Model: fit_full_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025
Speed mode: strict_filtered_core_mechanism_with_transition_models_and_descriptive_stats
Mode note: strict data filter + patent-size cap(<=5) + top-node cap + matrix-based NA-dyad networks + NetSeries(NA.impute='0') + symmetrical formation/persistence specification + main structural path(edges, gwesp) + alternative structural path(edges, gwdsp) + lagged node capability(evcent, tech_size) + static dyadic covariates(proximity, history) + period descriptive statistics + transition-specific full-model coefficients + true single-core execution (no cluster) + GOF only for the mechanisms actually retained in the final model
Formula used: series_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025 ~ Form(~edges + gwesp(0.25,      fixed = TRUE) + nodecov("evcent_lag_sqrt") + absdiff("evcent_lag_sqrt") +      nodecov("tech_size_lag_sqrt") + absdiff("tech_size_lag_sqrt") +      edgecov(proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025) +      edgecov(history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025)) +      Persist(~edges + gwesp(0.25, fixed = TRUE) + nodecov("evcent_lag_sqrt") +          absdiff("evcent_lag_sqrt") + nodecov("tech_size_lag_sqrt") +          absdiff("tech_size_lag_sqrt") + edgecov(proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025) +          edgecov(history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025))
Fixed roster: YES
Structural zero implementation: NA dyads + NetSeries(NA.impute='0')

Call:
ergm(formula = formula_obj, control = control_obj, verbose = TRUE)

Monte Carlo Maximum Likelihood Results:

                                                                     Estimate
Form(1)~edges                                                      -24.188538
Form(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                            15.992416
Form(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                     -5.920330
Form(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                      0.185764
Form(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                   0.065642
Form(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                  -0.058778
Form(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025     -1.650006
Form(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025       17.089696
Persist(1)~edges                                                     1.366422
Persist(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                         -1.326973
Persist(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                  -6.102325
Persist(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                   0.386914
Persist(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                0.051939
Persist(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                0.008092
Persist(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025  -0.332252
Persist(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025     5.686174
                                                                   Std. Error
Form(1)~edges                                                       35.798829
Form(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                            27.736976
Form(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                      2.578978
Form(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                      2.556728
Form(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                   0.059255
Form(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                   0.057123
Form(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025      0.901241
Form(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025        1.961392
Persist(1)~edges                                                     2.769728
Persist(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                          1.431818
Persist(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                   1.787879
Persist(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                   1.929474
Persist(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                0.034590
Persist(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                0.032587
Persist(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025   0.177779
Persist(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025     0.584312
                                                                   MCMC % z value
Form(1)~edges                                                           0  -0.676
Form(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                                0   0.577
Form(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                         0  -2.296
Form(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                         0   0.073
Form(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                      0   1.108
Form(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                      0  -1.029
Form(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025         0  -1.831
Form(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025           0   8.713
Persist(1)~edges                                                        0   0.493
Persist(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                             0  -0.927
Persist(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                      0  -3.413
Persist(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                      0   0.201
Persist(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                   0   1.502
Persist(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                   0   0.248
Persist(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025      0  -1.869
Persist(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025        0   9.731
                                                                   Pr(>|z|)    
Form(1)~edges                                                      0.499244    
Form(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                           0.564227    
Form(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                    0.021698 *  
Form(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                    0.942079    
Form(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                 0.267949    
Form(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                                 0.303496    
Form(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025    0.067128 .  
Form(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025       < 1e-04 ***
Persist(1)~edges                                                   0.621771    
Persist(1)~gwesp.fixed.0.25                                        0.354043    
Persist(1)~nodecov.evcent_lag_sqrt                                 0.000642 ***
Persist(1)~absdiff.evcent_lag_sqrt                                 0.841067    
Persist(1)~nodecov.tech_size_lag_sqrt                              0.133217    
Persist(1)~absdiff.tech_size_lag_sqrt                              0.803879    
Persist(1)~edgecov.proximity_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025 0.061636 .  
Persist(1)~edgecov.history_mat_transition_2022_2023_to_2024_2025    < 1e-04 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

     Null Deviance: 6189.8  on 4465  degrees of freedom
 Residual Deviance:  549.9  on 4449  degrees of freedom
 
AIC: 581.9  BIC: 684.3  (Smaller is better. MC Std. Err. = 12.91)
