509829471E-2,8.8946218400389683E-7,4821.5569999999998,4826.1204750029547,20.825304102593989,2016,5.1950000000000003,{"$f":"AT!$Q57","v":12.622123903436355},10.797911267548939,3.3277517409313164,2016,5.1950000000000003,12.622123903436355,0.36648242173784445,150.20074812792927,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":10.797911267548939},2016,0.20980516394741008,0.18800080519966664,4.7543006040029614E-4]
[2017,353.32,null,276.29899999999935,5.7304932825641045E-2,5.4224995483461574E-2,9.4860140317515385E-6,4898.5780000000004,4877.5434980180689,442.45027362788011,2017,7.5119999999999996,{"$f":"AT!$Q58","v":20.126909178292024},18.834662827780093,1.6699006304114046,2017,7.5119999999999996,20.126909178292024,1.3629605139983334,352.08576947624891,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":18.834662827780093},2017,0.2219187605521899,0.21491169310756081,4.9098994173580838E-5]
[2018,341.06799999999998,null,260.79342200000042,5.3238597405206242E-2,5.3577793701156416E-2,1.1505412718631804E-7,4978.852578,4927.8996991104996,2596.1958671280981,2018,9.3719999999999999,{"$f":"AT!$Q59","v":29.482561587321154},31.309198943455325,3.3366040308248337,2018,9.3719999999999999,29.482561587321154,4.2494271077631884,636.711075663457,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":31.309198943455325},2018,0.22361911216536767,0.23714180907912669,1.8286333182138755E-4]
[2019,320.38099999999997,null,259.68557800000019,5.2157715845508247E-2,5.2938316446906324E-2,6.0933729890303879E-7,5039.5479999999998,4977.1953082507735,3887.8581683740363,2019,12.504,{"$f":"AT!$Q60","v":41.953134845145868},49.807026633376339,61.683616221234011,2019,12.504,41.953134845145868,11.373028305471657,935.14291597782551,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":49.807026633376339},2019,0.22290188984624171,0.25374322212767814,9.511877768939728E-4]
[2020,257.721,null,205.44199999999955,null,5.2306471529729705E-2,null,5091.8270000000002,5025.4375819945062,4407.5548231082121,2020,24.431000000000001,{"$f":"AT!$Q61","v":66.321149939794324},76.114238003424944,95.904573822024531,2020,24.431000000000001,66.321149939794324,26.669923122386809,1572.2197881254972,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$3)","v":76.114238003424944},2020,0.25776205884566178,0.26433302514207202,4.317759806855932E-5]
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{"sheet":"FBE","index":36,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["BELGIUM",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D33","v":11686.14},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D33","v":11686.14},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D33","v":11686.14},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://statbel.fgov.be/en/themes/mobility/traffic/vehicle-stock#figures",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":744.47165616704922},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":714.52164701090362},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":714.52164701090362}]
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["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"BE!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,480.08800000000002,null,null,null,null,null,4861,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":4882.4327916018692},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":459.36455584915541},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,526.14099999999996,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":458.14099999999996},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":9.424830281835013E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":9.0105856396460751E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.7159862358224115E-5},4929,4956.038155166606,731.06183481346136,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,524.79499999999996,null,447.79499999999996,9.084905660377357E-2,8.9185694909667532E-2,2.7667721254193109E-6,5006,5028.8037560463117,520.01128981969828,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,535.947,null,454.947,9.088034358769477E-2,8.8274929859108925E-2,6.7881806971035966E-6,5087,5100.7116629818856,188.00970172881296,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,476.19400000000002,null,403.19400000000002,7.9259681541183416E-2,8.7373465296198577E-2,6.583348682314792E-5,5160,5171.7455120387194,137.95705305170296,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
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[2015,501.06599999999997,null,424.73099999999994,7.7068560064451966E-2,8.2154737221766971E-2,2.5869198075592951E-5,5587.415,5578.8631369853983,73.13436102051115,2015,3.879,{"$f":"BE!$Q56","v":8.4146830156684285},1.117904280773921,53.242979906008692,2015,3.879,8.4146830156684285,1.1177981013965521,53.244529452128489,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":1.117904280773921},2015,0.37541567695961997,0.39707207065375927,4.6899938783555631E-4]
[2016,539.51900000000001,null,456.93399999999997,8.1779141159194366E-2,8.1315770554557937E-2,2.1471231724112967E-7,5670,5643.4425115742397,705.30019148439294,2016,9.5980000000000008,{"$f":"BE!$Q57","v":17.996335099981476},3.6473684927122911,205.89284269652615,2016,9.5980000000000008,17.996335099981476,3.6471013816290081,205.90050830390337,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":3.6473684927122911},2016,0.57081807081807079,0.50485184751827916,4.3515426164379718E-3]
[2017,546.55799999999999,null,481.27800000000025,8.488148148148153E-2,8.0485371226094185E-2,1.9325785377521788E-5,5735.28,5707.0678395393707,795.92599785628352,2017,14.884,{"$f":"BE!$Q58","v":32.833782432694001},10.17319933620575,513.50202627284909,2017,14.884,32.833782432694001,10.172633869644274,513.5276541966108,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":10.17319933620575},2017,0.66670719105221565,0.59407849776981136,5.2749270879095577E-3]
[2018,549.63199999999995,null,502.2279999999995,8.75681745267885E-2,7.9663451752995565E-2,6.2484642130520679E-5,5782.6840000000002,5769.7347736086404,167.68246413469026,2018,13.853999999999999,{"$f":"BE!$Q59","v":46.578150305782707},24.766671446102205,475.74061004628948,2018,13.853999999999999,46.578150305782707,24.765647918378143,475.78526040052981,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":24.766671446102205},2018,0.67105825990247236,0.65596436239283984,2.2782574203129095E-4]
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[2020,431.49099999999999,null,432.11200000000008,null,7.8044706896393118E-2,null,5888.5889999999999,5892.1815003038482,12.906058433150005,2020,48.509,{"$f":"BE!$Q61","v":112.63904668742904},104.6583988340589,63.69074015950148,2020,48.509,112.63904668742904,104.65622924122744,63.72537437938076,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$4)","v":104.6583988340589},2020,0.64549485617567448,0.68991006775244845,1.9727110194095966E-3]
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{"sheet":"FBR","index":37,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["BRAZIL",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D34","v":216422.446},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D34","v":216422.446},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D34","v":216422.446},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.sindipecas.org.br/sindinews/Economia/2023/RelatorioFrotaCirculante_2023.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":267.9943835400511},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":267.9943835400511},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":267.9943835400511}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.92587755861846566},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":5.4521295160976535E-2},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.14157298209210212},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.94971106779085823},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.33350407196169529},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99380871098718582},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":3.7059996211951725E-2},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.9906366160517015},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.91592636320440202},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.87497108237279531}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,393756.5018090065,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":2.5826959804118986E-4},"a",58000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":69654402.467668459},null,null,"a",58000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":34.607989442097818},null,null,"a",58000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":220.2101024949485},null,null,"a",5.467561750101094,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":8.1183724909960883E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,3.7402923276752427E-5,null,"b",1.3510657022637844,null,null,null,"b",168.22116735314822,null,null,null,"b",291.69645648752629,null,null,null,"b",2658.95175912893]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.4577331636114227E-3,null,"c",5.568236997310777E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.14024533010091303,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.16317836145875675,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.38921473854207178]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":1188.0951506308866},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":2005.4037514972956},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":2992.4156725368439},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2036.5450998066433},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":3481.7379366337054},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2034.7822694030244}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"BR!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,1439.8219999999999,null,null,null,null,null,18925.913525,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":20857.353025961733},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":3730458.5458753076},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
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[2087,null,1927.5378371115933,1892.5967457138088,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57386.357628179867,null,2087,null,null,57951.005323954836,null,2087,null,null,57988.442958167252,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N128<=I128),N128,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S128<=I128),S128,I128))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57386.357628179867},2087,null,1.1136575910041642E-11]
[2088,null,{"$f":"I129-I128+F129*I128","v":1926.8180559591262},{"$f":"I128-I129+C129","v":1893.7498017299356},null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57419.425882409058,null,2088,null,null,57957.414168885502,null,2088,null,null,57990.182842957998,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N129<=I129),N129,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S129<=I129),S129,I129))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57419.425882409058},2088,null,7.5460185498422861E-12]
[2089,null,1926.1358505904518,1894.8410541194989,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57450.72067888001,null,2089,null,null,57962.984960003443,null,2089,null,null,57991.660811121757,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N130<=I130),N130,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S130<=I130),S130,I130))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57450.72067888001},2089,null,5.1130972764428657E-12]
[2090,null,1925.4893330426794,1895.8737824030404,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57480.336229519649,null,2090,null,null,57967.827220087136,null,2090,null,null,57992.916285495667,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N131<=I131),N131,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S131<=I131),S131,I131))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57480.336229519649},2090,null,3.4645771920218787E-12]
[2091,null,1924.87670228347,1896.8510955741485,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57508.361836228971,null,2091,null,null,57972.036174725574,null,2091,null,null,57993.982756580255,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57508.361836228971},2091,null,2.3475585287174124E-12]
[2092,null,1924.2962410891028,1897.7759405955562,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57534.882136722517,null,2092,null,null,57975.694614764572,null,2092,null,null,57994.888674828995,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57534.882136722517},2092,null,1.5906792489552703E-12]
[2093,null,1923.7463129288542,1898.6511105118432,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57559.977339139528,null,2093,null,null,57978.874517098579,null,2093,null,null,57995.658208840796,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57559.977339139528},2093,null,1.0778263639028512E-12]
[2094,null,1923.2253588717379,1899.4792521916045,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57583.723445819662,null,2094,null,null,57981.63845492743,null,2094,null,null,57996.311889576624,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57583.723445819662},2094,null,7.303230186016073E-13]
[2095,null,1922.7318945293541,1900.262873712049,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57606.192466636967,null,2095,null,null,57984.040824647855,null,2095,null,null,57996.867157710905,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57606.192466636967},2095,null,4.9485866124852754E-13]
[2096,null,1922.264507046169,1901.0043513990199,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57627.452622284116,null,2096,null,null,57986.12891308737,null,2096,null,null,57997.338828666201,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57627.452622284116},2096,null,3.3531066168717468E-13]
[2097,null,1921.8218521468641,1901.7059365353759,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57647.568537895604,null,2097,null,null,57987.943825755421,null,2097,null,null,57997.739487698804,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57647.568537895604},2097,null,2.2720273210418923E-13]
[2098,null,1921.4026512482542,1902.369761750555,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57666.601427393303,null,2098,null,null,57989.521294134829,null,2098,null,null,57998.079825548411,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57666.601427393303},2098,null,1.539500152362191E-13]
[2099,null,1921.0056886422387,1902.9978471039792,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57684.609268931563,null,2099,null,null,57990.892377717617,null,2099,null,null,57998.36892358699,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57684.609268931563},2099,null,1.0431479838175218E-13]
[2100,null,1920.629808754632,1903.5921058747417,null,3.3000000000000002E-2,null,null,57701.646971811453,null,2100,null,null,57992.084074465209,null,2100,null,null,57998.61449606072,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$5)","v":57701.646971811453},2100,null,7.0682533838849998E-14]

{"sheet":"FCA","index":38,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["CANADA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D35","v":38781.290999999997},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D35","v":38781.290999999997},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D35","v":38781.290999999997},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/topics-start/automotive",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":850.92577242980394},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":850.92577242980394},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":850.92577242980394}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.99361390803656491},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":0.24113921869762073},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.71639551786909972},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.99471852100852676},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.66453716510204752},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99789826303486417},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":2.2521019680913422E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.93004291822640928},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.99238622284211297},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.80765928061910663}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,100000.00002226472,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":6.6961290067212855E-4},"a",33000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":656787.48554082983},null,null,"a",33000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":1432.6279549527792},null,null,"a",33000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":88987.915442083817},null,null,"a",15.283257675164364,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":2.1606691964280014E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.0927378282595596E-2,null,"b",0.69316042735335714,null,null,null,"b",27.447630903352827,null,null,null,"b",92.232081678212012,null,null,null,"b",2.7511807225255391]
[null,null,null,null,null,3.2397882317410677E-5,null,"c",3.6173637654107499E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",8.3490653082227931E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13399182289149711,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.10182856489741053]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":439.14874097593326},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1989.8684834191813},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":1013.5783283646495},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2039.672463156804},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":1626.6636185866055},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2033.7655532245979}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,16832.18,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A41-2000)))","v":16499.781429356386},{"$f":"(I41-H41)^2","v":110488.80976591779},2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,17054.797999999999,16911.150144083727,20634.706509341901,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,17543.659,17317.617297509627,51094.851264746161,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,17768.773000000001,17718.896353899923,2487.6798261924037,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,17989.919000000002,18114.72537088882,15576.63021443732,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CA!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,1583.395,null,null,null,null,null,18275.275000000001,18504.866416350975,52712.218462045974,2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,1614.7629999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":1151.0970000000025},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":6.2986576125393587E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":6.6383500340123067E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.1539094120615492E-5},18738.940999999999,18889.104909919599,22549.199842341735,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,1653.364,null,1193.3449999999998,6.3682627529485253E-2,6.6381394687405018E-2,7.2833441726663277E-6,19198.96,19267.248900501138,4663.3739316543824,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,1637.44,null,1223.4649999999979,6.37255872193076E-2,6.6379289100019528E-2,7.0421336716940255E-6,19612.935000000001,19639.128290446148,686.08846439618537,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,1460.6559999999999,null,1196.6009999999997,6.1010807408478106E-2,6.6377183577964627E-2,2.8797993192432826E-5,19876.990000000002,20004.594016321593,16282.784981400911,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,1554.701,null,1163.7090000000017,5.8545534308766141E-2,6.6375078121238412E-2,6.1301756311422833E-5,20267.982,20363.517195503555,9126.9735799024493,2010,2E-3,{"$f":"CA!$Q51","v":2E-3},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.22186705129083997},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":4.8341520243328856E-2},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":2E-3},{"$f":"M51","v":2E-3},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":1.069538671829833E-6},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":3.9957229892256504E-6},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":0.22186705129083997},2010]
[2011,1581.9870000000001,null,1241.8680000000013,6.1272404919246591E-2,6.6372972729838955E-2,2.6015791990450985E-5,20608.100999999999,20715.788247081542,11596.543184001361,2011,0.52100000000000002,{"$f":"CA!$Q52","v":0.52299999881961101},0.57597730825214988,2.8065953147109715E-3,2011,0.52100000000000002,0.52299999881961101,2.2109865454169204E-5,0.27350587233494644,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":0.57597730825214988},2011,0.52581261950286806,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V52-2000))-X$34*(V52-2000))","v":0.5693027802451841},{"$f":"(X52-W52)^2","v":1.8913940813924874E-3}]
[2012,1672.1320000000001,null,1628.2400000000002,7.9009705940396954E-2,6.63708674037643E-2,1.5974023955507067E-4,20651.992999999999,21061.315994845088,167545.31410895346,2012,1.8740000000000001,{"$f":"CA!$Q53","v":2.3969996181455508},1.3852602409658079,1.0236165673360542,2012,1.8740000000000001,2.3969996181455508,3.1262390878152312E-4,5.7441085483436796,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":1.3852602409658079},2012,0.65206508135168961,0.56086538844020606,8.3173839871489037E-3]
[2013,1739.462,null,1129.7949999999987,5.4706342385453972E-2,6.6368762143012544E-2,1.3601203460149254E-4,21261.66,21400.026759416916,19145.360111538841,2013,3.0409999999999999,{"$f":"CA!$Q54","v":5.4379787376113393},3.1054822604923826,5.4405398157723432,2013,3.0409999999999999,5.4379787376113393,3.1709572702887513E-3,29.537135609255618,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":3.1054822604923826},2013,0.5597646193453476,0.54792391767768545,1.4020221598257739E-4]
[2014,1846.94,null,1379.0039999999985,6.4858717522526393E-2,6.6366656947581718E-2,2.2738813096361813E-6,21729.596000000001,21731.863445911589,5.1413109619764841,2014,5.2350000000000003,{"$f":"CA!$Q55","v":10.672720124312034},6.5259501364383228,17.195701332330142,2014,5.2350000000000003,10.672720124312034,2.4053722561220976E-2,113.39409613577659,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":6.5259501364383228},2014,0.49732971048439989,0.5312291484273598,1.14917189284859E-3]
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[2096,null,2161.8110936101034,2136.2285886508503,null,6.6194253025427779E-2,null,null,32297.698149654901,null,2096,null,null,32702.055087832665,null,2096,null,null,32992.112838144494,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":32297.698149654901},2096,null,2.4326113842176528E-4]
[2097,null,2162.5470273000028,2137.8541853796305,null,6.6192153244904642E-2,null,null,32322.390991575274,null,2097,null,null,32725.821138884763,null,2097,null,null,32993.101806813429,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":32322.390991575274},2097,null,2.1971298495645331E-4]
[2098,null,2163.254248902133,2139.420789935099,null,6.6190053529540313E-2,null,null,32346.224450542308,null,2098,null,null,32747.698773504875,null,2098,null,null,32993.966780360148,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":32346.224450542308},2098,null,1.9844404795998921E-4]
[2099,null,2163.9337836636441,2140.9304121030436,null,6.6187953879332878E-2,null,null,32369.227822102908,null,2099,null,null,32767.836917608969,null,2099,null,null,32994.723302405757,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":32369.227822102908},2099,null,1.7923377655303352E-4]
[2100,null,2164.5866201677723,2142.3849962520703,null,6.6185854294280394E-2,null,null,32391.42944601861,null,2100,null,null,32786.372925557655,null,2100,null,null,32995.384968700702,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$6)","v":32391.42944601861},2100,null,1.6188295182991964E-4]

{"sheet":"FCN","index":39,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["CHINA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Vehicle Sales",null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.marklines.com",null,null,null,null,null,null,"Stock: https://www.statista.com/statistics/278423/amount-of-passenger-cars-in-china/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D36","v":1425671.352},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D36","v":1425671.352},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D36","v":1425671.352},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":409.11204115069137},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":408.90279459020798},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":408.90279459020798}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.97901104236523939},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":1.884564224140186E-2},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.72588507811548286},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.99921134226989738},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.28206962476113356},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99566601023572143},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":1.7969620936746651E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.98562031354766022},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.55168844093907432},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":1.2837630961221995E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,769641.74523455964,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":3.8580418459160877E-4},"a",583259.3168267858,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":103042655.31309342},null,null,"a",582961,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":3615203.8443265823},null,null,"a",582961,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":26441756.648362804},null,null,"a",236.53010994895729,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":5.3369996000526575E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,6.1727614409725542E-3,null,"b",5.675466130385896,null,null,null,"b",59.980440506671812,null,null,null,"b",111.31047144156851,null,null,null,"b",7.3959928647968479E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,3.4470017086745254E-6,null,"c",9.3127865487912798E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.12707891512534986,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.15284165794731133,"Tmax",null,null,"c",1.8073689175399837E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":19982.363356638685},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":2018.6426768015276},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":27253.263684724378},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2032.2163477196946},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":32778.325200052008},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2030.8314068309401}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CN!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,3971.1010000000001,null,null,null,null,null,21325,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":16542.797619931611},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":22869459.603931766},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,5175.9610000000002,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":304.96100000000024},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":1.4300633059788992E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":1.6274958305547146E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":3.8979601760379955E-6},26196,22708.859058053135,12160151.949002072,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,6297.5379999999996,null,533.53799999999956,2.0367155290884089E-2,1.6274902552116534E-2,1.6746532477950555E-5,31960,30307.288349547256,2731455.7995422329,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,6755.6090000000004,null,326.60900000000038,1.021930538172717E-2,1.6274846798875725E-2,3.6669581854801527E-5,38389,39423.228899823647,1069629.4172304317,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,10331.315000000001,null,269.31500000000051,7.0154210841647481E-3,1.6274791045824719E-2,8.5735932086890965E-5,48451,50095.860506692523,2705566.0864767833,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,13757.794,null,968.79399999999987,1.9995335493591462E-2,1.6274735292963513E-2,1.3842865852912737E-5,61240,62315.930328213275,1157626.0711691258,2010,1.0629999999999999,{"$f":"CN!$Q51","v":1.0629999999999999},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":2.8574479761468489E-2},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":1.0700361569207566},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":1.0629999999999999},{"$f":"M51","v":1.0629999999999999},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":1.9115585399455726E-5},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":1.1299283606308461},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":2.8574479761468489E-2},2010,0.39228598306679208,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V51-2000))-X$34*(V51-2000))","v":0.24810027776642002},{"$f":"(X51-W51)^2","v":2.0789517612965738E-2}]
[2011,14472.415999999999,null,932.41599999999926,1.5225604180274318E-2,1.6274679540292106E-2,1.1005591109964519E-6,74780,76026.792747443615,1554492.1550779971,2011,4.181,{"$f":"CN!$Q52","v":5.2439994848910958},0.21295252762894357,25.31143348617676,2011,4.181,5.2439994848910958,5.852839890754431E-4,27.493392482220969,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":0.21295252762894357},2011,0.19641495041952708,0.24392602579340195,2.2573022831820183E-3]
[2012,15495.24,null,845.23999999999978,1.1303022198448779E-2,1.6274623787810499E-2,2.4716822363343982E-5,89430,91128.493636379237,2884880.6328207627,2012,10.435,{"$f":"CN!$Q53","v":15.678990247365977},1.2487919503458731,208.2306228913219,2012,10.435,15.678990247365977,1.1033958673321241E-2,245.48485426438373,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":1.2487919503458731},2012,0.1434402704254098,0.2398172555567083,9.2885232629985326E-3]
[2013,17927.73,null,1755.7299999999996,1.9632449960863239E-2,1.6274568035518692E-2,1.1275371024555607E-5,105602,107484.1886021236,3542633.9339639866,2013,12.891,{"$f":"CN!$Q54","v":28.569931071765751},5.9295635624525698,512.58624095676385,2013,12.891,28.569931071765751,0.13719333832035349,808.42057501888962,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":5.9295635624525698},2013,0.11886594329716485,0.23577310906465737,1.3667285407787975E-2]
[2014,19707.677,null,2039.6769999999997,1.9314757296263325E-2,1.627451228341668E-2,9.2430897381388926E-6,123270,124928.07511136762,2749213.0749367564,2014,63.209000000000003,{"$f":"CN!$Q55","v":91.778696078996987},23.378722965968016,4678.5563218630869,2014,63.209000000000003,91.778696078996987,1.1934163825972688,8205.6928976749678,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":23.378722965968016},2014,0.2297148585188333,0.23179273327306149,4.3175634942588498E-6]
[2015,21210.339,null,3520.3389999999999,2.8557954084529893E-2,1.6274456531504469E-2,1.5088431213518161E-4,140960,143274.02680829994,5354720.0695308037,2015,189.387,{"$f":"CN!$Q56","v":281.16500243743678},78.256205554114061,41171.979852637523,2015,189.387,281.16500243743678,7.6400697422779986,74815.88880589114,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":78.256205554114061},2015,0.30327991293399625,0.22787528032790955,5.6858586184589145E-3]
[2016,24376.901999999998,null,2556.9019999999982,1.8139202610669682E-2,1.6274400779782053E-2,3.4774858684818526E-6,162780,162324.21361605759,207741.22778729789,2016,370.60300000000001,{"$f":"CN!$Q57","v":651.76606499788215},226.77831150342445,180614.59062026595,2016,370.60300000000001,651.76606499788215,37.594252799204114,377207.01489940821,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":226.77831150342445},2016,0.26224628664450134,0.22401990779388581,1.4612560400307862E-3]
[2017,24718.321,null,2798.3209999999999,1.719081582503993E-2,1.6274345028249437E-2,8.3991872136980255E-7,184700,181877.13847244644,7968547.2037419947,2017,647.60900000000004,{"$f":"CN!$Q58","v":1299.3695668329258},578.81692712401866,519196.10659147409,2017,647.60900000000004,1299.3695668329258,147.59171313698997,1326592.2242644166,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":578.81692712401866},2017,0.21990906418301678,0.22022577886923189,1.0030819246433447E-7]
[2018,23709.781999999999,null,2859.7819999999992,1.5483389279913369E-2,1.627428927690661E-2,6.2552280524390845E-7,205550,201734.68914304773,14556596.935177894,2018,1160.5899999999999,{"$f":"CN!$Q59","v":2459.9448630378952},1321.0475272794956,1297087.1413975807,2018,1160.5899999999999,2459.9448630378952,477.3321576847751,3930753.1394276172,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":1321.0475272794956},2018,0.22766800218539432,0.21649206258744336,1.2490162589704832E-4]
[2019,21472.091,null,2282.0910000000003,1.1102364388226711E-2,1.6274233525753582E-2,2.6748230375702939E-5,224740,221707.9668582239,9193224.9728286751,2019,1208.0070000000001,{"$f":"CN!$Q60","v":3667.9162311242148},2732.3002354762439,875377.29131234402,2019,1208.0070000000001,3667.9162311242148,1307.1609718108393,5573165.3943757629,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":2732.3002354762439},2019,0.2176162596528057,0.21281793400628107,2.3023929010096024E-5]
[2020,20177.731,null,3257.7309999999998,1.4495554863397703E-2,1.6274177774790347E-2,null,241660,241621.79618474666,1459.531499910956,2020,1331.336,{"$f":"CN!$Q61","v":4999.1735560630523},5181.730463974036,33327.024626019374,2020,1331.336,4999.1735560630523,3103.3264898844459,3594236.0983380293,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$7)","v":5181.730463974036},2020,0.2074153818396175,0.20920257438456347,3.1940571927104537E-6]
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{"sheet":"FDK","index":40,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["DENMARK",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D37","v":5910.9129999999996},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D37","v":5910.9129999999996},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D37","v":5910.9129999999996},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":761.30371061120343},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":727.46799013959435},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":727.46799013959435}]
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["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"DK!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,148.81899999999999,null,null,null,null,null,1971,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":1919.4879610159214},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":2653.4901602972304},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,156.93600000000001,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":101.93600000000001},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":5.1717909690512431E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":5.6862863821392176E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":2.6470553008856551E-5},2026,1973.48806139823,2757.5036957160619,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,162.68600000000001,null,113.68600000000001,5.611352418558737E-2,5.6858105259974916E-2,5.5440097633611208E-7,2075,2027.175094262333,2287.2216088167334,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,150.19900000000001,null,120.19900000000001,5.7927228915662654E-2,5.6853347095846406E-2,1.1532221629318573E-6,2105,2080.5034668077942,600.08013843683989,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,112.45399999999999,null,91.453999999999994,4.3446080760095006E-2,5.6848589328973617E-2,1.796272359388646E-4,2126,2133.4300569864999,55.205746822636698,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
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[2015,207.71700000000001,null,148.88900000000004,6.4143889380020108E-2,5.6820051068258735E-2,5.3638607616823674E-5,2380,2440.4489443801485,3654.0748766742909,2015,4.7690000000000001,{"$f":"DK!$Q56","v":7.9535201846095482},6.1223045700638483,3.3533506269559856,2015,4.7690000000000001,7.9535201846095482,6.122311532338621,3.3533251281519054,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":6.1223045700638483},2015,2.2968418424666081E-2,2.1705924111887092E-3,4.3254956688687599E-4]
[2016,222.92400000000001,null,182.92400000000001,7.6858823529411771E-2,5.6815296081251888E-2,4.017429925651386E-4,2420,2489.5625921860465,4838.9542316422121,2016,1.4530000000000001,{"$f":"DK!$Q57","v":9.4051712206776958},12.018324025269107,6.82856758014396,2016,1.4530000000000001,9.4051712206776958,12.018337231404926,6.8286365996200669,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":12.018324025269107},2016,3.6031276415891794E-2,1.9073594086577071E-2,2.875629899819528E-4]
[2017,221.821,null,111.83799999999982,4.6214049586776787E-2,5.6810541491236759E-2,1.1228564068128572E-4,2529.9830000000002,2538.0174093795486,64.55173407817496,2017,1.0229999999999999,{"$f":"DK!$Q58","v":10.424371837315984},22.010432618265718,134.23680441986153,2017,1.0229999999999999,10.424371837315984,22.010455868365046,134.23734317453008,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":22.010432618265718},2017,5.5401926194335843E-2,8.0208483084382456E-2,6.1536526473911907E-4]
[2018,218.566,null,154.95800000000028,6.1248632895952372E-2,5.6805787298180366E-2,1.9738877005642095E-5,2593.5909999999999,2585.7917353248863,60.828529472474706,2018,4.7629999999999999,{"$f":"DK!$Q59","v":15.177925069012662},37.876599969010059,515.22984221577178,2018,4.7629999999999999,15.177925069012662,37.876638259344567,515.23158049694757,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":37.876599969010059},2018,0.24662295081967214,0.20024865101929293,2.1505756819754519E-3]
[2019,225.41,null,168.77400000000003,6.5073483058816925E-2,5.6801033502049715E-2,6.843342166925801E-5,2650.2269999999999,2632.8660539054786,301.40244929687424,2019,9.5519999999999996,{"$f":"DK!$Q60","v":24.708776151363708},61.638769425193942,1363.8244032051464,2019,9.5519999999999996,24.708776151363708,61.638828825372173,1363.8287905050397,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":61.638769425193942},2019,0.30622530441093465,0.34571620751860649,1.5595314282595251E-3]
[2020,198.16200000000001,null,128.11799999999968,4.8342274076899713E-2,5.6796280102811812E-2,7.1470217886158082E-5,2720.2710000000002,2679.222924612322,1684.9444930325112,2020,33.094999999999999,{"$f":"DK!$Q61","v":57.761040774670128},95.405618433140177,1417.1142270845824,2020,33.094999999999999,57.761040774670128,95.405705773011832,1417.120802837373,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":95.405618433140177},2020,0.44957424391591971,0.45976220648342209,1.0379458127682956E-4]
[2021,185.32400000000001,null,123.73500000000007,4.5486276918733484E-2,5.6791527100433704E-2,1.2780868167083285E-4,2781.86,2724.8469103049729,3250.4923965732219,2021,67.111999999999995,{"$f":"DK!$Q62","v":124.79456385466048},141.17913420466783,268.45414555434002,2021,67.111999999999995,124.79456385466048,141.17925660056142,268.45815637757875,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":141.17913420466783},2021,0.53442124630029608,0.50835157993851654,6.7962750421449983E-4]
[2022,148.29300000000001,null,{"$f":"H62-I63+B63","v":160.42849768701569},5.7669508058283192E-2,5.678677449488239E-2,7.792185439542774E-7,2855.1703565800003,2769.7245023129844,7300.9940114201154,2022,59.462000000000003,{"$f":"DK!$Q63","v":184.12403359501377},200.65627131176583,273.31488392319949,2022,59.462000000000003,184.12403359501377,200.65643559687666,273.32031595120014,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":200.65627131176583},2022,0.50744820408296021,0.49325106425535092,2.0155877928468977E-4]
[2023,172.798,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":128.67845881617563},4.5068574811875727E-2,5.678202228612491E-2,1.3720485173199457E-4,null,2813.8440434968088,null,2023,82.616,{"$f":"DK!$Q64","v":266.53009247058418},275.0571645338631,72.710957972351849,2023,82.616,266.53009247058418,275.05737667609128,72.714575921490876,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":275.0571645338631},2023,0.41438567722080577,0.43635404986970083,4.8260939684072066E-4]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":203.11399067163873},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":159.76238432963308},null,5.6777270474128276E-2,null,null,2857.1956498388145,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*1.201031","v":99.224377095999998},{"$f":"DK!$R65","v":364.93301676813326},365.0043612470181,5.0900346673492655E-3,2024,99.224377095999998,364.93301676813326,365.00462583622038,5.1278586323068656E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":365.0043612470181},2024,0.36736091023045031,0.3615905384220563]
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[2026,null,206.40631478445027,164.61353493949798,null,5.6767768040285702E-2,null,null,2941.5639109325557,null,2026,null,null,590.76601357067204,null,2026,null,null,590.76638958460603,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N67<=I67),N67,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S67<=I67),S67,I67))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":590.76601357067204},2026,null,0.21907230978022077]
[2027,null,207.97707972176471,166.97204351352451,null,5.6763017418373828E-2,null,null,2982.5689471407959,null,2027,null,null,724.64681959183997,null,2027,null,null,724.64725061784338,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N68<=I68),N68,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S68<=I68),S68,I68))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":724.64681959183997},2027,null,0.16391287852793848]
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[2030,null,212.40194135211877,173.7762368382474,null,5.6748767932280321E-2,null,null,3100.8285182492955,null,2030,null,null,1188.9032209503757,null,2030,null,null,1188.9037928393491,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N71<=I71),N71,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S71<=I71),S71,I71))*(1+Control!$F$8)","v":1188.9032209503757},2030,null,6.3347043162774036E-2]
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{"sheet":"FFI","index":41,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["FINLAND",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
[5,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D38","v":5545.4750000000004},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D38","v":5545.4750000000004},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D38","v":5545.4750000000004},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":847.53785744232903},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":847.53785744232903},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":847.53785744232903}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,185101.67308242532,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":7.6112328634936647E-4},"a",4700,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":7532.5232089565388},null,null,"a",4700,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":313.83968170631647},null,null,"a",4700,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":7921.3759908596257},null,null,"a",15.624176070367692,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":2.9417181929326765E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.4773372370010102E-3,null,"b",0.92554446227361176,null,null,null,"b",31.107772836509898,null,null,null,"b",186.98731474914081,null,null,null,"b",10.180246977526208]
[null,null,null,null,null,5.7365841114356188E-5,null,"c",6.2811835329235829E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.432513885738017E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.16903042486279568,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13272425763749576]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":108.60375953539811},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1998.7681763100466},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":163.09131304497706},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2036.4426467857061},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":292.25924572563468},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2030.9473326073319}]
["Year"," Actual Sales (thsd)","Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Actual Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"FI!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,148.161,null,null,null,null,null,2423.6963519999999,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":2390.4333736959256},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":1106.4257256573173},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,145.69999999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":67.919051999999908},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":2.8022921247520989E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":1.5658584270173484E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.5287682888940284E-4},2501.4773,2490.8768377091606,112.36980077950936,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,142.35900000000001,null,78.807100000000077,3.1504223524235091E-2,1.5657687354554396E-2,2.5111270857699851E-4,2565.0291999999999,2589.0450106030053,576.75915891942282,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
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[2084,null,74.333582645494658,72.899071024661367,null,1.5588778679800366E-2,null,null,4677.8156779736892,null,2084,null,null,4647.3410875895324,null,2084,null,null,4699.4008605261124,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N125<=I125),N125,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S125<=I125),S125,I125))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4647.3410875895324},2084,null,3.0378298552810623E-4]
[2085,null,74.264835845383701,72.91725637921833,null,1.5587885756713748E-2,null,null,4679.1632574398545,null,2085,null,null,4652.0568203010353,null,2085,null,null,4699.4940317584878,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N126<=I126),N126,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S126<=I126),S126,I126))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4652.0568203010353},2085,null,2.6602958814090911E-4]
[2086,null,74.199976927685555,72.934084400056406,null,1.5586992884698231E-2,null,null,4680.4291499674837,null,2086,null,null,4656.3522333217234,null,2086,null,null,4699.5727147385123,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N127<=I127),N127,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S127<=I127),S127,I127))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4656.3522333217234},2086,null,2.3296756219999732E-4]
[2087,null,74.138774104537845,72.949637072689768,null,1.5586100063750901E-2,null,null,4681.6182869993318,null,2087,null,null,4660.2644492313229,null,2087,null,null,4699.639162220029,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N128<=I128),N128,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S128<=I128),S128,I128))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4660.2644492313229},2087,null,2.0401406414310172E-4]
[2088,null,{"$f":"I129-I128+F129*I128","v":74.081009128846773},{"$f":"I128-I129+C129","v":72.96399147365176},null,1.5585207293868846E-2,null,null,4682.7353046545268,null,2088,null,null,4663.8273706673644,null,2088,null,null,4699.6952767341982,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N129<=I129),N129,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S129<=I129),S129,I129))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4663.8273706673644},2088,null,1.7865863268354536E-4]
[2089,null,74.026476536525948,72.977220059424795,null,1.5584314575049158E-2,null,null,4683.7845611316279,null,2089,null,null,4667.0719494526093,null,2089,null,null,4699.7426650210564,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N130<=I130),N130,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S130<=I130),S130,I130))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4667.0719494526093},2089,null,1.564542064723455E-4]
[2090,null,73.97498292712406,72.989390938960227,null,1.5583421907288919E-2,null,null,4684.7701531197918,null,2090,null,null,4670.0264350107336,null,2090,null,null,4699.7826840057869,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N131<=I131),N131,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S131<=I131),S131,I131))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4670.0264350107336},2090,null,1.3700925487164284E-4]
[2091,null,73.926346281378031,73.000568130648574,null,1.5582529290585222E-2,null,null,4685.6959312705212,null,2091,null,null,4672.7166033421508,null,2091,null,null,4699.8164796318561,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4672.7166033421508},2091,null,1.1998088426417386E-4]
[2092,null,73.880395314229943,73.010811804563971,null,1.5581636724935151E-2,null,null,4686.5655147801872,null,2092,null,null,4675.1659678164178,null,2092,null,null,4699.8450196599024,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4675.1659678164178},2092,null,1.0506879924209918E-4]
[2093,null,73.836968861900203,73.020178510770819,null,1.55807442103358E-2,null,null,4687.3823051313166,null,2093,null,null,4677.3959730072211,null,2093,null,null,4699.8691213693701,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4677.3959730072211},2093,null,9.2010012876429843E-5]
[2094,null,73.795915301501779,73.028721394445753,null,1.5579851746784255E-2,null,null,4688.1494990383726,null,2094,null,null,4679.4261727546273,null,2094,null,null,4699.8894749546016,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4679.4261727546273},2094,null,8.0574213311831487E-5]
[2095,null,73.757092001842381,73.03649039853272,null,1.5578959334277604E-2,null,null,4688.8701006416823,null,2095,null,null,4681.2743935901299,null,2095,null,null,4699.906663284235,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4681.2743935901299},2095,null,7.0559705378753061E-5]
[2096,null,73.720364803925094,73.043532454616269,null,1.5578066972812938E-2,null,null,4689.5469329909911,null,2096,null,null,4682.9568846057864,null,2096,null,null,4699.9211785889711,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4682.9568846057864},2096,null,6.1789855958196575E-5]
[2097,null,73.685607529847985,73.049891662663541,null,1.5577174662387344E-2,null,null,4690.1826488581755,null,2097,null,null,4684.4884547913007,null,2097,null,null,4699.9334365550176,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4684.4884547913007},2097,null,5.4109980644124505E-5]
[2098,null,73.652701518684381,73.055609460255738,null,1.5576282402997913E-2,null,null,4690.7797409166042,null,2098,null,null,4685.8825988040035,null,2098,null,null,4699.9437882264283,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4685.8825988040035},2098,null,4.7384616974376291E-5]
[2099,null,73.621535188095052,73.060724781896582,null,1.5575390194641736E-2,null,null,4691.3405513228026,null,2099,null,null,4687.1516120774459,null,2099,null,null,4699.9525300568848,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4687.1516120774459},2099,null,4.1495136275173941E-5]
[2100,null,73.592003620364849,73.06527420895749,null,1.5574498037315901E-2,null,null,4691.86728073421,null,2100,null,null,4688.3066961158011,null,2100,null,null,4699.9599123985899,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$9)","v":4688.3066961158011},2100,null,3.6337652103090792E-5]

{"sheet":"FFR","index":42,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["FRANCE",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D39","v":64756.584000000003},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D39","v":64756.584000000003},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D39","v":64756.584000000003},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.statista.com/statistics/455887/passenger-cars-registered-in-france/#:~:text=The%20French%20fleet%20has%20grown,car%20sales%20in%20the%20country.",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":710.35247937105521},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":710.35247937105521},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":710.35247937105521}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.99604611035219448},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":7.7762833628222628E-3},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.93171216857541928},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.95847011514528679},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.22386093616318115},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99580078496710656},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":2.513330421966021E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.92792239714634672},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.82625917007546001},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.97449968480769178}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,263164.36137621675,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":1.8682176742391571E-3},"a",46000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":4786385.5644107088},null,null,"a",46000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":15322.370623147934},null,null,"a",46000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":935810.45492079598},null,null,"a",7.4470713189972191,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":4.3923082961063757E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.0999355648071245E-3,null,"b",0.4873227238130719,null,null,null,"b",30.266889216815169,null,null,null,"b",174.22761300909082,null,null,null,"b",25.853040274175903]
[null,null,null,null,null,7.3157537864446779E-5,null,"c",5.0765870915086185E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.5420197217970973E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.16834969563419983,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13043583088915628]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":859.08313024988024},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1985.8403158424826},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":1614.7439261347351},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2035.7372385439626},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":2848.8900297594246},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2030.6526397073187}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"FR!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,2118.0419999999999,null,null,null,null,null,30100,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":31518.183810764091},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":2011245.321113358},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,2045.7449999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":540.74499999999989},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":1.7964950166112954E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":4.032644174995257E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":5.0003630585413004E-4},{"$f":"H46*1.05","v":31605},32113.580030699235,258653.64762603489,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,2109.672,null,845.47199999999566,2.675121025154234E-2,4.0323497866471568E-2,1.842069911023613E-4,{"$f":"H47*1.04","v":32869.200000000004},32689.927660343114,32138.571766055633,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,2091.3690000000001,null,1105.2929999999992,3.3627012522361333E-2,4.032055419744502E-2,4.4803500156082137E-5,{"$f":"H48*1.03","v":33855.276000000005},33247.332406044414,369595.41343164112,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,2302.3980000000001,null,1625.2924800000028,4.800706631368188E-2,4.0317610742857377E-2,5.9127726975683988E-5,{"$f":"H49*1.02","v":34532.381520000003},33785.954221996188,557153.71120527596,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,2251.6689999999999,null,1906.3451848000022,5.5204567449132075E-2,4.0314667502693059E-2,2.2170912041496459E-4,{"$f":"H50*1.01","v":34877.7053352},34306.001465963163,326845.31410037033,2010,0.66600000000000004,{"$f":"FR!$Q51","v":0.66600000000000004},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.39853168795861382},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":7.1539297946268343E-2},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.66600000000000004},{"$f":"M51","v":0.66600000000000004},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":4.0718918335773532E-10},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":0.44355599945762408},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":0.39853168795861382},2010]
[2011,2204.2289999999998,null,1801.9043352000012,5.1663500160988113E-2,4.0311724476936546E-2,1.2886281118102441E-4,35280.03,34807.725356219322,223071.67653679219,2011,3.7229999999999999,{"$f":"FR!$Q52","v":4.3886989252677768},1.1512715545947323,10.480935980382982,2011,3.7229999999999999,4.3886989252677768,6.1261329414899565E-8,19.260677718931483,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":1.1512715545947323},2011]
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[2091,null,1845.6978483015944,1834.2488179719246,null,4.0076975722242301E-2,null,null,45779.593580067631,null,2091,null,null,45764.749584850768,null,2091,null,null,45998.219458406842,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45764.749584850768},2091,null,1.7574676890949262E-4]
[2092,null,1845.458694401648,1834.5737226550407,null,4.0074050011964533E-2,null,null,45790.478551814238,null,2092,null,null,45786.10965666204,null,2092,null,null,45998.495334089843,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45786.10965666204},2092,null,1.5425860452102113E-4]
[2093,null,1845.2245452893387,1834.8759676430766,null,4.007112451482292E-2,null,null,45800.8271294605,null,2093,null,null,45805.534417245944,null,2093,null,null,45998.728466407098,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45800.8271294605},2093,null,1.3539738353476928E-4]
[2094,null,1844.9951696396399,1835.1566663587453,null,4.0068199230802015E-2,null,null,45810.665632741395,null,2094,null,null,45823.198497817008,null,2094,null,null,45998.925477720913,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45810.665632741395},2094,null,1.1884204438403838E-4]
[2095,null,1844.7703461240883,1835.4168780226676,null,4.0065274159886352E-2,null,null,45820.019100842816,null,2095,null,null,45839.26089635853,null,2095,null,null,45999.091964418702,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45820.019100842816},2095,null,1.0431074590305705E-4]
[2096,null,1844.5498630513159,1835.6576102450474,null,4.0062349302060464E-2,null,null,45828.911353649084,null,2096,null,null,45853.86635544063,null,2096,null,null,45999.232655849257,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45828.911353649084},2096,null,9.1556080659357098E-5]
[2097,null,1844.3335180128304,1835.879821497994,null,4.0059424657308905E-2,null,null,45837.36505016392,null,2097,null,null,45867.146622406653,null,2097,null,null,45999.3515486416,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45837.36505016392},2097,null,8.0360871456950394E-5]
[2098,null,1844.1211175346857,1836.0844234735437,null,4.0056500225616208E-2,null,null,45845.401744225062,null,2098,null,null,45879.221601296616,null,2098,null,null,45999.452020218559,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45845.401744225062},2098,null,7.0534480195751502E-5]
[2099,null,1843.912476735944,1836.2722833322528,null,4.0053576006966927E-2,null,null,45853.041937628754,null,2099,null,null,45890.200405252901,null,2099,null,null,45999.536924726635,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45853.041937628754},2099,null,6.1909566817709854E-5]
[2100,null,1843.7074189947027,1836.4442258470747,null,4.0050652001345596E-2,null,null,45860.305130776382,null,2100,null,null,45900.18231754798,null,2100,null,null,45999.608674105504,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$10)","v":45860.305130776382},2100,null,5.4339243596508642E-5]

{"sheet":"FDE","index":43,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["GERMANY",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,"Vehicle Sales: www.marklines.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D40","v":83294.633000000002},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D40","v":83294.633000000002},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D40","v":83294.633000000002},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.statista.com/statistics/587764/number-of-registered-cars-germany/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":720.33452623532185},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":708.32895079806644},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":708.32895079806644}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,221671.50930136844,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":4.7392430529255455E-4},"a",60000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":1366762.8329630734},null,null,"a",59000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":305780.0487249092},null,null,"a",59000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":2308314.8592182244},null,null,"a",8.118996205547079,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":1.2310446463868023E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.1056475761027562E-5,null,"b",0.53037435502114794,null,null,null,"b",31.95162746266244,null,null,null,"b",124.18841977225338,null,null,null,"b",21.358794480512071]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.6615678324471517E-2,null,"c",4.2744814571673631E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.10155439585746838,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.15812008766715713,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.14776828024805644]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":943.49630985625322},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1985.1637631863434},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":2204.2266893963852},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2034.1119957248015},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":3431.9786398494211},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2030.4945437214378}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"DE!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,3319.259,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,3467.9609999999998,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,3148.163,null,null,null,null,null,41180,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A48-2000)))","v":40492.813325966381},{"$f":"(I48-H48)^2","v":472225.52496938739},2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,3090.04,null,{"$f":"H48-H49+B49","v":2950.04},{"$f":"D49/H48","v":7.1637688198154442E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A49-2000))-F$34*(A49-2000))","v":6.7901106739506792E-2},{"$f":"(F49-E49)^2","v":1.3962040997109402E-5},41320,41164.591700137593,24151.739666123856,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,3807.1750000000002,null,3387.1750000000002,8.1974225556631169E-2,6.6782225476018184E-2,2.3079686644934496E-4,41740,41818.71276493113,6195.6993631032719,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,2916.259,null,2356.259,5.6450862482031627E-2,6.568178092167927E-2,8.5209855239426862E-5,42300,42455.211474627657,24090.601856091678,2010,0.14399999999999999,{"$f":"DE!$Q51","v":0.14399999999999999},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.55557162842181529},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":0.16939120532178478},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.14399999999999999},{"$f":"M51","v":0.14399999999999999},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":4.7320857619236871E-7},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":2.0735863716153984E-2},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":0.55557162842181529},2010,3.1450269516373544E-2]
[2011,3173.634,null,2543.634,6.0133191489361699E-2,6.4599469290707909E-2,1.9947637398797928E-5,42930,43074.162724259091,20782.89106580276,2011,1.8620000000000001,{"$f":"DE!$Q52","v":2.0059999530235184},1.6986404516708271,9.4469863071775045E-2,2011,1.8620000000000001,2.0059999530235184,1.9853805774609665E-5,4.0239561584576293,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":1.6986404516708271},2011,0.13461935731749169,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V52-2000))-X$34*(V52-2000))","v":7.5336528509413761E-2},{"$f":"(X52-W52)^2","v":3.5144537914878751E-3}]
[2012,3082.5039999999999,null,2582.5039999999999,6.0156161192639175E-2,6.3534991802517024E-2,1.1416496290247517E-5,43430,43675.67794277666,60357.651566971639,2012,6.2880000000000003,{"$f":"DE!$Q53","v":8.2939964330805402},4.6622171988714056,13.189820406032688,2012,6.2880000000000003,8.2939964330805402,4.8227779090708188E-4,68.782377043989527,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":4.6622171988714056},2012,0.14142929686553721,0.11577890303775976,6.5794270352008356E-4]
[2013,2952.431,null,2532.431,5.8310637807966845E-2,6.2488054599260108E-2,1.7450811048178904E-5,43850,44259.901814103956,168019.49720571408,2013,6.7140000000000004,{"$f":"DE!$Q54","v":15.00792844555172},11.607517702999029,11.562793218067739,2013,6.7140000000000004,15.00792844555172,7.347242517019929E-3,225.01743642883798,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":11.607517702999029},2013,0.10782061160410697,0.1643619461591096,3.1969225132607339E-3]
[2014,3036.7730000000001,null,2486.7730000000001,5.6710900798175604E-2,6.1458368664734746E-2,2.2538451144011614E-5,44400,44827.00913498288,182336.80135882736,2014,13.28,{"$f":"DE!$Q55","v":28.287306643250464},26.462514675002627,3.3298657273818142,2014,13.28,28.287306643250464,7.5155327406879552E-2,795.92548186805493,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":26.462514675002627},2014,0.17459203629269998,0.21789826518651917,1.8754294610038599E-3]
[2015,3206.0419999999999,null,2536.0419999999999,5.7118063063063058E-2,6.0445649744621764E-2,1.1072833123286879E-5,45070,45377.201816172135,94372.955859458409,2015,24.22,{"$f":"DE!$Q56","v":52.50391027119413},55.713698595313737,10.302741085654556,2015,24.22,52.50391027119413,0.54714692725462144,2699.5052571781362,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":55.713698595313737},2015,0.28451560774256074,0.27231366852619948,1.4888732063977477E-4]
[2016,3351.607,null,2621.607,5.8167450632349675E-2,5.9449618268037942E-2,1.6439538460064397E-6,45800,45910.706031472328,12255.825404351988,2016,28.109000000000002,{"$f":"DE!$Q57","v":80.599937907211057},109.16149226261176,815.76238719650883,2016,28.109000000000002,80.599937907211057,2.979594747411995,6024.9176722449656,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":109.16149226261176},2016,0.33529042402388598,0.32342231840237923,1.408519310432402E-4]
[2017,3441.2620000000002,null,2761.2620000000002,6.0289563318777294E-2,5.8469999270380775E-2,3.3108133262171284E-6,46480,46427.769517215689,2728.0233318821952,2017,58.363,{"$f":"DE!$Q58","v":138.92376435442449},200.43276295371348,3783.3569086873345,2017,58.363,138.92376435442449,12.663700376233745,15941.60375577682,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$11)","v":200.43276295371348},2017,0.3930481943023959,0.36761509884693006,6.468423444468376E-4]
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{"sheet":"FHK","index":44,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["HONG KONG",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.td.gov.hk/mini_site/atd/2022/files/en/Section%203.2_EN.pdf",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D41","v":7491.6090000000004},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D41","v":7491.6090000000004},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D41","v":7491.6090000000004},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":103.58556597639458},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":103.58556597639458},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":103.58556597639458}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,24027.278750198344,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":3.6674762957535908E-4},"a",776.02255833885147,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":68.548595563330593},null,null,"a",776.02255833885147,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":480.19092690498223},null,null,"a",776.02255833885147,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":482.87439123181917},null,null,"a",0.26834414771594167,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":6.2296379760136506E-5}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.5746065550810136E-4,null,"b",1.794636996637726,null,null,null,"b",409.82757609635183,null,null,null,"b",451.7924974405305,null,null,null,"b",1412.4859225908033]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.1055085207196077E-2,null,"c",0.1209124515706643,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.22741891598134376,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.23148083234954495,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.40591510695796384]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":34.518418590937905},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":2004.8365802165692},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":64.924176421594936},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2026.4522258369707},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":66.083783456748037},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2026.4091974092014}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"HK!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,27.483000000000001,null,null,null,null,null,291.12282654435955,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":291.12337234040467},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":2.9789332286506465E-7},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,27.876999999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":-6.5148073521121539},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":-2.2378208639436476E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":3.9135218747370623E-2},null,325.51463389647171,325.51459950662741,1.1826613911186031E-9,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,33.462000000000003,null,-0.39324368410068189,-1.2080676048062131E-3,3.870502093891582E-2,null,359.36987758057239,359.3693475859227,2.8089432870655941E-7,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,35.182000000000002,null,2.2514707267790612,6.265051322433865E-3,3.8279551441117859E-2,null,392.30040685379333,392.29948644521636,8.4715194856701146E-7,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,28.797000000000001,null,-2.8960678577478483,-7.3822708494594687E-3,3.7858758299951792E-2,null,423.99347471154118,423.99228097937652,1.424996480957128E-6,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,41.637999999999998,null,11.421333525629073,2.6937521935684126E-2,3.7442590131930256E-2,{"$f":"(F51-E51)^2","v":1.1035645780778192E-4},454.21014118591211,454.20879541481804,1.811099837622629E-6,2010,0,{"$f":"HK!$Q51","v":0},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":3.7899829410847526E-16},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":1.4363970693713432E-31},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0},{"$f":"M51","v":0},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":3.214762438231457E-17},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":1.0334697534263862E-33},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":3.7899829410847526E-16},2010]
[2011,44.844999999999999,null,16.275020443835473,3.5831477477236619E-2,3.703099611784523E-2,1.4388449691675311E-6,482.78012074207663,482.77874206597869,1.9007477830389054E-6,2011,0,{"$f":"HK!$Q52","v":0},2.0108549949228822E-12,4.0435378106063047E-24,2011,0,0,3.2541377747767431E-13,1.0589412657228932E-25,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":2.0108549949228822E-12},2011]
[2012,45.283000000000001,null,18.167120742076619,3.7630217073047902E-2,3.6623925996578204E-2,1.0126217305825436E-6,509.89600000000002,509.59309699344118,9.1750231382382155E-2,2012,8.8999999999999996E-2,{"$f":"HK!$Q53","v":8.8999999999999996E-2},1.864073526992892E-9,7.9209996681949158E-3,2012,8.8999999999999996E-2,8.8999999999999996E-2,4.8984882271772086E-10,7.9209999128069079E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":1.864073526992892E-9},2012]
[2013,46.146999999999998,null,22.796000000000056,4.4707155969060469E-2,3.6221330058978207E-2,7.2009241376223447E-5,533.24699999999996,534.59557162456065,1.8186454265702612,2013,0.187,{"$f":"HK!$Q54","v":0.27599900313982983},4.3052883336495752E-7,7.6175212083307492E-2,2013,0.187,0.27599900313982983,1.6257616351582768E-7,7.617535999248809E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":4.3052883336495752E-7},2013]
[2014,48.5,null,24.745999999999981,4.6406262013663428E-2,3.5823159141806699E-2,1.1200206639630216E-4,557.00099999999998,557.77377366348026,0.59717913496873232,2014,0.77800000000000002,{"$f":"HK!$Q55","v":1.0539829539108136},3.2867514860540211E-5,1.1108107846140367,2014,0.77800000000000002,1.0539829539108136,1.6259531153116625E-5,1.1108457928615889,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":3.2867514860540211E-5},2014,1.8975332068311196E-3,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V55-2000))-X$34*(V55-2000))","v":4.275442865382428E-3},{"$f":"(X55-W55)^2","v":5.6544543442315994E-6}]
[2015,45.1,null,18.965000000000011,3.4048412839474275E-2,3.5429364621748873E-2,1.9070278249673875E-6,583.13599999999997,579.15064911869706,15.883021647101854,2015,2.5790000000000002,{"$f":"HK!$Q56","v":3.6328951097074369},1.0388496802060043E-3,13.190379893498985,2015,2.5790000000000002,3.6328951097074369,6.278622921379348E-4,13.193365356645913,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":1.0388496802060043E-3},2015,1.1560693641618498E-2,1.4169665722118202E-2,6.8067353168269508E-6]
[2016,36.299999999999997,null,21.14899999999993,3.6267697415354107E-2,3.5039898409490441E-2,1.507490398799805E-6,598.28700000000003,598.77658970454627,0.23969807879766811,2016,1.7150000000000001,{"$f":"HK!$Q57","v":5.3475302196356873},1.6265320653030501E-2,28.422385423124563,2016,1.7150000000000001,5.3475302196356873,1.139541421845291E-2,28.474334661585228,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":1.6265320653030501E-2},2016,3.234854151084518E-2,2.7498399744808829E-2,2.3523875150650216E-5]
[2017,37.299999999999997,null,19.894000000000048,3.3251599984622841E-2,3.4654712943859252E-2,1.9687259763771572E-6,615.69299999999998,616.72242379283671,1.059713345258346,2017,4.165,{"$f":"HK!$Q58","v":9.5112495313725418},0.14553016800195342,87.716699193414797,2017,4.165,9.5112495313725418,0.11362167282719164,88.315409367707673,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":0.14553016800195342},2017,3.7001997266897929E-2,3.7356928635678126E-2,1.2597627654418395E-7]
[2018,34.6,null,17.359999999999992,2.8195870344473614E-2,3.4273761186031086E-2,3.6940757081888197E-5,632.93299999999999,633.07338429970207,1.9707751602842702E-2,2018,0.43,{"$f":"HK!$Q59","v":9.9378356940177284},0.83379107360966231,82.883628450381053,2018,0.43,9.9378356940177284,0.70438866680615575,85.256544004322237,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":0.83379107360966231},2018,3.7916121894800363E-2,4.001522926835592E-2,4.4062517657153099E-6]
[2019,34.1,null,23.552999999999976,3.7212469566288972E-2,3.3896996613798885E-2,1.0992360898693333E-5,643.48,647.92405886155336,19.749659164950806,2019,2.2559999999999998,{"$f":"HK!$Q60","v":12.186332840238912},3.349293505207144,78.093264208898717,2019,2.2559999999999998,12.186332840238912,2.9952317479770301,84.476339288177556,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":3.349293505207144},2019,3.3773260103287156E-2,3.6585080546532797E-2,7.9063342050541139E-6]
[2020,25,null,1.8720000000000709,2.9091813265370654E-3,3.3524373215904651E-2,null,666.60799999999995,661.37426996272598,27.39193010306381,2020,4.7770000000000001,{"$f":"HK!$Q61","v":16.949228752198209},10.139321378036559,46.374838444661222,2020,4.7770000000000001,16.949228752198209,9.4438600836376256,56.330558851010871,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":10.139321378036559},2020,3.3046654099905752E-2,3.0099068516328507E-2,8.6882607725124065E-6]
[2021,25,null,19.384999999999991,2.9080059045195967E-2,3.3155845486433487E-2,{"$f":"(F62-E62)^2","v":1.6612035114575608E-5},672.22299999999996,673.52579857064222,1.6972841156675338,2021,9.7360000000000007,{"$f":"HK!$Q62","v":26.661706784830088},24.502567563599058,4.6618821766581373,2021,9.7360000000000007,26.661706784830088,23.486175075645182,10.08400163603881,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":24.502567563599058},2021,2.4970050913447141E-2,2.3081431006697066E-2,3.5668851521726635E-6]
[2022,25,null,{"$f":"H62-I63+B63","v":12.743151897226085},1.8956732955025469E-2,3.279136841926901E-2,null,null,684.47984810277387,null,2022,19.942,{"$f":"HK!$Q63","v":46.567226830730107},49.484124791278298,8.5082937122501949,2022,19.942,46.567226830730107,48.385414199750272,3.3058053088644717,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":49.484124791278298},2022,1.5925751275346168E-2,1.6889702083901392E-2,9.2920116131427083E-7]
[2023,25,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":15.144707160887265},null,3.2430897502609406E-2,null,null,694.33514094188661,null,2023,28.745000000000001,{"$f":"HK!$Q64","v":75.257676681013535},86.621859379550585,129.14464840572882,2023,28.745000000000001,75.257676681013535,85.852160651077654,112.24309059194556,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":86.621859379550585},2023,1.1392724041432909E-2,1.1978995635943577E-2,3.4371438253008048E-7]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":31.121777318339319},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":22.270375208043184},null,3.2074388713543643E-2,null,null,703.18654305218274,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*2.0968413","v":60.273703168499999},{"$f":"HK!$R65","v":135.30906051078816},135.30906101507696,2.5430720012817256E-13,2024,60.273703168499999,135.30906051078816,135.30894757714228,1.2754008371811452E-8,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":135.30906101507696},2024,8.9082345674246239E-3,8.3211304603152281E-3,3.4469123258472084E-7]
[2025,null,30.243919147959335,22.30634183553423,null,3.1721798512686979E-2,null,null,711.12412036460785,null,2025,null,null,193.03021251246352,null,2025,null,null,194.12185424171753,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N66<=I66),N66,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S66<=I66),S66,I66))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":193.03021251246352},2025,null,5.7006271498499239E-3]
[2026,null,29.418577490459992,22.310156648045275,null,3.1373083838875278E-2,null,null,718.23254120702256,null,2026,null,null,256.17538444400952,null,2026,null,null,258.48278716200093,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N67<=I67),N67,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S67<=I67),S67,I67))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":256.17538444400952},2026,null,3.8694597762085931E-3]
[2027,null,28.643673815984737,22.285464446181702,null,3.1028202103917435E-2,null,null,724.5907505768256,null,2027,null,null,320.95754172780704,null,2027,null,null,324.40787846115495,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N68<=I68),N68,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S68<=I68),S68,I68))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":320.95754172780704},2027,null,2.6103826167724253E-3]
[2028,null,27.916699812218884,22.235596928316443,null,3.0687111187405209E-2,null,null,730.27185346072804,null,2028,null,null,384.09757845633567,null,2028,null,null,388.47573484518875,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N69<=I69),N69,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S69<=I69),S69,I69))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":384.09757845633567},2028,null,1.7537844890307313E-3]
[2029,null,27.234883989167322,22.16358237490568,null,3.034976943158001E-2,null,null,735.34315507498968,null,2029,null,null,443.17021450659632,null,2029,null,null,448.18983918131221,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N70<=I70),N70,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S70<=I70),S70,I70))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":443.17021450659632},2029,null,1.1750624934584743E-3]
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[2098,null,23.281618466441149,23.280339972830109,null,0.03,null,null,776.01261092128141,null,2098,null,null,776.02249176080682,null,2098,null,null,776.0225090452866,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":776.01261092128141},2098,null,8.147338229365592E-16]
[2099,null,23.281511217333428,23.280378327638442,null,0.03,null,null,776.01374381097639,null,2099,null,null,776.02250530364552,null,2099,null,null,776.02251923141193,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$12)","v":776.01374381097639},2099,null,5.4291151742156771E-16]
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{"sheet":"FIN","index":45,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["INDIA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D42","v":1428627.6629999999},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D42","v":1428627.6629999999},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D42","v":1428627.6629999999},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://morth.nic.in/sites/default/files/MoRTH%20Annual%20Report%20for%20the%20Year%202022-23%20in%20English.pdf",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":489.98071235024099},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":423.31688962856117},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":423.72451473159401}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,19709.651359007152,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":2.8725569493196711E-3},"a",700000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":381558423.58434153},null,null,"a",604762.21873848024,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":426.1228689105518},null,null,"a",605344.56323680619,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":1776.4334837182344},null,null,"a",68.153955101723128,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":5.5374081648867072E-5}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.2916011598390316E-4,null,"b",6.1194945796304623,null,null,null,"b",46.044110132819107,null,null,null,"b",71.017971812603307,null,null,null,"b",0.30498197783954145]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.0162428779495464E-2,null,"c",3.9543646462688382E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",7.4284286046645026E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.2334653841821351E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.3388949845244944]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":10183.10619380242},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":2045.8096222814311},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":16526.737285530078},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2051.5532968917419},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":20562.356749147199},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2046.1682888467294}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IN!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,1242.0060000000001,null,null,null,null,null,10320,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":4615.4839279851822},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":32541503.615875367},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,1489.1869999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":283.1869999999999},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":2.744060077519379E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":4.5473870790120614E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":3.2519882743125888E-4},11526,5607.5655077647607,35027866.838879794,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,1722.2809999999999,null,599.28099999999995,5.1993840013881652E-2,4.4566290203777559E-2,5.5168496181577356E-5,12649,6761.6551867382295,34660828.950240269,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,1751.3530000000001,null,450.35300000000007,3.5603842200964506E-2,4.3676821380172912E-2,6.5172992827932435E-5,13950,8094.3195902842745,34288993.060728528,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
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[2092,null,21618.681211814601,17761.964574257927,null,0.03,null,null,595922.2024461542,null,2092,null,null,575520.31272179401,null,2092,null,null,596615.23236745957,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":575520.31272179401},2092,null,2.0288502056715279E-13]
[2093,null,21608.528563536634,17877.666073384626,null,0.03,null,null,599653.06493630621,null,2093,null,null,577565.98524471687,null,2093,null,null,597380.07129760052,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":577565.98524471687},2093,null,1.4456719733303289E-13]
[2094,null,21597.816415613746,17989.591948089186,null,0.03,null,null,603261.28940383077,null,2094,null,null,579471.71193558129,null,2094,null,null,598078.30596187199,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":579471.71193558129},2094,null,1.0301240814282049E-13]
[2095,null,21586.628467579099,18097.838682114922,null,0.03,null,null,606750.07918929495,null,2095,null,null,581246.63181837869,null,2095,null,null,598715.66759567184,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":581246.63181837869},2095,null,7.3402240806658979E-14]
[2096,null,21575.041546931014,18202.502375678847,null,0.03,null,null,610122.61836054712,null,2096,null,null,582899.34747075918,null,2096,null,null,599297.40589563805,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":582899.34747075918},2096,null,5.2303300666156161E-14]
[2097,null,21563.126041235442,18303.678550816414,null,0.03,null,null,613382.06585096614,null,2097,null,null,584437.94787946518,null,2097,null,null,599828.32750019268,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":584437.94787946518},2097,null,3.7269097380555128E-14]
[2098,null,21550.946311596672,18401.461975528982,null,0.03,null,null,616531.55018703383,null,2098,null,null,585870.03166583925,null,2098,null,null,600312.83173746592,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":585870.03166583925},2098,null,2.6556366460063024E-14]
[2099,null,21538.561087378715,18495.946505611013,null,0.03,null,null,619574.16476880154,null,2099,null,null,587202.73040520085,null,2099,null,null,600754.94377289037,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":587202.73040520085},2099,null,1.8922932110749595E-14]
[2100,null,21526.023842214148,18587.224943064044,null,0.03,null,null,622512.96366795164,null,2100,null,null,588442.731812882,null,2100,null,null,601158.34529475414,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$13)","v":588442.731812882},2100,null,1.3483672934192079E-14]

{"sheet":"FIE","index":46,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["IRELAND",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D43","v":5056.9350000000004},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D43","v":5056.9350000000004},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D43","v":5056.9350000000004},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.statista.com/statistics/452305/ireland-number-of-registered-passenger-cars/",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":830.54261128529424},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":751.4433149724091},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":751.4433149724091}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.84857669976721628},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":0.14907285080847743},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.995640129563653},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.9441062710486291},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.96410899371685521},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99347962095866904},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":0.9641071536778727},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.99347962304337312},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.83425667632608758},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.96724810897448243}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,31721.924871982315,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":2.4795840038450714E-3},"a",4200,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":23502.58344772381},null,null,"a",3800,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":102.46208774475467},null,null,"a",3800,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":102.46214299833895},null,null,"a",5.3456089416524968,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":5.4556078453592075E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.707755741437509E-4,null,"b",0.98785742439104951,null,null,null,"b",39.06982976076894,null,null,null,"b",39.06983157036818,null,null,null,"b",51.940142390759384]
[null,null,null,null,null,8.4505826194253564E-3,null,"c",2.0964618953226599E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.10133783233237434,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.10133783364767952,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.180642197962743]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":32.392299680517965},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1999.4172611020817},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":141.66439948624495},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2036.1696166911081},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":141.66440132496513},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2036.1696166787037}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IE!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,171.74199999999999,null,null,null,null,null,1662.1569999999999,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":1725.5311380862261},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":4016.2813781720583},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,178.48400000000001,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":61.779999999999831},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":3.7168570718650422E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":4.3509209206390502E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":4.0203696432210811E-5},1778.8610000000001,1757.6713767611038,449.00013300637306,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,186.32499999999999,null,115.18600000000009,6.4752670388523947E-2,4.314313915428989E-2,4.6697184016333728E-4,1850,1789.7248994751121,3633.0877432853385,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,151.607,null,126.607,6.843621621621622E-2,4.2780148585576314E-2,6.5823380626796877E-4,1875,1821.679830882159,2843.0404347551685,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,57.453000000000003,null,47.453000000000003,2.5308266666666669E-2,4.2420211603018065E-2,2.9281865950472218E-4,1885,1853.5246570367869,990.69721465188536,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,88.445999999999998,null,74.445999999999998,3.949389920424403E-2,4.2063302527030721E-2,6.6018334351472892E-6,1899,1885.2482293822613,189.11119512290026,2010,1.7000000000000001E-2,{"$f":"IE!$Q51","v":1.7000000000000001E-2},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":2.6340706787416693E-3},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":2.0637992526338988E-4},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":1.7000000000000001E-2},{"$f":"M51","v":1.7000000000000001E-2},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":2.6340694398563802E-3},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":2.0637996085886843E-4},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":2.6340706787416693E-3},2010]
[2011,89.911000000000001,null,75.911000000000001,3.9974196945760924E-2,4.1709395893850296E-2,3.0109153894504602E-6,1913,1916.8397678454862,14.7438171072299,2011,0.05,{"$f":"IE!$Q52","v":6.6999999479245592E-2},1.0332357619693755E-2,3.2112216339224317E-3,2011,0.05,6.6999999479245592E-2,1.0332353402559913E-2,3.2112221118725101E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":1.0332357619693755E-2},2011]
[2012,79.498000000000005,null,85.498000000000005,4.4693152117093571E-2,4.1358466453721709E-2,1.1120128473497832E-5,1907,1948.2888630778536,1704.7702142617463,2012,0.182,{"$f":"IE!$Q53","v":0.24899996566087307},3.5527736520552453E-2,4.5570392614137548E-2,2012,0.182,0.24899996566087307,3.552772395856315E-2,4.5570397977409423E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":3.5527736520552453E-2},2012]
[2013,74.367000000000004,null,48.367000000000004,2.5362873623492398E-2,4.1010489169102389E-2,2.4484787226321546E-4,1933,1979.5854778815187,2170.2067494494704,2013,0.224,{"$f":"IE!$Q54","v":0.47299955163474},0.10845376281993162,0.13289363214261085,2013,0.224,0.47299955163474,0.10845372966090501,0.132893656318579,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.10845376281993162},2013,1.4799154334038056E-2,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V54-2000))-X$34*(V54-2000))","v":3.3544139310580666E-2},{"$f":"(X54-W54)^2","v":3.5137446177080817E-4}]
[2014,96.284000000000006,null,63.284000000000006,3.2738748060010349E-2,4.0665439212880898E-2,6.2832432632996238E-5,1966,2010.7199478607888,1999.8737366716693,2014,0.25800000000000001,{"$f":"IE!$Q55","v":0.73099687013248782},0.29731188296947786,0.18808266809058011,2014,0.25800000000000001,0.73099687013248782,0.29731180452638917,0.18808273612976609,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.29731188296947786},2014,4.9247606019151853E-2,6.3574742530838682E-2,2.0526684062450984E-4]
[2015,124.804,null,83.804000000000002,4.2626653102746694E-2,4.0323291966610539E-2,5.3054725234624375E-6,2007,2041.6829813383476,1202.9091945161711,2015,0.59699999999999998,{"$f":"IE!$Q56","v":1.3279846938055899},0.73955753153157677,0.3462465253018478,2015,0.59699999999999998,1.3279846938055899,0.73955736352219148,0.3462467230244477,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":0.73955753153157677},2015,8.9608433734939777E-2,0.10521994055698286,2.4371914525469774E-4]
[2016,146.6,null,104.6,5.2117588440458391E-2,3.9984023018757704E-2,1.4722340984269058E-4,2049,2072.4656585758826,550.63713239989124,2016,0.68300000000000005,{"$f":"IE!$Q57","v":2.0109423537761644},1.6849669679077262,0.10625995219207719,2016,0.68300000000000005,2.0109423537761644,1.6849666391257896,0.10626016654182256,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":1.6849669679077262},2016,0.18498259572352066,0.15551906303401067,8.6809975854582392E-4]
[2017,131.33199999999999,null,93.331999999999994,4.5550024402147386E-2,3.9647608162964879E-2,3.4838517460565378E-5,2087,2103.0594303384264,257.90530279477059,2017,0.94299999999999995,{"$f":"IE!$Q58","v":2.9538218536761978},3.5460610985665837,0.35074732318833451,2017,0.94299999999999995,2.9538218536761978,3.5460605058599861,0.35074662114047023,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":3.5460610985665837},2017,0.2285037237643873,0.20915127362389443,3.7451732644026213E-4]
[2018,125.557,null,84.557000000000002,4.0516051748921901E-2,3.9314023396328272E-2,1.444872160438953E-6,2128,2133.456115841293,29.769200073608559,2018,2.0409999999999999,{"$f":"IE!$Q59","v":4.9945246900973572},6.9463692527501744,3.8096971967573672,2018,2.0409999999999999,4.9945246900973572,6.9463682611940429,3.8096933260314629,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$14)","v":6.9463692527501744},2018,0.27707707707707713,0.25995971001420748,2.9300425516501469E-4]
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{"sheet":"FIT","index":47,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["ITALY",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D44","v":58870.762000000002},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D44","v":58870.762000000002},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D44","v":58870.762000000002},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.statista.com/statistics/452345/italy-number-of-registered-passenger-cars/",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":872.47130729674041},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":849.31803668517148},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":849.31803668517148}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.24982633229851875},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":0.76523626139256096},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.82853375437464738},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.96574634964401618},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.93914124238083563},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.98186794536940125},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":2.1717465196400051E-2},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.90596648203036112},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.98667082916748639},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.99066231785355741}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,27751.553234324594,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":5.0107379450031134E-4},"a",51363.05068369527,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":2049942.9248217626},null,null,"a",50000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":11721.14743712436},null,null,"a",50000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":138392.8146546355},null,null,"a",8.3093963165802034,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":4.1483461751685019E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.3004627635983571E-4,null,"b",0.44542227097584286,null,null,null,"b",25.866691543107134,null,null,null,"b",148.51480086596473,null,null,null,"b",36.104946205325938]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.3837783889153122E-2,null,"c",2.6089132568062164E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",7.4490266228413593E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.14731229589705677,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.15708064121874046]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":492.96486639380527},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1969.0011723805628},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":1370.1718756410378},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2043.6695459009898},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":2709.6582546145701},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2033.9461454453315}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,32584,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A41-2000)))","v":32900.793785163769},{"$f":"(I41-H41)^2","v":100358.30231838817},2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IT!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,2244.1080000000002,null,null,null,null,null,34667,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":34742.720392513707},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":5733.577842429906},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,2335.462,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":1705.462},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":4.9195546196671186E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":4.5955949427561149E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.049498722642819E-5},35297,35094.263575561534,41102.057794093918,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,2494.1149999999998,null,2111.1149999999998,5.9810040513358066E-2,4.5324475174734882E-2,2.0983160317952139E-4,35680,35440.174466715092,57516.286415390314,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,2161.3589999999999,null,1736.3589999999999,4.8664770179372194E-2,4.4701676910610451E-2,1.5706108256904636E-5,36105,35780.456211854515,105328.67042382174,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,2159.4650000000001,null,1892.4650000000001,5.2415593408115226E-2,4.408743546110673E-2,6.9358214790320752E-5,36372,36115.116968321759,65988.891964203925,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,1961.58,null,1582.58,4.3510942483228857E-2,4.348163328837451E-2,8.5902890301002985E-10,36751,36444.169650629308,94144.863294940718,2010,0.04,{"$f":"IT!$Q51","v":0.04},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.23195247823723014},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":3.6845753901414306E-2},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.04},{"$f":"M51","v":0.04},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":8.2264210284116361E-11},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":1.5999999934188634E-3},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":0.23195247823723014},2010,0,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V51-2000))-X$34*(V51-2000))","v":5.3890251421677303E-3},{"$f":"(X51-W51)^2","v":2.9041591982915926E-5}]
[2011,1749.74,null,1387.74,3.7760605153601259E-2,4.2884154468352004E-2,2.6250757580682822E-5,37113,36767.631681318831,119279.27554865723,2011,4.7E-2,{"$f":"IT!$Q52","v":8.6999968134955447E-2},0.56009456913399414,0.2238185014944396,2011,4.7E-2,8.6999968134955447E-2,8.7141485764467655E-9,7.5689929392220405E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":0.56009456913399414},2011,3.4482758620689662E-2,1.3712475843637894E-2,4.3140464663869331E-4]
[2012,1403.01,null,1438.01,3.8746800312558942E-2,4.2294884668627609E-2,1.2588902597779211E-5,37078,37085.524747297495,56.621821891161254,2012,2.3479999999999999,{"$f":"IT!$Q53","v":2.4349989747547824},1.2695228164234351,1.3583346756387957,2012,2.3479999999999999,2.4349989747547824,4.873730488243756E-7,5.92921763355133,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":1.2695228164234351},2012,2.6694045174537988E-2,2.9774470479793386E-2,9.4890200612578156E-6]
[2013,1304.6479999999999,null,1419.6479999999999,3.8288149306866602E-2,4.171371112660581E-2,1.1734473780854992E-5,36963,37397.874561933771,189115.88461708964,2013,1.444,{"$f":"IT!$Q54","v":3.8789902460617727},2.7133717787709588,1.358666411289386,2013,1.444,3.8789902460617727,1.5707769594733211E-5,15.046443468719014,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":2.7133717787709588},2013,5.8520237174529519E-2,5.6455608206951259E-2,4.2626927737632697E-6]
[2014,1360.578,null,1242.578,3.3616805995184372E-2,4.1140522627972125E-2,5.6606311970487075E-5,37081,37704.710633152645,389014.95390767296,2014,1.643,{"$f":"IT!$Q55","v":5.5219080922564352},5.4916008456698826,9.1852919565810383E-4,2014,1.643,5.5219080922564352,3.1461085165933274E-4,30.487994573891712,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":5.4916008456698826},2014,6.7910177471930455E-2,9.5337098063521572E-2,7.5223597313744484E-4]
[2015,1575.7370000000001,null,1305.7370000000001,3.5213101049054771E-2,4.057520948545288E-2,2.875220688369178E-5,37351,38006.066037730285,429111.51378765481,2015,2.6259999999999999,{"$f":"IT!$Q56","v":8.1474723386562058},10.565967247630091,5.8491176247326022,2015,2.6259999999999999,8.1474723386562058,4.1796252970562105E-3,66.313216215448236,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":10.565967247630091},2015,0.13684339715267552,0.14582151494960779,8.0606599175592097E-5]
[2016,1824.9680000000001,null,1299.9680000000001,3.4804101630478437E-2,4.0017663517865905E-2,2.7181227553619173E-5,37876,38301.977201951566,181456.57658248508,2016,3.4630000000000001,{"$f":"IT!$Q57","v":11.609028437369526},19.396257887864799,60.640942514660914,2016,3.4630000000000001,11.609028437369526,3.896077687128708E-2,133.8664656685072,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":19.396257887864799},2016,0.20876754801481351,0.20494442471506744,1.4616271765061302E-5]
[2017,1970.4970000000001,null,1326.4970000000001,3.5022098426444187E-2,3.9467778029458132E-2,1.9764067132654232E-5,38520,38592.483688759487,5253.8851361821153,2017,5.3920000000000003,{"$f":"IT!$Q58","v":16.997376556939184},34.087058872992714,292.05724166363274,2017,5.3920000000000003,16.997376556939184,0.26749851349275761,279.8888193485908,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":34.087058872992714},2017,0.29835911309768864,0.26794576250784213,9.2497189410091713E-4]
[2018,1910.0250000000001,null,1412.0250000000001,3.665693146417446E-2,3.8925447789526231E-2,5.1461663183875048E-6,39018,38877.627991493748,19704.300772079372,2018,10.500999999999999,{"$f":"IT!$Q59","v":27.490538875716769},57.528542967360998,902.2816898096354,2018,10.500999999999999,27.490538875716769,1.4106150760230083,680.16242539783298,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":57.528542967360998},2018,0.35391215823152999,0.32932064514744264,6.0474251576483971E-4]
[2019,1916.9490000000001,null,1389.9490000000001,3.5623276436516478E-2,3.8390569012316265E-2,7.6579082000766227E-6,39545,39157.45533428662,150190.8679228953,2019,18.193000000000001,{"$f":"IT!$Q60","v":45.668450060171317},93.510692493057263,2288.8801610070327,2019,18.193000000000001,45.668450060171317,5.9236223168829207,1579.651332343667,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":93.510692493057263},2019,0.35499048077554324,0.38393146697819464,8.3758068238205851E-4]
[2020,1381.7529999999999,null,1208.7529999999999,3.0566519155392588E-2,3.7863039337198846E-2,null,39718,39432.013479157213,81788.290103762003,2020,61.005000000000003,{"$f":"IT!$Q61","v":106.64648532594369},146.78931423202786,1611.4467125831472,2020,61.005000000000003,106.64648532594369,20.436471545406597,7432.1664760403937,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":146.78931423202786},2020,0.4094018856253866,0.42784397932739615,3.4011082011370044E-4]
[2021,1458.03,null,1353.03,3.4065914698625306E-2,3.7342757809115681E-2,null,39823,39701.352539820495,14798.104568124325,2021,143.72300000000001,{"$f":"IT!$Q62","v":250.32361733248018},223.08482108994292,741.95202074246208,2021,143.72300000000001,250.32361733248018,59.505410950552793,36411.587886815832,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":223.08482108994292},2021,0.45703104721972648,0.4587369257079027,2.9100214164223711E-6]
[2022,1316.9190000000001,null,{"$f":"I62-I63+B63","v":1052.7467376154875},2.6435646174710281E-2,3.6829624859294065E-2,null,null,39965.524802205007,null,2022,129.57300000000001,{"$f":"IT!$Q63","v":379.82033330249794},329.00092249740925,2582.6125145763654,2022,129.57300000000001,379.82033330249794,149.66826047170653,52969.976628309916,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":329.00092249740925},2022,0.48650782372538809,0.47590897447550679,1.1233560542170947E-4]
[2023,1565.3309999999999,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":1306.2712505525139},null,3.6323542286225564E-2,null,null,40224.584551652493,null,2023,149.02199999999999,{"$f":"IT!$Q64","v":528.71378541626189},471.8591598112036,3232.4484526913498,2023,149.02199999999999,528.71378541626189,331.76778119249258,38787.728579708957,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":471.8591598112036},2023,0.48151865713961667,0.48000676167705836,2.285827889704407E-6]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":1695.0254943629832},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":1441.0221392612355},null,3.5824413236905286E-2,null,null,40478.587906754241,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*0.880884","v":131.27109544799998},{"$f":"IT!$R65","v":659.45536337060787},659.45516381394089,3.9822863338078515E-8,2024,{"$f":"Q64*0.880884","v":131.27109544799998},{"$f":"IT!$R65","v":659.45536337060787},659.45570579727837,1.1725602466948449E-7,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":659.45516381394089},2024,0.47394448145235751,0.47262084534510557,1.7520125444210864E-6]
[2025,null,1679.1999765118878,1430.1952235041815,null,3.5332142188328156E-2,null,null,40727.592659761947,null,2025,null,null,899.7519229914376,null,2025,null,null,1193.0817210903622,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N66<=I66),N66,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S66<=I66),S66,I66))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":899.7519229914376},2025,null,0.45586963421299137]
[2026,null,1663.2850166956043,1419.2195529614685,null,3.484663492923875E-2,null,null,40971.658123496083,null,2026,null,null,1200.532739683033,null,2026,null,null,1990.149288586088,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N67<=I67),N67,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S67<=I67),S67,I67))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":1200.532739683033},2026,null,0.43204597348776519]
[2027,null,1647.2925534903541,1408.1056923253843,null,3.4367798542131144E-2,null,null,41210.844984661053,null,2027,null,null,1569.0408937094801,null,2027,null,null,3095.0169123948976,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N68<=I68),N68,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S68<=I68),S68,I68))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":1569.0408937094801},2027,null,0.40335842622408113]
[2028,null,1631.234080512517,1396.8639017088174,null,3.3895541385495477E-2,null,null,41445.215163464753,null,2028,null,null,2011.6339210843944,null,2028,null,null,4530.765449647688,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N69<=I69),N69,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S69<=I69),S69,I69))*(1+Control!$F$15)","v":2011.6339210843944},2028,null,0.37176897163038458]
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{"sheet":"FJP","index":48,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,39,27],[35,28,39,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,39,25],[35,26,39,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["JAPAN",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D45","v":123294.51300000001},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D45","v":123294.51300000001},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D45","v":123294.51300000001},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://airia.or.jp/publish/file/r5c6pv0000013czd-att/hoyuudaisuusuii05.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":565.97282926919581},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":559.6356100615767},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":559.6356100615767}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E38:E95,F38:F95,2,1)","v":0.99985545207014082},{"$f":"(CORREL(E37:E60,F37:F60))^2","v":8.3942897349366774E-2},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H38:H95,I38:I95,2,1)","v":1.0046399490230737E-8},{"$f":"(CORREL(H37:H60,I37:I60))^2","v":0.97371317300508164},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M38:M95,N38:N95,2,1)","v":3.8347331733278357E-8},{"$f":"(CORREL(M37:M60,N37:N60))^2","v":0.99524614909731235},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R38:R95,S38:S95,2,1)","v":1.7513425518974338E-4},{"$f":"(CORREL(R37:R60,S37:S60))^2","v":0.38132559145143213},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W38:W95,X38:X95,2,1)","v":0.98060188860126507},{"$f":"(CORREL(W37:W60,X37:X60))^2","v":0.90003401926023041}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,38886.804799680118,{"$f":"SUM(G37:G100)","v":3.1994822266494884E-4},"a",69781.34435597765,{"$f":"SUM(J37:J100)","v":262963777.05709097},null,null,"a",69000,{"$f":"SUM(O37:O100)","v":238140.07380239182},null,null,"a",69000,{"$f":"SUM(T37:T100)","v":782109.55274141883},null,null,"a",10.16827377606187,{"$f":"SUM(Y37:Y100)","v":6.1308950869595792E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.7961190042121148E-4,null,"b",0.40212668942476282,null,null,null,"b",7.6626473625988476,null,null,null,"b",813.16088939045028,null,null,null,"b",11.588852543678566]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.0685021789439721E-2,null,"c",5.322242255031872E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",2.1345734381145214E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.21570290408004369,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.12271467476614617]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":1366.2793006082507},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1982.8833779347854},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":541.83332165155241},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2095.3988041065791},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":5475.3338030296363},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2031.0655483034739}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 Forecast (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,51222.129000000001,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A41-2000)))","v":46676.461993817495},{"$f":"(I41-H41)^2","v":20663088.531096227},2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,52449.353999999999,47659.529617885266,22942417.611500788,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,53487.292999999998,48610.759829290801,23780575.765027098,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,54471.375999999997,49530.215829991161,24415063.825681746,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,55288.124000000003,50418.072826509568,23717398.432415571,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"JP!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,4748.482,null,null,null,null,null,56288.256000000001,51274.60621493611,25136684.167271208,2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,4612.3180000000002,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":3802.9040000000032},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":6.7561233376994365E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":6.9983707097959702E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":5.8683789287676475E-6},57097.67,52100.180327676891,24974903.024976112,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,4325.5079999999998,null,3912.8179999999975,6.8528505629038755E-2,6.9240034447952764E-2,5.0627326014516463E-7,57510.36,52895.237785859441,21299353.051453661,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,4184.2659999999996,null,4143.3780000000006,7.2045767058317847E-2,6.8504263033914867E-2,1.2542250754862507E-5,57551.248,53660.289486326648,15139558.155127134,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,3905.31,null,3774.083000000001,6.5577778608728016E-2,6.7776308935813045E-2,4.8335355991126084E-6,57682.474999999999,54395.905239305408,10801540.791912097,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
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[2088,null,{"$f":"I129-I128+F129*I128","v":2907.0618101625782},{"$f":"I128-I129+C129","v":2892.9332994352203},null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69522.376935408291,null,2088,null,null,21392.039868664509,null,2088,null,null,68999.679882482771,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N129<=I129),N129,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S129<=I129),S129,I129))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":21392.039868664509},2088,null,2.952449294105423E-4]
[2089,null,2906.920197669273,2893.5213280516928,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69535.775805025871,null,2089,null,null,21927.722419591882,null,2089,null,null,68999.741993258169,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N130<=I130),N130,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S130<=I130),S130,I130))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":21927.722419591882},2089,null,2.61156002049955E-4]
[2090,null,2906.7857681061378,2894.0789890051765,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69548.482584126832,null,2090,null,null,22465.081512946079,null,2090,null,null,68999.792053013545,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N131<=I131),N131,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S131<=I131),S131,I131))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":22465.081512946079},2090,null,2.3100224709162549E-4]
[2091,null,2906.6581649771379,2894.6078451513586,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69560.532903952611,null,2091,null,null,23003.843899575942,null,2091,null,null,68999.832399937208,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":23003.843899575942},2091,null,2.0432955308071813E-4]
[2092,null,2906.5370486754282,2895.1093794625076,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69571.960573165532,null,2092,null,null,23543.740056864986,null,2092,null,null,68999.864918554813,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":23543.740056864986},2092,null,1.8073617762549875E-4]
[2093,null,2906.4220957671773,2895.5849990551492,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69582.79766987756,null,2093,null,null,24084.504523907857,null,2093,null,null,68999.891127749608,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":24084.504523907857},2093,null,1.5986671560970701E-4]
[2094,null,2906.312998296713,2896.0360390203041,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69593.074629153969,null,2094,null,null,24625.876213688778,null,2094,null,null,68999.912251705246,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":24625.876213688778},2094,null,1.4140676049882164E-4]
[2095,null,2906.2094631133714,2896.463766065388,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69602.820326201952,null,2095,null,null,25167.598702458701,null,2095,null,null,68999.929277084157,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":25167.598702458701},2095,null,1.2507817945614272E-4]
[2096,null,2906.1112112202609,2896.8693819765249,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69612.062155445688,null,2096,null,null,25709.420496584953,null,2096,null,null,68999.942999112172,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":25709.420496584953},2096,null,1.1063493197601395E-4]
[2097,null,2906.0179771451653,2897.2540269096494,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69620.826105681204,null,2097,null,null,26251.095277217704,null,2097,null,null,68999.954058721822,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":26251.095277217704},2097,null,9.7859369730306876E-5]
[2098,null,2905.929508333551,2897.6187825184516,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69629.136831496304,null,2098,null,null,26792.382123180454,null,2098,null,null,68999.962972488865,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":26792.382123180454},2098,null,8.6558962418545175E-5]
[2099,null,2905.8455645637332,2897.9646749268759,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69637.017721133161,null,2099,null,null,27333.045712550094,null,2099,null,null,68999.970156760595,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":27333.045712550094},2099,null,7.6563400708960376E-5]
[2100,null,2905.765917383646,2898.292677553562,null,4.1619999999999997E-2,null,null,69644.490960963245,null,2100,null,null,27872.856503442094,null,2100,null,null,68999.975947102532,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$16)","v":27872.856503442094},2100,null,6.7722032944642023E-5]

{"sheet":"FKR","index":49,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["SOUTH KOREA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D46","v":51784.059000000001},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D46","v":51784.059000000001},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D46","v":51784.059000000001},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.statista.com/statistics/1095105/south-korea-number-of-vehicles-registered/",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":753.12752134783409},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":753.12752134783409},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":753.12752134783409}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²","Last retrieved 01/29/2024","p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.57352304979365121},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":0.30495373078453863},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.93186387061826292},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.99474153721265746},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.91934854628090201},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99152542837841418},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":1.2775670825861316E-2},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.93387199722987579},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.96198918737549399},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.9632400506181833}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,16928.78963388973,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":2.56979943303813E-4},"a",39000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":418578.03918637621},null,null,"a",39000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":10620.932889771317},null,null,"a",39000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":163970.60457904014},null,null,"a",6.6268585645117204,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":3.1892075102551482E-5}]
[null,null,null,null,null,7.93250091607049E-5,null,"b",1.341770092933176,null,null,null,"b",24.713918538366421,null,null,null,"b",115.96029898793796,null,null,null,"b",1.7770301123507128]
[null,null,null,null,null,4.3145737911217945E-2,null,"c",5.2081138936338034E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",7.6854586714046283E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.1412662999453041,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.11002565971550481]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":747.22363121141905},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":2005.6448402077222},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":1102.6556740611945},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2041.732923507047},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":2026.7897317291972},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2033.6474296011279}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"KR!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,913.55,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,935.68100000000004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,986.41600000000005,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,958.85400000000004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,1174.7429999999999,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,1217.7639999999999,null,null,null,null,null,17940,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A51-2000)))","v":17575.374498005403},{"$f":"(I51-H51)^2","v":132951.75670481153},2010,0,{"$f":"KR!$Q51","v":0},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.41139482515620907},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":0.16924570216530782},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0},{"$f":"M51","v":0},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":2.1305097054076789E-8},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":4.5390716048363152E-16},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":0.41139482515620907},2010]
[2011,1211.2840000000001,null,{"$f":"H51-H52+B52","v":711.28400000000011},{"$f":"D52/H51","v":3.9647937569676703E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A52-2000))-F$34*(A52-2000))","v":3.6044166957029423E-2},{"$f":"(F52-E52)^2","v":1.2987162628580148E-5},18440,18300.863045250571,19359.09217694457,2011,0,{"$f":"KR!$Q52","v":0},0.96033005338432054,0.92223381143313188,2011,0,0,8.7898141421254798E-7,7.7260832653109084E-13,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":0.96033005338432054},2011]
[2012,1175.8910000000001,null,745.89100000000008,4.0449620390455535E-2,3.4522158473890792E-2,3.5134804772325372E-5,18870,19017.221379906827,21674.134701670217,2012,0.54800000000000004,{"$f":"KR!$Q53","v":0.54800000000000004},2.1054613356674361,2.4256858120989939,2012,0.54800000000000004,0.54800000000000004,2.2215048890454107E-5,0.30027965279992452,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":2.1054613356674361},2012]
[2013,1137.027,null,607.02700000000004,3.21688924218336E-2,3.3064415727431871E-2,8.0196199086965453E-7,19400,19723.151144697189,104426.66231910359,2013,0.72499999999999998,{"$f":"KR!$Q54","v":1.272999998072462},4.3556582181579167,9.5027817018604228,2013,0.72499999999999998,1.272999998072462,3.6688056958569294E-4,1.6195950517650894,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":4.3556582181579167},2013]
[2014,1213.943,null,493.94299999999998,2.5460979381443299E-2,3.1668225382726255E-2,3.8529902920443244E-5,20120,20417.484698233962,88497.145683351584,2014,1.3499999999999999,{"$f":"KR!$Q55","v":2.62299987601499},8.5389755410883073,34.998768069739675,2014,1.3499999999999999,2.62299987601499,4.1875173376914234E-3,6.8581781699609561,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":8.5389755410883073},2014]
[2015,1326.7760000000001,null,456.77600000000007,2.2702584493041751E-2,3.0330988643459515E-2,5.8192549882110956E-5,20990,21099.182864252132,11920.897846299544,2015,3.5220000000000002,{"$f":"KR!$Q56","v":6.1449985527829325},15.926885636315891,95.685314914988908,2015,3.5220000000000002,6.1449985527829325,3.4680104542257922E-2,37.335991538910321,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":15.926885636315891},2015,6.4605370219690803E-2]
[2016,1343.3789999999999,null,533.37899999999991,2.5411100524059073E-2,2.9050216418529607E-2,1.3243164493388076E-5,21800,21767.331552898391,1067.2274360306101,2016,6.2620000000000005,{"$f":"KR!$Q57","v":12.406991502663725},28.368013805448992,254.75423295000871,2016,6.2620000000000005,12.406991502663725,0.21739461062005844,148.58627239052063,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":28.368013805448992},2016,6.0207947126622065E-2]
[2017,1296.904,null,566.904,2.6004770642201833E-2,2.7823524692475315E-2,3.3078662953861957E-6,22530,22421.137447495323,11851.055337833621,2017,14.716000000000001,{"$f":"KR!$Q58","v":27.12296523177033},48.415172405480746,453.35808632820533,2017,14.716000000000001,27.12296523177033,1.0700316990109335,678.755345662379,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$17)","v":48.415172405480746},2017,5.2649043247428376E-2]
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{"sheet":"FLU","index":50,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["LUXEMBOURG",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D47","v":654.76800000000003},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D47","v":654.76800000000003},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D47","v":654.76800000000003},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":916.35510593065021},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":901.08252083180605},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":901.08252083180605}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,485318.16567679134,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":1.7576990588313915E-3},"a",600,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":874.79807050172326},null,null,"a",590,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":21.407348502427379},null,null,"a",590,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":21.407189063170488},null,null,"a",7.0139351667694614,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":6.2171701169783274E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.0006354832836288E-5,null,"b",0.89313183080616598,null,null,null,"b",58.441243400826508,null,null,null,"b",58.441243400826508,null,null,null,"b",49.633227313211876]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.4523677975435864E-2,null,"c",4.7884165027066918E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13612445821529662,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13612444898093504,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.20617589130681793]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":10.569359922671099},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1997.6396981746486},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":29.545659874625116},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2029.8845770740124},null,null,"Max increase",29.622067824786672,{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2029.8845791013118}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"LU!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,48.517000000000003,null,null,null,null,null,307,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":297.06775650633978},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":98.649460817355845},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,50.837000000000003,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":42.837000000000003},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":0.13953420195439739},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":0.12924621777586906},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.0584261845764926E-4},315,306.99398247475642,64.096316614507316,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,51.332000000000001,null,44.332000000000001,0.14073650793650794,0.12738268667358627,1.7832454232205897E-4,322,316.76471637748296,27.408194608195192,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,52.359000000000002,null,45.359000000000002,0.14086645962732919,0.12554602433675605,2.3471573749263896E-4,329,326.36797381314892,6.9275618482698276,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,47.265000000000001,null,44.265000000000001,0.13454407294832826,0.1237358433798277,1.1681782640540998E-4,332,335.79313474868229,14.38787122166107,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,49.725999999999999,null,44.725999999999999,0.13471686746987951,0.12195176200206327,1.6294791760447215E-4,337,345.03089811387991,64.495324515519954,2010,0,{"$f":"LU!$Q51","v":0},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":1.8395933881861689E-4},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":3.3841038338582684E-8},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0},{"$f":"M51","v":0},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":1.8395908433087245E-4},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":3.384094470785304E-8},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":1.8395933881861689E-4},2010]
[2011,49.881,null,40.881,0.1213086053412463,0.12019340390703444,1.2436742388681831E-6,346,354.0732296673234,65.177037261350748,2011,0,{"$f":"LU!$Q52","v":0},1.2380293997241547E-3,1.5327167945813508E-6,2011,0,0,1.2380277555395038E-3,1.5327127234861815E-6,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":1.2380293997241547E-3},2011]
[2012,50.398000000000003,null,40.548000000000037,0.11719075144508681,0.11846039822327924,1.6120029413744084E-6,355.84999999999997,362.9133045363979,49.890270973899668,2012,0,{"$f":"LU!$Q53","v":0},6.5367620087124229E-3,4.2729257558546068E-5,2012,0,0,6.5367537435236083E-3,4.272914950346991E-5,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":6.5367620087124229E-3},2012]
[2013,46.624000000000002,null,39.226999999999954,0.11023464943093988,0.11675237942610252,4.2480804289842693E-5,363.24700000000001,371.54544571250989,68.864201243473516,2013,0,{"$f":"LU!$Q54","v":0},2.7927235402425494E-2,7.7993047722248784E-4,2013,0,0,2.7927202016603529E-2,7.7992861247618418E-4,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":2.7927235402425494E-2},2013]
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[2015,46.472999999999999,null,38.439999999999984,0.10310412067795514,0.11340986666521131,1.0620840035384667E-4,380.86,388.16857006003909,53.415196322499547,2015,8.3000000000000004E-2,{"$f":"LU!$Q56","v":0.10799960961440053},0.29976879192041217,3.6775419282316327E-2,2015,8.3000000000000004E-2,0.10799960961440053,0.29976847697717535,3.6775298489601524E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":0.29976879192041217},2015,0.32407407407407407,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V56-2000))-X$34*(V56-2000))","v":0.34247289538346593},{"$f":"(X56-W56)^2","v":3.3851662557493183E-4}]
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[2017,52.774999999999999,null,40.517000000000017,0.10362404092071616,0.11016304546100769,4.2758580377953304E-5,403.25799999999998,403.91765779905944,0.43514841185997044,2017,1.0249999999999999,{"$f":"LU!$Q58","v":1.4536553679918787},1.8275897135611945,0.13982689479635249,2017,1.0249999999999999,1.4536553679918787,1.8275880560897004,0.13982565522806287,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":1.8275897135611945},2017,0.5453920220082531,0.4853964108747934,3.5994733552773125E-3]
[2018,52.786000000000001,null,40.915999999999997,0.10146357914784083,0.10857466002978887,5.0567471309606833E-5,415.12799999999999,411.46056385184971,13.450087900759311,2018,1.085,{"$f":"LU!$Q59","v":2.5365457900113118},3.812287848039329,1.6275177986215608,2018,1.085,2.5365457900113118,3.8122846531299235,1.6275096468711681,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":3.812287848039329},2018,0.5230405671524222,0.52146405597611278,2.4853874890284927E-6]
[2019,54.938000000000002,null,43.741999999999976,0.10536991000366147,0.10700917637986203,2.6871942521417067E-6,426.32400000000001,418.78189130511902,56.883403565399497,2019,2.0259999999999998,{"$f":"LU!$Q60","v":4.5525956014346303},7.2419537113169854,7.2326470431899939,2019,2.0259999999999998,4.5525956014346303,7.2419481202896092,7.2326169706716197,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":7.2419537113169854},2019,0.49222343921139106,0.53194945937967941,1.5781566784112532E-3]
[2020,45.082000000000001,null,35.417000000000037,8.3075313611244109E-2,0.10546626431695308,5.0135467350548898E-4,435.98899999999998,425.88214879585604,102.14844126270573,2020,5.431,{"$f":"LU!$Q61","v":9.9477182063433816},12.67828711005364,7.4560065379094427,2020,5.431,9.9477182063433816,12.678278118085348,7.4559574316122976,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":12.67828711005364},2020,0.5084033613445379,0.52026322816292714,1.4065644094993015E-4]
[2021,47.155999999999999,null,39.843999999999987,9.138762675205106E-2,0.10394559840719193,1.577026520913216E-4,443.30099999999999,432.76246900805438,111.06063546819804,2021,9.5459999999999994,{"$f":"LU!$Q62","v":19.394152973535},20.668726342208984,1.6245372721329474,2021,9.5459999999999994,19.394152973535,20.6687129090204,1.6245030291445455,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":20.668726342208984},2021,0.50214921707092419,0.49168942779079039,1.0940719178480201E-4]
[2022,42.087000000000003,null,{"$f":"H62-I63+B63","v":45.963451087573802},0.10368451929405484,0.10244685790849004,1.5318057053181887E-6,null,439.42454891242619,null,2022,10.8,{"$f":"LU!$Q63","v":29.975259261596321},31.663159021233074,2.8490055985818095,2022,10.8,29.975259261596321,31.663140206202048,2.8489420831631205,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":31.663159021233074},2022,0.45366159119372484,0.45190465781159062,3.0868149092576217E-6]
[2023,49.155000000000001,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":42.708956340594654},null,0.10096972670290688,null,null,445.87059257183154,null,2023,16.914999999999999,{"$f":"LU!$Q64","v":46.496667794097462},45.943063355315054,0.30647787463958465,2023,16.914999999999999,46.496667794097462,45.943038446233587,0.30650545481617997,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":45.943063355315054},2023,0.39822671773493873,0.40602008900594494,6.0736635767744964E-5]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":50.602982667070393},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":44.370318543586137},null,9.9513893229991171E-2,null,null,452.10325669531579,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*1.0927874","v":18.484498871},{"$f":"LU!$R65","v":63.57860472666745},63.578621861078844,2.9358805380946871E-10,2024,null,null,63.578590469425471,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":63.578621861078844},2024,0.37408902543583883,0.35812044411499555,2.5499558940038483E-4]
[2025,null,50.364200481226781,44.341858108955613,null,9.8079050421082795E-2,null,null,458.12559906758696,null,2025,null,null,84.42015858881679,null,2025,null,null,84.420120695735477,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N66<=I66),N66,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S66<=I66),S66,I66))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":84.42015858881679},2025,null,0.31116134200068468]
[2026,null,50.100094085659507,44.284663221389266,null,9.6664895634561515E-2,null,null,463.9410299318572,null,2026,null,null,108.12106442417013,null,2026,null,null,108.12102037483888,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N67<=I67),N67,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S67<=I67),S67,I67))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":108.12106442417013},2026,null,0.26707471451220016]
[2027,null,49.812422879534267,44.200186449638409,null,9.5271130592029019E-2,null,null,469.55326636175306,null,2027,null,null,134.18313360427896,null,2027,null,null,134.18308405934394,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N68<=I68),N68,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S68<=I68),S68,I68))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":134.18313360427896},2027,null,0.22696543201884847]
[2028,null,49.502882923938913,44.08985966372741,null,9.389746131541063E-2,null,null,474.96628962196456,null,2028,null,null,162.01289139799937,null,2028,null,null,162.01283725689862,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N69<=I69),N69,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S69<=I69),S69,I69))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":162.01289139799937},2028,null,0.19132484216176007]
[2029,null,49.173105266149292,43.955089401182164,null,9.2543598064963567E-2,null,null,480.18430548693169,null,2029,null,null,190.97841522936608,null,2029,null,null,190.9783575416071,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N70<=I70),N70,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S70<=I70),S70,I70))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":190.97841522936608},2029,null,0.16022218435069829]
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[2086,null,29.96746187792461,29.545970471697149,null,0.05,null,null,591.34090084017043,null,2086,null,null,589.71600530715887,null,2086,null,null,589.71600508167728,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N127<=I127),N127,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S127<=I127),S127,I127))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.71600530715887},2086,null,1.4303464769336149E-6]
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[2088,null,{"$f":"I129-I128+F129*I128","v":29.97066803334604},{"$f":"I128-I129+C129","v":29.587148248022739},null,0.05,null,null,592.12648474577804,null,2088,null,null,589.78367887247816,null,2088,null,null,589.78367869672263,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N129<=I129),N129,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S129<=I129),S129,I129))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.78367887247816},2088,null,9.4702030758653429E-7]
[2089,null,29.972143651007116,29.606324237288902,null,0.05,null,null,592.49230415949626,null,2089,null,null,589.81120479037565,null,2089,null,null,589.81120463523757,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N130<=I130),N130,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S130<=I130),S130,I130))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.81120479037565},2089,null,7.7058099384210656E-7]
[2090,null,29.973540842148992,29.624615207974813,null,0.05,null,null,592.84122979367044,null,2090,null,null,589.8352286448212,null,2090,null,null,589.83522850789996,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N131<=I131),N131,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S131<=I131),S131,I131))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.8352286448212},2090,null,6.2701406698022875E-7]
[2091,null,29.974864124296882,29.642061489683524,null,0.05,null,null,593.17403242828379,null,2091,null,null,589.85619587921985,null,2091,null,null,589.856195758392,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.85619587921985},2091,null,5.1019508145275229E-7]
[2092,null,29.976117727511731,29.658701621414192,null,0.05,null,null,593.49144853438133,null,2092,null,null,589.87449530679476,null,2092,null,null,589.87449520018208,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.87449530679476},2092,null,4.1514063388495505E-7]
[2093,null,29.977305614602244,29.674572426719067,null,0.05,null,null,593.79418172226451,null,2093,null,null,589.89046630347877,null,2093,null,null,589.89046620942042,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.89046630347877},2093,null,3.3779577666859651E-7]
[2094,null,29.978431499799626,29.689709086113226,null,0.05,null,null,594.08290413595091,null,2094,null,null,589.90440508877941,null,2094,null,null,589.90440500580678,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.90440508877941},2094,null,2.7486103812646665E-7]
[2095,null,29.979498866016129,29.704145206797548,null,0.05,null,null,594.35825779516949,null,2095,null,null,589.91657020988202,null,2095,null,null,589.91657013669726,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.91657020988202},2095,null,2.2365167028571495E-7]
[2096,null,29.980510980801082,29.717912889758477,null,0.05,null,null,594.6208558862121,null,2096,null,null,589.92718732977721,null,2096,null,null,589.92718726523287,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.92718732977721},2096,null,1.8198312002504571E-7]
[2097,null,29.981470911098537,29.731042794310607,null,0.05,null,null,594.87128400300003,null,2097,null,null,589.93645340751721,null,2097,null,null,589.93645335059944,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.93645340751721},2097,null,1.4807783797881838E-7]
[2098,null,29.982381536900348,29.743564200150004,null,0.05,null,null,595.11010133975037,null,2098,null,null,589.94454034760872,null,2098,null,null,589.9445402974219,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.94454034760872},2098,null,1.2048944979996719E-7]
[2099,null,29.983245563884079,29.755505066987521,null,0.05,null,null,595.33784183664693,null,2099,null,null,589.95159818582999,null,2099,null,null,589.95159814158274,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.95159818582999},2099,null,9.8041055026573513E-8]
[2100,null,29.984065535113473,29.766892091832347,null,0.05,null,null,595.55501527992806,null,2100,null,null,589.95775787026196,null,2100,null,null,589.95775783125544,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$18)","v":589.95775787026196},2100,null,7.9775021455253906E-8]

{"sheet":"FNL","index":51,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["NETHERLANDS",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D48","v":17618.298999999999},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D48","v":17618.298999999999},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D48","v":17618.298999999999},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 01/29/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":766.24877350531972},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":749.22102298297932},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":737.86918930141894}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.65447242380681536},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":0.58185739365951739},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.98312106761618923},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.99299994477092679},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.70989758319872587},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.99471278124961948},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":1.3366926002729323E-4},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.95441462489378015},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.95728298660181832},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.93373081048199347}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,19214.045010371156,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":8.151466127042891E-4},"a",13500,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":46395.517747061465},null,null,"a",13200,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":3707.6949488801679},null,null,"a",13000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":110732.71774199609},null,null,"a",34.05754678880681,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":3.0948128905725691E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,9.0033840387347761E-5,null,"b",0.75483912812249365,null,null,null,"b",18.026921631717219,null,null,null,"b",47.027476541139542,null,null,null,"b",2.1404851780410619]
[null,null,null,null,null,3.7544152115838114E-2,null,"c",3.0814971538059881E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",7.8584214530330584E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.11877027594165852,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.15349282208889214]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":153.0386258733275},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1990.8729226822761},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":381.60562342735477},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2036.7995825118505},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":568.01085563553943},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2032.4216813308039}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"NL!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,465.19600000000003,null,null,null,null,null,7092,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":7068.410697122521},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":556.45521024543837},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,483.99900000000002,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":345.99900000000002},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":4.8787225042301187E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":5.1844698913895537E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":9.3481464754821452E-6},7230,7208.5695459836934,459.26435934503223,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,504.3,null,342.3,4.7344398340248964E-2,4.9934452075816656E-2,6.7083783531281558E-6,7392,7347.128714753987,2013.4322396290668,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,499.98,null,349.98,4.7345779220779226E-2,4.8094584654020625E-2,5.6070957685183975E-7,7542,7484.026116651713,3360.9711504807906,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
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[2010,482.53100000000001,null,368.53100000000001,4.8350957753870376E-2,4.4615712918171839E-2,1.3952053982612589E-5,7736,7752.6125894471606,275.97812813991322,2010,8.5999999999999993E-2,{"$f":"NL!$Q51","v":8.5999999999999993E-2},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":3.5696214693830979},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":12.135618541946855},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":8.5999999999999993E-2},{"$f":"M51","v":8.5999999999999993E-2},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":7.6967465280069671E-3},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":6.1313995042991884E-3},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":3.5696214693830979},2010,0]
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[2090,null,384.19131879139439,365.20611144686899,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12878.355328713151,null,2090,null,null,12999.738297465201,null,2090,null,null,12986.07652753432,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N131<=I131),N131,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S131<=I131),S131,I131))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12878.355328713151},2090,null,1.1202501715801236E-5]
[2091,null,384.18115790113171,365.74529133545349,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12896.791195278829,null,2091,null,null,13014.766520738047,null,2091,null,null,12987.63505070413,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12896.791195278829},2091,null,9.6084661809255801E-6]
[2092,null,384.17050175482581,366.26886994591877,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12914.692827087736,null,2092,null,null,13028.674427020693,null,2092,null,null,12989.019194428362,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12914.692827087736},2092,null,8.2412500963030383E-6]
[2093,null,384.15941129859021,366.77727628929171,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12932.074962097035,null,2093,null,null,13041.54445183015,null,2093,null,null,12990.24845401228,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12932.074962097035},2093,null,7.0685788286429025E-6]
[2094,null,384.14794306718471,367.2709289235558,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12948.951976240663,null,2094,null,null,13053.453122410507,null,2094,null,null,12991.340148519366,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12948.951976240663},2094,null,6.0627701474909454E-6]
[2095,null,384.13614945535608,367.75023612523489,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12965.337889570785,null,2095,null,null,13064.471458062773,null,2095,null,null,12992.309663005308,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12965.337889570785},2095,null,5.2000807723938183E-6]
[2096,null,384.12407897402971,368.21559606381032,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12981.246372481004,null,2096,null,null,13074.665346808708,null,2096,null,null,12993.170663937099,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12981.246372481004},2096,null,4.4601458980980493E-6]
[2097,null,384.11177649217638,368.66739697846054,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,12996.69075199472,null,2097,null,null,13084.095899245736,null,2097,null,null,12993.935290734233,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":12996.69075199472},2097,null,3.8254984686525195E-6]
[2098,null,384.09928346500493,369.10601735665006,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,13011.684018103075,null,2098,null,null,13092.819780515209,null,2098,null,null,12994.614326053976,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":13011.684018103075},2098,null,3.2811568534327336E-6]
[2099,null,384.0866381492778,369.53182611412734,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,13026.238830138225,null,2099,null,null,13100.889521348652,null,2099,null,null,12995.2173471601,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":13026.238830138225},2099,null,2.8142711925076866E-6]
[2100,null,384.07387580627238,369.94518277592562,null,2.8400000000000002E-2,null,null,13040.367523168572,null,2100,null,null,13108.353809180562,null,2100,null,null,12995.752860461091,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$19)","v":13040.367523168572},2100,null,2.4138200635059486E-6]

{"sheet":"FNZ","index":52,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["NEW ZEALAND",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://figure.nz/chart/uJNrdoLD71eoFI72",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D49","v":5228.1000000000004},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D49","v":5228.1000000000004},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D49","v":5228.1000000000004},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":803.35112182245939},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":784.22371416001977},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":784.22371416001977}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":4.5455522305981502E-2},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":3.9211300384191738E-2},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.94019655110087519},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.96447538362734198},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.85944139315262014},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.96186553763651483},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":4.2130521665256229E-2},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.99534087392538628},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.97368588476253404},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.97496061130905964}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,10216.905176849101,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":2.3762208498965723E-4},"a",4200,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":84351.489715332427},null,null,"a",4100,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":373.39358031132633},null,null,"a",4100,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":1150.1767212034085},null,null,"a",392.2585944616572,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":7.5216823003485204E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,5.4923779667725298E-3,null,"b",0.77771920140244566,null,null,null,"b",32.977917027983317,null,null,null,"b",102.32443196579423,null,null,null,"b",7.9529407951580741E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,4.2078027661503599E-4,null,"c",3.4273168693230278E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",8.8457771792789117E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13563737927079597,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.10272820770849338]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":52.95525541336854},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1992.665115214478},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":133.42136218304915},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2039.5198532095483},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":204.58263348120755},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2034.1214825586403}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,1913.7560000000001,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A41-2000)))","v":1929.7014925592755},{"$f":"(I41-H41)^2","v":254.2587329579074},2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,1957.077,1980.9343458871099,569.17295277719904,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,2017.5029999999999,2031.7328954811017,202.48992540307918,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,2114.453,2082.0571297980246,1049.4924061432384,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,2188.5709999999999,2131.8696862721063,3215.0389784690205,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"NZ!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,77.825000000000003,null,null,null,null,null,2250.4349999999999,2181.1358275290927,4802.3753051525491,2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,76.804000000000002,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":38.957999999999998},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":1.731131981150311E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":2.3423910691760912E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":3.7363767269410849E-5},2288.2809999999999,2229.8234067675899,3417.2902065259182,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,77.453999999999994,null,34.530999999999764,1.5090366961050573E-2,2.3414110409645951E-2,6.9284704998034475E-5,2331.2040000000002,2277.9028234691782,2841.0154195698474,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,73.397000000000006,null,58.700000000000344,2.5180121516607014E-2,2.3404314205158202E-2,3.153491607395058E-6,2345.9009999999998,2325.3469705573848,422.46812632788618,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,54.404000000000003,null,51.429999999999843,2.1923346296369644E-2,2.3394522076620166E-2,2.1643581763957324E-6,2348.875,2372.131174078193,540.84963275521591,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,62.029000000000003,null,47.501000000000211,2.0222872651801484E-2,2.3384734022355018E-2,9.997367326598674E-6,2363.4029999999998,2418.2331264226746,3006.3427635264975,2010,8.0000000000000002E-3,{"$f":"NZ!$Q51","v":8.0000000000000002E-3},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":5.0042877987736753E-3},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":8.9742915925762727E-6},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":8.0000000000000002E-3},{"$f":"M51","v":8.0000000000000002E-3},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":1.4642571224529938E-8},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":6.3999765719074812E-5},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":5.0042877987736753E-3},2010,0]
[2011,63.470999999999997,null,64.927999999999884,2.7472250817994176E-2,2.3374950040686609E-2,1.6787873659725196E-5,2361.9459999999999,2463.6328140566975,10340.208153001389,2011,1.2E-2,{"$f":"NZ!$Q52","v":1.9999999941512539E-2},1.5847611494246652E-2,1.7242329816987207E-5,2011,1.2E-2,1.9999999941512539E-2,4.1455780398456526E-7,3.9998341552024887E-4,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":1.5847611494246652E-2},2011,0]
[2012,76.870999999999995,null,53.959999999999937,2.2845568865672603E-2,2.3365170129939463E-2,2.6998547382771915E-7,2384.857,2508.3124406646612,15241.245829705678,2012,2.4E-2,{"$f":"NZ!$Q53","v":4.3999997323916455E-2},4.5520142911860906E-2,2.3108426085469795E-6,2012,2.4E-2,4.3999997323916455E-2,7.6804045287514263E-6,1.9353239479358453E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":4.5520142911860906E-2},2012,0.11363636363636365]
[2013,82.433000000000007,null,27.134000000000029,1.1377621383588211E-2,2.3355394288438771E-2,null,2440.1559999999999,2552.2563465546532,12566.487697673358,2013,8.0000000000000002E-3,{"$f":"NZ!$Q54","v":5.1999973972196807E-2},0.11957754814033759,4.566728530450568E-3,2013,8.0000000000000002E-3,5.1999973972196807E-2,9.8259478872681928E-5,2.6937879673465314E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":0.11957754814033759},2013,0.13461538461538464]
[2014,90.131,null,12.140000000000015,4.9750917564286932E-3,2.3345622514510406E-2,null,2518.1469999999999,2595.4509251122918,5975.8968377668243,2014,0.24299999999999999,{"$f":"NZ!$Q55","v":0.29499986405696949},0.28945836888523807,3.0708168738322575E-5,2014,0.24299999999999999,0.29499986405696949,9.0981538334939716E-4,8.6488956728852234E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":0.28945836888523807},2014,0.7220338983050848,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V55-2000))-X$34*(V55-2000))","v":0.74643456115196394},{"$f":"(X55-W55)^2","v":5.9539234736706798E-4}]
[2015,94.963999999999999,null,-7.9120000000002051,-3.1419929019235993E-3,2.3335854806480906E-2,null,2621.0230000000001,2637.884537030392,284.31143102727731,2015,0.28799999999999998,{"$f":"NZ!$Q56","v":0.58299949807681639},0.65015842169558746,4.5103210216319266E-3,2015,0.28799999999999998,0.58299949807681639,6.3522921686178443E-3,0.33252200008173227,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":0.65015842169558746},2015,0.68610634648370505,0.6748042453414298,1.2773749023021965E-4]
[2016,102.514,null,13.11,5.0018637760904806E-3,2.3326091162677486E-2,null,2710.4270000000001,2679.5474229822253,953.54827679668949,2016,0.41199999999999998,{"$f":"NZ!$Q57","v":0.99499847319305412},1.3636426291280737,0.13589851370504299,2016,0.41199999999999998,0.99499847319305412,3.4662262976845777E-2,0.92224563665242942,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":1.3636426291280737},2016,0.66331658291457285,0.60993806153653618,2.849266544505518E-3]
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[2100,null,98.121785475083485,94.517115030472738,null,2.3099999999999999E-2,null,null,4095.254671763777,null,2100,null,null,4080.5775434814132,null,2100,null,null,4099.4603923689601,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$20)","v":4080.5775434814132},2100,null,1.1075398472484445E-4]

{"sheet":"FNO","index":53,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["NORWAY",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D50","v":5474.36},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D50","v":5474.36},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D50","v":5474.36},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":643.46038773055113},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":643.46038773055113},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":643.46038773055113}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,254915.35029654426,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":4.6815361409181398E-4},"a",3522.5338081766199,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":2993.6981552688894},null,null,"a",3522.5338081766199,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":6882.5955807422843},null,null,"a",3522.5338081766199,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":21046.701927727874},null,null,"a",3.5660798550998072,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":6.8547433098818259E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.195277262537837E-3,null,"b",0.74871256643954875,null,null,null,"b",23.063795862334981,null,null,null,"b",30.898841211838356,null,null,null,"b",128.28112417748531]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.1137308197914162E-4,null,"c",5.874388718051033E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.12096067511917698,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13314626010162775,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.25915089133564939]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":76.124310014743727},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1995.0735278267937},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":156.74904018643005},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2025.9444989562346},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":172.53994700988667},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2025.7665418416327}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"NO!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,109.907,null,null,null,null,null,2029,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":2015.8201033422365},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":173.70967590932528},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,109.164,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":53.164000000000001},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":2.6202069985214391E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":3.3871615942728271E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":5.8821935194417503E-5},2085,2081.044239374583,15.648042125599829,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,129.19499999999999,null,59.194999999999993,2.8390887290167862E-2,3.3867848271815458E-2,2.99971015944902E-5,2155,2144.4792761377885,110.685630584907,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,110.617,null,67.617000000000004,3.1376798143851511E-2,3.3864081019493578E-2,6.1865761034622661E-6,2198,2206.0655302240975,65.052777795830735,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,98.674999999999997,null,53.674999999999997,2.4419927206551409E-2,3.386031418571623E-2,8.9120906316384694E-5,2243,2265.7574876351414,517.90324346361319,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,127.754,null,65.754000000000005,2.9315202853321447E-2,3.3856547770437034E-2,2.0623813656211582E-5,2305,2323.5227169398045,343.0910428321194,2010,0.34499999999999997,{"$f":"NO!$Q51","v":0.34499999999999997},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":3.6207078211744284},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":10.730261729703322},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.34499999999999997},{"$f":"M51","v":0.34499999999999997},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":1.0068620761136922},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":0.43806140779752689},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":3.6207078211744284},2010,0]
[2011,138.345,null,73.344999999999999,3.181995661605206E-2,3.3852781773609598E-2,4.132378121198831E-6,2370,2379.3407714744289,87.250011737505545,2011,2.0259999999999998,{"$f":"NO!$Q52","v":2.3709998942494339},7.9291552965069743,30.893091475644681,2011,2.0259999999999998,2.3709998942494339,2.7845892638444396,0.17105616664199422,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":7.9291552965069743},2011,4.2176296921130334E-4,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V52-2000))-X$34*(V52-2000))","v":4.1247341857288296E-3},{"$f":"(X52-W52)^2","v":1.3711995830357289E-5}]
[2012,137.96700000000001,null,74.967000000000013,3.1631645569620261E-2,3.3849016195187556E-2,4.9167324911287E-6,2433,2433.2020984578967,4.0843786684216864E-2,2012,4.3070000000000004,{"$f":"NO!$Q53","v":6.6779961007321775},15.880873190480635,84.692946729017052,2012,4.3070000000000004,6.6779961007321775,6.7838669024723419,1.1208626661105194E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":15.880873190480635},2012,5.2710392333033838E-2,1.730069978646601E-2,1.2538463262424611E-3]
[2013,142.15100000000001,null,87.797999999999945,3.608631319358814E-2,3.3845251035124521E-2,5.0223595980976161E-6,2487.3530000000001,2485.1069697199823,5.0446520187566071,2013,8.66,{"$f":"NO!$Q54","v":15.337957115958547},29.386967766915557,197.3747002707035,2013,8.66,15.337957115958547,14.790549730337814,0.29965484583212626,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":29.386967766915557},2013,5.4831138349198068E-2,4.9304493827248864E-2,3.0543799671991137E-5]
[2014,144.202,null,92.002999999999929,3.6988316495487339E-2,3.3841486293374134E-2,9.9025403209318305E-6,2539.5520000000001,2535.0644458454676,20.13814228986206,2014,20.082999999999998,{"$f":"NO!$Q55","v":35.42074281550731},50.697156308651088,233.3688092135053,2014,20.082999999999998,35.42074281550731,29.261193395264261,37.940049060416484,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":50.697156308651088},2014,7.1680641427401798E-2,0.10427551673433774,1.0624258962747025E-3]
[2015,150.68600000000001,null,97.848000000000269,3.8529630423003849E-2,3.3837721969890024E-2,2.2014004932400974E-5,2592.39,2583.0913829364454,86.464279294626948,2015,34.335000000000001,{"$f":"NO!$Q56","v":69.754926045105137},82.192129296913109,154.68402472678278,2015,34.335000000000001,69.754926045105137,53.169326665705576,275.08210677393907,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":82.192129296913109},2015,0.14903377487241243,0.17519486335579978,6.8440255063562257E-4]
[2016,154.60300000000001,null,107.74799999999999,4.1563190723617971E-2,3.3833958064625837E-2,5.9741037496830615E-5,2639.2449999999999,2629.211488895693,100.67134508024894,2016,45.685000000000002,{"$f":"NO!$Q57","v":115.43741274454601},126.11559279653268,114.02352922264609,2016,45.685000000000002,115.43741274454601,89.680199879470649,663.43401457680363,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":126.11559279653268},2016,0.26895123916112995,0.24644672186789501,5.064532986015104E-4]
[2017,158.65,null,104.87399999999971,3.9736363998037212E-2,3.3830194577535222E-2,3.4882837223672818E-5,2693.0210000000002,2673.4544341294791,382.85049996544183,2017,63.228000000000002,{"$f":"NO!$Q58","v":178.6586812024556},184.29906743949536,31.813956902987581,2017,63.228000000000002,178.6586812024556,141.71932408893176,1364.5161039604443,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":184.29906743949536},2017,0.33689112269056187,0.30227158960616135,1.1985120709819023E-3]
[2018,147.929,null,120.93700000000027,4.4907559205813942E-2,3.3826431508571828E-2,1.2279139104258633E-4,2720.0129999999999,2715.8550198459798,17.288798961225442,2018,74.584000000000003,{"$f":"NO!$Q59","v":253.22655315787108},257.93295241235796,22.150193942634683,2018,74.584000000000003,253.22655315787108,211.53732005733735,1737.992156510637,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":257.93295241235796},2018,0.34246780887097084,0.33352925541686307,7.9897737851941897E-5]
[2019,142.381,null,93.404000000000138,3.433954175954311E-2,3.3822668857689316E-2,null,2768.99,2756.4524056676955,157.1912716414277,2019,81.387,{"$f":"NO!$Q60","v":334.57849761577017},347.42288651463895,164.97832618538334,2019,81.387,334.57849761577017,300.3715644467984,1170.1142768265013,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":347.42288651463895},2019,0.316298111403299,0.3391721062045237,5.2321963816645491E-4]
[2020,141.41200000000001,null,115.94499999999991,4.1872668373666905E-2,3.3818906624841341E-2,null,2794.4569999999999,2795.289397061807,0.69288486850511699,2020,108.312,{"$f":"NO!$Q61","v":442.82044728622878},452.34816949309436,90.777490451199441,2020,108.312,442.82044728622878,408.27048227507242,1193.7000822721286,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":452.34816949309436},2020,0.30405551843089085,0.32385380847662543,3.9197228873503293E-4]
[2021,176.27600000000001,null,168.4869999999998,6.0293287747852198E-2,3.381514480998158E-2,null,2802.2460000000001,2832.411792098223,909.97501291320941,2021,157.57599999999999,{"$f":"NO!$Q62","v":600.26629986480634},571.51692074725804,826.52679964452238,2021,157.57599999999999,600.26629986480634,534.09797003979997,4378.2478718308275,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":571.51692074725804},2021,0.28791829856393036,0.29455477675472308,4.4042842776867367E-5]
[2022,174.32900000000001,null,{"$f":"I62-I63+B63","v":138.87300585052463},4.9557749694539535E-2,3.3811383413063695E-2,null,null,2867.8677862476984,null,2022,161.28299999999999,{"$f":"NO!$Q63","v":761.32219721951503},703.09647887193512,3390.2342770917044,2022,161.28299999999999,761.32219721951503,675.69247132464693,7332.4499568302444,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":703.09647887193512},2022,0.24813503611788224,0.25804235806987735,9.8155028260484364E-5]
[2023,126.953,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":93.113352939371026},null,3.3807622434041368E-2,null,null,2901.7074333083274,null,2023,122.96299999999999,{"$f":"NO!$Q64","v":883.90925392354154},844.78960191895885,1530.3471729596504,2023,122.96299999999999,883.90925392354154,830.12909654196358,2892.3053279872947,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":844.78960191895885},2023,0.22510607228512589,0.21960548876518318,3.0256419059865259E-5]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":130.36364403824831},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":98.088917271029857},null,3.3803861872868282E-2,null,null,2933.9821600755458,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*0.9074045","v":111.57717953349999},{"$f":"NO!$R$65","v":994.02625228104159},994.02669522547092,1.9619976746888798E-7,2024,111.57717953349999,994.02625228104159,994.02602490219192,5.1701141278288072E-8,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$21)","v":994.02669522547092},2024,0.2133803608268188,0.18276494940066559,9.3730341679263221E-4]
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{"sheet":"FPT","index":54,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["PORTUGAL",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["https://www.statista.com/statistics/452382/portugal-number-of-registered-passenger-cars/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D51","v":10247.605},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D51","v":10247.605},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D51","v":10247.605},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
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["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,3443,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A41-2000)))","v":3427.4190880431001},{"$f":"(I41-H41)^2","v":242.76481740866484},2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3532.0590669428675,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3636.0120840556642,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3739.1744912540562,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3841.4488800956683,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"PT!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,206.488,null,null,null,null,null,4200,3942.7440987444693,{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":66180.598730795376},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,194.702,null,null,null,null,null,null,4042.9752331681293,null,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,201.816,null,null,null,null,null,null,4142.06355598556,null,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,213.38900000000001,null,null,null,null,null,null,4239.9364462752756,null,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,161.01300000000001,null,null,null,null,null,null,4336.5272835628366,null,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,223.464,null,null,null,null,null,4480,4431.7753190894391,{"$f":"(I51-H51)^2","v":2325.6198489254161},2010,1.7999999999999999E-2,{"$f":"PT!$Q51","v":1.7999999999999999E-2},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":9.3873136902212408E-3},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":7.4178365470650441E-5},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":1.7999999999999999E-2},{"$f":"M51","v":1.7999999999999999E-2},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":5.1213685175143386E-6},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":3.2381565696178492E-4},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":9.3873136902212408E-3},2010,0,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V51-2000))-X$34*(V51-2000))","v":4.835132174063889E-3},{"$f":"(X51-W51)^2","v":2.337850314066779E-5}]
[2011,153.404,null,{"$f":"H51-H52+B52","v":111.404},{"$f":"D52/H51","v":2.4866964285714284E-2},2.7570000000000001E-2,{"$f":"(F52-E52)^2","v":7.3064020727040952E-6},4522,4525.6255273283905,13.144448408906284,2011,0.21199999999999999,{"$f":"PT!$Q52","v":0.2299999999453953},3.3797539565488741E-2,3.8495405459128808E-2,2011,0.21199999999999999,0.2299999999453953,6.7487483794961421E-5,5.2868960286904E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":3.3797539565488741E-2},2011,8.6956521739130436E-3,1.6234485224380132E-2,5.6834003762814914E-5]
[2012,95.308999999999997,null,120.309,2.6605263157894736E-2,2.7570000000000001E-2,9.3071717451523858E-7,4497,4618.0284405661469,14647.883425873342,2012,0.161,{"$f":"PT!$Q53","v":0.39099999591678203},0.10788255087173133,8.0155487688837304E-2,2012,0.161,0.39099999591678203,6.4939974827919506E-4,0.15237358792910558,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":0.10788255087173133},2012,3.5805626598465472E-2,4.2124457073972908E-2,3.9927618578201539E-5]
[2013,105.92100000000001,null,122.92100000000001,2.7334000444740939E-2,2.7570000000000001E-2,5.5695790082474861E-8,4480,4708.9399692036177,52413.509498953419,2013,0.224,{"$f":"PT!$Q54","v":0.61499992268282255},0.30878204399928738,9.3769389225444269E-2,2013,0.224,0.61499992268282255,4.7413586358169956E-3,0.37241551499271314,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":0.30878204399928738},2013,3.4146341463414637E-2,8.8535594940111179E-2,2.9581908937523467E-3]
[2014,142.82599999999999,null,126.82599999999999,2.8309374999999998E-2,2.7570000000000001E-2,5.4667539062499552E-7,4496,4798.3212102649586,91398.114176069314,2014,0.35899999999999999,{"$f":"PT!$Q55","v":0.97399935702239049},0.80064191970517762,3.0052801073191391E-2,2014,0.35899999999999999,0.97399935702239049,2.7165343345701726E-2,0.89649464945510804,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":0.80064191970517762},2014,0.11396303901437373,0.15663380539088306,1.8207943031586398E-3]
[2015,178.50299999999999,null,-48.497000000000014,-1.0786699288256232E-2,2.7570000000000001E-2,1.4712363802897161E-3,4723,4886.1382464282879,26614.087447696777,2015,1.3029999999999999,{"$f":"PT!$Q56","v":2.2769968364145594},1.8982027347672226,0.14348497144281297,2015,1.3029999999999999,2.2769968364145594,0.12580169515550677,4.627640535776556,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":1.8982027347672226},2015,0.2626262626262626,0.24070610014208418,4.8049352333278273E-4]
[2016,207.345,null,80.344999999999999,1.7011433410967607E-2,2.7570000000000001E-2,1.1148332841503116E-4,4850,4972.3619377181849,14972.443802148959,2016,1.93,{"$f":"PT!$Q57","v":4.2069887224817624},4.1497167246195215,3.2800817391325271E-3,2016,1.93,4.2069887224817624,0.48326859834682456,13.866091562887519,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":4.1497167246195215},2016,0.38412170192536244,0.32967218057114267,2.9647503757036344E-3]
[2017,222.12899999999999,null,13.128999999999991,2.7070103092783487E-3,2.7570000000000001E-2,6.1816825636093118E-4,5059,5056.9677078258155,4.1302114812514672,2017,4.3659999999999997,{"$f":"PT!$Q58","v":8.5729672718348837},8.4290024903196024,2.0725858316742698E-2,2017,4.3659999999999997,8.5729672718348837,1.5755017414111538,48.96452384946825,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":8.4290024903196024},2017,0.47078035693456194,0.41095537590394043,3.5790283553142231E-3]
[2018,228.327,null,4.3269999999999982,8.5530737299861596E-4,2.7570000000000001E-2,7.1367480215516225E-4,5283,5139.9353268509776,20467.500703236605,2018,8.4930000000000003,{"$f":"PT!$Q59","v":17.065916802729042},16.018248243282489,1.0976094104528153,2018,8.4930000000000003,17.065916802729042,4.4470090351235676,159.23683324733378,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":16.018248243282489},2018,0.45663893120825022,0.47433281972417607,3.1307369081401263E-4]
[2019,221.79900000000001,null,52.799000000000007,9.994132121900437E-3,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,5452,5221.2486920929568,53246.166100811039,2019,12.927,{"$f":"PT!$Q60","v":29.992806071152614},28.658428324046422,1.7805639719721964,2019,12.927,29.992806071152614,11.060298324753818,358.43984956745049,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":28.658428324046422},2019,0.45390591137932179,0.51409802533119564,3.6230905819953666E-3]
[2020,142.41399999999999,null,28.413999999999987,5.2116654438738056E-3,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,5566,5300.8956083550547,70280.338469436538,2020,19.969000000000001,{"$f":"PT!$Q61","v":49.961573185084454},48.54564665725951,2.0048479321984005,2020,19.969000000000001,49.961573185084454,24.615903904007759,642.40295130571485,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":48.54564665725951},2020,0.509827468876346,0.52925926528577549,3.7759471169751687E-4]
[2021,146.637,null,null,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5378.8675690720802,null,2021,29.538,{"$f":"PT!$Q62","v":79.499096203537007},78.259936785958033,1.5355160621746642,2021,29.538,79.499096203537007,49.693346387496113,888.38272209642184,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":78.259936785958033},2021,0.51836477987421381,0.52242830766169446,1.6512258079627365E-5]
[2022,157.07599999999999,null,{"$f":"H62-H63+B63","v":157.07599999999999},null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5455.1595394218439,null,2022,35.387,{"$f":"PT!$Q63","v":114.88514003382335},120.62604074432534,32.957940967842248,2022,35.387,114.88514003382335,92.083157594014608,519.93040318534611,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":120.62604074432534},2022,0.49835055315222787,0.49825642919097518,8.8593200818979013E-9]
[2023,199.62299999999999,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":125.01279698053116},null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5529.7697424413127,null,2023,65.400999999999996,{"$f":"PT!$Q64","v":180.28426698196489},178.51972720697438,3.1136006175235598,2023,65.400999999999996,180.28426698196489,158.26968641258458,484.6417576457373,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":178.51972720697438},2023,0.46385782747603832,0.46203131763249122,3.3361382085744415E-6]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":225.38545839372179},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":152.45575179910699},null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5602.6994490359275,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*1.1370976","v":74.367320137599989},{"$f":"PT!$R$65","v":254.64428150431272},254.64434065158937,3.4984003361381461E-9,2024,74.367320137599989,254.64428150431272,254.64422090018661,3.6728601009617084E-9,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":254.64434065158937},2024,0.45441244095146521,0.41870628360418061,1.2749296725090464E-3]
[2025,null,225.71974742105721,154.46642380992051,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5673.9527726470642,null,2025,null,null,351.30774732303178,null,2025,null,null,386.62127538482167,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N66<=I66),N66,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S66<=I66),S66,I66))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":351.30774732303178},2025,null,0.37238142801784418]
[2026,null,226.01457452246976,156.43087794187957,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5743.5364692276544,null,2026,null,null,470.22884981962903,null,2026,null,null,557.85890291068381,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N67<=I67),N67,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S67<=I67),S67,I67))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":470.22884981962903},2026,null,0.32613372116871536]
[2027,null,226.27257429864972,158.34930045660644,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5811.4597430696977,null,2027,null,null,612.39641636993292,null,2027,null,null,769.74360133738674,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N68<=I68),N68,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S68<=I68),S68,I68))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":612.39641636993292},2027,null,0.28206528362874222]
[2028,null,226.49626097632844,160.22194511643156,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5877.7340589295945,null,2028,null,null,777.99331581430022,null,2028,null,null,1021.2181453569962,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N69<=I69),N69,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S69<=I69),S69,I69))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":777.99331581430022},2028,null,0.24145979791910951]
[2029,null,226.6880298829,162.04912800468892,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,5942.3729608078056,null,2029,null,null,966.38886608741336,null,2029,null,null,1308.9425756350545,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N70<=I70),N70,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S70<=I70),S70,I70))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":966.38886608741336},2029,null,0.20497211387900147]
[2030,null,226.85015937957175,163.83122252947121,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6005.3918976579062,null,2030,null,null,1176.1929797857831,null,2030,null,null,1627.7126007932241,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N71<=I71),N71,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S71<=I71),S71,I71))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":1176.1929797857831},2030,null,0.17280827932377957]
[2031,null,226.98481318702454,165.56865461842847,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6066.8080562265022,null,2031,null,null,1405.3594120732523,null,2031,null,null,1971.027832476907,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N72<=I72),N72,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S72<=I72),S72,I72))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":1405.3594120732523},2031,null,0.1448764707523667]
[2032,null,227.09404304285056,167.26189811016468,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A73-2000)))","v":6126.6402011591881},null,2032,null,null,1651.3221129259764,null,2032,null,null,2331.7022095797133,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N73<=I73),N73,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S73<=I73),S73,I73))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":1651.3221129259764},2032,null,0.12090360249390041]
[2033,null,227.17979163529958,168.91147034595883,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6184.9085224485289,null,2033,null,null,1911.1482001931995,null,2033,null,null,2702.4302375670773,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N74<=I74),N74,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S74<=I74),S74,I74))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":1911.1482001931995},2033,null,0.10051991660691004]
[2034,null,227.24389576279003,170.51792796390595,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6241.6344902474129,null,2034,null,null,2181.6927292680662,null,2034,null,null,3076.2531859803116,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N75<=I75),N75,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S75<=I75),S75,I75))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":2181.6927292680662},2034,null,8.3316997235749105E-2]
[2035,null,227.28808967340834,172.08186289612118,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6296.8407170247001,null,2035,null,null,2459.7434167962547,null,2035,null,null,3446.8995255916684,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N76<=I76),N76,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S76<=I76),S76,I76))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":2459.7434167962547},2035,null,6.8885310427115529E-2]
[2036,null,227.31400854313978,173.60389856837099,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6350.5508269994689,null,2036,null,null,2742.1470077300828,null,2036,null,null,3808.9979718179702,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N77<=I77),N77,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S77<=I77),S77,I77))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":2742.1470077300828},2036,null,5.6836816088201798E-2]
[2037,null,227.3231920557719,175.08468630037535,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6402.7893327548654,null,2037,null,null,3025.9124511265795,null,2037,null,null,4158.1774816662619,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N78<=I78),N78,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S78<=I78),S78,I78))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":3025.9124511265795},2037,null,4.6817188801810058E-2]
[2038,null,227.31708805146039,176.52490190405163,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,6453.5815189022742,null,2038,null,null,3308.2890708961554,null,2038,null,null,4491.076857938182,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N79<=I79),N79,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S79<=I79),S79,I79))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":3308.2890708961554},2038,null,3.8511118215347424E-2]
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[2086,null,222.79376794719144,212.05440863741376,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7702.2304234161884,null,2086,null,null,7761.2345264004161,null,2086,null,null,7811.5626663002986,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N127<=I127),N127,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S127<=I127),S127,I127))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7702.2304234161884},2086,null,2.5019182119700889E-6]
[2087,null,222.72303306851919,212.35049277358431,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7712.6029637111233,null,2087,null,null,7766.7376574963137,null,2087,null,null,7812.5909924249299,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N128<=I128),N128,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S128<=I128),S128,I128))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7712.6029637111233},2087,null,2.0454494792867731E-6]
[2088,null,{"$f":"I129-I128+F129*I128","v":222.65422711668174},{"$f":"I128-I129+C129","v":212.63646370951568},null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7722.6207271182893,null,2088,null,null,7771.727048224293,null,2088,null,null,7813.494040321013,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N129<=I129),N129,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S129<=I129),S129,I129))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7722.6207271182893},2088,null,1.6722622307277767E-6]
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[2090,null,222.52228331965173,213.1793840259302,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7741.6382937779508,null,2090,null,null,7780.3509270321529,null,2090,null,null,7814.983449148639,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N131<=I131),N131,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S131<=I131),S131,I131))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7741.6382937779508},2090,null,1.1177265589451233E-6]
[2091,null,222.45908246662512,213.4369677594581,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7750.6604084851178,null,2091,null,null,7784.0680352616537,null,2091,null,null,7815.5949743422434,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7750.6604084851178},2091,null,9.1379997792397103E-7]
[2092,null,222.39768495223231,213.6857074619347,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7759.3723859754155,null,2092,null,null,7787.437393504295,null,2092,null,null,7816.1319721321161,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7759.3723859754155},2092,null,7.4707930252494189E-7]
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[2096,null,222.16943277351234,214.59796272819418,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7791.3205715394843,null,2096,null,null,7798.0420566114171,null,2096,null,null,7817.7004751929735,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7791.3205715394843},2096,null,3.3375584016477596E-7]
[2097,null,222.11652515499557,214.80670815734359,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7798.6303885371362,null,2097,null,null,7800.1027387249842,null,2097,null,null,7817.9808335575563,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7798.6303885371362},2097,null,2.7286284523523902E-7]
[2098,null,222.06520679119916,215.00823981196885,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7805.6873555163666,null,2098,null,null,7801.9702561050217,null,2098,null,null,7818.2270144698514,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7801.9702561050217},2098,null,2.2307963719365462E-7]
[2099,null,222.01544090832121,215.20280039158624,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7812.4999960331015,null,2099,null,null,7803.6626756300502,null,2099,null,null,7818.4431834891493,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7803.6626756300502},2099,null,1.8237926154268611E-7]
[2100,null,221.96719071628766,215.39062489063261,null,2.7570000000000001E-2,null,null,7819.0765618587566,null,2100,null,null,7805.1963815411646,null,2100,null,null,7818.6329986782612,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$22)","v":7805.1963815411646},2100,null,1.4910457667810129E-7]

{"sheet":"FRU","index":55,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["RUSSIA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D52","v":144444.359},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D52","v":144444.359},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D52","v":144444.359},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/russia",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":335.59320605941457},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":335.59320605941457},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":335.59320605941457}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,14658.420260172192,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":1.2439151635282649E-3},"a",48474.545534007055,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":3605596.3896769225},null,null,"a",48474.545534007055,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":94.306351524485322},null,null,"a",48474.545534007055,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":193.8162310573596},null,null,"a",123.51320090395762,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":0.43939384972685785}]
[null,null,null,null,null,9.1914692683920139E-5,null,"b",1.3301208278570689,null,null,null,"b",178.69264763264906,null,null,null,"b",22251.957087720166,null,null,null,"b",1.3013753661324063]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.999723654212917E-2,null,"c",0.14090268448199919,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13437937781529111,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.33540096813561499,"Tmax",null,null,"c",1.100401587443986E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":2512.687802742822},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":2002.0245873041299},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":2396.3590531860145},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2038.5897550799282},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":5981.1346019469129},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2029.8454273950617}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"RU!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,1520.2249999999999,null,null,null,null,null,25570,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":25115.742773065831},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":206349.62822192113},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,1911.24,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":687.24},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":2.6876808760265936E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":2.3894533193341928E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":8.8939675570719087E-6},26794,27382.752259471101,346629.22303232644,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,2514.92,null,-96.079999999999927,-3.5858774352466945E-3,2.5999999999999999E-2,null,29405,29517.230261248806,12595.63153997516,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,2897.4589999999998,null,281.45899999999983,9.5718075157286125E-3,2.5999999999999999E-2,null,32021,31505.749270762455,265483.3139798218,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,1465.742,null,402.74199999999996,1.2577433559226756E-2,2.5999999999999999E-2,{"$f":"(F50-E50)^2","v":1.8016528985697209E-4},33084,33341.320307098111,66213.74044506604,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,1912.7940000000001,null,642.7940000000001,1.9429150042316531E-2,2.5999999999999999E-2,4.3176069166388825E-5,34354,35022.215321842661,446511.71634529112,2010,0,{"$f":"RU!$Q51","v":0},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":2.7660878546350207E-16},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":7.6512420195593714E-32},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0},{"$f":"M51","v":0},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":0},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$23)","v":2.7660878546350207E-16},2010]
[2011,2653.6880000000001,null,592.6880000000001,1.7252372358386218E-2,2.5999999999999999E-2,7.6520989356325468E-5,36415,36550.814829132614,18445.667812321204,2011,4.1000000000000002E-2,{"$f":"RU!$Q52","v":4.1000000000000002E-2},9.7126133303459903E-14,1.6809999999920361E-3,2011,4.1000000000000002E-2,4.1000000000000002E-2,1.6453594962123397E-237,1.6810000000000002E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$23)","v":9.7126133303459903E-14},2011]
[2012,2755.384,null,688.38400000000001,1.8903858300151039E-2,2.5999999999999999E-2,5.0355227024335293E-5,38482,37932.555661012171,301889.08164577215,2012,4.9000000000000002E-2,{"$f":"RU!$Q53","v":8.9999999914844753E-2},1.6320541248852835E-11,8.0999999817343571E-3,2012,4.9000000000000002E-2,8.9999999914844753E-2,1.053432318214401E-168,8.0999999846720558E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$23)","v":1.6320541248852835E-11},2012]
[2013,2649.181,null,1131.181,2.9395067823917678E-2,2.5999999999999999E-2,1.1526485529001123E-5,40000,39175.018151223201,680595.05081118504,2013,0,{"$f":"RU!$Q54","v":8.9999994533448341E-2},1.4398183074917382E-9,8.0999987568534538E-3,2013,0,8.9999994533448341E-2,1.6698396991438913E-119,8.0999990160207317E-3,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$23)","v":1.4398183074917382E-9},2013]
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[2098,null,1260.3460653409561,1260.336240172735,null,2.5999999999999999E-2,null,null,48474.480601042647,null,2098,null,null,48458.016609583035,null,2098,null,null,48474.545528280039,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$23)","v":48458.016609583035},2098,null,0.38644311342783838]
[2099,null,1260.3450295127529,1260.3364956271087,null,2.5999999999999999E-2,null,null,48474.489134928292,null,2099,null,null,48460.094674357752,null,2099,null,null,48474.545529911942,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$23)","v":48460.094674357752},2099,null,0.38407002880760727]
[2100,null,1260.3441298191162,1260.3367175081355,null,2.5999999999999999E-2,null,null,48474.496547239272,null,2100,null,null,48461.911512803505,null,2100,null,null,48474.545531078838,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$23)","v":48461.911512803505},2100,null,0.38169128142351111]

{"sheet":"FZA","index":56,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["SOUTH AFRICA",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D53","v":60414.495000000003},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D53","v":60414.495000000003},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D53","v":60414.495000000003},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.nationmaster.com/nmx/timeseries/south-africa-vehicles-in-use",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":222.94678253669923},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":222.94678253669923},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":222.94678253669923}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,105423.12508807683,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":1.9561717357718849E-3},"a",13469.217278829503,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":233894.63617501099},null,null,"a",13469.217278829503,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":0.75597013236681843},null,null,"a",13469.217278829503,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":17.658921454355475},null,null,"a",5.0739858603952843,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":4.2505083493382056E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,4.9403994343608201E-4,null,"b",0.87399670822821296,null,null,null,"b",20.886725817350239,null,null,null,"b",973.13513152338874,null,null,null,"b",63.65521166692195]
[null,null,null,null,null,3.262278009396165E-4,null,"c",6.0414122110737711E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",4.0659441265316759E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.20071815277073843,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.21356017986119041]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":299.35488252171274},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1997.7707419232856},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":201.46948822772111},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2074.7455875992887},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":994.56810665101432},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2034.2795250896957}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ZA!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,419.86799999999999,null,null,null,null,null,6872,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":7058.7887436116425},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":34890.03474001593},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,481.55799999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":-18.442000000000007},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":-2.6836437718277075E-3},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":1.6949414675561974E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":3.8545698399861935E-4},7372,7331.3032338616758,1656.2267741174483,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,434.65300000000002,null,3.65300000000002,4.9552360282148944E-4,1.694388893215867E-2,2.7054872200734146E-4,7803,7597.4479816919111,42251.632230528921,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,329.262,null,115.262,1.4771498141740357E-2,1.6938364989335521E-2,4.6953119352070042E-6,8017,7856.8123792817414,25660.073831376667,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,258.12900000000002,null,54.129000000000019,6.7517774728701532E-3,1.6932842846506379E-2,1.0365409214225454E-4,8221,8109.0569505077419,12531.246329626139,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,337.13,null,401.13,4.8793334144264684E-2,1.6927322503085294E-2,1.0154426979157802E-3,8157,8353.9091070342256,38773.196433016114,2010,0,{"$f":"ZA!$Q51","v":0},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":1.2269906851306307E-2},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":1.5055061413973345E-4},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0},{"$f":"M51","v":0},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":2.1991460707599699E-53},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":4.8362434405390149E-106},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":1.2269906851306307E-2},2010]
[2011,396.29199999999997,null,149.29199999999997,1.8302317028319231E-2,1.6921803958486498E-2,1.905816335978997E-6,8404,8591.1585950500121,35028.33970109441,2011,0,{"$f":"ZA!$Q52","v":0},2.1355935762244645E-2,4.5607599228111981E-4,2011,0,0,4.6707232576064376E-43,2.1815655749145691E-85,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":2.1355935762244645E-2},2011]
[2012,440.00200000000001,null,144.00200000000001,1.7134935744883392E-2,1.6916287212124421E-2,4.7807180877650697E-8,8700,8820.6527552503576,14557.08734950269,2012,0,{"$f":"ZA!$Q53","v":0},3.6358538145547313E-2,1.3219432960812191E-3,2012,0,0,1.3135699498022677E-34,1.7254660130235322E-68,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":3.6358538145547313E-2},2012]
[2013,450.56099999999998,null,137.56099999999998,1.5811609195402296E-2,1.6910772263413674E-2,1.2081594500801852E-6,9013,9042.291701158505,858.00375675916439,2013,0,{"$f":"ZA!$Q54","v":0},6.060197432102285E-2,3.6725992916059129E-3,2013,0,0,1.0739890132203863E-27,1.1534524005180991E-54,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":6.060197432102285E-2},2013]
[2014,439.26400000000001,null,133.26400000000001,1.478575391101742E-2,1.6905259111769069E-2,4.4923022960132866E-6,9319,9256.0235041792403,3966.0390258621687,2014,0.14000000000000001,{"$f":"ZA!$Q55","v":0.14000000000000001},9.8975235969587377E-2,1.6830312637510384E-3,2014,0.14000000000000001,0.14000000000000001,4.8579317940491172E-22,1.9600000000000003E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":9.8975235969587377E-2},2014,0,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V55-2000))-X$34*(V55-2000))","v":0.14119225139330621},{"$f":"(X55-W55)^2","v":1.9935251853510579E-2}]
[2015,412.67,null,127.67000000000002,1.3699967807704692E-2,1.6899747756605601E-2,1.0238591721388304E-5,9604,9461.8394581948232,20209.619646341409,2015,0.23499999999999999,{"$f":"ZA!$Q56","v":0.37499999997744854},0.158517777804142,4.6864552517092851E-2,2015,0.23499999999999999,0.37499999997744854,2.0578772974631277E-17,0.14062499998308642,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0.158517777804142},2015,0.33066666666666666,0.21107450782447945,1.4302284456534937E-2]
[2016,361.28899999999999,null,264.28899999999999,2.7518638067471884E-2,1.6894238197338457E-2,1.1287787260049117E-4,9701,9659.7694822568556,1699.9555933677491,2016,0.159,{"$f":"ZA!$Q57","v":0.53399999854140312},0.24916054437525009,8.1133514649671987E-2,2016,0.159,0.53399999854140312,1.2558592353427116E-13,0.28515599844208445,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0.24916054437525009},2016,0.34269662921348309,0.28031468005795135,3.8915075804433481E-3]
[2017,361.28899999999999,null,202.28899999999999,2.0852386351922481E-2,1.6888730433383011E-2,1.571056824057297E-5,9860,9849.8777071082841,102.46081338568254,2017,0.186,{"$f":"ZA!$Q58","v":0.71999998259284304},0.38464063763505246,0.11246589025051837,2017,0.186,0.71999998259284304,1.570503229254274E-10,0.51839997470754173,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0.38464063763505246},2017,0.32500000000000001,0.33832020121806117,1.7742776048963792E-4]
[2018,365.24200000000002,null,209.24200000000002,2.1221298174442193E-2,1.6883224464154835E-2,1.8818883515886325E-5,10016,10032.258279927393,264.33166619747772,2018,9.9000000000000005E-2,{"$f":"ZA!$Q59","v":0.81899989725263145},0.58360291826122479,5.541173771828075E-2,2018,9.9000000000000005E-2,0.81899989725263145,5.3691773161534344E-8,0.67076074375271033,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0.58360291826122479},2018,0.32600732600732607,0.37797905123979253,2.7010602236389909E-3]
[2019,355.37799999999999,null,202.37799999999999,2.0205471246006388E-2,1.687772028906968E-2,1.1073926431393174E-5,10169,10207.031411804179,1446.3882838190295,2019,0.30199999999999999,{"$f":"ZA!$Q60","v":1.1209995936137813},0.87089442320157495,6.2552596266918781E-2,2019,0.30199999999999999,1.1209995936137813,6.3529412104490884E-6,1.2566258456335924,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":0.87089442320157495},2019,0.36842105263157898,0.39674851105729475,8.0244490086065531E-4]
[2020,246.541,null,null,null,1.6872217907543497E-2,null,null,10374.339683980877,null,2020,0.23899999999999999,{"$f":"ZA!$Q61","v":1.3599987565746208},1.2790477951853827,6.5530581498419137E-3,2020,0.23899999999999999,1.3599987565746208,3.1552962733786145E-4,1.8487384776417766,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":1.2790477951853827},2020,0.41323529411764715,0.39598651274403834,2.9752045887455393E-4]
[2021,304.33999999999997,null,null,null,1.6866717318992423E-2,null,null,10534.344621726703,null,2021,0.28100000000000003,{"$f":"ZA!$Q62","v":1.6409968145070399},1.8499382711558785,4.3656532306538487E-2,2021,0.28100000000000003,1.6409968145070399,7.7030743126046712E-3,2.667648441758327,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":1.8499382711558785},2021,0.3857404021937843,0.37946429737418619,3.9389491706582703E-5]
[2022,363.39,null,null,null,1.6861218522832774E-2,null,null,10687.223538766961,null,2022,0.58099999999999996,{"$f":"ZA!$Q63","v":2.2219928254733405},2.6365857143092626,0.1718872634733152,2022,0.58099999999999996,2.2219928254733405,0.10518138614196414,4.4808906696841735,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":2.6365857143092626},2022,0.34833483348334843,0.351872754557635,1.2516885527881083E-5]
[2023,347.38799999999998,null,null,null,1.6855721518481078E-2,null,null,10833.166650333533,null,2023,1.073,{"$f":"ZA!$Q64","v":3.2949853335941977},3.7050594568654307,0.16816078657667044,2023,1.073,3.2949853335941977,0.89280376203273926,5.7704763027494774,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$24)","v":3.7050594568654307},2023,0.3159332321699545,0.3177384270539062,3.25872856904539E-6]
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{"sheet":"FES","index":57,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["SPAIN",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
["Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
["Reference:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
["www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D54","v":47519.627999999997},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D54","v":47519.627999999997},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D54","v":47519.627999999997},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
["https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":757.58168813947793},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":732.32896520149529},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":728.12017804516483}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.99973372165420571},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":5.7209498535629962E-2},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.58453691192158652},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.85382582811880015},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.79818977876301611},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.9969312620498969},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":7.2372809766825287E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.93023997804628389},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.98004974497590158},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.99319069456929088}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,21365.974034967483,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":2.7080719876301177E-4},"a",36000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":5550733.7488558479},null,null,"a",34800,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":876.13387408633457},null,null,"a",34600,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":50103.857654792657},null,null,"a",10.045750144302618,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":3.6235818783218253E-3}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.5557370625841915E-4,null,"b",0.6558461934538875,null,null,null,"b",26.910998755615857,null,null,null,"b",118.23931164031949,null,null,null,"b",31.069178447518315]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.3518238987857907E-2,null,"c",2.8802777471279961E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",7.6858605845030445E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13858907476302024,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.14447624689804645]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":381.45418849151571},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1985.3545728655047},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":983.95959366851116},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2042.8388603008632},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":1764.0488696195348},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2034.4378562569104}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
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[2085,null,972.53387403314662,916.22578700424162,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34015.751637964473,null,2085,null,null,33464.024666718768,null,2085,null,null,34568.694441221138,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N126<=I126),N126,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S126<=I126),S126,I126))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":33464.024666718768},2085,null,2.092670429517513E-4]
[2086,null,972.54379524198578,917.74497919228145,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34070.550454014177,null,2086,null,null,33561.077662691008,null,2086,null,null,34572.74423200982,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N127<=I127),N127,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S127<=I127),S127,I127))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":33561.077662691008},2086,null,1.8111900587871528E-4]
[2087,null,972.55097769566896,919.22345124930257,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34123.877980460544,null,2087,null,null,33651.201745849205,null,2087,null,null,34576.270308273721,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N128<=I128),N128,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S128<=I128),S128,I128))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":33651.201745849205},2087,null,1.5675668858144544E-4]
[2088,null,972.55562930170481,{"$f":"I128-I129+C129","v":920.66222791282553},null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34175.771381849423,null,2088,null,null,33734.874328095917,null,2088,null,null,34579.34035267237,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N129<=I129),N129,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S129<=I129),S129,I129))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":33734.874328095917},2088,null,1.3567104013004322E-4]
[2089,null,{"$f":"I130-I129+F130*I129","v":972.55794537524946},922.06231188229742,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34226.267015342375,null,2089,null,null,33812.542397880541,null,2089,null,null,34582.013311382943,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N130<=I130),N130,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S130<=I130),S130,I130))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":33812.542397880541},2089,null,1.1742143391595936E-4]
[2090,null,972.55810932345901,923.42468407393733,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34275.400440591897,null,2090,null,null,33884.624097417924,null,2090,null,null,34584.340519253208,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N131<=I131),N131,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S131<=I131),S131,I131))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":33884.624097417924},2090,null,1.0162647683205501E-4]
[2091,null,972.55629329591125,924.75030388716937,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34323.206430000639,null,2091,null,null,33951.510274327971,null,2091,null,null,34586.366680667285,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":33951.510274327971},2091,null,8.7956051348430319E-5]
[2092,null,972.55265880250442,926.04010948141729,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34369.718979321726,null,2092,null,null,34013.565997587109,null,2092,null,null,34588.130724477,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34013.565997587109},2092,null,7.612442550610174E-5]
[2093,null,972.54735730025561,927.29501806210021,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34414.971318559881,null,2093,null,null,34071.132029943925,null,2093,null,null,34589.666549053822,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34071.132029943925},2093,null,6.5884287824255675E-5]
[2094,null,972.54053075061415,928.51592617474557,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34458.99592313575,null,2094,null,null,34124.526250869596,null,2094,null,null,34591.003671497339,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34124.526250869596},2094,null,5.7021583189591639E-5]
[2095,null,972.53231214826701,929.70371000620253,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34501.824525277814,null,2095,null,null,34174.045025729909,null,2095,null,null,34592.167793264249,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34174.045025729909},2095,null,4.9351042344648149E-5]
[2096,null,972.52282602310959,930.85922569199545,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34543.488125608928,null,2096,null,null,34219.964518220288,null,2096,null,null,34593.181292928377,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34219.964518220288},2096,null,4.2712311945181532E-5]
[2097,null,972.51218891621045,931.98330962892885,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34584.01700489621,null,2097,null,null,34262.541944231802,null,2097,null,null,34594.063655421967,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34262.541944231802},2097,null,3.6966604602189994E-5]
[2098,null,972.5005098314216,933.07677879209973,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34623.440735935532,null,2098,null,null,34302.01676624643,null,2098,null,null,34594.831845917397,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34302.01676624643},2098,null,3.1993799112855257E-5]
[2099,null,972.48789066340021,934.14043105554072,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34661.788195543391,null,2099,null,null,34338.611828120927,null,2099,null,null,34595.500635467826,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34338.611828120927},2099,null,2.7689930435027004E-5]
[2100,null,972.47442660335309,935.17504551576076,null,2.6980000000000001E-2,null,null,34699.087576630984,null,2100,null,null,34372.53443073477,null,2100,null,null,34596.082884614669,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$25)","v":34372.53443073477},2100,null,2.3965017062138444E-5]

{"sheet":"FSE","index":58,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["SWEDEN",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D55","v":10612.085999999999},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D55","v":10612.085999999999},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D55","v":10612.085999999999},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
["Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.acea.auto/files/ACEA-report-vehicles-in-use-europe-2023.pdf",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":753.85744141161319},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":692.41805993656669},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":692.41805993656669}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.99977541513005297},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":2.2686809735245781E-3},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.99312076588085552},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.97728150056670327},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":2.7064392014188674E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.97524049282635372},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":2.7064392014188674E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.97524049282635372},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.8291881992947292},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.8709130220155642}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,829975.74092608457,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":8.6168066520805951E-4},"a",8000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":29409.762381606506},null,null,"a",7348,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":33823.49131521344},null,null,"a",7348,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":33823.49131521344},null,null,"a",10.41557268157942,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":9.7666348825860838E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,3.9081605539263084E-3,null,"b",0.74515245335650571,null,null,null,"b",22.547611657185488,null,null,null,"b",22.547611657185488,null,null,null,"b",29.273035458690195]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.7069738292657778E-5,null,"c",2.171282637886866E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.8154157107702283E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.8154157107702283E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.191959101958769]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":63.901619476086033},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1986.451950518705},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":265.32817122801987},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2031.7422026630409},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":265.32817122801987},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2031.7422026630409}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SE!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,274.30099999999999,null,null,null,null,null,4154,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":4099.8457873113748},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":2932.6787519248537},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,282.76600000000002,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":234.76600000000002},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":5.6515647568608572E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":5.5147148330679512E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.8727901642124195E-6},4202,4159.1377031829679,1837.1764884313579,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,306.79399999999998,null,250.79399999999998,5.9684435982865297E-2,5.5146210669790051E-2,2.0595488992236915E-5,4258,4217.9860645084646,1601.1150335207603,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,253.982,null,232.982,5.4716298731798965E-2,5.5145273024780748E-2,1.8401894403922086E-7,4279,4276.3763733837395,6.8834166215504196,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,213.40799999999999,null,191.40799999999999,4.4731946716522551E-2,5.5144335395651334E-2,1.0841783800524923E-4,4301,4334.2949025981416,1108.5505390197336,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,289.68400000000003,null,255.68400000000003,5.9447570332480826E-2,5.5143397782401543E-2,1.8525901340855996E-5,4335,4391.7286845862654,3218.1436548879906,2010,5.7000000000000002E-2,{"$f":"SE!$Q51","v":5.7000000000000002E-2},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":1.5727879862844383},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":2.2976132193642327},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":5.7000000000000002E-2},{"$f":"M51","v":5.7000000000000002E-2},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":1.5727879862844383},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":2.2976132193642327},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":1.5727879862844383},2010,0,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V51-2000))-X$34*(V51-2000))","v":0.1172459454677586},{"$f":"(X51-W51)^2","v":1.3746611728628623E-2}]
[2011,304.98399999999998,null,238.98399999999998,5.5128950403690882E-2,5.5142460185031106E-2,1.8251419186065146E-10,4401,4448.6654995002446,2271.9998426078137,2011,0.184,{"$f":"SE!$Q52","v":0.24099998893443672},3.4652515558527681,10.395798166775316,2011,0.184,0.24099998893443672,3.4652515558527681,10.395798166775316,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":3.4652515558527681},2011,1.2448132780082988E-2,0.20483297926971089,3.7011929158837692E-2]
[2012,279.899,null,233.899,5.3146784821631446E-2,5.5141522603539758E-2,3.9789788185724939E-6,4447,4505.0938624816881,3374.8968580412907,2012,1.212,{"$f":"SE!$Q53","v":1.4529992671534298},7.0913015067694198,31.790452145258694,2012,1.212,1.4529992671534298,7.0913015067694198,31.790452145258694,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":7.0913015067694198},2012,0.47075017205781139,0.3139213228904616,2.4595287931155351E-2]
[2013,269.59899999999999,null,221.12600000000003,4.9724758263998206E-2,5.514058503792723E-2,2.9331179645206457E-5,4495.473,4561.0030102095798,4294.1822380676349,2013,1.9219999999999999,{"$f":"SE!$Q54","v":3.3749901563051292},13.571951661497597,103.97802393837704,2013,1.9219999999999999,3.3749901563051292,13.571951661497597,103.97802393837704,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":13.571951661497597},2013,0.52948148148148144,0.43181274391553792,9.5391822977251468E-3]
[2014,303.94799999999998,null,213.9019999999997,4.7581644912559749E-2,5.5139647488193264E-2,5.7123402933282838E-5,4585.5190000000002,4616.3828867976745,952.57950825965031,2014,5.03,{"$f":"SE!$Q55","v":8.4049238112132514},24.445676334064991,257.30574149937445,2014,5.03,8.4049238112132514,24.445676334064991,257.30574149937445,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":24.445676334064991},2014,0.60523497917906011,0.54327961644831679,3.8384669710979777E-3]
[2015,345.108,null,261.56400000000014,5.7041307646964308E-2,5.5138709954337575E-2,3.6198779799885672E-6,4669.0630000000001,4671.2241291120235,4.6704790388352464,2015,9.0039999999999996,{"$f":"SE!$Q56","v":17.408571516593948},41.674395736413516,588.83022506718191,2015,9.0039999999999996,17.408571516593948,41.674395736413516,588.83022506718191,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":41.674395736413516},2015,0.60284910103969225,0.63499770265579536,1.0335325858709075E-3]
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[2095,null,414.98339436850029,399.86999573933417,null,5.5063758667920099E-2,null,null,7277.0585584370938,null,2095,null,null,7333.2364363639035,null,2095,null,null,7333.2364363639035,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":7277.0585584370938},2095,null,7.039073333535385E-7]
[2096,null,415.51461119387659,400.69538313821613,null,5.5062822419320229E-2,null,null,7291.8777864927542,null,2096,null,null,7334.6154366140299,null,2096,null,null,7334.6154366140299,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":7291.8777864927542},2096,null,5.8096335249851051E-7]
[2097,null,416.03468616920873,401.50454476629147,null,5.5061886186576786E-2,null,null,7306.4079278956715,null,2097,null,null,7335.8657370404353,null,2097,null,null,7335.8657370404353,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":7306.4079278956715},2097,null,4.7949267940331912E-7]
[2098,null,416.54383968011598,402.29776137600629,null,5.50609499696895E-2,null,null,7320.6540061997812,null,2098,null,null,7336.999329989706,null,2098,null,null,7336.999329989706,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":7320.6540061997812},2098,null,3.9574480313534313E-7]
[2099,null,417.04228821082694,403.07531037694213,null,5.5060013768658114E-2,null,null,7334.620984033666,null,2099,null,null,7338.0270937392297,null,2099,null,null,7338.0270937392297,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":7334.620984033666},2099,null,3.2662427350868668E-7]
[2100,null,417.53024439140984,403.83746580534728,null,5.5059077583482351E-2,null,null,7348.3137626197285,null,2100,null,null,7338.9588953880257,null,2100,null,null,7338.9588953880257,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$26)","v":7338.9588953880257},2100,null,2.6957628895108024E-7]

{"sheet":"FCH","index":59,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["SWITZERLAND",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D56","v":8796.6689999999999},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D56","v":8796.6689999999999},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D56","v":8796.6689999999999},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/switzerland",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":770.28268479938265},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":745.73682379091451},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":745.73682379091451}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,28364.198742208886,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":2.6370680580466779E-3},"a",6775.9218146115008,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":30583.345944396497},null,null,"a",6560,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":559.11576118016796},null,null,"a",6560,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":9672.429242719656},null,6.5970499757339143,"a",6.851075973592641,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":1.3842755661559543E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.2448387794439163E-4,null,"b",0.65199198158484362,null,null,null,"b",26.66889101258538,null,null,null,"b",58.016173123272083,null,null,18.859830743910926,"b",17.769967382153812]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.036468219240984E-2,null,"c",2.9809667317913149E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.2176284045852944E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.12456060178270416,"Tmax",null,0.15019077962903357,"c",0.14531300973235856]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":74.307223390542731},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1985.6515334185956},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":222.44802470815827},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2035.6219366997445},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":300.60074681724649},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2032.6003709079114}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CH!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,266.77,null,null,null,null,null,3906,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":3863.8589650891217},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":1775.8668233598603},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,269.42099999999999,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":229.42099999999999},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":5.8735535074244748E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":6.3627931766096782E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":2.3935545390444727E-5},3946,3928.1307009152606,319.31184977986823,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,284.67399999999998,null,228.09000000000015,5.7802838317283362E-2,6.2345412401816229E-2,2.0634979313469618E-5,4002.5839999999998,3991.5370900844,122.03421868337776,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,288.52499999999998,null,259.90399999999988,6.4934052602019066E-2,6.1088741463860091E-2,1.4786417749249468E-5,4031.2049999999999,4054.0599300624644,522.34782816014445,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,266.01799999999997,null,245.39100000000002,6.0872865557569024E-2,5.9857398101492529E-2,1.0311741543504684E-6,4051.8319999999999,4115.6829733300556,4076.9467951954834,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,294.23899999999998,null,226.38699999999966,5.5872750893916544E-2,5.8650871954863078E-2,7.7179566292746959E-6,4119.6840000000002,4176.3918599229792,3215.7813770442044,2010,0.123,{"$f":"CH!$Q51","v":0.123},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.16192922536094023},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":1.5154845872028724E-3},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.123},{"$f":"M51","v":0.123},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":3.6839195427609302E-4},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":1.5038511291880054E-2},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":0.16192922536094023},2010,0,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V51-2000))-X$34*(V51-2000))","v":6.487069412455336E-2},{"$f":"(X51-W51)^2","v":4.2082069562013619E-3}]
[2011,318.95800000000003,null,228.97000000000065,5.5579505612566554E-2,5.7468662943874968E-2,3.5689154224363275E-6,4209.6719999999996,4236.1740484717966,702.35857320147898,2011,0.44600000000000001,{"$f":"CH!$Q52","v":0.56899997936329538},0.41214350082936452,2.4603954858065515E-2,2011,0.44600000000000001,0.56899997936329538,2.6029462005421997E-3,0.32080559917556889,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":0.41214350082936452},2011,7.2056239015817231E-2,9.8403657540840461E-2,6.9418646293273735E-4]
[2012,328.13900000000001,null,237.77499999999952,5.6483022905347388E-2,5.6310281061295563E-2,2.9839744686425209E-8,4300.0360000000001,4295.018746144643,25.1728362490948,2012,1.4630000000000001,{"$f":"CH!$Q53","v":2.0319986250655591},0.966152009222499,1.1360290085041038,2012,1.4630000000000001,2.0319986250655591,1.4627538342711499E-2,4.0697861015453221,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":0.966152009222499},2012,0.21407480314960631,0.13834506551087447,5.7349931628311573E-3]
[2013,307.88499999999999,null,241.02599999999961,5.6052088866232655E-2,5.5175246170023957E-2,7.6885311389453828E-7,4366.8950000000004,4352.916837866801,195.38901662201172,2013,1.367,{"$f":"CH!$Q54","v":3.3989813178404282},2.1011746333378323,1.6843021903396207,2013,1.367,3.3989813178404282,6.7154526398139583E-2,11.101069768172616,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":2.1011746333378323},2013,0.1768167107972933,0.18212536216912592,2.8181779387660337E-5]
[2014,301.94200000000001,null,238.46200000000044,5.4606762928808783E-2,5.4063087804432565E-2,2.955826408654962E-7,4430.375,4409.8608151604367,420.83177963176928,2014,2.2599999999999998,{"$f":"CH!$Q55","v":5.6588650931226692},4.2674397595186724,1.9360644589949938,2014,2.2599999999999998,5.6588650931226692,0.25790530878184381,29.170366592066895,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":4.2674397595186724},2014,0.21894327619720794,0.2265125472625773,5.7293864461037884E-5]
[2015,323.78300000000002,null,250.29300000000023,5.6494766244392459E-2,5.2973344975700894E-2,1.2400407751593317E-5,4503.8649999999998,4465.8447049188098,1445.5428380607561,2015,6.3470000000000004,{"$f":"CH!$Q56","v":12.005332577327106},8.1428694287303411,14.918621574268036,2015,6.3470000000000004,12.005332577327106,0.84606724487959295,124.52920275996489,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":8.1428694287303411},2015,0.28785607196401797,0.26820555993284606,3.8614262308723189E-4]
[2016,317.31799999999998,null,249.18900000000008,5.5327812889595956E-2,5.1905565981061746E-2,1.1711773902971957E-5,4571.9939999999997,4520.8639984011015,2614.2770635033285,2016,5.6529999999999996,{"$f":"CH!$Q57","v":17.656498091092054},14.678384070747033,8.869163118175587,2016,5.6529999999999996,17.656498091092054,2.4150409759344429,232.30201499318861,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":14.678384070747033},2016,0.30902089586046777,0.30435751023863061,2.174716545795753E-5]
[2017,311.99599999999998,null,263.35999999999956,5.7602875244368121E-2,5.0859308216881241E-2,4.5475696254208233E-5,4620.63,4574.9155807069938,2089.808131296792,2017,8.4489999999999998,{"$f":"CH!$Q58","v":26.100327748193212},25.121497274722703,0.95810909579450143,2017,8.4489999999999998,26.100327748193212,6.0967141583710216,400.14455665091901,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":25.121497274722703},2017,0.3351080128696185,0.33291823935296694,4.7951080542285437E-6]
[2018,299.13499999999999,null,254.37499999999977,5.5052016716335167E-2,4.9834137995496013E-2,2.7226258345386052E-5,4665.3900000000003,4627.9976609642981,1398.1870185608991,2018,9.7710000000000008,{"$f":"CH!$Q59","v":35.858609434287061},41.007518763578318,26.511267281262544,2018,9.7710000000000008,35.858609434287061,13.809144371614853,486.17890955000234,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":41.007518763578318},2018,0.35697761922015664,0.3527665544040689,1.7733066885292069E-5]
[2019,310.05,null,403.25200000000024,8.6434788945833077E-2,4.8829630365732145E-2,1.4141479518345389E-3,4572.1880000000001,4680.1097034382783,11647.094073019669,2019,17.893000000000001,{"$f":"CH!$Q60","v":53.723389070976523},64.112342398566483,107.93035124284249,2019,17.893000000000001,53.723389070976523,28.421924850667171,640.16409169159431,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$27)","v":64.112342398566483},2019,0.31722829725507701,0.36366407474036,2.156281430662715E-3]
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{"sheet":"FTW","index":60,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["TAIWAN",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"www.oica.net/category/vehicles-in-use/",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D57","v":23923.276000000002},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D57","v":23923.276000000002},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D57","v":23923.276000000002},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/taiwan",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,5.1145990158225301E-5,null,"b",0.72988325039375224,null,null,null,"b",79.314865238786311,null,null,null,"b",140.94670885074606,null,null,null,"b",735.83532609204678]
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["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"TW!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,325.83999999999997,null,null,null,null,null,5634,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":5423.2192493044831},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":44428.524863765633},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,218.61,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":154.2860000000004},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":2.7384806531771458E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":3.081127470444079E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.1740684138315912E-5},5698.3239999999996,5539.4311502346236,25246.937706562352,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,213.327,null,198.80899999999997,3.4889030528976586E-2,2.8239616270245935E-2,4.4214709984210489E-5,5712.8419999999996,5653.9780397561926,3464.9658155844927,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,141.161,null,179.57699999999926,3.1433916779074103E-2,2.588259545569762E-2,3.0817168435374426E-5,5674.4260000000004,5766.8023022608286,8533.381219383893,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,187.262,null,157.37600000000049,2.7734258936498682E-2,2.372229889478486E-2,1.6095823376308372E-5,5704.3119999999999,5877.8524331622366,30116.281942136742,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,208.3,null,109.19900000000035,1.9143237606919179E-2,2.1742308106945663E-2,6.7551674641079178E-6,5803.4129999999996,5987.082827106462,33734.605389317803,2010,0,{"$f":"TW!$Q51","v":0},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":4.464626406397484E-7},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":1.9932888948701711E-13},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0},{"$f":"M51","v":0},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":3.3811450679107826E-11},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":1.1432141970257411E-21},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":4.464626406397484E-7},2010]
[2011,235.20500000000001,null,78.529999999999831,1.3531692471309528E-2,1.9927574770000268E-2,4.0907310378705552E-5,5960.0879999999997,6094.453555809755,18054.102588064459,2011,0,{"$f":"TW!$Q52","v":0},6.6396207520754374E-6,4.4084563731390799E-11,2011,0,0,2.9656131012723264E-9,8.7948610664380656E-18,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":6.6396207520754374E-6},2011]
[2012,211.578,null,80.342000000000127,1.3480002308690765E-2,1.8264306396215055E-2,2.2889565601901625E-5,6091.3239999999996,6199.9301377953107,11795.29316681409,2012,0.107,{"$f":"TW!$Q53","v":0.107},7.2709326888762042E-5,1.1433445490692022E-2,2012,0.107,0.107,1.4259318230464044E-7,1.144896948507932E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":7.2709326888762042E-5},2012,0,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V53-2000))-X$34*(V53-2000))","v":6.6577343551953741E-6},{"$f":"(X53-W53)^2","v":4.4325426744348762E-11}]
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[2014,235.48,null,66.580999999999648,1.0675371447802603E-2,1.6400000000000001E-2,3.2771372060633674E-5,6405.7780000000002,6405.0887480109141,0.47506830445926618,2014,0.03,{"$f":"TW!$Q55","v":0.19099999826286931},3.9839576924623407E-3,3.4974999430632106E-2,2014,0.03,0.19099999826286931,7.4209877630054927E-5,3.6452656670525163E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":3.9839576924623407E-3},2014,0,2.8221182462240708E-3,7.964351395670825E-6]
[2015,212.23599999999999,null,44.268000000000143,6.9106359914439964E-3,{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A56-2000))-F$34*(A56-2000))","v":1.4062063605428672E-2},5.1142916918062554E-5,6573.7460000000001,6504.7269021372877,4763.6358697826772,2015,0.02,{"$f":"TW!$Q56","v":0.21099998093195668},2.1125051145049419E-2,3.605248896158296E-2,2015,0.02,0.21099998093195668,9.1514158834006445E-4,4.4135639722033208E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":2.1125051145049419E-2},2015,0,1.5200972241447792E-2,2.3106955708526632E-4]
[2016,206.09200000000001,null,113.83800000000011,1.7317067011716016E-2,1.41E-2,1.0349520157871416E-5,6666,6602.3826751175866,4047.1640251945369,2016,2E-3,{"$f":"TW!$Q57","v":0.21299989822925275},9.2714043929740642E-2,1.4468686744563456E-2,2016,2E-3,0.21299989822925275,8.0524046283671838E-3,4.2003475133285034E-2,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":9.2714043929740642E-2},2016,0,4.6407854527555456E-2,2.1536889618507496E-3]
[2017,194.971,null,97.971000000000004,1.4697119711971197E-2,1.41E-2,3.5655195042456572E-7,6763,6698.0452186472294,4219.1236205862388,2017,0.191,{"$f":"TW!$Q58","v":0.40399963272793576},0.34408816540047832,3.5893839173290012E-3,2017,0.191,0.40399963272793576,5.2901648129652173E-2,0.12326979478897657,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":0.34408816540047832},2017,3.7128712871287127E-2,9.4236159551607065E-2,3.2612604663455847E-3]
[2018,171.953,null,89.953000000000003,1.3300754103208636E-2,1.41E-2,6.3879400353783149E-7,6845,6791.7076845202328,2840.0708891950389,2018,0.23100000000000001,{"$f":"TW!$Q59","v":0.63499896271134693},1.1005923108088373,0.2167771657926309,2018,0.23100000000000001,0.63499896271134693,0.26987859686134102,0.13331288155844215,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":1.1005923108088373},2018,0.23622047244094491,0.14277510262439921,8.7320371401509896E-3]
[2019,159.49199999999999,null,85.49199999999999,1.2489700511322132E-2,1.41E-2,2.5930644432362033E-6,6919,6883.3669866504197,1269.7116403713696,2019,1.6220000000000001,{"$f":"TW!$Q60","v":2.2569975205801445},3.0855729075459131,0.68653717188547314,2019,1.6220000000000001,2.2569975205801445,1.1060681755439103,1.3246383572655349,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":3.0855729075459131},2019,0.26583961010190527,0.17528189481711642,8.2006997976008782E-3]
[2020,159.53299999999999,null,93.782999999999987,1.3554415377944789E-2,1.41E-2,2.9766257982312758E-7,6984.75,6973.0235670655638,137.50922936582907,2020,6.61,{"$f":"TW!$Q61","v":8.8669947323187781},7.6964054758513702,1.3702792073569188,2020,6.61,8.8669947323187781,3.7504656907868634,26.178869432839495,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":7.6964054758513702},2020,0.10589827450095861,0.18501744344817384,6.2598428948979863E-3]
[2021,168.52,null,49.27000000000001,7.0539389384015189E-3,1.41E-2,4.9646976483774311E-5,7104,7060.6811667173415,1876.5213169707608,2021,7.6790000000000003,{"$f":"TW!$Q62","v":16.545989699126057},17.307615837501114,0.58007437465610134,2021,7.6790000000000003,16.545989699126057,10.792882695109062,33.098240199669398,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":17.307615837501114},2021,8.9568475764535249E-2,0.17521331343277155,7.3350382192185473E-3]
[2022,156.60499999999999,null,{"$f":"I62-I63+B63","v":70.939564888437843},9.985862174611183E-3,1.41E-2,1.6926130046295022E-5,null,7146.3466018289037,null,2022,18.498999999999999,{"$f":"TW!$Q63","v":35.044980835155449},35.504691550665626,0.21133394195487865,2022,18.498999999999999,35.044980835155449,26.947091540837743,65.575811023025324,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":35.504691550665626},2022,0.11254101869025539,0.15348943705668924,1.6767729667124976E-3]
[2023,163.68899999999999,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":80.006055439384596},{"$f":"D64/I63","v":1.1195378547537748E-2},1.41E-2,8.4368257821039182E-6,null,7230.0295463895191,null,2023,33.000999999999998,{"$f":"TW!$Q64","v":68.045964750150745},67.136241112676871,0.82759709657869684,2023,33.000999999999998,68.045964750150745,59.497058050282362,73.083805763054514,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":67.136241112676871},2023,0.18158304676248424,0.12714034504719693,2.964007770059748E-3]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":183.65619151658788},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":101.94341660409222},null,1.41E-2,null,null,7311.7423213020147,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*1.5168433","v":50.05734574329999},{"$f":"TW!$R$65","v":118.103244221598},118.10324427431492,2.7790729690900299E-15,2024,50.05734574329999,118.103244221598,118.10323172814346,1.5608640654880619E-10,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":118.10324427431492},2024,0.17597705805846361,0.10116517629128234,5.5968176535467103E-3]
[2025,null,182.85293602176225,103.0955667303584,null,1.41E-2,null,null,7391.4996905934186,null,2025,null,null,194.87503527803469,null,2025,null,null,213.80629110416029,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N66<=I66),N66,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S66<=I66),S66,I66))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":194.87503527803469},2025,null,7.8206111261532735E-2]
[2026,null,182.03912005614563,104.22014563736718,null,1.41E-2,null,null,7469.318665012197,null,2026,null,null,303.80369538148574,null,2026,null,null,357.39376192180765,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N67<=I67),N67,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S67<=I67),S67,I67))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":303.80369538148574},2026,null,5.9216861181921432E-2]
[2027,null,181.21704142078724,105.31739317667197,null,1.41E-2,null,null,7545.2183132563123,null,2027,null,null,450.36829626212847,null,2027,null,null,557.56357762050277,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N68<=I68),N68,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S68<=I68),S68,I68))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":450.36829626212847},2027,null,4.4175614737967869E-2]
[2028,null,180.38884596541413,106.38757821691399,null,1.41E-2,null,null,7619.2195810048124,null,2028,null,null,638.4972142986677,null,2028,null,null,819.39011806949929,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N69<=I69),N69,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S69<=I69),S69,I69))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":638.4972142986677},2028,null,3.2604293792865918E-2]
[2029,null,179.5565329487186,107.43099609216785,null,1.41E-2,null,null,7691.3451178613632,null,2029,null,null,870.08999032110762,null,2029,null,null,1143.4645650662937,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N70<=I70),N70,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S70<=I70),S70,I70))*(1+Control!$F$28)","v":870.08999032110762},2029,null,2.3879810724445224E-2]
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{"sheet":"FTH","index":61,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["THAILAND",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/thailand",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D58","v":71801.278999999995},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D58","v":71801.278999999995},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D58","v":71801.278999999995},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":319.43606659377679},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":317.26454343522209},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":317.26454343522209}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E42:E99,F42:F99,2,1)","v":0.27190994668645119},{"$f":"(CORREL(E41:E64,F41:F64))^2","v":0.72381333856089936},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H42:H99,I42:I99,2,1)","v":0.97391075177223685},{"$f":"(CORREL(H41:H64,I41:I64))^2","v":0.96365105184051858},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M42:M99,N42:N99,2,1)","v":0.927132396121086},{"$f":"(CORREL(M41:M64,N41:N64))^2","v":0.97799927889928917},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R42:R99,S42:S99,2,1)","v":0.73586586098237983},{"$f":"(CORREL(R41:R64,S41:S64))^2","v":0.98017511185630346},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W42:W99,X42:X99,2,1)","v":0.96084965812020517},{"$f":"(CORREL(W41:W64,X41:X64))^2","v":0.47285847444345552}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,1313366124.7784784,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":4.2474066462841126E-3},"a",22935.918140162343,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":1845639.9685904132},null,null,"a",22780,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":415.08757534925888},null,null,"a",22780,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":422.12999711226956},null,null,"a",6.6596414581966208,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":0.11410115621380712}]
[null,null,null,null,null,5.7607914540371485,null,"b",2.6445359865649731,null,null,null,"b",120.05573313977757,null,null,null,"b",127.71250367546718,null,null,null,"b",157.12631602672886]
[null,null,null,null,null,4.3978386070200761,null,"c",5.9601954793956885E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13561404794410731,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.13819011025243741,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.26924894430179963]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":502.90059766275181},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":2016.3165054379883},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":1136.4855475335453},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2035.305752983398},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":1158.0737061892746},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2035.0949982154111}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"TH!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,233.99299999999999,null,null,null,null,null,3943,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":3220.9641503340531},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":521335.76820282586},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,222.387,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":457.387},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":0.11599974638600051},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":0.11544231191664392},null,3708,3608.3922381261464,9921.70622551833,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,207.87899999999999,null,-26.121000000000009,-7.0444983818770254E-3,1.4203912108418446E-3,{"$f":"(F48-E48)^2","v":7.1654355816920241E-5},3942,4015.9421994430327,5467.4488584732217,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
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[2091,null,174.80892642062673,158.5760674403885,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22669.95677903574,null,2091,null,null,22768.053316889404,null,2091,null,null,22769.946717723498,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N132<=I132),N132,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S132<=I132),S132,I132))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22669.95677903574},2091,null,6.440516305685602E-9]
[2092,null,173.99395633548562,158.68969745325018,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22685.261037917975,null,2092,null,null,22769.568053375831,null,2092,null,null,22771.244014270418,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N133<=I133),N133,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S133<=I133),S133,I133))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22685.261037917975},2092,null,4.9202520808609056E-9]
[2093,null,173.22502588557532,158.79682726542583,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22699.689236538125,null,2093,null,null,22770.890772747945,null,2093,null,null,22772.373932995441,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N134<=I134),N134,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S134<=I134),S134,I134))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22699.689236538125},2093,null,3.7588415874360487E-9]
[2094,null,172.49959548824305,158.89782465576687,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22713.291007370601,null,2094,null,null,22772.04580712385,null,2094,null,null,22773.358062295752,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N135<=I135),N135,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S135<=I135),S135,I135))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22713.291007370601},2094,null,2.8715784974184529E-9]
[2095,null,171.81525869754861,158.9930370515942,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22726.113229016555,null,2095,null,null,22773.054407460841,null,2095,null,null,22774.215207731129,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N136<=I136),N136,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S136<=I136),S136,I136))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22726.113229016555},2095,null,2.1937511528645105E-9]
[2096,null,171.1697360257383,159.08279260311588,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22738.200172439178,null,2096,null,null,22773.935133205588,null,2096,null,null,22774.961750348793,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N137<=I137),N137,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S137<=I137),S137,I137))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22738.200172439178},2096,null,1.6759228851279602E-9]
[2097,null,170.56086895516808,159.16740120707425,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22749.593640187271,null,2097,null,null,22774.704192790836,null,2097,null,null,22775.611958964935,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N138<=I138),N138,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S138<=I138),S138,I138))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22749.593640187271},2097,null,1.280326400301451E-9]
[2098,null,169.98661414772678,159.2471554813109,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22760.333098853687,null,2098,null,null,22775.375741150034,null,2098,null,null,22776.178262296169,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N139<=I139),N139,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S139<=I139),S139,I139))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22760.333098853687},2098,null,9.7810925894620525E-10]
[2099,null,169.44503785647987,159.32233169197582,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22770.455805018191,null,2099,null,null,22775.962139653519,null,2099,null,null,22776.67148608555,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N140<=I140),N140,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S140<=I140),S140,I140))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22770.455805018191},2099,null,7.472295519119013E-10]
[2100,null,168.9343105422478,159.39319063512735,null,7.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,22779.996924925312,null,2100,null,null,22776.474183195663,null,2100,null,null,22777.101059712775,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N141<=I141),N141,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S141<=I141),S141,I141))*(1+Control!$F$29)","v":22776.474183195663},2100,null,5.7084829545019284E-10]

{"sheet":"FUK","index":62,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["UNITED KINGDOM",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://countryeconomy.com/business/motor-vehicle-in-use/uk",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D59","v":67736.801999999996},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D59","v":67736.801999999996},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D59","v":67736.801999999996},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":752.91419869512004},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":723.38815168746828},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":723.38815168746828}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,23426.676275719237,{"$f":"SUM(G41:G104)","v":5.4624894455768092E-4},"a",51000,{"$f":"SUM(J41:J104)","v":6812121.7034035437},null,null,"a",49000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O104)","v":10602.428530704507},null,null,"a",49000,{"$f":"SUM(T41:T104)","v":265198.81489211175},null,null,"a",7.1734981121143475,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y104)","v":1.924806376795727E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.7195715600350231E-4,null,"b",0.61976997374206333,null,null,null,"b",30.641438238373009,null,null,null,"b",62.506253543784496,null,null,null,"b",57.159994976244491]
[null,null,null,null,null,1.8807258171098743E-2,null,"c",2.7017568977239555E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",9.5318914099994365E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.12502364084961207,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.23042396380636698]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":506.89961703504702},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1982.2927488301873},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":1718.2275737565576},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2035.904241209412},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":2253.6877293197458},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2033.0758773327661}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"UK!$D$3","v":1},2004]
[2005,2439.7170000000001,null,null,null,null,null,30477.058000000001,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A46-2000)))","v":29676.939940530938},{"$f":"(I46-H46)^2","v":640188.90908853931},2005,null,null,null,null,2005,null,null,null,null,null,2005]
[2006,2344.864,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":2004.8860000000009},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":6.5783449308000813E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":6.7667849477345512E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":3.5509639982263315E-6},30817.036,30108.371864301727,502204.8572249799,2006,null,null,null,null,2006,null,null,null,null,null,2006]
[2007,2404.0070000000001,null,2115.0549999999989,6.863265500290161E-2,6.640728563971067E-2,4.9522688026288518E-6,31105.988000000001,30534.326265673259,326797.13849345921,2007,null,null,null,null,2007,null,null,null,null,null,2007]
[2008,2131.7950000000001,null,1985.3070000000025,6.3823949266617164E-2,6.5170200988330221E-2,1.8123936982153704E-6,31252.475999999999,30954.713091007899,88662.749971437181,2008,null,null,null,null,2008,null,null,null,null,null,2008]
[2009,1994.999,null,2211.6839999999975,7.0768280887568633E-2,6.3956158329576698E-2,4.640501374510257E-5,31035.791000000001,31369.451857872125,111329.56807596194,2009,null,null,null,null,2009,null,null,null,null,null,2009]
[2010,2030.846,null,1808.440000000001,5.8269499237187182E-2,6.2764728605840009E-2,2.0207087076798891E-5,31258.197,31778.47133755084,270685.38631396525,2010,0.09,{"$f":"UK!$Q51","v":0.09},{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K51-2000)))","v":0.36313031145557551},{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":7.4600167035819703E-2},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.09},{"$f":"M51","v":0.09},{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P51-2000)))","v":8.2137342251910361E-4},{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":7.9528274382457808E-3},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":0.36313031145557551},2010,0]
[2011,1941.2529999999999,null,1836.7339999999997,5.8760074997287901E-2,6.1595490744293976E-2,8.0395824583700236E-6,31362.716,32181.70923291233,670749.91555618902,2011,1.087,{"$f":"UK!$Q52","v":1.1769999764626164},1.0628672280186304,1.3026284267378193E-2,2011,1.087,1.1769999764626164,6.73544765659364E-3,1.3695190673815825,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":1.0628672280186304},2011,3.3984706881903144E-3,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V52-2000))-X$34*(V52-2000))","v":8.0590533893313221E-2},{"$f":"(X52-W52)^2","v":5.95861462186369E-3}]
[2012,2044.6089999999999,null,1925.3250000000003,6.1388975368077185E-2,6.0448031508467573E-2,8.8537534693703375E-7,31482,32579.111853046768,1203654.4180957139,2012,2.9710000000000001,{"$f":"UK!$Q53","v":4.1479982328779688},2.8215667309475658,1.7594205293133445,2012,2.9710000000000001,4.1479982328779688,4.3131628468765962E-2,16.849929839993941,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":2.8215667309475658},2012,0.24011571841851495,0.16266334958140907,5.9988694384790894E-3]
[2013,2264.7370000000001,null,1643.7370000000001,5.2211962391207678E-2,5.9321945352568919E-2,5.0551857710847168E-5,32103,32970.633785998019,752788.38660525705,2013,3.7349999999999999,{"$f":"UK!$Q54","v":7.8829656628206406},6.8541212996226459,1.0585207236842871,2013,3.7349999999999999,7.8829656628206406,0.22204984289068147,58.689631200053114,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":6.8541212996226459},2013,0.24077127996955477,0.27097494998038063,9.1226168212286116E-4]
[2014,2476.4349999999999,null,1966.6530000000007,6.1260723296888163E-2,5.8216834278511577E-2,9.2652603561935765E-6,32612.781999999999,33356.237570807803,552726.18576515792,2014,15.307,{"$f":"UK!$Q55","v":23.189681846366927},15.359187230221593,61.316645933481055,2014,15.307,23.189681846366927,0.9429064711481544,494.91901459544027,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":15.359187230221593},2014,0.38697714532125921,0.38757822742987008,3.612997012920934E-7]
[2015,2633.5030000000002,null,1703.8370000000027,5.2244454336953003E-2,5.7132307695592896E-2,2.3891110455567285E-5,33542.447999999997,33735.893369993581,37421.111171954566,2015,29.518999999999998,{"$f":"UK!$Q56","v":52.707190582012977},31.98349060297604,429.47174082113554,2015,29.518999999999998,52.707190582012977,3.3781550806209566,2433.3537434975942,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":31.98349060297604},2015,0.494507579350775,0.49114130335198924,1.1331814100001002E-5]
[2016,2692.7860000000001,null,1856.2339999999967,5.5339848779075308E-2,5.606798228277559E-2,5.3017839921084822E-7,34379,34109.578643487235,72587.867345178296,2016,39.225999999999999,{"$f":"UK!$Q57","v":91.927482599577985},62.304752000400818,877.50616815142723,2016,39.225999999999999,91.927482599577985,10.417355421626585,6643.9008325658124,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":62.304752000400818},2016,0.56926089084679388,0.56531717639865586,1.5552883648452519E-5]
[2017,2540.6170000000002,null,2233.6170000000002,6.497038890020071E-2,5.5023481853524472E-2,9.8940959795217382E-5,34686,34477.277824971192,43564.946348756413,2017,49.33,{"$f":"UK!$Q58","v":141.23923437539597},114.23188345598376,729.39700368427521,2017,49.33,141.23923437539597,28.142132872959063,12790.954368252515,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$30)","v":114.23188345598376},2017,0.59954695076629028,0.60285263252599097,1.092753189641789E-5]
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{"sheet":"FUS","index":63,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":25,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,39,27],[35,28,39,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,39,25],[35,26,39,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["UNITED STATES",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages",null,16]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Reference:",null,"Population (thsd.)","Reference:",null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:",null,2.5550000000000002]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"https://www.bts.gov/content/number-us-aircraft-vehicles-vessels-and-other-conveyances",null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D60","v":339996.56300000002},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D60","v":339996.56300000002},"www.ev-volumes.com",null,null,null,{"$f":"'P2'!$D60","v":339996.56300000002},null,"www.ev-volumes.com",null,0.12]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population","Last retrieved 02/01/2024",null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 02/01/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I32/J26*1000","v":848.93749660697063},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N32/O26*1000","v":873.53824220864249},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S32/T26*1000","v":832.36135537052473}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²",null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","R²"]
[null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(E38:E95,F38:F95,2,1)","v":0.99987469067325685},{"$f":"(CORREL(E37:E99,F37:F99))^2","v":4.8609150884577471E-2},null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(H38:H95,I38:I95,2,1)","v":0.2993327096883735},{"$f":"(CORREL(H37:H100,I37:I100))^2","v":0.89580392326664027},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(M38:M95,N38:N95,2,1)","v":0.51261988899817246},{"$f":"(CORREL(M37:M100,N37:N100))^2","v":0.99584047220942529},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(R38:R95,S38:S95,2,1)","v":1.5968754923153274E-3},{"$f":"(CORREL(R37:R100,S37:S100))^2","v":0.79022877942251213},null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W38:W95,X38:X95,2,1)","v":0.94159725021455309},{"$f":"(CORREL(W37:W100,X37:X100))^2","v":0.83692477314541447}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,36159.699962910134,{"$f":"SUM(G37:G100)","v":8.6099249725541923E-4},"a",288635.8310481942,{"$f":"SUM(J37:J100)","v":357075179.64216346},null,null,"a",297000,{"$f":"SUM(O41:O100)","v":284623.1307636674},null,null,"a",283000,{"$f":"SUM(T37:T100)","v":22615366.399535615},null,null,"a",8.8900377229957019,{"$f":"SUM(Y37:Y100)","v":2.8855482139749433E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,2.8973111131241864E-4,null,"b",0.30069965688447547,null,null,null,"b",19.580625612084894,null,null,null,"b",486.48286644173885,null,null,null,"b",9.6426021611674493]
[null,null,null,null,null,5.8133474605384849E-3,null,"c",4.0600071216713454E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",6.7824821710596825E-2,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.20221227595664096,"Tmax",null,null,"c",0.16508592775079942]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"I32*I34/EXP(1)","v":4311.0450040771102},{"$f":"LN(I33)/I34+2000","v":1970.4029255606431},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"N32*N34/EXP(1)","v":7410.5531800087801},{"$f":"LN(N33)/N34+2000","v":2043.856224213484},null,null,"Max increase",{"$f":"S32*S34/EXP(1)","v":21052.296158772479},{"$f":"LN(S33)/S34+2000","v":2030.5975572142315}]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year","% Scrapped  Forecast",null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,212706.399,{"$f":"I$32*EXP(-I$33*EXP(-I$34*(A41-2000)))","v":213677.12979540823},{"$f":"(I41-H41)^2","v":942318.27715387684},2000,null,null,{"$f":"N$32*EXP(-N$33*EXP(-N$34*(K41-2000)))","v":9.3110528937972168E-4},null,2000,null,null,{"$f":"S$32*EXP(-S$33*EXP(-S$34*(P41-2000)))","v":1.4961047417795989E-206},null,null,2000,null,{"$f":"X$32*X$33*X$34*EXP(-X$33*EXP(-X$34*(V41-2000))-X$34*(V41-2000))","v":9.1849965510596538E-4}]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,221821.103,216248.89860661654,31049461.801641986,2001,null,null,3.3623268576702444E-3,null,2001,null,null,7.1648448430342137E-168,null,null,2001,null,3.3780658999721181E-3]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,220931.98199999999,218747.47041416963,4772090.8686270816,2002,null,null,1.1161261260820248E-2,null,2002,null,null,2.8440043663137453E-136,null,null,2002,null,9.9374680104427435E-3]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,222856.56,221173.79638238353,2831693.392773659,2003,null,null,3.4246547160116776E-2,null,2003,null,null,1.8518539408669592E-110,null,null,2003,null,2.4191368499247988E-2]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,228275.978,223528.91029724924,22534651.774499405,2004,null,null,9.7631777498755831E-2,null,2004,null,null,2.2664907421049974E-89,null,{"$f":"US!$D$3","v":1},2004,null,5.0157376638863237E-2]
[2005,16958.945,null,null,null,null,null,231904.92199999999,225813.91917163995,37100315.455090009,2005,null,null,0.25985451549010991,null,2005,null,null,3.8228562778757321E-72,null,null,2005,null,9.0762684066823682E-2]
[2006,16526.43,null,{"$f":"H46-H47+B47","v":13906.631999999991},{"$f":"D47/H46","v":5.996695490576949E-2},{"$f":"F$32*F$33*F$34*EXP(-F$33*EXP(-F$34*(A47-2000))-F$34*(A47-2000))","v":5.8799886534512145E-2},{"$f":"(F47-E47)^2","v":1.362048583189271E-6},234524.72,228029.9943840488,42181460.826492742,2006,null,null,0.64862022081186088,null,2006,null,null,4.5239978306269479E-58,null,null,2006,null,0.14634303523230865]
[2007,16105.177,null,14951.747000000007,6.3753394524892759E-2,5.8459148824314328E-2,2.8029037538093208E-5,235678.15,230178.36334530861,30247653.247121472,2007,null,null,1.524754849140088,null,2007,null,null,1.4196079407084036E-46,null,null,2007,null,0.21397072478646439]
[2008,13202.832,null,12432.826999999996,5.2753413924880165E-2,5.8120385098526919E-2,2.8804379578755225E-5,236448.155,232260.30168458936,17538115.391395897,2008,null,null,3.3889657647778821,null,2008,null,null,3.4996587928758753E-37,null,null,2008,null,0.28795138304501877]
[2009,10408.312,null,12388.787999999995,5.2395367601832186E-2,5.7783583927647847E-2,2.9032875173786417E-5,234467.679,234277.12594331216,36310.467413080769,2009,null,null,7.1480606922364762,null,2009,null,null,1.6460226746016943E-29,null,null,2009,null,0.36119988401914288]
[2010,11559.156000000001,null,15582.395000000002,6.6458605580345262E-2,5.7448733948279596E-2,8.1177786826301635E-5,230444.44,236230.18676341887,33474865.610411875,2010,0.83899999999999997,{"$f":"US!$Q51","v":0.83899999999999997},14.356704704647399,{"$f":"(N51-M51)^2","v":182.72834048204641},2010,{"$f":"L51","v":0.83899999999999997},{"$f":"M51","v":0.83899999999999997},3.049246709624728E-23,{"$f":"(S51-R51)^2","v":0.70392099999999991},{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N51<=I51),N51,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S51<=I51),S51,I51))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":14.356704704647399},2010,0.38855780691299169,0.42686117737436952,{"$f":"(X51-W51)^2","v":1.4671481887015515E-3}]
[2011,12734.442999999999,null,9337.4610000000102,4.0519359026410053E-2,5.7115823862747737E-2,2.7544264506379327E-4,233841.42199999999,238120.86255464557,18313611.460745286,2011,18.350000000000001,{"$f":"US!$Q52","v":19.18899982142646},27.546128782102063,69.841604465362877,2011,18.350000000000001,19.18899982142646,4.0221456162193016E-18,368.21771414670474,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N52<=I52),N52,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S52<=I52),S52,I52))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":27.546128782102063},2011,0.41930272551982906,0.47959667056859706,3.6353598095438559E-3]
[2012,14494.798000000001,null,14575.662000000002,6.2331394820204278E-2,5.6784842438721644E-2,3.0764243320530674E-5,233760.55799999999,239950.5536240277,38316045.825482197,2012,54.920999999999999,{"$f":"US!$Q53","v":74.10998484431255},50.641671660719133,550.76172368322455,2012,54.920999999999999,74.10998484431255,6.1279120214716553E-14,5492.2898536242274,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N53<=I53),N53,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S53<=I53),S53,I53))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":50.641671660719133},2012,0.64953447577924706,0.51624560983179735,1.7765921785557217E-2]
[2013,15600.786,null,13351.11399999998,5.7114485498447436E-2,5.6455778508837332E-2,4.3389489816120584E-7,236010.23,241720.67674977038,32609202.081963025,2013,95.974999999999994,{"$f":"US!$Q54","v":170.08462351608699},89.456957992033765,6500.8204478586013,2013,95.974999999999994,170.08462351608699,1.6009452124815907E-10,28928.779156554592,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N54<=I54),N54,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S54<=I54),S54,I54))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":89.456957992033765},2013,0.57212570185495482,0.53586974741074622,1.3144942326605289E-3]
[2014,16521.22,null,12376.213000000018,5.2439307397819226E-2,5.612862097032259E-2,1.3611034636257533E-5,240155.23699999999,243432.66018081832,10741502.706165306,2014,119.447,{"$f":"US!$Q55","v":289.52804516880855},152.23553100117138,18849.234446470851,2014,119.447,289.52804516880855,9.9048856221010811E-8,83826.488881916797,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N55<=I55),N55,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S55<=I55),S55,I55))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":152.23553100117138},2014,0.5275789895417432,0.5393687079102566,1.3899745920886207E-4]
[2015,17474.558000000001,null,14712.602999999985,6.1262886388773544E-2,5.580335878462412E-2,2.9806441660469545E-5,242917.19200000001,245087.9390429132,4712142.7243163744,2015,115.85899999999999,{"$f":"US!$Q56","v":405.36671686896977},250.19368206793447,24078.670729363312,2015,115.85899999999999,405.36671686896977,1.8891383399470645E-5,164322.15982925176,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N56<=I56),N56,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S56<=I56),S56,I56))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":250.19368206793447},2015,0.4854547831599616,0.52889747806714615,1.8872677407987188E-3]
[2016,17559.154999999999,null,12831.366000000009,5.2821975646746358E-2,5.5479980977036929E-2,7.0649923358530858E-6,247644.981,246687.95113160761,915906.16899515572,2016,158.31800000000001,{"$f":"US!$Q57","v":563.60401411931059},398.00450236217665,27423.198294201142,2016,158.31800000000001,563.60401411931059,1.3777906176261157E-3,317647.93167665292,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N57<=I57),N57,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S57<=I57),S57,I57))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":398.00450236217665},2016,0.47857139055789416,0.50727366283369335,8.2382043379411083E-4]
[2017,17239.896000000001,null,14331.629000000008,5.787167154419337E-2,5.5158476636335801E-2,7.3614266080242424E-6,250553.24799999999,248234.13307257846,5378294.0465893578,2017,202.11600000000001,{"$f":"US!$Q58","v":765.47042585644806},614.15610923191616,22896.022415549091,2017,202.11600000000001,765.47042585644806,4.5818638217886655E-2,585874.82933518197,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N58<=I58),N58,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S58<=I58),S58,I58))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":614.15610923191616},2017,0.47385891032546595,0.477486826745467,1.3161777550513183E-5]
[2018,17337.214,null,17180.608999999989,6.857068961245312E-2,5.4838834914408885E-2,1.8856383344819952E-4,250709.853,249727.9168296259,964198.64268895646,2018,361.27199999999999,{"$f":"US!$Q59","v":1126.1002767397611},921.11887423702137,42017.375371990172,2018,361.27199999999999,1126.1002767397611,0.80219781016328173,1266295.7664426432,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N59<=I59),N59,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S59<=I59),S59,I59))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":921.11887423702137},2018,0.43065503678920269,0.4423532882834168,1.3684908802188259E-4]
[2019,17049.080000000002,null,13944.748999999996,5.5621064880924311E-2,5.4521045025893417E-2,1.210043681462189E-6,253814.18400000001,251170.72654092955,6987867.3379152417,2019,317.71300000000002,{"$f":"US!$Q60","v":1442.3779308965832},1345.2680154391289,9430.3356801539085,2019,317.71300000000002,1442.3779308965832,8.3159214342257464,2056533.8469832141,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N60<=I60),N60,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S60<=I60),S60,I60))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":1345.2680154391289},2019,0.39252496868100306,0.40431295207088735,1.3895655240018799E-4]
[2020,14582.300999999999,null,14717.227999999996,5.7984261431189343E-2,5.4205096247813514E-2,1.4282089483240067E-5,253679.25700000001,252563.97566443955,1243852.4574495221,2020,328.77600000000001,{"$f":"US!$Q61","v":1768.2865350490604},1916.5280279961394,21975.540231178871,2020,328.77600000000001,1768.2865350490604,56.18229337703189,2931300.934351352,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N61<=I61),N61,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S61<=I61),S61,I61))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":1916.5280279961394},2020,0.36018552243872026,0.36534087626345585,2.6577673058215843E-5]
[2021,15098.659,null,11102.737000000008,4.3766830332525014E-2,5.389097791922004E-2,1.0249836435718271E-4,257675.179,253909.064413688,14183619.077232035,2021,665.42700000000002,{"$f":"US!$Q62","v":2428.5049492845615},2667.731445793444,57229.316631914378,2021,665.42700000000002,2428.5049492845615,267.54097960521642,4669765.2782523138,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N62<=I62),N62,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S62<=I62),S62,I62))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":2667.731445793444},2021,0.33503798462738821,0.32693927022107672,6.5589175034997291E-5]
[2022,13908.102999999999,null,{"$f":"I62-I63+B63","v":12609.789947892099},4.8936766035552456E-2,5.3578679440832583E-2,2.154736006211934E-5,null,255207.3774657959,null,2022,982.976,{"$f":"US!$Q63","v":3402.8096486678828},3633.7126681279956,53316.20439579722,2022,982.976,3402.8096486678828,957.39736596264811,5980041.2324056271,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N63<=I63),N63,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S63<=I63),S63,I63))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":3633.7126681279956},2022,0.29411140713777867,0.29017839145539526,1.5468612357873852E-5]
[2023,15617.861999999999,null,{"$f":"I63-I64+B64","v":14364.957541788759},null,5.3268190274683443E-2,null,null,256460.28192400714,null,2023,1450.471,{"$f":"US!$Q64","v":4840.0312401441279},4850.1840944501482,103.08045055927586,2023,1450.471,4840.0312401441279,2712.8340370780575,4524967.9407321131,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N64<=I64),N64,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S64<=I64),S64,I64))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":4850.1840944501482},2023,0.26565841484588892,0.25576176135189033,9.7943750380274648E-5]
[2024,null,{"$f":"I65-I64+F65*I64","v":14790.851879815114},{"$f":"I64-I65+C65","v":13582.008286132079},null,5.2959499943763699E-2,null,null,257669.12551769018,null,2024,{"$f":"L64*1.0778842","v":1563.4397734581999},{"$f":"US!$R$65","v":6352.4630943616712},6352.4630938526598,2.5909264887389596E-13,2024,1563.4397734581999,6352.4630943616712,6352.4629569550507,1.8880579363940918E-8,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N65<=I65),N65,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S65<=I65),S65,I65))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":6352.4630938526598},2024,0.26053946850318055,0.2240987514317419,1.3279258606806398E-3]
[2025,null,14733.058396761518,13566.948891055197,null,5.2652598031671292E-2,null,null,258835.2350233965,null,2025,null,null,8174.1319214628957,null,2025,null,null,12729.463107509988,null,{"$f":"IF(AND(U$45<4,N66<=I66),N66,IF(AND(U$45>=4,S66<=I66),S66,I66))*(1+Control!$F$31)","v":8174.1319214628957},2025,null,0.19537416675110647]
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{"sheet":"F30 Countries","index":64,"n_rows":141,"n_cols":28,"rows_kept":141,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,27,43,27],[35,28,43,28],[0,10,0,19],[1,10,1,19],[2,0,4,9],[2,21,5,23],[35,25,43,25],[35,26,43,26],[22,12,22,14]]}
["30 Countries",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients of the forecast functions"]
["Growth function is the strictly monotonically increasing distribution curve of the Gompertz Function:",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: "]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"The EV stocks from 2010 until 2013 are added sales deducted by the waste according to a Weibull function (see Parameters)."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Vehicle Stock",null,null,"EV Vehicle Stock",null,null,null,null,"EV Vehicle 100% in 2050",null,null,null,null,null,"PHEV percentages"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,null,null,null,"Population (thsd.)",null,"Reference:"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O26","v":4377060.7350000003},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"FAU!J26+FAT!J26+FBE!J26+FBR!J26+FCA!J26+FCN!J26+FDK!J26+FFI!J26+FFR!J26+FDE!J26+FHK!J26+FIN!J26+FIE!J26+FIT!J26+FJP!J26+FKR!J26+FLU!J26+FNL!J26+FNZ!J26+FNO!J26+FPT!J26+FRU!J26+FZA!J26+FES!J26+FSE!J26+FCH!J26+FTW!J26+FTH!J26+FUK!J26+FUS!J26","v":4377060.7350000003},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"FAU!O26+FAT!O26+FBE!O26+FBR!O26+FCA!O26+FCN!O26+FDK!O26+FFI!O26+FFR!O26+FDE!O26+FHK!O26+FIN!O26+FIE!O26+FIT!O26+FJP!O26+FKR!O26+FLU!O26+FNL!O26+FNZ!O26+FNO!O26+FPT!O26+FRU!O26+FZA!O26+FES!O26+FSE!O26+FCH!O26+FTW!O26+FTH!O26+FUK!O26+FUS!O26","v":4377060.7350000003},null,"www.ev-volumes.com"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,null,null,null,"Max vehicles per 1,000 population",null,"Last retrieved 07/31/2024"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I91/J26*1000","v":390.32341828528189},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"N91/O26*1000","v":293.27798449175725},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S91/T26*1000","v":390.45300051366416}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"p-value (t-Test)","Korrelation"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"_xlfn.T.TEST(W38:W95,X38:X95,2,1)","v":0.51119597553206453},{"$f":"CORREL(W51:W65,X51:X65)","v":0.7683062831897598}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"a",7.4630050397482961,{"$f":"SUM(Y41:Y64)","v":3.7440401222579647E-2}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"b",10.797809997418835]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"c",0.14052299583566105]
[]
["Year","Total Actual Sales (thsd)","Total Sales Fore-cast (tshd)","Scrapped   (thsd)","% Scrapped from stock of previous year",null,null,"Total Actual (thsd.)","Total Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Stock Actual (thsd.)","EV Forecast (thsd.)",null,"Year","EV sales (thsd.)","EV Stock Actual (thsd.)","100% EV in 2050 (thsd.)",null,"EV Forecast (thsd.)","Year","PHEV Actual (%)","PHEV Forecast (%)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[2000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,2000,null,null,null,null,null,2000]
[2001,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,2001,null,null,null,null,null,2001]
[2002,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,null,null,2002]
[2003,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,null,null,2003]
[2004,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CN!$D$3","v":1},2004]
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["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,44,23.18,973.42947166666704]
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["Last retrieved 01/26/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/3/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 12/12/2023",null,null,null,0,null,0]
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[]
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["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,0,null,0]
["https://www.odyssee-mure.eu/publications/efficiency-by-sector/transport/distance-travelled-by-car.html",null,null,null,"https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf",null,null,null,"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity?",null,null,null,367,31.231999999999999,11462.144]
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{"sheet":"EFI","index":72,"n_rows":137,"n_cols":15,"rows_kept":137,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,15,39,15],[0,4,0,11],[1,4,1,11],[2,0,4,3]]}
["FINLAND",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N119/100","v":0.21306503519595715}]
[]
[]
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["FRANCE",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
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["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N156/100","v":0.19751882900278175}]
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["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,0,19.0015,0]
["https://www.statista.com/statistics/1108172/average-distance-traveled-by-vehicle-utility-lightweight-france/",null,null,null,"https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf",null,null,null,"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity?",null,null,null,0,15.835599999999999,0]
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["INDIA",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N36/100","v":0.12167533692421402}]
[]
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["IRELAND",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N111/100","v":0.19800230283555303}]
[]
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[]
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["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,0,null,0]
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["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,305,9.2951800000000002,2835.0299]
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["Last retrieved 01/26/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/3/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 12/12/2023",null,null,null,272,22.692,6172.2240000000002]
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[]
["Year","Distance Actual (km)","Distance Forecast (km)",null,"Year","CO₂/km Actual (gm)","CO₂/km Forecast (gm)",null,"Year","CO₂/kWh Actual (gm)","CO₂/kWh Forecast (gm)"]
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[2002,null,null,null,2002,null,null,null,2002,463.14287999999999,463.7677827028358,0.39050338801150242]
[2003,null,null,null,2003,null,null,null,2003,465.37673999999998,463.3942698459806,3.9301879115776299]
[2004,null,null,null,2004,null,null,null,2004,453.82067999999998,462.85863062970179,81.684551584927362]
[2005,21043.762480680452,{"$f":"C$32*C$33*C$34*EXP(-C$33*EXP(-C$34*(A42-2000))-C$34*(A42-2000))","v":19962.32193037101},{"$f":"(C42-B42)^2","v":1169513.6638535892},2005,219,{"$f":"G$32*G$33*G$34*EXP(-G$33*EXP(-G$34*(E42-2000))-G$34*(E42-2000))","v":218.44200261112559},{"$f":"(G42-F42)^2","v":0.31136108599066187},2005,457.49444999999997,462.16451625371008,21.809518814041922]
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[]
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["SPAIN",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N158/100","v":0.19519006616289644}]
[]
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["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,0,null,0]
["https://www.odyssee-mure.eu/publications/efficiency-by-sector/transport/distance-travelled-by-car.html",null,null,null,"https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf",null,null,null,"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity?",null,null,null,1083,9.76,10570.08]
["Last retrieved 01/26/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/3/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 12/12/2023",null,null,null,389,24.4,9491.5999999999985]
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["Year","Distance Actual (km)","Distance Forecast (km)",null,"Year","CO₂/km Actual (gm)","CO₂/km Forecast (gm)",null,"Year","CO₂/kWh Actual (gm)","CO₂/kWh Forecast (gm)",null,12,36.966000000000001,443.59199999999998]
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["SWEDEN",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N153/100","v":0.20614996319442669}]
[]
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{"sheet":"ETH","index":92,"n_rows":137,"n_cols":15,"rows_kept":137,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[35,15,39,15],[0,4,0,11],[1,4,1,11],[2,0,4,3]]}
["THAILAND",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N113/100","v":0.18819530048994551}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Stock 2023","kWh/km","Total kWh/km"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,43,24.277999999999999,1043.954]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1810,14.378919999999999,26025.8452]
["Yearly distance traveled per car",null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,null,"Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,null,null,93,23,2139]
["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,19426,15.835599999999999,307622.36559999996]
["Estimated from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/238658930_Road_Transport_Energy_Demand_Analysis_and_Energy_Saving_Potentials_in_Thailand",null,null,null,"https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf",null,null,null,"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity?",null,null,null,5,17.690000000000001,88.45]
["Last retrieved 02/04/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/3/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 12/12/2023",null,null,null,442,19.52,8627.84]
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[null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",null,null,"Coefficients","Sum Squared Errors",13249,16.5,218608.5]
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["Year","Distance Actual (km)","Distance Forecast (km)",null,"Year","CO₂/km Actual (gm)","CO₂/km Forecast (gm)",null,"Year","CO₂/kWh Actual (gm)","CO₂/kWh Forecast (gm)",null,98,19.154,1877.0920000000001]
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[2010,15510,15424.08976445925,7380.5685706672066,2010,208,207.07110430096998,{"$f":"(G47-F47)^2","v":0.86284721967647338},2010,606.33370000000002,603.64525481946851,7.2277374887231387,26,7.4261399999999993,193.07963999999998]
[2011,15240,15107.759685308263,17487.500829769575,2011,208,203.26973226781456,22.375432818154774,2011,600.97839999999997,601.90707409145602,0.86243556814173783,1878,7.4261399999999993,13946.290919999999]
[2012,14970,14797.796948970761,29653.890783778639,2012,194,199.53814300750503,30.67102797157683,2012,597.89293999999995,599.7533130109407,3.4609877398367441,176,18.91,3328.16]
[2013,14700,14494.078362365355,42403.720846133991,2013,189,195.8750555757324,47.266389169409216,2013,602.76324,597.20008988445738,30.948639208061778,322,19.642000000000003,6324.7240000000011]
[2014,14100,14196.482907994443,9308.9515350641414,2014,196,192.27921253864614,13.844259332568139,2014,602.26750000000004,594.26381716491755,64.058938924594031,10549,18.210084033613445,192098.17647058822]
[2015,13830,13904.891714457346,5608.7688943606627,2015,193,188.7493795414436,18.067774282698203,2015,598.04309999999998,590.96112624279044,50.1543522978046,625,24.4,15250]
[2016,13560,13619.188026949145,3503.2225341326962,2016,185,185.2843448848727,8.0852013553266197E-2,2016,596.42975000000001,587.3087964841194,83.191793038854954,4,15.738,62.951999999999998]
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[2019,12650,12796.265582433783,21393.620604693915,2019,null,175.26624512258903,null,2019,563.0797,574.42261832136444,128.661796045145,7,22.692,158.84399999999999]
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["UNITED KINGDOM",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N138/100","v":0.20618388993275452}]
[]
[]
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["Yearly distance traveled per car",null,null,null,"ICE CO₂/km (gm)",null,null,null,"Electricity CO₂/kWh (gm)",null,null,null,417,27.45,11446.65]
["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,350,23.545999999999999,8241.1]
["Estimated from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/238658930_Road_Transport_Energy_Demand_Analysis_and_Energy_Saving_Potentials_in_Thailand",null,null,null,"https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf",null,null,null,"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity?",null,null,null,4526,20.252000000000002,91660.552000000011]
["Last retrieved 02/04/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/3/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 12/12/2023",null,null,null,4,19.276,77.103999999999999]
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["Year","Distance Actual (km)","Distance Forecast (km)",null,"Year","CO₂/km Actual (gm)","CO₂/km Forecast (gm)",null,"Year","CO₂/kWh Actual (gm)","CO₂/kWh Forecast (gm)",null,75,35.746000000000002,2680.9500000000003]
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["UNITED STATES",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N83/100","v":0.19534674598496576}]
[]
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["Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,"Reference:",null,null,null,22120,17.690000000000001,391302.80000000005]
["https://www.bts.gov/newsroom/bts-updates-national-transportation-statistics-12012023; Table 1-35M:  U.S. Vehicle-Kilometers (millions)",null,null,null,"https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/66965fb0-87c9-4bc7-990d-a509a1646956/Fuel_Economy_in_Major_Car_Markets.pdf",null,null,null,"https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electricity?",null,null,null,0,null,0]
["Last retrieved 02/04/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 02/3/2024",null,null,null,"Last retrieved 12/12/2023",null,null,null,6500,26.23,170495]
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{"sheet":"E30 Countries","index":95,"n_rows":1048575,"n_cols":16384,"rows_kept":33,"cut":true,"hidden":false,"merged":[[0,4,0,11],[1,4,1,11],[2,0,4,3]],"bounds":{"rows_first":15,"rows_last":3,"rows_between":15,"halvings":7}}
["30 Countries",null,null,null,"THE TIME VARIABLE (X-AXIS) IS THE RESPECTIVE YEAR MINUS 2000, "]
["Coefficients of the forecast functions",null,null,null,"i. e., FOR 2050, t = 50.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Efficiency: Average kWh/km in 2023"]
["The right side of the density curve of the first derivative of the Gompertz function: ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"kWh/km",{"$f":"N37/100","v":0.18387519495202298}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EV Stock 2022","kWh/km","Total kWh/km"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67770,19.141191912817863,1297198.5759316667,"Australia"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,120624,19.821754122081646,2390979.2692219764,"Austria"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,103030,20.760626605426069,2138967.3591570477,"Belgium"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11669,21.237134718536108,247816.12503059785,"Brazil"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,257003,18.93303043254123,4865845.6202543937,"Canada"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11399124,17.40542219912076,198406565.92013025,"China"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,90634,20.27976641071843,1838036.3488690541,"Denmark"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,46831,21.306503519595715,997804.86632618692,"Finland"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,750705,19.751882900278176,14827837.252653329,"France"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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{"sheet":"P1","index":96,"n_rows":60,"n_cols":15,"rows_kept":60,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["Table 1: Vehicle lifespan / years"]
[]
["Vehicle weibull function (Example)"]
[]
["Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)","Probability Density Function (PDF)","Variable"]
[1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(A6,k,l,1)","v":4.7424474450410869E-8},{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(A6,k,l,0)","v":2.999593195389171E-7},"one",6.3249899999477002,"= k"]
[2,3.8020114792023574E-6,1.2023819435398474E-5,"two",14.386200000035451,"= l"]
[3,4.9405918018715074E-5,1.0416140593465219E-4,"three"]
[4,3.0476127032287012E-4,4.8182955664519128E-4,"four"]
[5,1.2494226501082917E-3,1.5795293750934037E-3,"five"]
[6,3.9531344439181658E-3,4.1590082341693259E-3,"six"]
[7,1.0446261101371297E-2,9.389454817509281E-3,"seven"]
[8,2.414027299567769E-2,1.8853627639100364E-2,"eight"]
[9,5.017041070949621E-2,3.4358950938252496E-2,"nine"]
[10,9.536958639998766E-2,5.7348698317490142E-2,"ten"]
[11,0.16735462002279569,8.7685562331515643E-2,"eleven"]
[12,0.27207025391558803,0.12183755928280643,"twelve"]
[13,0.40953521969145223,0.15135389092582033,"thirteen"]
[14,0.5691009221809864,0.16389219569963004,"fourteen"]
[15,0.72814074243035232,0.14930718255644612,"fifteen"]
[16,0.85901015856689678,0.10918854248484958,"sixteen"]
[17,0.94356212595476374,6.0361667412318958E-2,"seventeen"]
[18,0.98386176444050299,2.3400868035828103E-2,"eighteen"]
[19,0.99699976760643538,5.8018622529319485E-3,"nineteen"]
[20,0.99967618553419035,8.2286832091016881E-4]
[null,"MEAN",{"$f":"AVERAGE(C6:C25)","v":4.9996989168300351E-2}]
[14.386200000035451,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(A27,k,l,1)","v":0.63212055882855767},"At time l (Year = 14.3862), 63.2% of EVs are wasted."]
[]
["ISO 3166-1 alpha-2 codes","Table2: Population (thsd)","(https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/)"]
["AU","Australia",26439.111000000001]
["AT","Austria",8958.9599999999991]
["BE","Belgium",11686.14]
["BR","Brazil",216422.446]
["CA","Canada",38781.290999999997]
["CN","China",1425671.352]
["DK","Denmark",5910.9129999999996]
["FI","Finland",5545.4750000000004]
["FR","France",64756.584000000003]
["DE","Germany",83294.633000000002]
["HK","Hong Kong",7491.6090000000004,null,null,"Table 3: Average EV electricity consumption in 30 countries (kWh/km) in 2023"]
["IN","India",1428627.6629999999,null,null,"Australia",{"$f":"EAU!$N$3","v":0.19141191912817862},"Denmark",{"$f":"EDK!$N$3","v":0.20279766410718431},"Ireland",{"$f":"EIE!$N$3","v":0.19800230283555303},"New Zealand",{"$f":"ENZ!$N$3","v":0.19165870988080416},"Sweden",{"$f":"ESE!$N$3","v":0.20614996319442669}]
["IE","Ireland",5056.9350000000004,null,null,"Austria",{"$f":"EAT!$N$3","v":0.19821754122081647},"Finland",{"$f":"EFI!$N$3","v":0.21306503519595715},"Italy",{"$f":"EIT!$N$3","v":0.18514669348282412},"Norway",{"$f":"ENO!$N$3","v":0.20334593105507712},"Switzerland",{"$f":"ECH!$N$3","v":0.19881506584175099}]
["IT","Italy",58870.762000000002,null,null,"Belgium",{"$f":"EBE!$N$3","v":0.20760626605426069},"France",{"$f":"EFR!$N$3","v":0.19751882900278175},"Japan",{"$f":"EJP!$N$3","v":0.18572098439646631},"Portugal",{"$f":"EPT!$N$3","v":0.19943041857846247},"Taiwan",{"$f":"ETW!$N$3","v":0.19127625538901796}]
["JP","Japan",123294.51300000001,null,null,"Brazil",{"$f":"EBR!$N$3","v":0.21237134718536108},"Germany",{"$f":"EDE!$N$3","v":0.193077215136986},"Korea",{"$f":"EKR!$N$3","v":0.2174351939477269},"Russia",{"$f":"ERU!$N$3","v":0.21627695274736308},"Thailand",{"$f":"ETH!$N$3","v":0.18819530048994551}]
["KR","Korea",51784.059000000001,null,null,"Canada",{"$f":"ECA!$N$3","v":0.18933030432541231},"Hong Kong",{"$f":"EHK!$N$3","v":0.18094129129907116},"Luxembourg",{"$f":"ELU!$N$3","v":0.17939245211323204},"South Africa",{"$f":"EZA!$N$3","v":0.19821040055248618},"UK",{"$f":"EUK!$N$3","v":0.20618388993275452}]
["LU","Luxembourg",654.76800000000003,null,null,"China",{"$f":"ECN!$N$3","v":0.1740542219912076},"India",{"$f":"EIN!$N$3","v":0.12167533692421402},"Netherlands",{"$f":"ENL!$N$3","v":0.20191682592574989},"Spain",{"$f":"EES!$N$3","v":0.19519006616289644},"USA",{"$f":"EUS!$N$3","v":0.19534674598496576}]
["NL","Netherlands",17618.298999999999]
["NZ","New Zealand",5228.1000000000004]
["NO","Norway",5474.36]
["PT","Portugal",10247.605]
["RU","Russia",144444.359]
["ZA","South Africa",60414.495000000003]
["ES","Spain",47519.627999999997]
["SE","Sweden",10612.085999999999]
["CH","Switzerland",8796.6689999999999]
["TW","Taiwan",23923.276000000002]
["TH","Thailand",71801.278999999995]
["UK","UK",67736.801999999996]
["US","USA",339996.56300000002]
[null,"30 Countries",{"$f":"SUM(C30:C59)","v":4377060.7350000003}]

{"sheet":"P2","index":97,"n_rows":60,"n_cols":14,"rows_kept":60,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[]
["EV lifespan / years"]
["EV weibull function (Example)"]
[null,null,"Waste in percent of the stocks in the respective years."]
["Waste after year x","Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)","Probability Density Function (PDF)"]
[1,{"$f":"1-EXP(-1*(A7/l)^k)","v":4.7424474458601651E-8},{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(A7,k,l,0)","v":2.9995931953891408E-7},"k =",6.3249899999477037,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"one","v":2.9995931953891408E-7},2.9995931953891408E-7,2.9995931953891408E-7,{"$f":"L7-M7","v":0}]
[2,3.8020114792036708E-6,1.2023819435398381E-5,"l =",14.386200000035451,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"two","v":1.2023819435398381E-5},1.2023819435398381E-5,1.2023819435398381E-5,0]
[3,4.9405918018718964E-5,1.0416140593465151E-4,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"three","v":1.0416140593465151E-4},1.0416140593465151E-4,1.0416140593465151E-4,0]
[4,3.0476127032286193E-4,4.8182955664518857E-4,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"four","v":4.8182955664518857E-4},4.8182955664518857E-4,4.8182955664518857E-4,0]
[5,1.2494226501083006E-3,1.5795293750933963E-3,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"five","v":1.5795293750933963E-3},1.5795293750933963E-3,1.5795293750933963E-3,0]
[6,3.9531344439182048E-3,4.1590082341693129E-3,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"six","v":4.1590082341693129E-3},4.1590082341693129E-3,4.1590082341693129E-3,0]
[7,1.0446261101371257E-2,9.3894548175092359E-3,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"seven","v":9.3894548175092359E-3},9.3894548175092359E-3,9.3894548175092359E-3,0]
[8,2.414027299567767E-2,1.8853627639100309E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"eight","v":1.8853627639100309E-2},1.8853627639100309E-2,1.8853627639100309E-2,0]
[9,5.0170410709496127E-2,3.4358950938252406E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"nine","v":3.4358950938252406E-2},3.4358950938252406E-2,3.4358950938252406E-2,0]
[10,9.5369586399987494E-2,5.7348698317489989E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"ten","v":5.7348698317489989E-2},5.7348698317489989E-2,5.7348698317489989E-2,0]
[11,0.16735462002279555,8.7685562331515546E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"eleven","v":8.7685562331515546E-2},8.7685562331515546E-2,8.7685562331515546E-2,0]
[12,0.27207025391558781,0.1218375592828063,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"twelve","v":0.1218375592828063},0.1218375592828063,0.1218375592828063,0]
[13,0.40953521969145212,0.15135389092582016,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"thirteen","v":0.15135389092582016},0.15135389092582016,0.15135389092582016,0]
[14,0.5691009221809864,0.16389219569962984,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"fourteen","v":0.16389219569962984},0.16389219569962984,0.16389219569962984,0]
[15,0.72814074243035232,0.14930718255644587,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"fifteen","v":0.14930718255644587},0.14930718255644587,0.14930718255644587,0]
[16,0.85901015856689689,0.10918854248484938,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"sixteen","v":0.10918854248484938},0.10918854248484938,0.10918854248484938,0]
[17,0.94356212595476385,6.0361667412318853E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"seventeen","v":6.0361667412318853E-2},6.0361667412318853E-2,6.0361667412318853E-2,0]
[18,0.98386176444050299,2.3400868035828054E-2,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"eighteen","v":2.3400868035828054E-2},2.3400868035828054E-2,2.3400868035828054E-2,0]
[19,0.99699976760643538,5.801862252931906E-3,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"nineteen","v":5.801862252931906E-3},5.801862252931906E-3,5.801862252931906E-3,0]
[20,0.99967618553419035,8.2286832091016035E-4]
[14.386200000035451,0.63212055882855767,{"$f":"AVERAGE(C7:C26)","v":4.9996989168300268E-2}]
[]
[]
[null,"ISO 3166-1 alpha-2 codes","Population 2024","(https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/)"]
[null,"AU","Australia",26439.111000000001]
[null,"AT","Austria",8958.9599999999991]
[null,"BE","Belgium",11686.14]
[null,"BR","Brazil",216422.446]
[null,"CA","Canada",38781.290999999997]
[null,"CN","China",1425671.352]
[null,"DK","Denmark",5910.9129999999996]
[null,"FI","Finland",5545.4750000000004]
[null,"FR","France",64756.584000000003]
[null,"DE","Germany",83294.633000000002]
[null,"HK","Hong Kong",7491.6090000000004]
[null,"IN","India",1428627.6629999999]
[null,"IE","Ireland",5056.9350000000004]
[null,"IT","Italy",58870.762000000002]
[null,"JP","Japan",123294.51300000001]
[null,"KR","Korea",51784.059000000001]
[null,"LU","Luxembourg",654.76800000000003]
[null,"NL","Netherlands",17618.298999999999]
[null,"NZ","New Zealand",5228.1000000000004]
[null,"NO","Norway",5474.36]
[null,"PT","Portugal",10247.605]
[null,"RU","Russia",144444.359]
[null,"ZA","South Africa",60414.495000000003]
[null,"ES","Spain",47519.627999999997]
[null,"SE","Sweden",10612.085999999999]
[null,"CH","Switzerland",8796.6689999999999]
[null,"TW","Taiwan",23923.276000000002]
[null,"TH","Thailand",71801.278999999995]
[null,"UK","UK",67736.801999999996]
[null,"US","USA",339996.56300000002]