%% BioMed_Central_Bib_Style_v1.01

\begin{thebibliography}{26}
% BibTex style file: bmc-mathphys.bst (version 2.1), 2014-07-24
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\csname PreBibitemsHook\endcsname

%%% 1
\bibitem{whosituation1}
\begin{botherref}
Novel Coronavirus(2019-nCoV) SITUATION REPORT-1, 21 JANUARY 2020.
\url{https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200121-sitrep-1-2019-ncov.pdf?sfvrsn=20a99c10\_4}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 2
\bibitem{who19}
\begin{botherref}
WHO. Statement on the Second Meeting of the International Health Regulations
  (2005) Emergency Committee Regarding the Outbreak of Novel Coronavirus
  (2019-nCoV).
\url{https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/30-01-2020-statement-on-the-second-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regarding-the-outbreak-of-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov)}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 3
\bibitem{confirmed}
\begin{botherref}
Number of Confirmed Cases.
\url{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/csse\_covid\_19\_data/csse\_covid\_19\_time\_series/time\_series\_19-covid-Confirmed.csv}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 4
\bibitem{Chen2020}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Chen}, \binits{T.-M.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Rui}, \binits{J.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{Q.-P.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhao}, \binits{Z.-Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Cui}, \binits{J.-A.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yin}, \binits{L.}}:
\batitle{A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility
  of a novel coronavirus}.
\bjtitle{Infectious Diseases of Poverty}
\bvolume{9}(\bissue{1}),
\bfpage{24}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1186/s40249-020-00640-3}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 5
\bibitem{doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2001316}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Li}, \binits{Q.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Guan}, \binits{X.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wu}, \binits{P.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{X.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhou}, \binits{L.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Tong}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Ren}, \binits{R.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Leung}, \binits{K.S.M.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Lau}, \binits{E.H.Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wong}, \binits{J.Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Xing}, \binits{X.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Xiang}, \binits{N.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wu}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Li}, \binits{C.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Chen}, \binits{Q.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Li}, \binits{D.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Liu}, \binits{T.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhao}, \binits{J.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Liu}, \binits{M.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Tu}, \binits{W.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Chen}, \binits{C.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Jin}, \binits{L.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{R.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{Q.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhou}, \binits{S.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{R.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Liu}, \binits{H.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Luo}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Liu}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Shao}, \binits{G.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Li}, \binits{H.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Tao}, \binits{Z.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Deng}, \binits{Z.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Liu}, \binits{B.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Ma}, \binits{Z.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhang}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Shi}, \binits{G.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Lam}, \binits{T.T.Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wu}, \binits{J.T.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Gao}, \binits{G.F.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Cowling}, \binits{B.J.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{B.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Leung}, \binits{G.M.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Feng}, \binits{Z.}}:
\batitle{Early transmission dynamics in wuhan, china, of novel
  coronavirus–infected pneumonia}.
\bjtitle{New England Journal of Medicine}
\bvolume{0}(\bissue{0}),
(\byear{0}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1056/NEJMoa2001316}.
\arxivurl{https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 6
\bibitem{Wang2020}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{H.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{Z.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Dong}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Chang}, \binits{R.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Xu}, \binits{C.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yu}, \binits{X.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhang}, \binits{S.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Tsamlag}, \binits{L.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Shang}, \binits{M.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Huang}, \binits{J.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Xu}, \binits{G.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Shen}, \binits{T.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhang}, \binits{X.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Cai}, \binits{Y.}}:
\batitle{Phase-adjusted estimation of the number of coronavirus disease 2019
  cases in wuhan, china}.
\bjtitle{Cell Discovery}
\bvolume{6}(\bissue{1}),
\bfpage{10}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1038/s41421-020-0148-0}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 7
\bibitem{10.1093/jtm/taaa008}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Bogoch}, \binits{I.I.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Watts}, \binits{A.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Thomas-Bachli}, \binits{A.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Huber}, \binits{C.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Kraemer}, \binits{M.U.G.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Khan}, \binits{K.}}:
\batitle{{Pneumonia of unknown aetiology in Wuhan, China: potential for
  international spread via commercial air travel}}.
\bjtitle{Journal of Travel Medicine}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1093/jtm/taaa008}.
\bcomment{taaa008}.
\arxivurl{https://academic.oup.com/jtm/advance-article-pdf/doi/10.1093/jtm/taaa008/32522718/taaa008.pdf}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 8
\bibitem{how2020}
\begin{botherref}
How Computer Scientists Are Trying to Predict the Coronavirus's Next Moves.
\url{https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-human-os/biomedical/devices/predicting-the-coronavirus-next-moves}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 9
\bibitem{Thrun:2005:PR:1121596}
\begin{bbook}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Thrun}, \binits{S.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Burgard}, \binits{W.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Fox}, \binits{D.}}:
\bbtitle{Probabilistic Robotics (Intelligent Robotics and Autonomous Agents)}.
\bpublisher{The MIT Press}, \blocation{???}
(\byear{2005})
\end{bbook}
\endbibitem

%%% 10
\bibitem{kalman}
\begin{botherref}
\oauthor{\bsnm{Kremer}, \binits{R.}}:
Using Kalman Filter to Predict Corona Virus Spread.
\url{https://towardsdatascience.com/using-kalman-filter-to-predict-corona-virus-spread-72d91b74cc8}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 11
\bibitem{Wu2020}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wu}, \binits{J.T.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Leung}, \binits{K.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Leung}, \binits{G.M.}}:
\batitle{Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international
  spread of the 2019-ncov outbreak originating in wuhan, china: a modelling
  study}.
\bjtitle{The Lancet}
\bvolume{395}(\bissue{10225}),
\bfpage{689}--\blpage{697}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 12
\bibitem{git}
\begin{botherref}
Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Cases, Provided by JHU CSSE.
\url{https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 13
\bibitem{johnshopkins}
\begin{botherref}
Johns Hopkins University, Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at
  JHU.
\url{https://systems.jhu.edu/research/public-health/ncov/}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 14
\bibitem{recovered}
\begin{botherref}
Number of Recovered Cases.
\url{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/csse\_covid\_19\_data/csse\_covid\_19\_time\_series/time\_series\_19-covid-Recovered.csv}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 15
\bibitem{deaths}
\begin{botherref}
Number of Deceased Cases.
\url{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/csse\_covid\_19\_data/csse\_covid\_19\_time\_series/time\_series\_19-covid-Deaths.csv}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 16
\bibitem{reproduction1}
\begin{botherref}
Imai, N. et Al. Report 3: Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV, 2020.
\url{https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news–wuhan-coronavirus/}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 17
\bibitem{Zhao2020}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhao}, \binits{S.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Lin}, \binits{Q.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Ran}, \binits{J.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Musa}, \binits{S.S.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{G.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{W.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Lou}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Gao}, \binits{D.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{L.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{He}, \binits{D.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{M.H.}}:
\batitle{Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel
  coronavirus (2019-ncov) in china, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis
  in the early phase of the outbreak}.
\bjtitle{International Journal of Infectious Diseases}
\bvolume{92},
\bfpage{214}--\blpage{217}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.050}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 18
\bibitem{jcm9020388}
\begin{botherref}
\oauthor{\bsnm{Zhao}, \binits{S.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Musa}, \binits{S.S.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Lin}, \binits{Q.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Ran}, \binits{J.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{G.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{W.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Lou}, \binits{Y.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{L.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Gao}, \binits{D.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{He}, \binits{D.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{M.H.}}:
Estimating the unreported number of novel coronavirus (2019-ncov) cases in
  china in the first half of january 2020: A data-driven modelling analysis of
  the early outbreak.
Journal of Clinical Medicine
\textbf{9}(2)
(2020).
doi:\doiurl{10.3390/jcm9020388}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 19
\bibitem{haydon}
\begin{botherref}
\oauthor{\bsnm{Haydon D.~T.}, \binits{S.D.J.M.L.F.J.K.W.J.}
  \bsuffix{Chase–Topping~M.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{J.}, \binits{W.M.E.}}:
{The construction and analysis of epidemic trees with reference to the 2001 UK
  foot–and–mouth outbreak}.
270. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B.
doi:\doiurl{10.1098/rspb.2002.2191}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 20
\bibitem{tang2020}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Tang}, \binits{S.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{Z.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Li}, \binits{M.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Bragazzi}, \binits{N.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Xiao}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yu}, \binits{D.}}:
\batitle{Estimation of the transmission risk of the 2019-ncov and its
  implication for public health interventions}.
\bjtitle{Journal of Clinical Medicine}
\bvolume{9},
\bfpage{462}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.3390/jcm9020462}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 21
\bibitem{whofinalreport}
\begin{botherref}
Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).
\url{https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 22
\bibitem{Yang2020.02.10.20021675}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Yang}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Lu}, \binits{Q.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Liu}, \binits{M.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{Y.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhang}, \binits{A.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Jalali}, \binits{N.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Dean}, \binits{N.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Longini}, \binits{I.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Halloran}, \binits{M.E.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Xu}, \binits{B.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Zhang}, \binits{X.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wang}, \binits{L.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Liu}, \binits{W.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Fang}, \binits{L.}}:
\batitle{Epidemiological and clinical features of the 2019 novel coronavirus
  outbreak in china}.
\bjtitle{medRxiv}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1101/2020.02.10.20021675}.
\arxivurl{https://www.medrxiv.org/content/early/2020/02/21/2020.02.10.20021675.full.pdf}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 23
\bibitem{chowell}
\begin{botherref}
\oauthor{\bsnm{Chowell~Gerardo}, \binits{N.H.}},
\oauthor{\bsnm{M.A}, \binits{B.L.}}:
{Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from
  daily case notification data}.
4J. R. Soc. Interface.
doi:\doiurl{10.1098/rspb.2002.2191}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

%%% 24
\bibitem{CHOWELL2004119}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Chowell}, \binits{G.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Hengartner}, \binits{N.W.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Castillo-Chavez}, \binits{C.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Fenimore}, \binits{P.W.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{Hyman}, \binits{J.M.}}:
\batitle{The basic reproductive number of ebola and the effects of public
  health measures: the cases of congo and uganda}.
\bjtitle{Journal of Theoretical Biology}
\bvolume{229}(\bissue{1}),
\bfpage{119}--\blpage{126}
(\byear{2004}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1016/j.jtbi.2004.03.006}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 25
\bibitem{WuMcGoogan}
\begin{barticle}
\bauthor{\bsnm{Wu}, \binits{Z.}},
\bauthor{\bsnm{McGoogan}, \binits{J.M.}}:
\batitle{Characteristics of and important lessons from the coronavirus disease
  2019 (covid-19) outbreak in china: Summary of a report of 72 314 cases from
  the chinese center for disease control and prevention}.
\bjtitle{JAMA}
(\byear{2020}).
doi:\doiurl{10.1001/jama.2020.2648}.
\arxivurl{https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/articlepdf/2762130/jama\_wu\_2020\_vp\_200028.pdf}
\end{barticle}
\endbibitem

%%% 26
\bibitem{covidczech}
\begin{botherref}
COVID-19: Actual Numbers of Coronavirus Diseases in the Czech Republic,
  Ministry of Health of the Czech Republic.
\url{https://onemocneni-aktualne.mzcr.cz/covid-19}
\end{botherref}
\endbibitem

\end{thebibliography}

\newcommand{\BMCxmlcomment}[1]{}

\BMCxmlcomment{

<refgrp>

<bibl id="B1">
  <title><p>Novel Coronavirus(2019-nCoV) SITUATION REPORT-1, 21 JANUARY
  2020</p></title>
  <url>https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200121-sitrep-1-2019-ncov.pdf?sfvrsn=20a99c10\_4</url>
</bibl>

<bibl id="B2">
  <title><p>WHO. Statement on the Second Meeting of the International Health
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  Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)</p></title>
  <url>https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/30-01-2020-statement-on-the-second-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regarding-the-outbreak-of-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov)</url>
</bibl>

<bibl id="B3">
  <title><p>Number of Confirmed Cases</p></title>
  <url>https://raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/csse\_covid\_19\_data/csse\_covid\_19\_time\_series/time\_series\_19-covid-Confirmed.csv</url>
</bibl>

<bibl id="B4">
  <title><p>A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based
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    <au><snm>Rui</snm><fnm>J</fnm></au>
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  <pubdate>2020</pubdate>
  <volume>9</volume>
  <issue>1</issue>
  <fpage>24</fpage>
  <url>https://doi.org/10.1186/s40249-020-00640-3</url>
</bibl>

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} % end of \BMCxmlcomment
